Jan Rosenow

Jan Rosenow

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Director at RAP; expert in energy efficiency, buildings, heat pumps; EU/UK policy

Shift Focus From Fossil Replacements to True Decarbonisation
SocialApr 11, 2026

Shift Focus From Fossil Replacements to True Decarbonisation

The wrong question is dominating the energy crisis debate. Every interview starts the same: where do we find replacement fossil fuels and what happens to prices? In this BBC interview I push back. This is the moment to talk about escaping fossil fuel...

By Jan Rosenow
Optimism Persists: Overlooked Opportunities in Energy Transition
SocialApr 10, 2026

Optimism Persists: Overlooked Opportunities in Energy Transition

When it comes to the energy transition I'm a glass half full person. I know: plenty of people would say that's naive. They point to the scale of the challenge. They point to vested interests. They point to hard-to-abate sectors. They're not...

By Jan Rosenow
World's Largest Sand‑Based Heat Battery to Decarbonise Finland
SocialApr 10, 2026

World's Largest Sand‑Based Heat Battery to Decarbonise Finland

Heat batteries are a game changer for decarbonising heat. Polar Night Energy and Lahti Energia Oy have partnered to construct what is expected to become the world’s largest sand-based thermal energy storage system, to be built in Vääksy, Finland. https://t.co/vDUn27Tawr https://t.co/sm8e5BJTH9

By Jan Rosenow
EV Sales Surge: 12.7M in 2025, China Leads
SocialApr 9, 2026

EV Sales Surge: 12.7M in 2025, China Leads

12.7 million battery electric vehicles were sold globally in 2025. In 2010, the number was barely 10,000. In China, 1 in 2 new cars sold last year was electric. The transition is happening faster than almost anyone predicted. https://t.co/KW4OCjedid

By Jan Rosenow
Energy Security Demands Clean Energy, Not Temporary Relief
SocialApr 9, 2026

Energy Security Demands Clean Energy, Not Temporary Relief

Spoke to @trtworld last night on the Hormuz crisis. Relief ≠ resolution. Oil and gas still much above pre-war levels, 172M barrels stranded, and Iran cementing control of the Strait. The clearest lesson: energy security = clean energy. https://t.co/rbUxk8iIdl

By Jan Rosenow
Heat Pumps Eclipse Gas Boilers in Germany, 2025
SocialApr 9, 2026

Heat Pumps Eclipse Gas Boilers in Germany, 2025

For the first time ever, heat pumps outsold gas boilers in Germany in 2025. 48% of all new heating systems installed last year were heat pumps. Gas fell to just 39%. A decade ago, heat pumps had a 7% market share....

By Jan Rosenow
Industrial Heat Pumps Scale Up for Real-World Deployment
SocialApr 9, 2026

Industrial Heat Pumps Scale Up for Real-World Deployment

Industrial heat pumps are one of the most underrated technologies in the energy transition. They work. They scale. And they’re finally moving from demonstration to deployment. Here’s a 95t heat pump component just traveled l by river to reach BASF’s...

By Jan Rosenow
Uruguay Boosts Renewables to 99% in a Decade
SocialApr 8, 2026

Uruguay Boosts Renewables to 99% in a Decade

Uruguay generates nearly 43% of its electricity from wind and solar. In 2010, the share was less than 1%. Most of the rest if hydro. Today, Uruguay produces nearly 99% of its electricity from renewable sources. More here https://t.co/QyMDvrfjXT https://t.co/ILDqriuoAk

By Jan Rosenow
Lebanon's Grid Collapse Fuels Solar Boom
SocialApr 7, 2026

Lebanon's Grid Collapse Fuels Solar Boom

Lebanon is one of the most surprising clean energy stories in the world. Solar went from <1% of electricity in 2020 to nearly 30% by 2024. Not because of policy - because the state grid collapsed and people installed rooftop solar out...

