Eric Balchunas

Eric Balchunas

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Bloomberg ETF analyst; flows, market structure, and sector/AI leadership via ETFs.

US Stock Market Among Least Concentrated Globally
SocialMar 26, 2026

US Stock Market Among Least Concentrated Globally

You think the S&P 500 Index is too concentrated? Try going to another country for a while. The US is one of the *least* concentrated markets. Here's countries ranked by the % of market made up by top 10 biggest...

By Eric Balchunas
Cryptex ETF to Directly Hold 30
SocialMar 25, 2026

Cryptex ETF to Directly Hold 30

New filing for the Cryptex Digital Market Cap ETF (which has chosen the ticker $BAGZ) structured using Cayman subsidiary and looking to hold 30-ish cryptos directly (which would blow away the curr baskets on mkt) if I'm reading it correctly...

By Eric Balchunas
Bonds and Gold Drop, Boosting Money‑Market and Buffer ETFs
SocialMar 25, 2026

Bonds and Gold Drop, Boosting Money‑Market and Buffer ETFs

Where Have All the Hedges Gone? - @psarofagis channeling Paula Cole into a timely note today re how once again bonds fell with stocks. This time gold fell too. This is why Money Mkt Funds and Buffer ETFs are increasingly...

By Eric Balchunas
Morgan Stanley Bitcoin ETF Listed on NYSE, Launch Imminent
SocialMar 25, 2026

Morgan Stanley Bitcoin ETF Listed on NYSE, Launch Imminent

Morgan Stanley Bitcoin ETF $MSBT got an official listing announcement from NYSE, that typically means launch imminent.. https://t.co/SDDVyAGfpJ

By Eric Balchunas
Victory Capital Abandons Janus Deal over Committee Opposition
SocialMar 24, 2026

Victory Capital Abandons Janus Deal over Committee Opposition

Victory Capital has pulled out of Janus acquisition after not getting support from Janus’ “special committee” https://t.co/VSWcoMUQal

By Eric Balchunas
Gold Shows Zero Stock Correlation; Bitcoin Slightly Linked
SocialMar 24, 2026

Gold Shows Zero Stock Correlation; Bitcoin Slightly Linked

Wrote today about how investors just got a big-time reminder that gold has *zero* correlation to stocks, not inversely correlated. Big difference. Good diversifier but unreliable hedge. Bitcoin is similar but w more correlation (0.45) w stocks. Both unpredictable but...

By Eric Balchunas
US Equities Outpace Global Markets After Iran Strike
SocialMar 24, 2026

US Equities Outpace Global Markets After Iran Strike

Nice look at US stocks' performance vs international after geopolitical shocks. US tends to be cleanest dirty shirt in these times. This time no dif, $VOO down 4.6% since Iran strike but $EFA down 9%. Nice note (which he put...

By Eric Balchunas
Bitcoin ETFs Surge $2.5B, Defying 40% Price
SocialMar 24, 2026

Bitcoin ETFs Surge $2.5B, Defying 40% Price

Yeah bitcoin ETFs now $2.5b for month and one good day away from completely digging out of their YTD flow hole. $IBIT is already there and then some, in top 2% among all ETFs in YTD flows. Again, incredible fortitude...

By Eric Balchunas
Finding Comfort in Shared Memories After Dad’s Passing
SocialMar 23, 2026

Finding Comfort in Shared Memories After Dad’s Passing

Back today after being out of commission for a while. I lost my dad about 10 days ago. We were close. I knew the day would come, he was declining health-wise, but it didn't soften the blow. But he lived...

