Funds Hold Strongest Corn Bullish Stance Since 2025
🌽Money managers as of March 17 held their most bullish position in CBOT corn fut & opt since late Feb. 2025, as more shorts were forced out of the market. That marked funds' 9th consecutive week as net corn buyers, their longest such streak since late 2020. https://t.co/UwQgxXsk7s
April's Above‑Average Rain May Delay Corn Planting
🌧️A wetter start to U.S. spring planting? The Climate Prediction Center favors an above-average precipitation scenario across the U.S. Corn Belt for April. Planting delays could result pending the timing/intensity. Typically, about 25-30% of U.S. corn is planted by April 30. https://t.co/96Z1EtnnTx
US Export Sales Flat; Wheat, Soybeans Miss Expectations
🇺🇸U.S. export sales were modest all around last week with wheat and soybeans falling below all expectations. The corn volume is a bit more normal for the week historically but somewhat underwhelming in the context of 2025/26's record pace. https://t.co/3LR2fLgFuR
Brazil Sends Delegation to China Over Soybean Sanitary Dispute
🇧🇷🇨🇳 Brazilian officials will head to China next week to discuss the ongoing sanitary issues with soybean exports. Brazil's minister said they have stepped up inspection efforts, yet he also said there has been no change in protocol. https://t.co/RrTP0clcZT
China‑US Summit Delayed, Soy Market Hopes Stall
🇺🇸🇨🇳Trump says they are "resetting" the meeting with China that was supposed to occur March 31-April 2. That's now been pushed 5-6 weeks out, putting it around April 21 - 28. Ag markets had been hoping the meeting would result in more...
Soy‑corn Ratio Hits Two‑month Low, Prompting Acreage Shift
📉The new-crop soybean-corn ratio has hit a two-month low (closer to corn-favoring territory), so will U.S. farmers go easier on the presumed corn ➡️ bean acreage switching? The 2022 ratio move didn't exactly buy corn acres. Fert prices are the obvious...
US‑China Talks Trigger Sharp Drop in May Soybeans
📉CBOT May soybeans have plunged the daily 70-cent trading limit after weekend U.S.-China talks - touted as successful - were viewed unfavorably (possible Trump-Xi meeting delay, mention of non-soybean row crop purchases). CBOT May bean oil was also limit down....
US Feb Soy Crush Hits Record, Beats Estimates
🇺🇸NOPA U.S. crush, Feb. 2026 ▪️208.785 mbu of soybeans ▪️Above all trade estimates (avg was 202.7 mbu) ▪️+17% YOY ▪️Record daily crush rate for any month ▪️Soyoil stocks 2.08 billion lbs ▪️At top end of estimates (avg was 1.928 bln) ▪️+38% YOY; 13yr high for Feb https://t.co/UKXjbnVbZ3
U.S. Soybean Exports Beat Forecast, 57% to China
🇺🇸Last week's U.S. corn export inspections land near the top of trade expectations and soybeans surpass them. 57% of the week's bean cargoes were destined for China. https://t.co/ttZsn3agHO
Soybean Outlook Dimmed as US‑China Talks Stall
Uncertainty returned to commodity markets on Sunday night and soybeans aren't happy with the latest US-China news. Not only may Trump delay his meeting w/ Xi, but the mention of China eyeing "non-soybean row crops" dampens hopes it will buy an...
Money Managers Snap up Corn, Fourth‑largest Weekly Buy
🌽HOLY. CORN. BUYING. Money managers in the week ended March 10 bought more than 140,000 CBOT corn futures & options contracts (the fourth most for any week on record). The resulting net long - 193,271 contracts - isn't even halfway to the...
Conab Slightly Lowers Crop Estimates, Boosts Soybean Export Forecast
🇧🇷Conab made very slight trims to its estimates for Brazil's 2025/26 soybean and corn crops. First-crop corn production went up, but that was offset by a reduction to the heavily-exported second crop. Projected soybean exports rose from last month. https://t.co/vXR8g5NOEG
Brazil Fears Tighter China Soybean Checks Amid Low Imports
🇧🇷Brazilian trade groups are concerned with the tightening of soybean inspections to China, potentially hampering the top exporters' shipments. Doesn't seem like great timing for China after its Jan-Feb imports hit 7-year lows. Now, Chinese meal futures have hit contract highs....
U.S. Used Cooking Oil Imports Collapse 82% YoY
📉U.S. UCO imports fell off a cliff to start 2026. U.S. imports of waste vegoils (including used cooking oil) dropped to a 3+ year low in January. Volumes were down 82% from January 2025 and no imports were recorded from China...
U.S. Forecasts 80% Chance of Late‑2026 El Niño
El Nino is coming in 2026. U.S. forecasters see El Nino arriving mid-year, placing 80%+ odds that it will be in place at the end of 2026. No other March forecast back to at least 2002 showed this strong of chances...
Japan Tops U.S. Corn Sales; China Leads Wheat Exports
🇺🇸Japan headlined U.S. corn sales last week, which were above average for the time of year despite falling well below top-end expectations. Mexico & Indonesia led soybean sales, activity from China was relatively low. But China led the week's wheat...