By Jan Rosenow
Rising Energy Costs Accelerate Electrification, Punish Slow Movers
SocialApr 7, 2026

Rising Energy Costs Accelerate Electrification, Punish Slow Movers

Higher energy costs strengthen the business case for electrification and efficiency. History shows crises accelerate the transition. Companies most at risk are those that were slow to act. My comments in @Top1000Funds https://t.co/3KbHsAORIu https://t.co/tJlb60RW1a

By Jan Rosenow
Tiny Solar Panels Together Drive Energy Transition
SocialApr 2, 2026

Tiny Solar Panels Together Drive Energy Transition

"While individual systems are small, their aggregate impact is becoming meaningful, both in terms of distributed generation and consumer engagement in the energy transition." I told @newscientist when asked what I made of plug-in solar or 'balcony solar' as the...

By Jan Rosenow
Rising Fuel Costs Accelerate Shift From Legacy Automakers
SocialApr 2, 2026

Rising Fuel Costs Accelerate Shift From Legacy Automakers

“As fuel prices rise, the economics become harder to ignore. Payback periods shorten, accelerating decisions already under way. This is where pressure builds on legacy carmakers.” https://t.co/byrC3NEEpi

By Jan Rosenow
European LNG Imports Are Far From Clean, Emissions Underreported
SocialApr 1, 2026

European LNG Imports Are Far From Clean, Emissions Underreported

The LNG we import in Europe is far from clean. Visible methane plumes at US gas sites rated “grade A” resulting in much higher upstream emissions. Auditors don’t measure emissions — they review operator data that studies show is massively understated....

By Jan Rosenow
Crises Spike Fossil Prices; Clean Energy Is Essential Hedge
SocialApr 1, 2026

Crises Spike Fossil Prices; Clean Energy Is Essential Hedge

Spoke to @AJEnglish on Iran war & energy. Crises always drive up fossil fuel prices. That's not a bug but a feature of dependence. The only hedge against this kind of disruption is the clean energy transition. The economic case just got...

By Jan Rosenow
Hungary Beats Global Solar Targets, Hits 27% Power
SocialMar 31, 2026

Hungary Beats Global Solar Targets, Hits 27% Power

Hungary has highest solar share of any country in the world - 27% of electricity from solar in 2025, up from just 2% in 2018. In August 2024, solar hit 37% of monthly generation. Now >8 GW of installed capacity - a...

By Jan Rosenow
China’s Electrification Shields It From Rising Oil Prices
SocialMar 31, 2026

China’s Electrification Shields It From Rising Oil Prices

China's electrification bet is paying off. Electricity now accounts for 30% of its energy consumption - around 50% higher than the US or Europe. With 1/3 of global renewable energy capacity already installed, China is structurally more insulated from rising oil...

By Jan Rosenow
Climate Crisis Ignored Yet Still Our Greatest Threat
SocialMar 29, 2026

Climate Crisis Ignored Yet Still Our Greatest Threat

Climate has almost disappeared from our conversation. But it remains the most pressing challenge of our times. Last week the WMO said the planet is “more out of balance than at any time in observed history.” Energy security and climate security are...

By Jan Rosenow
Grid‑scale Li‑ion Capacity Set to Surge to 1 TW By
SocialMar 27, 2026

Grid‑scale Li‑ion Capacity Set to Surge to 1 TW By

The first grid-scale Li-ion battery was connected to the grid in 2012. It was 5 MW. Today, 267,000 MW have been deployed globally. By 2030 it could be 800,000–1,200,000 MW. https://t.co/2GoL8W6Rsx

By Jan Rosenow
Norway's Path: From Petrostate to Electrostate
SocialMar 27, 2026

Norway's Path: From Petrostate to Electrostate

📣 From petrostate to electrostate? Our new paper 👇 Norway has some of the most ambitious climate commitments in the world. It also has one of the most powerful petroleum sectors. But how can we escape fossil fuel lock in? https://t.co/r1tkIgaJ2r https://t.co/5HCFLHJ5by

By Jan Rosenow
Nepal's EV Sales Soar to 75% as ICE Imports Crash
SocialMar 26, 2026

Nepal's EV Sales Soar to 75% as ICE Imports Crash

Nepal's EV revolution in one chart. In 2019, EVs were 1% of new car sales. By 2024: 75%+ While ICE imports collapsed from 10,000+ to ~3,500 units, EV imports surged to nearly 12,000. https://t.co/kzReqJZt2l