By Eric Balchunas
Seeing Wemby in San Antonio, Alamo Pit Stop
SocialMar 12, 2026

Seeing Wemby in San Antonio, Alamo Pit Stop

Greetings from San Antonio. Here w my kid to see Wemby play tonight. Pit stop at the Alamo. Confirmed there’s no basement, sorry @todd_sohn https://t.co/lGYXk8fNhQ

By Eric Balchunas
Search “Noise” And “Sleep” On TripAdvisor for Reliable Hotel Stays
SocialMar 12, 2026

Search “Noise” And “Sleep” On TripAdvisor for Reliable Hotel Stays

I feel his pain tbh. This is why whenever I travel for work or vaca bf booking I always go to the hotel’s trip advisor page and search reviews for the words “noise” and “sleep.” This system has yet to...

By Eric Balchunas
ETFs Now Hold 1.28 M BTC, Biggest Global Holder
SocialMar 11, 2026

ETFs Now Hold 1.28 M BTC, Biggest Global Holder

ETFs still own 1.28mil bitcoin, biggest holder in world as a group. And that’s DESPITE a 50% drawdown thrown at them. YTD flows just about to turn positive too. I think we’re around +$56b net net lifetime. #BoomerStrong

By Eric Balchunas
ETF Manager Vows Not to Sell 35% SpaceX SPV
SocialMar 10, 2026

ETF Manager Vows Not to Sell 35% SpaceX SPV

“We have a plan… And we don’t plan to sell the SpaceX SPV (which is curr 35% of the ETF)” - Joel Schuman of $XOVR on ETF IQ yesterday talking about the situation in the fund rn @kgreifeld @scarletfu https://t.co/cIkYtbXxBF

By Eric Balchunas
Risk-On Surge Floods SPY, QQQ, HYG; VOO Steady
SocialMar 10, 2026

Risk-On Surge Floods SPY, QQQ, HYG; VOO Steady

Flows did a 180 yesterday and went FULL risk-on with $12b flooding into trading crowd favorites $SPY $QQQ $HYG et al.. while $VOO (the tortoise in the wealth creation race) doing its half a bil a day regardless of the...

By Eric Balchunas
USO Hits $16B Volume, Biggest Day in 20 Years
SocialMar 9, 2026

USO Hits $16B Volume, Biggest Day in 20 Years

Finally tally for USO was $16b of volume. Here's how that looks vs every other day of trading in its 20yr life. My guess is this is the peak, we cool off from here. But what a comeback in relevancy...

By Eric Balchunas
SPY Climbs 1% Today, Brace for Market Backlash
SocialMar 9, 2026

SPY Climbs 1% Today, Brace for Market Backlash

$SPY now up 1% on the day.. let the gnashing of the teeth commence https://t.co/PDQSFKpyuT

By Eric Balchunas
USO Hits Record Volume; Roll Costs Warn Traders
SocialMar 9, 2026

USO Hits Record Volume; Roll Costs Warn Traders

$USO has broken its all time daily volume record with $7.6 traded and it's only 1130am. Dwarfing the volume it saw in 2020 and 2022. Prob mix of pro traders and retail degens. While it is arguably the most sensitive...

By Eric Balchunas
Tokenized ETFs Will Expand Access, Not Replace Them
SocialMar 9, 2026

Tokenized ETFs Will Expand Access, Not Replace Them

One of my big themes this year is how tokenization isn’t gonna replace ETFs, but rather distribute them. It’s actually bullish. This will deliver the world’s most beloved ETFs (and stocks) to ppl on chain and less developed countries. ...

By Eric Balchunas
Vanguard ETFs Net $7B Inflow as Others Lose $5B
SocialMar 9, 2026

Vanguard ETFs Net $7B Inflow as Others Lose $5B

Flows were def risk-off-ish last week, which caused net number to slow drastically, led by the trading crowd faves $SPY, $QQQ, $IWM, $HYG. The Vanguardians however didn't blink. Get this: Vanguard ETFs took in $7b last week, the rest of...

