Joe Kunkle

Joe Kunkle

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Options strategist; U.S. equities options flow, setups, and leading stock ideas.

Focus on 8/21 MA Crosses, Ignore Gamma Levels
SocialMar 26, 2026

Focus on 8/21 MA Crosses, Ignore Gamma Levels

People will spend so much time over-analyzing and thinking things like Gamma levels are important, yet we break below them and snap back, break above them and fade back under...it is chop chop chop Meanwhile, just look at how simple... 8/21...

By Joe Kunkle
Corcept $50 Puts Surge $13/Min Before Halt
SocialMar 25, 2026

Corcept $50 Puts Surge $13/Min Before Halt

Corcept (CORT) 700 May $50 puts selling to open $13 a minute ahead of the halt SEC: https://t.co/g4LgvLustp

By Joe Kunkle
Tern M&A Negotiations with Merck Need Better Valuation
SocialMar 25, 2026

Tern M&A Negotiations with Merck Need Better Valuation

$TERN M&A talks with $MRK Lot of upside positioning in it been highlighting, but need to see a stronger price tag https://t.co/MLOShQGHyF

By Joe Kunkle
Software Slides 10% After AVWAP Resistance Bounce
SocialMar 24, 2026

Software Slides 10% After AVWAP Resistance Bounce

Software ugly today, bounce to AVWAP off Nov. lows was seen as resistance and down a quick 10% from there

By Joe Kunkle
Fade 8‑MA Bounces After SPY Bear Cross at 690
SocialMar 23, 2026

Fade 8‑MA Bounces After SPY Bear Cross at 690

$SPY - Sound like a broken record, but really comes down to simplicity, 8/21 bear cross back at 690, and ever since you just fade the falling 8-MA bounces

By Joe Kunkle
Top Asset Manager CEO Urges Investors to Stay Put
SocialMar 23, 2026

Top Asset Manager CEO Urges Investors to Stay Put

In a shocking development, the CEO of the World's largest asset manager thinks you should stay invested https://t.co/QXsYbE1Uoa

By Joe Kunkle
SPY Hits AVWAP Low; Barron Trump Touted Trillionaire
SocialMar 23, 2026

SPY Hits AVWAP Low; Barron Trump Touted Trillionaire

$SPY AVWAP off 2025 low...unreal right where TACO happened Barron Trump going to be a trillionaire https://t.co/DMZg9WZPEh

By Joe Kunkle
Small‑cap Star Delivers 1,670% 10‑year Return
SocialMar 21, 2026

Small‑cap Star Delivers 1,670% 10‑year Return

It's time to revisit the case of a small cap star that has returned +1670% over the last 10 years and operating stronger than ever... post coming on premium feed

By Joe Kunkle
QQQ Trades 7 Points Above AVWAP Target
SocialMar 21, 2026

QQQ Trades 7 Points Above AVWAP Target

$QQQ A/H 7 points right off the potential main target Friday, that AVWAP from 2025 lows been highlighting (pink line) https://t.co/8ll74fb0fg

By Joe Kunkle
USO Call Butterflies Signal Strong Oil Upside
SocialMar 20, 2026

USO Call Butterflies Signal Strong Oil Upside

USO trades in January and March 2028 are actually call butterflies today as 125/185/245 seeing plenty of upside for Oil

By Joe Kunkle
Iran's Stunning Landscapes Hidden Behind Oppressive Regime
SocialMar 20, 2026

Iran's Stunning Landscapes Hidden Behind Oppressive Regime

For some reason, always pictured Iran as a pile of sand But actually, scenic as heck and probably be awesome area to explore if the Gov't was not so batshit crazy https://t.co/SsjjuWd6xj

By Joe Kunkle
Iran's Military Might Profit From US Market Swings
SocialMar 19, 2026

Iran's Military Might Profit From US Market Swings

Is it crazy to think Iran military could prob. be funded by them just trading US markets and releasing headlines on X, because I refuse to believe it can't, market so whippy in this geopolitical environment