By Jan Rosenow
Pakistan's Solar Share Soars to 25% in Ten Years
SocialMar 26, 2026

Pakistan's Solar Share Soars to 25% in Ten Years

Pakistan's solar revolution: from 0% to 25% in a decade. 2021: 4% 2022: 7% 2023: 10% 2024: 14% 2025: 25% Solar is now Pakistan's #1 electricity source. Not driven by policy — driven by consumers. https://t.co/2Ha6oSG2AR

By Jan Rosenow
Wind and Solar Power Remain Stable Amid Fossil Price Swings
SocialMar 26, 2026

Wind and Solar Power Remain Stable Amid Fossil Price Swings

"Electricity generated from wind and solar is largely insulated from fossil fuel price volatility – once built, the fuel is free." This is what I told @dharnanoor @guardian who published this article. https://t.co/JmVkEskvVq https://t.co/gP1IeOkWVK

By Jan Rosenow
Heat Pump Owners Report High Satisfaction Across Canadian Winters
SocialMar 26, 2026

Heat Pump Owners Report High Satisfaction Across Canadian Winters

Time and time again surveys of heat pump owners show that the vast majority of people are happy with their heat pump. Here's data from Canada, a place known for its very warm winters. https://t.co/WzjQtktaUm https://t.co/rhY5uEnzZQ

By Jan Rosenow
Chile's Renewable Revolution: Wind & Solar Outpace Fossils
SocialMar 26, 2026

Chile's Renewable Revolution: Wind & Solar Outpace Fossils

In just over a decade, Chile went from no utility-scale wind or solar to more electricity from these sources than from all fossil fuels combined. 2000: wind+solar 0%, fossil fuels 45% 2025: wind+solar 36%, fossil fuels 28% https://t.co/sL9Igdp0rP

By Jan Rosenow
Germany’s Renewables Shatter 1993 4% Forecast
SocialMar 25, 2026

Germany’s Renewables Shatter 1993 4% Forecast

Incumbent German electricity suppliers said in 1993 that renewables could not provide more than 4% of electricity in the long run. In 2025, renewables provided 55.9% of Germany's electricity — 14 times the predicted ceiling. https://t.co/Nvkaob9qaQ

By Jan Rosenow
Middle East Conflict Will Drive Long-Term Energy Price Surge
SocialMar 24, 2026

Middle East Conflict Will Drive Long-Term Energy Price Surge

Why the war in the Middle East will have long term impacts on energy prices and our energy security. I talked to TRT World last night. https://t.co/Tia1QYZDBJ

By Jan Rosenow
UK New Homes Still Rely on Gas Over Heat Pumps
SocialMar 24, 2026

UK New Homes Still Rely on Gas Over Heat Pumps

"It is outrageous that people will be buying homes that are expensively heated with gas when we have perfectly good technology – heat pumps – that can be installed instead." My comments @theguardian.com new homes in the UK still using...

By Jan Rosenow
Iran War's Energy Crisis Claim Hinges on Incomparable Data
SocialMar 23, 2026

Iran War's Energy Crisis Claim Hinges on Incomparable Data

The IEA's Fatih Birol has called the 2026 Iran war the greatest energy security crisis in history. The numbers behind that claim are stark. These figures are striking but they are not directly comparable. Here is why. 🧵 https://t.co/oplTLequPN

By Jan Rosenow
Current Energy Shock Dwarfs 1970s Crises
SocialMar 23, 2026

Current Energy Shock Dwarfs 1970s Crises

I don’t think we have understood yet how serious this crisis is. IEA’s Fatih Birol: ~5 mb/d lost in each of the 1970s oil shocks; ~75 bcm gas after Russia’s 2022 invasion. Now: ~11 mb/d oil and ~140 bcm gas disrupted. https://t.co/6G8leH3lHR https://t.co/ESkY9LyQjx

By Jan Rosenow
Spain's Power Prices Rarely Linked to Gas, Unlike UK/Italy
SocialMar 22, 2026

Spain's Power Prices Rarely Linked to Gas, Unlike UK/Italy

Gas only sets Spain's electricity price 15% of the time. When gas costs spike it barely registers on the electricity bill. In countries like Italy and the UK gas sets the price 90% of the time. The difference is enormous. I...

