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Harry Stebbings

Harry Stebbings

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20VC; early‑stage founder journeys, venture dynamics, tactical founder advice.

Recent Posts

Tech Titans, Mega Funding, and AI Disruption Weekly
Social•Dec 18, 2025

Tech Titans, Mega Funding, and AI Disruption Weekly

The only podcast you have to listen to every week. No politics. Just tech. - Will SpaceX IPO for $1.5TRN - Will Cursor Kill Figma - Lightspeed Raises $9BN - OpenAI: Disney’s $1BN Investment & New CRO Spotify 👉 https://t.co/kSlARc4lQP Youtube 👉 https://t.co/GUg2n68etS Apple Podcasts 👉 https://t.co/osOaTumZQS My 6 takeaways with @jasonlk and @rodriscoll👇 Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:19 Lightspeed's $9 Billion Fundraise 06:20 The Impact of Mega Funds on Seed VCs 11:28 The Supercycle of Growth and Late-Stage Investments 14:01 Disney Invests $1BN into OpenAI and What It Means 21:46 Oracle Hit Hard: Is Now the Time to Buy 27:23 Broadcom's Market Cap Drop and Anthropic's AI Chip Orders 34:40 Cursor Competes with Figma: The Convergence of Design & Coding Tools 47:02 The Biggest Danger for Incumbents: Being Maimed by AI 56:43 Boom Supersonic Raising $300M to… Power Data Centres… WTF 01:02:23 Will SpaceX IPO at $1.5TRN and The Elon Option Value 01:17:17 Would You Rather…

By Harry Stebbings
US Capitalists Prioritize Value, UK Chairs Chase Titles
Social•Dec 17, 2025

US Capitalists Prioritize Value, UK Chairs Chase Titles

American capitalists that care about value creation vs. UK chairmans who care about their career? Becoming knighted? The governance is f***** up on UK PLCs. If they do not bring @TSMonzo back they will lose the $5BN he gained for them.

By Harry Stebbings
New Entrants Lead Harmonic AI's Hot 25 Rankings
Social•Dec 16, 2025

New Entrants Lead Harmonic AI's Hot 25 Rankings

So @harmonic_ai just released their Hot 25 Report on the most in-demand early-stage companies. The top 3: @getserval Is the big new entry at #1 & have now announced a massive Series B at a valuation above $1BN 20VC portfolio company @peec_ai rises...

By Harry Stebbings
Venture Capital Crisis: Only AI Startups Matter Now
Social•Dec 16, 2025

Venture Capital Crisis: Only AI Startups Matter Now

Venture investors are going through an existential crisis. If you are not in the OpenAI, Anthropic, Cursor, Mercor etc etc you do not fricking matter.

By Harry Stebbings
Valley VC Win Rates Plunge Below 50% Amid Fierce Competition
Social•Dec 15, 2025

Valley VC Win Rates Plunge Below 50% Amid Fierce Competition

The amount of venture firms in the valley that have a win rate sub 50% right now is insane. Early stage valley is more competitive, frothy and crowded than ever.

By Harry Stebbings
Mega Funds Can Still Deliver 5
Social•Dec 15, 2025

Mega Funds Can Still Deliver 5

I think David George is one of the great growth investors today. But I also think some of the hardest and most pressing questions have not been asked. - How does a $5BN fund do a 5x? - Why invest $300M into Adam...

By Harry Stebbings
Private Status Shields Firms From Stock Volatility
Social•Dec 15, 2025

Private Status Shields Firms From Stock Volatility

What is the biggest advantage for companies to stay private today? @DavidGeorge83 " The biggest advantage is the avoidance of volatility in your stock price and employee management. If you can steadily grow or control your stock price in the private...

By Harry Stebbings
A16z's David George on the Most Controversial Bet at A16z & Do Margins and Revenue Matter in AI?
Video•Dec 15, 2025

A16z's David George on the Most Controversial Bet at A16z & Do Margins and Revenue Matter in AI?

David George, a general partner at Andreessen Horowitz, opened the conversation by framing a16z’s most controversial bet: that a $1 billion growth fund can outperform smaller vehicles. He highlighted the firm’s track record—Databricks delivering 7×, Coinbase 5×, and a roster that...