By Joe Kunkle
YPF
SocialMar 19, 2026

YPF

YPF now seeing buyers 3500 May $42 calls for $3.15 to $3.20, nice run already from last week write up https://t.co/4fVGR5BExA

By Joe Kunkle
Trump Delays Gas Price Surge Until Hockey Season Ends
SocialMar 19, 2026

Trump Delays Gas Price Surge Until Hockey Season Ends

I do appreciate Trump waiting to send gas prices to the moon until after Hockey travel season ended

By Joe Kunkle
Massive UCO Call Purchase Signals $300 Gas Surge
SocialMar 19, 2026

Massive UCO Call Purchase Signals $300 Gas Surge

Ultra Crude (UCO) buyer 1000 October $55 calls $9.80 to $10.50 Oh boy... $300 tank fill up incoming

By Joe Kunkle
Investors Bet on Biofuels Amid Sky‑High Gas Prices
SocialMar 17, 2026

Investors Bet on Biofuels Amid Sky‑High Gas Prices

Call positioning continues across the full spectrum of Biofuel names w/ gasoline prices sky high and 45Z tax credits in focus ADM BG DAR FF GPRE ANDE Could see junky plays GEVO AMTX run as well

By Joe Kunkle
Complex Monte Carlo Loses to Kids' Mascot Strategy
SocialMar 17, 2026

Complex Monte Carlo Loses to Kids' Mascot Strategy

Me running bracket simulations with Monte Carlo using 17 variables....likely to lose to my 7 and 10 year old using a Mascot Strategy

By Joe Kunkle
SPY Turns Constructive, Hits Target Above 200‑MA
SocialMar 17, 2026

SPY Turns Constructive, Hits Target Above 200‑MA

$SPY getting a bit more constructive this week Sentiment washed out a bit Hit my 660 target nicely and basing type price-action above a rising 200-MA as NYMO hit extreme oversold Warned of the bearish RSI divergence into highs earlier this year, that...

By Joe Kunkle
Mastercard Invests $1.8B, Acquires BVNK to Boost Stablecoins
SocialMar 17, 2026

Mastercard Invests $1.8B, Acquires BVNK to Boost Stablecoins

$MA spending $1.8B for a bigger push into Stablecoins... acquires BVNK, a stablecoin infrastructure company $CRCL

By Joe Kunkle
Massive Nvidia Put Sales Signal Market Panic
SocialMar 16, 2026

Massive Nvidia Put Sales Signal Market Panic

Yes, this is why boatloads of $NVDA puts were sold to open this morning And yes, all the other options flow sites thought they bought https://t.co/6AWLqSDvRH

By Joe Kunkle
Massive TLT Call Surge Signals Need for Bond Strength
SocialMar 16, 2026

Massive TLT Call Surge Signals Need for Bond Strength

Treasury (TLT) early big buying June $84 calls 7000X for $3M, need to see Bonds hold up for stocks to stabilize

By Joe Kunkle
Methanex Surges 9% as Buyers Snap up $65 Calls
SocialMar 12, 2026

Methanex Surges 9% as Buyers Snap up $65 Calls

Methanex (MEOH) up over 9% now with buyers 2850 April $65 calls $2.10 to $2.45 The research works .. https://t.co/MV0sW89wl4

By Joe Kunkle
Industry Flow Boosts Mosaic Calls, Buying Momentum
SocialMar 12, 2026

Industry Flow Boosts Mosaic Calls, Buying Momentum

Mosaic (MOS) 9100 April $37.5 calls buy 1.05 as these names keep going The power of industry-wide flow trends

By Joe Kunkle
USO's IV30 Spikes 15%, Contrary to Expectations
SocialMar 12, 2026

USO's IV30 Spikes 15%, Contrary to Expectations

$USO leads everything today in IV30 rise, +15%, the exact opposite of what we want to see

