Joe Kunkle

Joe Kunkle

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Options strategist; U.S. equities options flow, setups, and leading stock ideas.

Massive TLT Call Surge Signals Need for Bond Strength
SocialMar 16, 2026

Massive TLT Call Surge Signals Need for Bond Strength

Treasury (TLT) early big buying June $84 calls 7000X for $3M, need to see Bonds hold up for stocks to stabilize

By Joe Kunkle
Methanex Surges 9% as Buyers Snap up $65 Calls
SocialMar 12, 2026

Methanex Surges 9% as Buyers Snap up $65 Calls

Methanex (MEOH) up over 9% now with buyers 2850 April $65 calls $2.10 to $2.45 The research works .. https://t.co/MV0sW89wl4

By Joe Kunkle
Industry Flow Boosts Mosaic Calls, Buying Momentum
SocialMar 12, 2026

Industry Flow Boosts Mosaic Calls, Buying Momentum

Mosaic (MOS) 9100 April $37.5 calls buy 1.05 as these names keep going The power of industry-wide flow trends

By Joe Kunkle
USO's IV30 Spikes 15%, Contrary to Expectations
SocialMar 12, 2026

USO's IV30 Spikes 15%, Contrary to Expectations

$USO leads everything today in IV30 rise, +15%, the exact opposite of what we want to see

By Joe Kunkle
Private Credit, Not AI, Holds the Real Risk
SocialMar 11, 2026

Private Credit, Not AI, Holds the Real Risk

5 Months ago....and seeing it play out well with OWL puts and plenty of other exposed names

By Joe Kunkle
Iran's Navy Resurfaces Like a Starfish After Supposed Elimination
SocialMar 11, 2026

Iran's Navy Resurfaces Like a Starfish After Supposed Elimination

Iran's Navy must be like a Starfish We were told last week it was entirely eliminated, yet reappeared

By Joe Kunkle
Massive IGV Put Purchase Signals Bearish Outlook
SocialMar 10, 2026

Massive IGV Put Purchase Signals Bearish Outlook

Software (IGV) buyer 40,000 August $80 puts $5.40 Oh god, what is Claude about to do next

By Joe Kunkle
BKLN Put Spread Purchase Signals Credit Concern
SocialMar 10, 2026

BKLN Put Spread Purchase Signals Credit Concern

Senior Loans ETF (BKLN) buyer 7500 Oct. 19/16 put spreads, been a play on credit worries

By Joe Kunkle
Interpretations Differ; AI Can’t Replace Human Foresight.
SocialMar 6, 2026

Interpretations Differ; AI Can’t Replace Human Foresight.

Everyone can read things differently, and not sure AI can replace foresight ever Example, on Tuesday, was being told IGV strength was a sign bullish for markets I felt the exact opposite, never like seeing laggards lead https://t.co/bugtKCRjaC

By Joe Kunkle
MRVL Close Call Spreads Jump 80%
SocialMar 6, 2026

MRVL Close Call Spreads Jump 80%

Members MRVL - Close Call Spreads 5.40, +80%, pretty good pick in this mess ha

By Joe Kunkle
SPY Plummets Amid Weak Breadth, Labor Cracks, Iran Tension
SocialMar 6, 2026

SPY Plummets Amid Weak Breadth, Labor Cracks, Iran Tension

SPY getting crushed taking out yesterday lows, as noted yesterday, worst breadth seen in a long-time and warned of more cracks likely in the labor market which we saw today, also felt nobody wanted to hold this market into the...

By Joe Kunkle
ES_F Weekly Hits 1.618 Extension, AVWAP at 6460
SocialMar 5, 2026

ES_F Weekly Hits 1.618 Extension, AVWAP at 6460

$ES_F bigger picture, weekly, still amazing topped right at the 1.618 extension, the 1.382 sits at lower value edge now, 6682.5, below that it gets real thin back to 6125 with AVWAP off 2025 low at 6460 important too https://t.co/dOkIMQUPwK

By Joe Kunkle
Software Stocks Surge on Insider Buys and Double Earnings Play
SocialMar 5, 2026

Software Stocks Surge on Insider Buys and Double Earnings Play

CRM big push in Software today as well, call fly earnings play now more than a double, seeing a lot of these names rally with insider buys, buybacks into the Software is Dead move

By Joe Kunkle
Bond Volatility Bet Hurts Markets, Boosts TW MK
SocialMar 5, 2026

Bond Volatility Bet Hurts Markets, Boosts TW MK

Treasury (TLT) buyer 5000 December $89 straddles expecting bond volatility, tends to be bad for markets, good for TW MKTX

By Joe Kunkle
SPS Commerce Trades Cheap, Unusual Call Spread Amid Sale Push
SocialMar 4, 2026

SPS Commerce Trades Cheap, Unusual Call Spread Amid Sale Push

I'll do this one public...always liked this Co. and is wildly cheap at these levels... Unusual Call Spread in High Quality Software Player at Record Cheap Valuation with Limited AI Disruption Risk SPS Commerce $SPSC with an interesting trade of 3/3 as...

