Trump Era Depleted Critical Munitions, Raising Conflict Cost Concerns
‘The Trump administration has burned through “years” of critical munitions since the start of the war with Iran, said three people familiar with the matter, fuelling concerns about the rising cost of the conflict and the US’s ability to replenish its stockpiles.‘ https://t.co/MkFDBDkUTe
Russia Teaches Iran Ukraine Drone Tactics for Gulf Attacks
"Russia is helping Iran with advanced drone tactics from its war in Ukraine to hit US and Gulf nation targets in the Middle East, according to a Western intelligence official." https://t.co/7hTxSdMNpO
Ukraine Talks US, Gulf States on Acoustic Drone Defense
‚Ukraine is in talks with the US and several Gulf states about replicating Kyiv’s acoustic detection network to counter Iranian attack drones, according to people familiar with the matter.‘ https://t.co/ddTJ6sojt5
Flashy Strikes Replace Strategy, Myth of Leader Decapitation Fails
‚What emerges is…the “strike-as-strategy” paradox: the substitution of impressive tactical actions for comprehensive strategic design. Under Trump, this tendency is reinforced by a political culture that demands televised displays of military prowess. The Maduro raid will encourage the dangerous notion that...
AI-Driven Tool Accelerates Iran Strike Planning in Real Time
‚As planning for a potential strike in Iran was underway, Maven, powered by Claude, suggested hundreds of targets, issued precise location coordinates, and prioritized those targets according to importance, said two of the people. The pairing of Maven and Claude...
Defense Secretary’s Confidence Echoes Historic War Pledges
The US Secretary of Defense saying “we can sustain this” is a bit akin to the allies declaring in 1942 that they can sustain the fight against Italy, or in 1917 against the Ottoman Empire — if you get my...
US Raids Deplete Stocks, Undermine Future Deterrence
A short- to mid-term military risk isn't the US running out of interceptors or PGMs in this conflict per se. It is the opportunity costs. This US-Israeli raiding approach to warfare, if it continues at the current operational tempo for...
Iran Strikes Test Ukraine Drone Warfare Assumptions
Those who have argued that in Ukraine two degraded Soviet-era armies are fighting each other, and that their experience in unmanned warfare has limited relevance for our doctrine, force structure, and design — because NATO/US would fight differently, i.e. first...
MDO’s Decapitation Focus Widen Tactical‑Strategic Gap
Theoretical constructs such as Multi-Domain Operations (MDO) widen, rather than narrow, the gap between the tactical, military level of warfare and the strategic, political one. This is partly due to the widespread assumption of MDO planners that decapitation strikes at...
Iran Saturates Defenses; US‑Israel Strike Preemptively
It’s a race for and against time in the Middle East: Iran is pursuing an attritional approach by attempting to saturate air defenses, hoping to deplete interceptor stocks. The US, Israel, and its allies counter with left-of-launch strikes aimed at...
Ukraine's 2026 Defense Shifts Away From Trenches
Interesting analysis. Fortifications & trenches will be less important for Ukraine’s defenses in 2026 than in previous years.
Future Doctrine: Maneuver as Rare, Deliberate, Protected Operation
“Old doctrine assumes maneuver is the default way to fight. Future doctrine should treat it as a rare, deliberate act that is planned, resourced, and protected.” https://t.co/U0K4HrDClf
Interceptor Stockpiles Dictate Middle East Precision Strike Outcomes
Any strike campaign in the Middle East employing precision-guided munitions will be shaped by the United States’ and Israel’s interceptor stockpiles and magazine depth. As @AmosFox6 and I like to say, you may not be interested in attrition, but attrition...
Massive U.S. Air Power Buildup Hits Middle East
This looks like one of the largest buildups of U.S. air power and precision strike capabilities in the Middle East in over 2 decades.
Russia's Dwindling Time Exposes Military‑political Mismatch
„Although Ukraine faces challenges, time is less and less on Russia’s side, however much Moscow portrays the situation otherwise. Moscow cannot wish away the fundamental mismatch between the military means it has available and the political aims it seeks to...
Starlink Shutdown Blinds Russian Drones and Command Posts
“The shutdown didn’t only reduce Russian drone strikes. On the front lines, it also partially blinded Russian command posts and drone crews that relied on Starlink for communication, livestreams and more-precise control of assaults as commanders got real-time footage of...
Europe's NATO Forces Unprepared for Prolonged Russian Conflict
I enjoyed this conversation. Mike, the team, and I discuss how European NATO militaries would fare in a conflict with Russia, how long it might take Europe to reach a point where it can assume greater responsibility for its own...
Modern Militaries Mirror 17th‑Century Blend of Legacy and Emerging Tech
In my book ‘The Return of War’, I argue that, in terms of force design and force structure diversity, we are in a period similar to the early 17th century—when legacy systems were still needed to shore up brittle emerging...
Ukraine Schedules Election, Peace Referendum Under US Deadline
‚Ukraine has begun planning presidential elections alongside a referendum on any peace deal with Russia, after the Trump administration pressed Kyiv to hold both votes by May 15 or risk losing proposed US security guarantees.‘ https://t.co/a5qNMFn19n