By Joe Kunkle
Private Credit, Not AI, Holds the Real Risk
SocialMar 11, 2026

Private Credit, Not AI, Holds the Real Risk

5 Months ago....and seeing it play out well with OWL puts and plenty of other exposed names

By Joe Kunkle
Iran's Navy Resurfaces Like a Starfish After Supposed Elimination
SocialMar 11, 2026

Iran's Navy Resurfaces Like a Starfish After Supposed Elimination

Iran's Navy must be like a Starfish We were told last week it was entirely eliminated, yet reappeared

By Joe Kunkle
Massive IGV Put Purchase Signals Bearish Outlook
SocialMar 10, 2026

Massive IGV Put Purchase Signals Bearish Outlook

Software (IGV) buyer 40,000 August $80 puts $5.40 Oh god, what is Claude about to do next

By Joe Kunkle
BKLN Put Spread Purchase Signals Credit Concern
SocialMar 10, 2026

BKLN Put Spread Purchase Signals Credit Concern

Senior Loans ETF (BKLN) buyer 7500 Oct. 19/16 put spreads, been a play on credit worries

By Joe Kunkle
Interpretations Differ; AI Can’t Replace Human Foresight.
SocialMar 6, 2026

Interpretations Differ; AI Can’t Replace Human Foresight.

Everyone can read things differently, and not sure AI can replace foresight ever Example, on Tuesday, was being told IGV strength was a sign bullish for markets I felt the exact opposite, never like seeing laggards lead https://t.co/bugtKCRjaC

By Joe Kunkle
MRVL Close Call Spreads Jump 80%
SocialMar 6, 2026

MRVL Close Call Spreads Jump 80%

Members MRVL - Close Call Spreads 5.40, +80%, pretty good pick in this mess ha

By Joe Kunkle
SPY Plummets Amid Weak Breadth, Labor Cracks, Iran Tension
SocialMar 6, 2026

SPY Plummets Amid Weak Breadth, Labor Cracks, Iran Tension

SPY getting crushed taking out yesterday lows, as noted yesterday, worst breadth seen in a long-time and warned of more cracks likely in the labor market which we saw today, also felt nobody wanted to hold this market into the...

By Joe Kunkle
ES_F Weekly Hits 1.618 Extension, AVWAP at 6460
SocialMar 5, 2026

ES_F Weekly Hits 1.618 Extension, AVWAP at 6460

$ES_F bigger picture, weekly, still amazing topped right at the 1.618 extension, the 1.382 sits at lower value edge now, 6682.5, below that it gets real thin back to 6125 with AVWAP off 2025 low at 6460 important too https://t.co/dOkIMQUPwK

By Joe Kunkle
Software Stocks Surge on Insider Buys and Double Earnings Play
SocialMar 5, 2026

Software Stocks Surge on Insider Buys and Double Earnings Play

CRM big push in Software today as well, call fly earnings play now more than a double, seeing a lot of these names rally with insider buys, buybacks into the Software is Dead move

By Joe Kunkle
Bond Volatility Bet Hurts Markets, Boosts TW MK
SocialMar 5, 2026

Bond Volatility Bet Hurts Markets, Boosts TW MK

Treasury (TLT) buyer 5000 December $89 straddles expecting bond volatility, tends to be bad for markets, good for TW MKTX

By Joe Kunkle
SPS Commerce Trades Cheap, Unusual Call Spread Amid Sale Push
SocialMar 4, 2026

SPS Commerce Trades Cheap, Unusual Call Spread Amid Sale Push

I'll do this one public...always liked this Co. and is wildly cheap at these levels... Unusual Call Spread in High Quality Software Player at Record Cheap Valuation with Limited AI Disruption Risk SPS Commerce $SPSC with an interesting trade of 3/3 as...