By Eric Balchunas
New Lindy Effect ETF Targets 50‑Year‑Old Companies
SocialMar 6, 2026

New Lindy Effect ETF Targets 50‑Year‑Old Companies

New filing for a Lindy Effect ETF.. which will only hold companies that are over 50yrs old. Some other ones incl Insurance ETF (haven't seen one of those in a long time). New issuer I believe too. https://t.co/c1L9kTa7hU

By Eric Balchunas
Excluding Autocracies Boosts Emerging Market ETF Returns
SocialMar 5, 2026

Excluding Autocracies Boosts Emerging Market ETF Returns

ADDITION BY SUBTRACTION: What happens when you take the MSCI EM Index and start kicking out autocratic countries with low freedom scores (eg China, Russia) and use that excess budget to load up on freer countries? You crush the benchmark....

By Eric Balchunas
Record Volume Hits ACWI After 2% Dip, Model Rotation Suspected
SocialMar 3, 2026

Record Volume Hits ACWI After 2% Dip, Model Rotation Suspected

Intriguing, $ACWI (and $28b old dog ETF I rarely think about) saw record volume today. Maybe bc it fell 2%, which is bad but not Code Red.. my guess is a model rotated out of it. We've seen a lot...

By Eric Balchunas
S&P Near 10‑Month Winning Streak, Needs 30bps Boost
SocialFeb 27, 2026

S&P Near 10‑Month Winning Streak, Needs 30bps Boost

STREAK ON LINE: The S&P 500 is trying to notch its 10th straight positive month on last day of Feb today to secure the 2nd longest streak in the SPY Era (33yrs). It only needs 30bps of gains. Problem is...

By Eric Balchunas
Market Misprices IGV Despite Strong AI Potential
SocialFeb 27, 2026

Market Misprices IGV Despite Strong AI Potential

The market may be wrong about $IGV, which is down 30% in past few months. Our tech analysts went through and graded stocks for AI vulnerability and AI potential, a select few got green on both (list below) and guess...

By Eric Balchunas
Doomer Hype Fuels Clicks, Not Market Moves
SocialFeb 26, 2026

Doomer Hype Fuels Clicks, Not Market Moves

Agree, Citrini got a massive debate going and increased subs, but. $IGV, $QQQ up big in past two days. And ETF flows are pouring into US equity ETFs (as usual). It only reinforces my view that doomerism is what sells...

By Eric Balchunas
Broad Market Wins: Can't Beat VOO Long-Term
SocialFeb 25, 2026

Broad Market Wins: Can't Beat VOO Long-Term

This AI is gonna kill software trade echoes the "Death of the Mall" trade from 10yrs ago which was to go long $AMZN and short $XRT (brick and mortar). ProShares made $CLIX, $EMTY and $ONLN to do trade for you....

By Eric Balchunas
Ritholtz Launches First Trend-Following ETF: A Watchlist Pick
SocialFeb 24, 2026

Ritholtz Launches First Trend-Following ETF: A Watchlist Pick

Interesting… Ritholtz filing for first ETF. Trend following strategy. I like the Goaltending name/concept (a la Granny Shots another bball metaphor). Ben and Mike are the PMs. One to watch.

By Eric Balchunas
Leveraged ETFs Fees Rising, Unaffected by Vanguard Effect
SocialFeb 24, 2026

Leveraged ETFs Fees Rising, Unaffected by Vanguard Effect

Leveraged ETFs: The Last Stronghold of the 1% Fee.. check out how the asset-weighted avg fee of 2x ETFs is actually going UP. Only category totally immune from Vanguard Effect, which explains the $1b in ann revenue and the torrent...

By Eric Balchunas
Bitcoin ETF Flows up $55B, Still #5 Overall
SocialFeb 24, 2026

Bitcoin ETF Flows up $55B, Still #5 Overall

Yes, altho if you look at flows since Jan 2024 it STILL ranks #5 overall (only superhuman Vgrd ETFs did more), even after all this destruction. All told bitcoin ETF flows are still net net +$55b altho you'll be hard-pressed...

By Eric Balchunas
ETF Inflows Hit $304B, Doubling Record Pace
SocialFeb 24, 2026

ETF Inflows Hit $304B, Doubling Record Pace

ETF inflows up to $304b YTD, which is DOUBLE the all-time record pace from last year. $VOO at $30b, also ahead of its record pace by 6b while Vanguard as whole is already at $100b, a $3b/day pace, and double...

