US Ammo Shortage May Coincide with Russian Peak Power
Depleted U.S. precision munition stockpiles—and the 4–5 years required to replenish them—could coincide with a period of relatively peak Russian military power vis-à-vis NATO under a scenario in which a tenuous 2027 ceasefire in Ukraine frees Russian forces to reconstitute and redeploy. This window would also overlap with the conclusion of China’s 15th Five-Year Plan (2030), focused on advancing PLA joint operations, while the U.S. Navy and Air Force may be contending with significant readiness challenges stemming from the Iran war.
US Depletes Half Its Missile Stockpiles in Weeks
‘Over the last seven weeks of war, the US military has expended at least 45% of its stockpile of Precision Strike Missiles; at least half of its inventory of THAAD missiles, which are designed to intercept ballistic missiles; and nearly...
Layered Defence Uses Cheap Assets to Soak Attacks
“Layered defence is essential,” said Eugene Lesin, a deputy company commander in the “Darknode” UAV interceptor unit. “Lower-cost systems — machine guns, anti-aircraft artillery, interceptor drones and electronic warfare — absorb the bulk of the attack. High-end systems such as...
Iran Studies Ukraine's Drone Tactics, Upgrades Cyber Warfare
‚The articles reveal Iran has closely studied Ukraine for lessons, especially about drones, has been focused on modernising its cyberwarfare assets, and is worried about its forces’ forward planning. They show Tehran has closely watched Russian performance as well as...
Russia Ramps up Iskander Production; Ukraine Short on Patriots
‚Moscow is producing about 60 Iskander missiles a month and has expanded its launcher capacity, while Ukraine lacks sufficient advanced air-defence systems such as the US-made Patriot system to cover the entire country, Skibitskyi said.‘https://t.co/WIW5QJXwlb
Iran Secures Chinese Spy Satellite, Enables US Base Targeting
‚Iran secretly acquired a Chinese spy satellite that gave the Islamic republic a powerful new capability to target US military bases across the Middle East during the recent war, according to a Financial Times investigation. Leaked Iranian military documents show the...
U.S. Depletes JASSM-ER Stockpile in Iran Conflict
US reportedly committing nearly its entire JASSM-ER inventory to the Iran war. Per @Bloomberg: ~2,300 pre-war stockpile, 1,000+ already fired, & after repositioning remaining missiles to CENTCOM/UK bases, only ~425 left for rest of the world 👇 https://t.co/qqkf8ERauf
Weak Enemy, Stronger Foes: A Flawed Strategy
Fighting a second-rate military power while vicariously and indirectly militarily and economically strengthening two first-order ones, which you may have to confront at a later stage, through your actions, and the sequencing problems it creates, may perhaps not be sound...
Denmark Armed for Potential US Attack Amid Greenland Threat
‚If the U.S. attempted an attack, Danish forces would be armed and ready to fight. Danish F-35 fighter jets deployed north were also fully armed. All this despite the understanding that Denmark could not realistically withstand a U.S. military attack.‘
Russia Loses More Ukrainian Ground than It Gains.
‘Black Bird, a Finnish war-monitoring group, said Russian troops in February lost more Ukrainian territory than they captured for the first time since November 2023. But Russian soldiers have advanced in other areas, including at the southern edge of the Zaporizhzhia...
Tactical Wins Won’t Guarantee Strategic Victory for US
As with much else, the Trump administration is not so much a break but a continuation on steroids of some issues concerning the overall US warfighting approach — e.g., the difficulty of linking technically-tactically impressive strikes at the tactical level...
Vienna Becomes Russian Hub Targeting NATO Communications
“It’s one of our main concerns about Russian activity here. We know they have been targeting Nato government and military communications with what they’ve got,” said one senior European diplomat based in Vienna. “Vienna has really taken on a lot...
U.S. Pacific Quick‑Response Force Gaps Amid Deployments
‘With an East Coast expeditionary unit supporting the war in Venezuela and the 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit deploying to the Middle East (the 31st is usually based out of Okinawa, Japan), there will be no quick response force to aid...
Trump's Waning Interest Stalls US‑led Ukraine Peace Push
‘The US-led peace process in Ukraine is fizzling out because Donald Trump is losing interest in the talks and his war against Iran is easing pressure on Russia, officials say.’ https://t.co/6VFAHJrvaZ
Depleted Munitions Undermine Deterrence, Destabilizing Europe and Asia
Precision-strike warfare is in part only as credible as your stockpiles. Waste munitions in a war of choice that in some categories take years to replace, and conventional deterrence in Europe and Asia degrades by default. So it’s fair to...