U.S. Adjusts Petroleum Use After 1974 Arab Embargo
U.S. PETROLEUM supply and consumption and changes in response to the Arab oil embargo in the first quarter of 1974 (estimates taken from the report on Emergency Preparedness for Interruption of Petroleum Imports into the United States published by the National Petroleum Council in September 1974):
July Brent Front-Month Sets Path to Wartime High
BRENT’s futures contract for July has replaced June as the front-month, temporarily reducing headline oil prices, but the trend remains upward as the prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz causes oil supplies to tighten. In a strongly backwardated market,...
OPEC's Market Share Halves, Drives OPEC+ Collaboration
OPEC members accounted for about one-third of global petroleum production in 2024 down from a peak of about one-half at the time of the first oil shock in 1973. The organisation’s declining market share explains the increasing importance it has...
U.S. Economy Cuts Per‑Capita Oil Use 30% Since 1978
U.S. ECONOMY has become much less oil-intensive following the oil shocks of 1973/74 and 1979/80. Consumption per person has declined by almost 30% compared with the peak in 1978: https://t.co/lFMjjJ7yJ8
Diplomacy Stalls, Investors Hold Off on Bullish Oil Bets
U.S./Iran diplomacy makes funds wary of adding bullish oil positions Investors made no significant changes to their positions across crude oil and refined fuels last week as indirect diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran continued but appeared to make...
1950s View: Coal, Oil, Nuclear Shaping Energy Transition
Coal, oil, nuclear and energy transitions - perspective from the mid-1950s. Extract from "ECE the First Ten Years" published by the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (ECE) in 1957: https://t.co/xjjuqV0Lsa
Mild Winter Averted Gas Price Spike Amid Hormuz Closure
Northern hemisphere’s mild winter averted worse gas crisis Global gas prices would have surged much higher as a result of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz if last winter had not been among the warmest on record across the northern...
Oil Lobby Pressures EU to Water Down Arctic Drilling Opposition
EUROPEAN UNION lobbied by oil and gas producers to dilute opposition to Arctic drilling: https://t.co/qk47QfscKc
US‑Iran Conflict Triggers LPG Shortage Across India
INDIA’s homes and restaurants hit by LPG shortage as a result of U.S.-Iran war: https://t.co/dzqx7u7PLP
China and India Lift Global Airline Share to 19%
CHINA and INDIA are both experiencing rapid growth in the number of airline passengers as household incomes rise. The number of passengers carried increased by an average of 7% each year in China and 8% in India between 2010 and...
Oil Shocks Pivoted UK From Fuel‑oil Heating
U.K. PETROLEUM consumption from 1870 to 2024, showing the impact of the oil shocks in 1973/74 and 1979/80 in changing the trajectory of oil consumption, primarily through phasing out the use of fuel oil for electricity generation as well as...
Funds Dump Brent as US‑Iran Talks Spur Price Dip Expectations
Brent sees fund sales as diplomacy intensifies Investors realised profits from bullish long positions and started to accumulate bearish short ones last week, anticipating a further fall in Brent prices as the United States and Iran conducted face-to-face talks to find...
Singapore Jet Fuel Doubles, Squeezing Un‑hedged Airlines
SINGAPORE jet fuel prices have doubled to an average around $166 per barrel so far in April compared with $82 in January. Fuel is one of the three largest costs for passenger airlines (together with crew labour and capital) so...
US Diesel Prices Surge Post‑Iran War to 87th Percentile
U.S. RETAIL DIESEL prices including applicable taxes have averaged $5.61 per gallon so far this month up from $3.72 in February before the outbreak of the war with Iran and $3.52 in January. Inflation-adjusted prices have surged into the 87th...
Mild Winter Triggers US Gas Price Plunge
U.S. gas prices plunge after exceptionally mild end to winter U.S. gas futures prices have slumped after the warmest end to winter for more than 15 years caused storage injections to begin earlier than normal, with the threat storage space would...
US Petroleum Exports Rise as Refined Product Shipments Surge
U.S. PETROLEUM EXPORTS accelerated by 0.6 million barrels per day (b/d) in March compared with the same month a year earlier as the war between the United States and Iran triggered a worldwide scramble for replacement crude and fuels. Crude...