By Harry Stebbings
Fuse Energy Skyrockets 10x Yearly, Europe's Hidden Powerhouse
Social•Dec 15, 2025

Fuse Energy Skyrockets 10x Yearly, Europe's Hidden Powerhouse

Fuse Energy is the most under the radar company in Europe. Every year, the company has 10x revenue. First Year: £2M Second Year: £20M Third Year: £200M @alanchanguk is one of the great founders of our time. 🔥 20VC to come...

By Harry Stebbings
Fear of Competition Kills Deals; Break Rules for Greatness
Social•Dec 14, 2025

Fear of Competition Kills Deals; Break Rules for Greatness

Three years ago I made one of the biggest investing mistakes of my life. We turned down the chance to invest in ElevenLabs. It was a $250K check at a $100M post. Today that would be 100x and would have...

By Harry Stebbings
Founders Prefer Fear of Losing Over Winning Thrill
Social•Dec 13, 2025

Founders Prefer Fear of Losing Over Winning Thrill

The best question to ask: What drives you more, the thrill of winning or the fear of losing? I have asked 100 of the best founders in the world this. 82 said the same thing.

By Harry Stebbings
Kieran Turned Down Seed Funding for ElevenLabs.
Social•Dec 12, 2025

Kieran Turned Down Seed Funding for ElevenLabs.

My face when @matiii reminds me @Kieranleehill turned down the seed for ElevenLabs…. 🤣 https://t.co/R0b3biSsor

By Harry Stebbings
VCs Win by Nurturing LP Relationships, Not Pitching
Social•Dec 11, 2025

VCs Win by Nurturing LP Relationships, Not Pitching

Every week I meet three new LPs. Even when I am not fundraising. And... I never ever sell 20VC to them. The single biggest reason VCs struggle fundraising: they do not build relationships in between funds. This is wrong. You...

By Harry Stebbings
Best Show Yet: SpaceX, Netflix, Massive Fundraises
Social•Dec 10, 2025

Best Show Yet: SpaceX, Netflix, Massive Fundraises

It is midnight and I am working on the final edit for the show tomorrow with @jasonlk @rodriscoll. Holy s***. By far the best show we have done. - SpaceX valued at $800BN - The BFD: Netflix Buys Warner Brothers - Harvey...

By Harry Stebbings
Enterprise AI Needs Full‑Service Implementation, Not Just a Sale
Social•Dec 10, 2025

Enterprise AI Needs Full‑Service Implementation, Not Just a Sale

Unpopular opinion: You cannot sell AI to large enterprises and expect usage and retention without an FDE model managing implementation and customisation. They will not buy and apply. The art is in implementation.

By Harry Stebbings
Listeners Love the Show, yet Few Value Targeted Content
Social•Dec 10, 2025

Listeners Love the Show, yet Few Value Targeted Content

I get 10+ LPs per day email me stating they listen and love our weekly show with @jasonlk and @rodriscoll. Continues to amaze me how few truly see the strategic value of targeted content.

By Harry Stebbings
What Makes Alfred Lin Such a Great Investor
Video•Dec 9, 2025

What Makes Alfred Lin Such a Great Investor

The video spotlights Alfred Lin, a partner at Sequoia Capital, and dissects the unconventional traits that set him apart from the stereotypical venture capitalist. Rather than relying on sweeping, simplistic maxims—"great team wins" or "focus on margins"—Lin offers nuanced, data‑driven...

By Harry Stebbings
Rivalry Fuels Market Growth and Regulatory Breakthroughs
Social•Dec 9, 2025

Rivalry Fuels Market Growth and Regulatory Breakthroughs

How @Polymarket @shayne_coplan Made @Kalshi @mansourtarek_ Raise Their Game: " An industry truly becomes an industry when there's a rivalry. Without Polymarket, we wouldn't have pushed our marketing and pushed our product as hard. Without us, they wouldn't have pushed their marketing and...

By Harry Stebbings
Lead Investors Must Commit >50% or Appear Uncommitted
Social•Dec 9, 2025

Lead Investors Must Commit >50% or Appear Uncommitted

Investors, when you put down a term sheet as a lead for the round and you only commit to 50% or less of the round, you are just showing a lack of commitment. That simple. Be bold.