By Joe Kunkle
Bond Volatility Stocks TW, MKTX Signal Market Trouble
SocialMar 3, 2026

Bond Volatility Stocks TW, MKTX Signal Market Trouble

Bond Volatility winners $TW $MKTX also always a good market hedge / indicator of trouble coming

By Joe Kunkle
CBOE Strength Breakouts Signal Upcoming Market Weakness
SocialMar 3, 2026

CBOE Strength Breakouts Signal Upcoming Market Weakness

An interesting study for someone good with that kind of thing... Chart $CBOE relative strength breakouts vs. the market as an inflection point to market trends Seems CBOE showing rel. strength tends to always precede market weakness as options volumes surge

By Joe Kunkle
Overnight Gaps Drive Gains
SocialMar 3, 2026

Overnight Gaps Drive Gains

Remember that chart of how most all stock gains came from overnight sessions Be funny if 2026 is the gap them down overnight, buy them up regular session market

By Joe Kunkle
ZD Sells Unit to ACN for $1.2B Cash
SocialMar 3, 2026

ZD Sells Unit to ACN for $1.2B Cash

$ZD with a $1.5B market cap sold a unit to $ACN for $1.2B cash this morning

By Joe Kunkle
War‑favored
SocialMar 2, 2026

War‑favored

Seeing all the gap higher open war-favorite groups fade here, classic sell the news action

By Joe Kunkle
Nvidia Sees $335M June $150 Call Surge, March 160 Adjusts
SocialMar 2, 2026

Nvidia Sees $335M June $150 Call Surge, March 160 Adjusts

Nvidia (NVDA) with $335M of June $150 ITM calls bought as big March 160 position adjusts

By Joe Kunkle
SHLD Surges to 80 on ETF Buy, Iran Strike Signal
SocialMar 2, 2026

SHLD Surges to 80 on ETF Buy, Iran Strike Signal

$SHLD hit 80 this morning, last week's ETF buy...and another options flow signal that a strike on Iran was imminent https://t.co/X4FCStX2RJ

By Joe Kunkle
AmEx Buying Holds Steady Amid White‑
SocialFeb 27, 2026

AmEx Buying Holds Steady Amid White‑

$AXP put buying staying constant Hammered this week on the idea that the end of white collar knowledge workers disrupts its card user spending https://t.co/Cd5J3HA4N4

By Joe Kunkle
AAOI Surge: $85 Calls Spike as AI Component Play
SocialFeb 27, 2026

AAOI Surge: $85 Calls Spike as AI Component Play

Applied Opto (AAOI) seeing 880 June $85 calls bought $1.5M with stock up 45% on results, a top components play for a while now on the AI buildout Piece I wrote last Aug. https://t.co/WYy1BykzGw

By Joe Kunkle
April Short Puts Signal Bearish Pressure on KKR, ARES
SocialFeb 27, 2026

April Short Puts Signal Bearish Pressure on KKR, ARES

$KKR $ARES starting to see some April opening short puts Need that group to stabilize, was my first red signal a few weeks ago

By Joe Kunkle
ARLO, FIGS Lead 2026 Small Caps Surge
SocialFeb 27, 2026

ARLO, FIGS Lead 2026 Small Caps Surge

ARLO and FIGS two top 2026 small caps that hit today, saw about 70 names up over 6% yesterday on that list

By Joe Kunkle
SPY Holds AVWAP Support From November Lows
SocialFeb 27, 2026

SPY Holds AVWAP Support From November Lows

SPY early hold of that AVWAP from Nov. lows which has consistently been support in 2026

By Joe Kunkle
Money Market Surge, Equity Inflows Cool, Break
SocialFeb 27, 2026

Money Market Surge, Equity Inflows Cool, Break

Equity Inflows cooling Money Market inflows surge NAAIM lowest since May 2025 AAII Bull-Bear very tight spread Finally seeing some key elements needed in order to break the chop and have incremental buyers Been noting since Dec. that it would be hard for markets to...