17th‑Century London’s Coal Dependence Fueled Social Unrest
London’s Coal Supply in the 17th Century – A Case Study in Energy Security By the early seventeenth century, coal had replaced wood as the main fuel used in London and other towns in southeast England for domestic heating as well...
Forties Crude Hits Record $147, Supply Squeeze Persists
NORTH SEA FORTIES crude prices closed at a record $147 per barrel on April 9. Forties is one of the principal streams in the Brent complex and prices have doubled since before the war between the United States and Iran...
Fund Managers Cut Dutch TTF Gas Bullish Stance
INVESTMENT MANAGERS trimmed their bullish position in Europe’s benchmark Dutch TTF gas contract last week for the first time since the war between the United States and Iran started. Fund managers sold the equivalent of 14 terawatt-hours (TWh) of futures...
Delta to Slash Routes, Hike Fees Amid Fuel Surge
DELTA AIR LINES plans to cut routes and raise charges to recoup higher fuel costs: https://t.co/3BUCmFXcYF
Pipeline Attack Exposes Ceasefire Fragility and Oil Risk
SAUDI ARABIA's East-West pipeline attacked - underscoring fragility of ceasefire and threat to oil supplies without a durable end to hostilities: https://t.co/aWAqTMRNY7
Brent Futures Hit Record Backwardation Amid US‑Iran Tensions
Brent (physical and futures) still pricing for a short war Brent prices have surged into a record backwardation as the United States and Iran threaten to escalate their conflict by attacking energy infrastructure on both sides of the Persian Gulf. In the...
Brent Bulls Bet on Escalation, Buying 22M Barrels
Brent bulls focus on escalation not mediation Investors remain exceptionally bullish about the outlook for Brent as prices grind higher and the United States and Iran show no indication of ending the conflict that has slowed exports from the Persian Gulf...
Australian Coal Prices Surge 30% as Asia Shifts From Gas
AUSTRALIA’s coal export prices have risen by around 25-30% compared with the start of the year. Front-month Newcastle coal futures have averaged $137 per tonne so far in April up from $108 in January. Electricity generators across South and East...
China to Curb Gas Power, Replace LNG with Coal, Renewables
China’s exposure to the loss of Middle East LNG China will likely reduce its liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports in response to the loss of supplies from the Middle East and higher spot prices mostly by curbing gas-fired power generation and...
US Manufacturing Expands Moderately, ISM Index Hits 52.7
U.S. MANUFACTURERS reported a moderate expansion of business activity for the third month running in March. The Institute for Supply Management’s manufacturing index edged up to 52.7 (50th percentile for all months since 2000). The index has been above the...
US Oil Output Stays Flat Despite War‑Driven Price Surge
U.S. oil production after the war ends U.S. oil production is unlikely to rise much as a result of the war with Iran and closure of the Strait of Hormuz unless the interruption of oil supplies and rise in prices proves...
King Charles' Washington State Visit Sparks Anticipated Debate
Plenty to talk about when King Charles goes to Washington for a state visit next month: https://t.co/ZAB8zSFGx3
U.S. Gas Prices Stay Low, Unaffected by Middle East Conflict
U.S. gas market insulated from war in the Middle East U.S. gas inventories are on course to finish the winter close to the average for the time of year, which has sent futures prices back below $3 per million British thermal...
US Gas Futures Drop Below $3, Boosting Clean Generation
U.S. GAS FUTURESprices for the front-month have slipped well below $3 per million British thermal units to encourage more gas-fired generation and reduce coal combustion. Inflation-adjusted front-month futures have averaged just $3.05 so far in March (21st percentile for all...
Middle East Jet Fuel Shipments to Europe Nearing Depletion
JET FUEL from Middle East to Europe set to dry up as last cargoes arrive: https://t.co/EBGhhiM04W
Brent Bulls Trim Positions Amid Hints of Negotiations
Wartime Brent bulls only slightly deflected by talk about talks Investors trimmed bullish positions in Brent slightly early last week after the U.S. government paused plans to attack Iran’s electricity generation plants and announced it was making progress in negotiations to...
Jet Fuel Prices Double, Asian Markets Hit Hard
JET FUEL prices have more than doubled since the onset of the war between the United States, Israel and Iran. Jet fuel swaps in Singapore are trading at more than $200 per barrel up from just over $90 before the...