By Jan Rosenow
Impending LNG Shortage Highlights Energy Security Risks
SocialMar 22, 2026

Impending LNG Shortage Highlights Energy Security Risks

The last LNG tankers from the Gulf arrive in the next 10 days. After that, many countries face a sharp drop in supply. Qatar's Ras Laffan — 20% of global LNG — could be offline for 3-5 years. Fossil fuel...

By Jan Rosenow
Energy Rationing Looms; Only Alternatives and Efficiency End Crisis
SocialMar 21, 2026

Energy Rationing Looms; Only Alternatives and Efficiency End Crisis

Will we see rationing of oil and gas? It's now very possible. Past crises show ~10% of energy can be saved through conservation short-term. But the only lasting solution: switch to alternatives and dramatically improve energy efficiency. I spoke to LBC about this...

By Jan Rosenow
Hormuz Crisis Highlights Need to End Fossil Reliance
SocialMar 20, 2026

Hormuz Crisis Highlights Need to End Fossil Reliance

Just spoke to @AlJazeera about the Strait of Hormuz energy crisis. Damage to production facilities will take years to repair, further price spikes likely. Govts can subsidise bills short-term but the only lasting fix is ending fossil fuel dependence. https://t.co/0G9SMxLqKm

By Jan Rosenow
Iran War Fuels Asian Surge in EV Demand
SocialMar 20, 2026

Iran War Fuels Asian Surge in EV Demand

The energy crisis caused by the war in Iran is strengthening the case for electric vehicles. The oil price shock drives EV demand in Asia. https://t.co/5yRSoiCS6O https://t.co/aKMZB28ruw

By Jan Rosenow
North Sea Drilling Isn’t Solution to Fuel Price Shocks
SocialMar 20, 2026

North Sea Drilling Isn’t Solution to Fuel Price Shocks

Every time there’s a fuel price shock, the same calls emerge: drill the North Sea. New @UKERCHQ analysis cuts through the noise and explains why this argument doesn’t hold up. https://t.co/HHL1mSGAjZ https://t.co/dfPeJ4JL3x

By Jan Rosenow
Energy Crises Stem From Demand; Electrify with Clean Power
SocialMar 19, 2026

Energy Crises Stem From Demand; Electrify with Clean Power

I just told @BBCNews: Energy crises are fundamentally demand problems, not supply problems. 80% of our energy is fossil fuels, much of it imported, leaving us exposed to price spikes. The only long-term fix: electrify the economy with clean power. https://t.co/1toyJn6PUM

By Jan Rosenow
Heat Pumps and EVs Dominate; Hydrogen Left Behind
SocialMar 19, 2026

Heat Pumps and EVs Dominate; Hydrogen Left Behind

Two technologies that competed for the future of heating and transport. The race is over. In 2025, 19m heat pumps were sold globally. Hydrogen-ready boilers: 237 units. The picture in transport is identical. 21m EVs were sold last year. Hydrogen fuel cell...

By Jan Rosenow
Spain's Renewables Shield Power Prices From Gas Shocks
SocialMar 19, 2026

Spain's Renewables Shield Power Prices From Gas Shocks

Spain's renewables build-out has structurally decoupled its electricity prices from gas markets. Gas now sets the price in only 15% of hours, compared to 90% in Italy. Countries that invested early in clean power are far less exposed to...

By Jan Rosenow
European Gas Prices Double in Four Weeks, Exposing Fossil Dependence
SocialMar 19, 2026

European Gas Prices Double in Four Weeks, Exposing Fossil Dependence

European natural gas prices keep on rising and have now more than doubled )+134%) in just four weeks from €29/MWh on 17 February to €67/MWh today. Geopolitical tensions and wars always drive up gas prices. Not a bug in the system....