By Eric Balchunas
IQMM's $17B Debut Driven by ProShares, Not Organic
SocialFeb 23, 2026

IQMM's $17B Debut Driven by ProShares, Not Organic

Wild, the $17b that $IQMM took in on its first day of trading has it leading 1D, 1W and 1M flows instantly and is now 2nd in YTD. ProShares lined up all their funds and bought IQMM for each's cash...

By Eric Balchunas
ProShares Shifts $17B to IQMM for Cash Management
SocialFeb 20, 2026

ProShares Shifts $17B to IQMM for Cash Management

Mystery solved via Ben re the $17b in $IQMM on Day One. The call is coming from inside the house, literally, ProShares own funds are all now using IQMM now for their cash positions. Big time BYOA and not as...

By Eric Balchunas
MFs Adding ETF Share Classes Will Trigger Massive Drainage
SocialFeb 20, 2026

MFs Adding ETF Share Classes Will Trigger Massive Drainage

Prepping for presentation I found this slide from last year, it's a bit strong but I stand by it re what will be the main impact of MFs adding on ETF share classes (which should kick off in next few...

By Eric Balchunas
ETF Fees Halt Decline as Higher‑cost Products Gain Traction
SocialFeb 20, 2026

ETF Fees Halt Decline as Higher‑cost Products Gain Traction

The race to zero has hit a wall as the asset weighted average ETF fee has finally stopped its descent and even reversed a bit (this chart is one of the scariest, albeit slow moving ones for Wall St, equiv...

By Eric Balchunas
ETF Inflows Double Historic Pace in First Six Weeks
SocialFeb 18, 2026

ETF Inflows Double Historic Pace in First Six Weeks

Here's ETF flows for the first six weeks of the year historically. This year is off to the best start almost by double. One reason is growing depth of cash vacuum cleaners. VOO, SPYM hoovering as always but there's already...

By Eric Balchunas
Bitcoin Beats Gold, Outperforms by 5% in Hours
SocialFeb 13, 2026

Bitcoin Beats Gold, Outperforms by 5% in Hours

Gold is "no longer actual gold," Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas says. "Bitcoin outperformed gold by 5% in the first three hours of trading on Friday, Feb 13th" 😂

By Eric Balchunas
ETFs Rake $250B in 28 Days, EM Overtakes Gold
SocialFeb 13, 2026

ETFs Rake $250B in 28 Days, EM Overtakes Gold

There's only been 28 trading days this year and ETFs have already pulled in about $250b. More than double any other start to a year. Up until 2020, $250b was what they averaged for a YEAR. That's $9b/day pace, or...

By Eric Balchunas
Vanguard's $70B ETF Inflows Rank Top Three
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Vanguard's $70B ETF Inflows Rank Top Three

Vanguard has already taken in $70b in ETF flows to start year, that's nearly $3b a day and more than all but 3 issuers took in last year. If VOO alone were an issuer it would be in 3rd place...

By Eric Balchunas
MSTZ Hits Potential Record 477% Volatility Surge
SocialFeb 9, 2026

MSTZ Hits Potential Record 477% Volatility Surge

Total eruption in the 10-day volatility of $MSTZ (-2x Strategy).. 477% may be an all time ETF record (I added $SPY for perspective), it's higher than $QBTX which got to 433% at one point. Crazy high vol is like degen...

By Eric Balchunas
Dow’s DIA Leads Flows, Poised for 2026 Rotation
SocialFeb 9, 2026

Dow’s DIA Leads Flows, Poised for 2026 Rotation

$DIA leading all flows on Friday as the Dow Jones hits ATH and is running laps around SPX this year. This index is equiv of a rotary phone, price-weighted, invented when Grover Cleveland was POTUS, but it could be...

By Eric Balchunas