By Joe Kunkle
Bond Volatility Stocks TW, MKTX Signal Market Trouble
SocialMar 3, 2026

Bond Volatility Stocks TW, MKTX Signal Market Trouble

Bond Volatility winners $TW $MKTX also always a good market hedge / indicator of trouble coming

By Joe Kunkle
CBOE Strength Breakouts Signal Upcoming Market Weakness
SocialMar 3, 2026

CBOE Strength Breakouts Signal Upcoming Market Weakness

An interesting study for someone good with that kind of thing... Chart $CBOE relative strength breakouts vs. the market as an inflection point to market trends Seems CBOE showing rel. strength tends to always precede market weakness as options volumes surge

By Joe Kunkle
Overnight Gaps Drive Gains
SocialMar 3, 2026

Overnight Gaps Drive Gains

Remember that chart of how most all stock gains came from overnight sessions Be funny if 2026 is the gap them down overnight, buy them up regular session market

By Joe Kunkle
ZD Sells Unit to ACN for $1.2B Cash
SocialMar 3, 2026

ZD Sells Unit to ACN for $1.2B Cash

$ZD with a $1.5B market cap sold a unit to $ACN for $1.2B cash this morning

By Joe Kunkle
War‑favored
SocialMar 2, 2026

War‑favored

Seeing all the gap higher open war-favorite groups fade here, classic sell the news action

By Joe Kunkle
Nvidia Sees $335M June $150 Call Surge, March 160 Adjusts
SocialMar 2, 2026

Nvidia Sees $335M June $150 Call Surge, March 160 Adjusts

Nvidia (NVDA) with $335M of June $150 ITM calls bought as big March 160 position adjusts

By Joe Kunkle
SHLD Surges to 80 on ETF Buy, Iran Strike Signal
SocialMar 2, 2026

SHLD Surges to 80 on ETF Buy, Iran Strike Signal

$SHLD hit 80 this morning, last week's ETF buy...and another options flow signal that a strike on Iran was imminent https://t.co/X4FCStX2RJ

By Joe Kunkle
AmEx Buying Holds Steady Amid White‑
SocialFeb 27, 2026

AmEx Buying Holds Steady Amid White‑

$AXP put buying staying constant Hammered this week on the idea that the end of white collar knowledge workers disrupts its card user spending https://t.co/Cd5J3HA4N4

By Joe Kunkle
AAOI Surge: $85 Calls Spike as AI Component Play
SocialFeb 27, 2026

AAOI Surge: $85 Calls Spike as AI Component Play

Applied Opto (AAOI) seeing 880 June $85 calls bought $1.5M with stock up 45% on results, a top components play for a while now on the AI buildout Piece I wrote last Aug. https://t.co/WYy1BykzGw

By Joe Kunkle
April Short Puts Signal Bearish Pressure on KKR, ARES
SocialFeb 27, 2026

April Short Puts Signal Bearish Pressure on KKR, ARES

$KKR $ARES starting to see some April opening short puts Need that group to stabilize, was my first red signal a few weeks ago

By Joe Kunkle
ARLO, FIGS Lead 2026 Small Caps Surge
SocialFeb 27, 2026

ARLO, FIGS Lead 2026 Small Caps Surge

ARLO and FIGS two top 2026 small caps that hit today, saw about 70 names up over 6% yesterday on that list

By Joe Kunkle
SPY Holds AVWAP Support From November Lows
SocialFeb 27, 2026

SPY Holds AVWAP Support From November Lows

SPY early hold of that AVWAP from Nov. lows which has consistently been support in 2026

By Joe Kunkle
Money Market Surge, Equity Inflows Cool, Break
SocialFeb 27, 2026

Money Market Surge, Equity Inflows Cool, Break

Equity Inflows cooling Money Market inflows surge NAAIM lowest since May 2025 AAII Bull-Bear very tight spread Finally seeing some key elements needed in order to break the chop and have incremental buyers Been noting since Dec. that it would be hard for markets to...

By Joe Kunkle
PAYX Leads AI-Driven HCM Shift, March‑April Puts Stall
SocialFeb 27, 2026

PAYX Leads AI-Driven HCM Shift, March‑April Puts Stall

$PAYX was one of the earliest poster childs for AI replacing HCM Some Mar. and Apr. puts holding still https://t.co/hKo3OHuqOM

By Joe Kunkle