Cargill Halts Brazil Soybean Shipments to China Over New Inspections
🇧🇷Cargill has paused soybean exports from Brazil to China due to the implementation of stricter sanitary inspections at the request of the Chinese government. https://t.co/75cYy0TIFX
Soybeans Hit 11‑Session Overbought Streak, RSI 85
📈CBOT November soybeans pushed higher on Wednesday, ending at $11.63-1/4 per bushel and marking their 11th consecutive session in overbought territory (RSI of 70+). Relative strength index has reached 85. Last time new-crop bean RSI was 85+ in year of expiry?...
US Ethanol Production Surges, Inventories Hit Four‑year Low
🇺🇸U.S. ethanol production last week hit 1.126M barrels per day, the third best weekly volume on record. However, ethanol stocks declined on the week to 25.6M barrels, which is actually the week's lowest reading in four years. https://t.co/kJtuRESZcN
Corn Supplies Surpass Forecasts Amid Brazil, Ukraine Harvests
World corn stocks come in above expectations on larger crops in Brazil and Ukraine. Slight downward adjustment in wheat stocks and minimal movement in soybeans. Chinese soy/corn/wheat demand assumptions were unchanged. https://t.co/nknz514GTs
China's Jan‑Feb Soy Imports Hit 7‑year Low
🇨🇳China imported 12.55 million metric tons of soybeans in Jan-Feb, the smallest volume for the period in 7 years. The Brazilian harvest was slower, U.S. cargoes were still en route and customs clearing times were extended. Expectations for March are...
Markets Expect Stable Supply, South American Soybeans Lean
USDA's March WASDE is due at 11 am CDT on Tuesday. On average, the trade isn't looking for any significant supply changes at the U.S. or world level, but there is a downside lean to the soybean crop in South...
Trump Predicts Iran War Ending Soon, Critiques New Leader
President Trump just finished speaking on the Iran situation now. Here is a summary of his key comments. He says the war will end very soon (but not this week) and he is disappointed by the new supreme leader's appointment. Oil...
New‑crop Corn and Soy Near 2026 Annual Highs
🌽$4.98-1/2 per bu 🫛$11.72-1/2 per bu Will Monday's highs be the annual highs for new-crop corn & soybeans in 2026? Dec corn nearly hit $5, though the close was almost 17 cents off the session high (Nov beans closed ~24 cents off)....
Corn Poised for Rally as Funds Stay on Sidelines
📈Speculative bullishness across U.S. grain/oilseed futures is at a three-year high, but funds haven't even begun to tap the potential that lies in corn. Does this mark the start of a run-up in corn? What could be the limiting factors? I covered...
Corn and Soybeans Reach Record March High
📈New-crop CBOT corn & soybeans marked new annual highs on Friday, both surpassing the 2025 highs. But could even higher prices come beyond March? Dec corn hasn't set its annual high in March since 1999, soybeans haven't since 2004. https://t.co/gfh7zbFw5j
Iran Dispute Threatens US Farm Exports, Especially Olive Oil
🇺🇸🇪🇸USA & Spain are at odds over Iran, and Trump has floated a trade embargo. What could that mean for U.S. ag? On the import side, olive oil would be the biggest victim. USA exported a record $2.4B in farm goods...
Canada's Wheat Acreage Drops, Canola Planting Rises
🇨🇦Analysts see Canada's 2026 all wheat planted area falling 0.6 million acres on the year, but canola plantings are predicted to rise 0.7 million acres. Statistics Canada is scheduled to publish farmers' 2026 planting intentions on Thursday morning. https://t.co/LZBnDIiPS0
US Soybean Inspections Hit Record, 65% Headed to China
🇺🇸Last week's U.S. corn and soybean export inspections topped all estimates. 65% of the inspected bean volume was to China. https://t.co/pdWgCErVIi
Funds Snap up Record CBOT Wheat, Futures Rise 3%
📈Funds bought a massive amount of CBOT wheat in the week ended Feb. 24. Net buying neared 51,000 futures & options contracts, the third most for any week on record. Funds were net short 17.3k contracts as of Feb. 24, but...
Corn Insurance Falls, Soybean Coverage Rises in 2026
🇺🇸2026 U.S. insurance guarantees: Corn: $4.62 per bushel (down 2% from last year) Soybeans: $11.09 per bushel (up 5% from last year) https://t.co/QFcJ5xrOCI
USDA Confirms 178k‑ton
USDA confirms the sale of 178,000 tons of U.S. corn for delivery to Japan. 154kt is for 2026/27 and 24kt is for 2027/28.
