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Jack Farley

Jack Farley

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Financial journalist/host; macro, markets, policy

War Risks Trigger Oil, Food Shocks and Stagflation
Social•Mar 13, 2026

War Risks Trigger Oil, Food Shocks and Stagflation

If this war lasts much longer, it's not just an oil shock that could destabilize the economy. Food too. "We are facing a risk of stagflation" - @JosephEStiglitz Apple🔊https://t.co/7Ewtn8N1AT Spotify📽️https://t.co/3AKmC9yw2d YouTube📽️https://t.co/yR3j6zbCrB https://t.co/hYJLSPL2uF

By Jack Farley
Wolf: Oil Price Nightmare Unlikely; Iran Regime Change Implausible
Social•Mar 13, 2026

Wolf: Oil Price Nightmare Unlikely; Iran Regime Change Implausible

OUT NOW - @martinwolf_ on "nightmare scenario" for oil prices and why the democratic regime change in Iran is "extremely implausible" 🇮🇷 Apple🔊https://t.co/YIUZqmamAH Spotify📽️https://t.co/TIAT3VANJk YouTube📽️https://t.co/unzLSGazzM https://t.co/MQl4DAj8d0

By Jack Farley
Stiglitz Warns War‑driven Price Spikes and AI Bubble
Social•Mar 11, 2026

Stiglitz Warns War‑driven Price Spikes and AI Bubble

OUT NOW - how @JosephEStiglitz sees it: - higher oil & food prices and "Economic Chaos" are serious risks of U.S.-Iran War - "significant probability" AI is in a bubble Apple https://t.co/7Ewtn8N1AT Spotify https://t.co/3AKmC9yw2d YouTube https://t.co/yR3j6zbCrB 1/3 https://t.co/7fTyMMYBkK

By Jack Farley
Top Economist Warns Imminent Oil Shock and Stagflation
Social•Mar 11, 2026

Top Economist Warns Imminent Oil Shock and Stagflation

Interview coming out very soon with legendary economist (by some objective measures he is #1 economist of all time) He has severe concerns about an oil shock & stagflation

By Jack Farley
Iran Says Current Oil Disruption 4‑20× Worse than Past Crises
Social•Mar 10, 2026

Iran Says Current Oil Disruption 4‑20× Worse than Past Crises

Foreign Minister of Iran claiming current oil disruption is 4-20x more severe than previous oil crises https://t.co/33VOGTSEeb

By Jack Farley
Oil and LNG Traffic Through Hormuz Appears Minimal
Social•Mar 10, 2026

Oil and LNG Traffic Through Hormuz Appears Minimal

Doesn't seem like there's a lot of Oil/LNG moving through the Strait of Hormuz at all https://t.co/5QrGSihDEA

By Jack Farley
2026 Risk Assets Outlook: Bonds, China Stocks Shine
Social•Mar 9, 2026

2026 Risk Assets Outlook: Bonds, China Stocks Shine

OUT NOW - Michael Howell @crossbordercap on: - why he expects 2026 to be bad for risk assets - why he's bullish bonds & Chinese stocks - Gold, Bitcoin, & yield curve, and "Turbulence" phase of Liquidity cycle Apple🔊https://t.co/7bjoJLeYdJ Spotify📽️https://t.co/plpNPVQicu https://t.co/1mD9VJPm5e

By Jack Farley
Word Choice Reveals Bias: “Die” Vs “Killed”
Social•Mar 9, 2026

Word Choice Reveals Bias: “Die” Vs “Killed”

What’s with this framing? Lebanese people “die” but Israelis are “killed” — what’s the deal with the selective word choice here?

By Jack Farley
Greek Gunslinger Halts 94% of Petrochemical Traffic
Social•Mar 9, 2026

Greek Gunslinger Halts 94% of Petrochemical Traffic

One Greek Gunslinger does not make a global petrochemical supply chain... 94% of traffic is shut

By Jack Farley
Oil Price Spikes $40 in a Week; Panic Insufficient
Social•Mar 9, 2026

Oil Price Spikes $40 in a Week; Panic Insufficient

People aren’t freaking out enough The situation is not under control Price of oil up 40 bucks in a week

By Jack Farley
Prometheus Macro Impresses; Aahan Delivers Real Quant Success
Social•Feb 13, 2026

Prometheus Macro Impresses; Aahan Delivers Real Quant Success

This is extremely impressive. Congrats to @prometheusmacro and the clients who are using its models If you are looking for Quant Macro That Actually Works, Aahan is your guy

By Jack Farley
EXPD Faces Biggest Sell‑Off Since 1998 Crisis
Social•Feb 12, 2026

EXPD Faces Biggest Sell‑Off Since 1998 Crisis

Worst sell-off in this logistics/tech company since 1998 (LTCM & Russian Debt Crisis) $EXPD Bigger than Tariffs, March 2020, 2008. AI Fears https://t.co/pSckCN9oYm

By Jack Farley
Gold Lacks Earnings; Overvalued Compared to Commodities
Social•Feb 12, 2026

Gold Lacks Earnings; Overvalued Compared to Commodities

I managed the largest gold fund in USA. Here's the truth: Stocks have "babies" (earnings). Gold has NO babies. 🍼 Gold's at historic extreme vs. oil/soybeans. You're crazy if you think gold's gonna outperform inflation - @BergMilton https://t.co/bNqmCOVYCt https://t.co/7NJ9NoBZCx

By Jack Farley
Refineries Drowning in Silver Scrap, Bearish Outlook
Social•Feb 11, 2026

Refineries Drowning in Silver Scrap, Bearish Outlook

Why @BergMilton is bearish silver: refineries are OVERWHELMED with silver scrap, EVEN MORE than in 2011 (prior speculative peak). Well sourced from "largest smelter in New York" Apple🔊https://t.co/bNqmCOVqMV Spotify📽️https://t.co/mnN6Dn02hi https://t.co/ng04tObLMG

By Jack Farley
Climax Top Signals Bear Market for Precious Metals
Social•Feb 10, 2026

Climax Top Signals Bear Market for Precious Metals

OUT NOW - @BergMilton on: - clear sign of "climax top" in gold & silver - why he expects a precious metals bear market - S&P 500, Bitcoin, Software + Korean stocks & more Apple🔊https://t.co/bNqmCOVqMV Spotify📽️https://t.co/mnN6Dn02hi 1/3 https://t.co/U3F0Pxojhy

By Jack Farley
AI Threatens S&P's Analytics, Not Its Core Ratings
Social•Feb 10, 2026

AI Threatens S&P's Analytics, Not Its Core Ratings

About 65% of $SPGI's (down >20% over past month) pre-tax earnings come from ratings & indices. The potential challenge that AI poses to S&P's analytics/consulting/intel business is something I get. But I don't understand AI's bear case for ratings & indices,...

By Jack Farley

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