By Joe Kunkle
PAYX Leads AI-Driven HCM Shift, March‑April Puts Stall
SocialFeb 27, 2026

PAYX Leads AI-Driven HCM Shift, March‑April Puts Stall

$PAYX was one of the earliest poster childs for AI replacing HCM Some Mar. and Apr. puts holding still https://t.co/hKo3OHuqOM

By Joe Kunkle
CRM Hits Highs, Calls Surge Like WDAY
SocialFeb 26, 2026

CRM Hits Highs, Calls Surge Like WDAY

$CRM highs, call fly trade up big and similar to WDAY gets a positive reaction

By Joe Kunkle
Co‑Packaged Optics Dominate Top Winners This Year
SocialFeb 25, 2026

Co‑Packaged Optics Dominate Top Winners This Year

Just keeps going $FORM Seeing this Co-Packaged Optics discussed across a bunch of big winners this year https://t.co/sosRLrP3tq

By Joe Kunkle
ECG Soars 26% to Fresh All‑Time High
SocialFeb 25, 2026

ECG Soars 26% to Fresh All‑Time High

$ECG monster move today, a favorite small cap wrote on last year, up 26% to new highs

By Joe Kunkle
Trump's AI Restrictions Could Trigger Massive Political Reshuffle
SocialFeb 24, 2026

Trump's AI Restrictions Could Trigger Massive Political Reshuffle

Just a thought...but tomorrow could feature some absolute wild reshuffling rotations if Trump even hints at limiting AI

By Joe Kunkle
Massive Late‑Day Nvidia $
SocialFeb 23, 2026

Massive Late‑Day Nvidia $

Nvidia (NVDA) late day buyer over 20,000 March $205 calls $4.60 to $4.70 Sheesh, what are they going to say

By Joe Kunkle
S&P Global Hits Lows; Cheap
SocialFeb 23, 2026

S&P Global Hits Lows; Cheap

S&P Global (SPGI) back to lows seeing 1000 April $370 puts buy $6.99 Likely a guy releasing a vibe-coded credit ratings system

By Joe Kunkle
RingCentral's Agentic Voice AI Fuels Explosive Growth
SocialFeb 22, 2026

RingCentral's Agentic Voice AI Fuels Explosive Growth

$RNG has always claimed to be an eventual AI winner, stock soared 35% on results on Friday, back near 2023 and 2024 highs for a Software name Agentic voice AI is transforming business communications, with RingCentral positioned as a leader in...

By Joe Kunkle
AI Connectivity Group Ends Week on Fire
SocialFeb 20, 2026

AI Connectivity Group Ends Week on Fire

TTMI, GLW, COHR, LITE, CIEN, FN AI connectivity group stays super hot to close the week

By Joe Kunkle
GE Call Spreads Double, Extra Time Boosts Returns
SocialFeb 20, 2026

GE Call Spreads Double, Extra Time Boosts Returns

$GE Feb 330/350 call spreads from earnings snapshots now near $13 from $7, often pays to give extra time when playing a high quality name

By Joe Kunkle
HG Delivers Strong Results and Special Dividend
SocialFeb 19, 2026

HG Delivers Strong Results and Special Dividend

$HG been a nice newer issue in Financials, just announced results and special divvy https://t.co/1as8xwX6bo

By Joe Kunkle
Herbalife Stands Strong, Remains AI‑Proof Since November
SocialFeb 18, 2026

Herbalife Stands Strong, Remains AI‑Proof Since November

Herbalife $HLF apparently is AI-proof Nice move since 11/20 when they came hard for calls and it continues https://t.co/G7vt2JRhuJ

By Joe Kunkle
Markets Mirror Trump’s Shifting Policy Narratives
SocialFeb 18, 2026

Markets Mirror Trump’s Shifting Policy Narratives

You just have to respect markets and the games they play Trump first term: Public is all about long Energy, short Solar.... Solar stocks go on an epic run Trump 2nd term: Tariffs going to crush International economies.... International stocks just thrashing...

By Joe Kunkle
AAP Soars Post‑Earnings as Call Buyer Adjusts
SocialFeb 13, 2026

AAP Soars Post‑Earnings as Call Buyer Adjusts

$AAP ripping on earnings as call buyer been adjusting and right for weeks here https://t.co/NDM9mXOd3k

By Joe Kunkle