US Export Sales Slump, Wheat Outsells Expectations
🇺🇸U.S. export sales were pretty dismal across the board last week. 107kt new crop wheat was sold in the week, which was more than expected. https://t.co/Jk2c7Ibkg5
U.S. Ethanol Output Surpasses 1.11M BPD, Up
🇺🇸U.S. ethanol production continued at a strong rate last week, topping 1.11M barrels per day for a third straight week. For the last three weeks, output has been about 3% above the year-ago levels. https://t.co/VcHmt2Mthb
Parana's Second Corn Planting Lags Year‑ago, Barely Above Five‑year Average
🇧🇷Second corn was 45% planted in Parana, Brazil as of Monday, well behind the year-ago pace of 64%. It reads above the five-year average for the date, but the five-year includes the dreadfully slow 2021 & 2023 campaigns. https://t.co/Bv10A7ILhk
USDA Confirms 125,000‑Ton U.S. Corn Sale to Colombia
USDA confirms the sale of 125,000 metric tons of U.S. corn for delivery to Colombia in 2025/26.
Funds Go Long on US Grains, Soybeans Surge
📈Funds turned bullish across U.S. grain & oilseed futures and options through Feb. 17, their first collective long since early December. This was driven by surging optimism in soybeans & soybean oil and waning pessimism in the grains, especially corn....
28‑km Soybean Truck Queue Highlights Brazil Port Bottleneck
🇧🇷A 28-kilometer line of trucks waiting to deliver soybeans has formed outside Brazil's Miritituba river port. Just for reference, the journey from Sinop in north Mato Grosso - which is heavy in soybean production - is about 1,000 km (620...
US Jan Soy Crush Beats Forecast, Stocks Surge 49%
🇺🇸NOPA U.S. crush, Jan. 2026: ▪️221.564 mln bu of soybeans ▪️Above avg trade guess of 218.52 mln ▪️+10.6% YOY; down 1.5% from Dec. 2025 ▪️Soyoil stocks 1.9 bln lbs ▪️Above all trade guesses (avg was 1.71 bln) ▪️+49% YOY; highest since April 2023 https://t.co/UItFPJlkd8
U.S. Corn Inspections Surpass Expectations, Soy Exports to China Strong
🇺🇸Last week's U.S. corn inspections easily beat all trade expectations (though they weren't a weekly record). FYI the previous week's corn volume was hiked significantly. Soy inspections were near the top end of estimates - 57% of the beans were...
Money Managers Near Record Soybean Futures Buying on US‑China Optimism
📈Money managers staged a near record buying spree in CBOT soybean futures & options in the week ended Feb. 10 on renewed U.S.-China optimism. New net long = 123,148 contracts. Net buying of 94k contracts was the second most for any...
U.S. Corn Exports Surge 52% Beyond 2020 Levels
🌽U.S. corn export sales for 2025/26 are nearing 61 million metric tons (2.4 billion bushels). Early Feb sales in 2020/21 were similarly massive but heavily skewed by China. Non-China 2025/26 corn sales are 52% larger than at this point in 2020/21!
December Corn Down 3%, November Soy up 4%
🇺🇸After 8 of 19 February trading sessions, December corn is averaging 3% below last year's U.S. insurance price and November soybeans are averaging 4% higher. https://t.co/hSmhgukFMi
Ethanol Output Rebounds to February High Amid Mild Weather
🇺🇸U.S. ethanol production in the first week of February popped right back up to the pre-arctic blast levels, totaling 1.11M bpd, a February best. U.S. temperatures have been unseasonably mild this week, and that should largely continue through the rest of...
USDA Cuts Global Corn, Wheat Stocks; Soy up on Brazil
USDA's estimates for global corn and wheat ending stocks come in below expectations/last month (ending wheat's run of surging each month as harvests surpassed predictions). Soy stocks are up on a massive 180 mmt Brazilian crop. https://t.co/kM88lO1Zbq
USDA Lifts Brazil 2025/26 Soybean Forecast to 180 Mt
USDA pushes Brazil's 2025/26 soybean harvest to 180 million metric tons. No changes to corn or to Argentina's crops. https://t.co/D2KarYYtVJ
USDA Lifts Corn Export Outlook, Cuts Ending Stocks
U.S. corn ending stocks decrease from last month as USDA bumps exports to 3.3 billion bushels. Minimal/no changes in wheat and beans. https://t.co/FpMZKyhSPO
Analysts Anticipate Stable US/World Stocks, Brazil Crop Gains
All trade estimates for USDA's supply & demand report due Tuesday at 11 am CT. On average, analysts don't expect major changes to U.S. and world stocks, though Brazil's corn and soybean crops could increase. U.S. demand will also be...
Brazil's Corn, Soybean Harvests Expected to Rise; Argentina Steady
🇧🇷Analysts are expecting upside to Brazil's corn and soybean harvests in USDA's report on Tuesday. 🇦🇷Argentina's crops, on average, are not predicted to move much from the January forecast. https://t.co/D3Jg3BAIYv
US Corn, Wheat Inspections Beat Forecasts; Beans Headed to China
🇺🇸U.S. corn & wheat export inspections exceeded all trade estimates last week. Two-thirds of the week's inspected bean cargoes were destined for China, predominantly out of the Gulf. https://t.co/e3b34Q6I3g