LNG Shortfall Threatens Global Gas‑Fired Power Generation
Gas-fired generation will be squeezed by LNG shortfall Global gas-fired electricity generation is likely to be among the hardest hit sectors following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the loss of production as a result of damage to two...
Pre‑pandemic Train Reads: Edinburgh‑Bought Journey Companion
Railway reading for a journey on the train …originally purchased in Edinburgh before the pandemic https://t.co/F3J480eTBg
Pennsylvania's Energy System: Emissions Overview and Future Path
PENNSYLVANIA'S ENERGY CROSSROADS - a briefing paper on the state's energy system and emissions: https://t.co/0PeHKbiekU
India's LPG Shortage Threatens Households Amid Hormuz Closure
India’s LPG crisis following closure of the Strait of Hormuz The war between the United States and Iran and closure of Strait of Hormuz has become a critical threat to the supply of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) India relies on for...
U.S. Diesel Hits $5.38/gal, 75th Percentile Since
U.S. RETAIL DIESEL prices including taxes climbed to an average of $5.38 per gallon on March 23 up from $5.07 a week earlier and $3.81 before the war started. Inflation-adjusted prices have averaged $4.80 so far this month (75th percentile...
Energy Security Now Outweighs Emissions, Raising Costs
Energy security will cost more Policymakers and consumers want energy to be reliable, affordable and sustainable, but there are trade-offs between these objectives, requiring prioritisation, a challenge often described as the “energy trilemma”. The relative emphasis attached to these objectives...
Hedge Funds Buy 120 BCF Gas, Still Below Historic Levels
HEDGE FUNDS and other money managers purchased the equivalent of 120 billion cubic feet (bcf) in the two major gas futures and options contracts based on prices at Henry Hub in Louisiana over the seven days ending on March 17....
Kharg Island Seizure Won’t Halt Iran’s Oil Exports
[MUST READ] Iran’s Kharg Island - U.S. seizure would not necessarily end exports or re-open the Strait: https://t.co/yRYH1g1UAM
Oil Prices Rise Modestly Despite Major Hormuz Disruption
Oil Prices and the Information War Global oil prices have risen surprisingly little given the war between the United States, Israel and Iran has triggered “the largest supply disruption in the history of the global oil market” according to the International...
US Gas Prices Unchanged as Europe, Asia Surge Dramatically
U.S./IRAN war is having a very different impact on gas prices in Europe and Asia compared with the United States. The conflict has had essentially no impact on domestic gas prices in the United States, which remains insulated from global...
Israel Defends Iran Gas Field Strike, Cites US Coordination
ISRAEL shrugs off criticism of attack on Iran's South Pars gas field - citing deep coordination with the United States: https://t.co/1CMmLeQHgy
US Signals De‑escalation Amid Gas‑site Strikes
UNITED STATES signals de-escalation after strikes on gas sites in Iran and Qatar threaten to send war into new and more damaging phase: https://t.co/M624CwIJgU
Gulf Coast Crude Imports Hit Six‑year High Amid Gulf Disruption
U.S. CRUDE OIL imports into the Gulf Coast (PADD 3) surged to the highest for almost six years last week as refiners and traders prepared for a possibly prolonged disruption of exports from the Persian Gulf. Crude imports into the...
Middle East Supplies 40% of 2024 Medium Crudes
GLOBAL OIL PRODUCTION – distribution by density and region. Middle East producers accounted for 31% of global crude output but 40% of medium crudes in 2024: https://t.co/ERNqgOPnnX
Gulf States Vow to Stop Iran Blocking Hormuz
GULF STATES want to ensure Iran can never again close the Strait of Hormuz and attack them: https://t.co/dxESxQ3EAf
US Refining Margins Nearly Double, 3‑2‑1 Crack Hits $40
U.S. REFINERS’ gross margin for transforming crude oil into gasoline and diesel has almost doubled since the start of the year as the war in the Middle East hits global fuel supplies even harder than crude oil availability. Stylised margins...
Weather Drove Horse‑bus Profits via Feed Costs
Britain's weather was the biggest single influence on prices and profitability for London's early horse-drawn buses because animal feed was their largest operating expense. Bad weather = bad harvest = expensive feed = low profits or losses https://t.co/SusLRj0nta