By Harry Stebbings
Pre‑seed Investors Should Match Founders with Right‑stage VCs
Social•Dec 9, 2025

Pre‑seed Investors Should Match Founders with Right‑stage VCs

A role of a pre-seed investor is to guide your founders to VCs that are most likely to do the deal. Throwing them into Sequoia, Accel and Index too early is like throwing SBF into the compliance team, shouting “good...

By Harry Stebbings
Alfred’s Contrarian Nuance Keeps Founders Grounded
Social•Dec 9, 2025

Alfred’s Contrarian Nuance Keeps Founders Grounded

What Makes @Alfred_Lin @sequoia So Good?  "Alfred is a very unique investor in many dimensions 1. He's not the type of investor to make strong, simplistic statements. Alfred's answer to everything is very nuanced, uninteresting and uninspiring. But it tends to be the...

By Harry Stebbings
Growth Requires Simultaneous Product and Brand Building
Social•Dec 8, 2025

Growth Requires Simultaneous Product and Brand Building

What is @mansourtarek_ biggest execution regret in how he scaled @Kalshi? "I was too product-driven for too long. I was always like ... it needs to grow really fast organically. Then we do more marketing and build a brand. I actually...

By Harry Stebbings
Early $7M Bet Turns $10M in Six Months
Social•Dec 8, 2025

Early $7M Bet Turns $10M in Six Months

After 27 mins of interviewing @awxjack on 20VC, I asked in the middle of the show if I could invest in @airwallex. I invested $7M. Today, Jack announced Lee Fixel and Addition, one of the best in the world, have led...

By Harry Stebbings
Eric and Karim Master Founder Brand Storytelling
Social•Dec 8, 2025

Eric and Karim Master Founder Brand Storytelling

Which founder brand does @mansourtarek_ @Kalshi respect more than any other? "@eglyman @karimatiyeh have done a very good job at building a story and brand around the founders the team and how the company has come to be. I am learning...

By Harry Stebbings
Kalshi's $1B Funding Fuels Prediction Market Revolution
Social•Dec 8, 2025

Kalshi's $1B Funding Fuels Prediction Market Revolution

Kalshi is one of the fastest growing companies on the planet. Last week: - Raised $1BN at $11BN valuation - Partnered with CNN and CNBC This is Tarek’s only interview post this news. - How Polymarket made @Kalshi better? - Is Kalshi just sports betting with...

By Harry Stebbings
Venture Landscape Shifts: Valuations, AI Winners, New Capital Stack
Social•Dec 7, 2025

Venture Landscape Shifts: Valuations, AI Winners, New Capital Stack

Venture is changing faster than ever. If you are not up to date, you will fall behind. Coming soon next Wednesday 👇 - What’s really happening to valuations - How AI euphoria is reshaping winners and losers - The new capital stack every founder and...

By Harry Stebbings
Collaborative Checks on Mega Platforms Drive Venture Success
Social•Dec 7, 2025

Collaborative Checks on Mega Platforms Drive Venture Success

If you have a mega platform Write super collaborative checks You will absolutely crush the next decade in venture. Distribution matters. 😉

By Harry Stebbings
Meta's Acquisition of Scale Criticized over Structure and Potential Write-Down
Deals•Sep 7, 2025

Meta's Acquisition of Scale Criticized over Structure and Potential Write-Down

The newsletter discusses Meta's acquisition of Scale, noting concerns about talent fallout, questionable asset fit, and a deal structure involving approximately $14BN in distributed cash that could lead to a future write-down for Meta.

Harry Stebbings
Melio Sells for $2.5B After Growing to $153M ARR
Deals•Jul 6, 2025

Melio Sells for $2.5B After Growing to $153M ARR

Melio, a SaaS payments company with $153M ARR and 127% YoY growth, was sold for approximately $2.5 billion, reflecting roughly a 16x revenue multiple. The transaction outcome was discussed as a disappointing valuation for similar high-growth portfolio companies.

Harry Stebbings
Yuri Milner Invested $100M Into Airwallex at $1.1B Valuation
Deals•Jun 1, 2025

Yuri Milner Invested $100M Into Airwallex at $1.1B Valuation

Airwallex received a $100M investment from Yuri Milner at a reported $1.1B valuation, recounted by CEO Jack Zhang on the 20VC podcast. The anecdote highlights a rapid, high-conviction check after a brief personal conversation.

Harry Stebbings

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