By Jan Rosenow
UK Power Mix Flips: Renewables Now Dominate, Coal Gone
SocialMar 18, 2026

UK Power Mix Flips: Renewables Now Dominate, Coal Gone

When I started working on UK energy in 2007, fossil fuels provided ~78% of electricity. Coal alone: 34%. Wind & solar: less than 2%. Today: wind & solar 33%, fossil fuels 28%, coal 0%. The chart below tells the story better...

By Jan Rosenow
US Spends $1 Bn to Scrap Wind, Fund Gas
SocialMar 18, 2026

US Spends $1 Bn to Scrap Wind, Fund Gas

The US is reportedly preparing to pay nearly $1bn to TotalEnergies for cancelling two offshore wind leases. Not to build clean energy. To cancel it — with TotalEnergies committing to gas infrastructure in Texas instead. As @MegaWattXinfo put it: "Ideology is expensive."...

By Jan Rosenow
Europe Swapped Russian Gas for LNG, Still Vulnerable
SocialMar 18, 2026

Europe Swapped Russian Gas for LNG, Still Vulnerable

Europe's LNG imports have gone from 3% of gas supply in 1990 to nearly 50% today. We replaced Russian pipeline gas with LNG at record speed. But we replaced one dependency with another. That's why Europe is so exposed. Answer is transforming demand...

By Jan Rosenow
EVs Cost Half as Much as Petrol Cars Now
SocialMar 18, 2026

EVs Cost Half as Much as Petrol Cars Now

NEW ANALYSIS: Electric cars are expected to be far cheaper to drive during the coming energy crises. In these times of high oil prices, driving a petrol car in Europe is expected to cost around €140 per month, compared to €65...

By Jan Rosenow
Heating Oil Prices Near $4, Spiking From Middle East Tensions
SocialMar 18, 2026

Heating Oil Prices Near $4, Spiking From Middle East Tensions

If you heat with oil you are exposed to sky-high heating oil prices. US heating oil futures are near $4 per gallon and prices have almost doubled since February, driven by escalating disruption linked to the war in Iran and...

By Jan Rosenow
North Sea Drilling Saves Pennies; Renewables Could Save Hundreds
SocialMar 17, 2026

North Sea Drilling Saves Pennies; Renewables Could Save Hundreds

NEW ANALYSIS: North Sea “drill baby drill” would cut bills by just £16–£82 per year, and only if tax revenues are redistributed. A fully renewable UK could save households up to £441 says @TheSmithSchool https://t.co/c0kut9thNb

By Jan Rosenow
Nordics Slash Heating Fossil Fuel Use Through Early Electrification
SocialMar 17, 2026

Nordics Slash Heating Fossil Fuel Use Through Early Electrification

The Nordics understood early on that fossil fuel dependency comes with a price: price volatility. They moved full speed ahead on electrification of heat starting decades ago. Today fossil fuel use for heating has dramatically fallen. https://t.co/aFYP7K8RAg https://t.co/k1Gz1747qb

By Jan Rosenow
Heat Pumps Vital, but UK Installations Need Improvement
SocialMar 16, 2026

Heat Pumps Vital, but UK Installations Need Improvement

Heat pumps are a key lever to become independent from fossil fuel imports. I'm quoted in this piece by @KarlMathiesen @politico on what installing a heat pump in the UK is actually like for consumers. TL;DR: There is some room for...

By Jan Rosenow
Renewables, Batteries, EVs Boost Nations' Energy Crisis Resilience
SocialMar 16, 2026

Renewables, Batteries, EVs Boost Nations' Energy Crisis Resilience

Some countries are better positioned to weather this energy crisis than they would have been just a few years ago. That's because of the rapid growth of renewable energy, battery systems and electric vehicles. NPR interviewed me for this excellent piece:...

By Jan Rosenow
Europe Spent €800bn on Fossil Subsidies; Clean Energy Needed
SocialMar 15, 2026

Europe Spent €800bn on Fossil Subsidies; Clean Energy Needed

Here we are again. In 2022–23 Europe spent €800bn subsidising fossil fuels to keep energy bills down. Imported fossil fuels mean volatile prices. The real solution is not new suppliers but a shift to clean energy. https://t.co/c6n2Q03PO1

By Jan Rosenow