Marko Papic

Marko Papic

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Macro + TA-informed tactical takes; market regime shifts and momentum leadership themes.

Iran May Withhold Capacity to Threaten Hormuz Energy
SocialMar 16, 2026

Iran May Withhold Capacity to Threaten Hormuz Energy

Either Iran is holding back capacity in order to threaten Hormuz and Gulf energy production... or... https://t.co/JSjToWxeDQ

By Marko Papic
BCA Research Opens Gulf War Dashboard to Everyone
SocialMar 16, 2026

BCA Research Opens Gulf War Dashboard to Everyone

On a recent Geopolitical Cousins episode I mentioned that BCA Research has opened its Gulf War dashboard to all users, including non-clients. Below is the promised link. Let us know if you'd want us to include some other data here....

By Marko Papic
Iran’s Alleged Tanker Fees Undermine Claims of Resilience
SocialMar 16, 2026

Iran’s Alleged Tanker Fees Undermine Claims of Resilience

Lots of pessimists are hanging their hat on Iran being "tough" and "resilient." And yet, there are rumors all over of IRGC essentially letting VLCCs go through... for a fee. Hormuz is either shut or it is not. You're not...

By Marko Papic
US Air Assaults Exceed Iran’s Finite Pain Tolerance
SocialMar 16, 2026

US Air Assaults Exceed Iran’s Finite Pain Tolerance

In conversations with clients and friends (also in reading X takes), it seems like folks underestimate how painful it is to withstand unrelenting, unfettered, strategic and punitive attacks from the air by the US. Iran surely has a high pain...

By Marko Papic
GCC Nations Reopen Civilian Flights Amid Turmoil
SocialMar 15, 2026

GCC Nations Reopen Civilian Flights Amid Turmoil

Mad love and respect to GCC countries for opening up their civilian air traffic in the midst of all of this. https://t.co/Bl9Wu5d731

By Marko Papic
Hormuz Strait Will Eventually Open Despite Recession Fears
SocialMar 15, 2026

Hormuz Strait Will Eventually Open Despite Recession Fears

I know it won't come in time for the global economy to avoid a recession, but the world WILL eventually pry open Hormuz one way or another. Iran won't have this card indefinitely. This is not the White Mountains of...

By Marko Papic
Current Geopolitical Threats Outpace Ukraine’s Economic Impact
SocialMar 9, 2026

Current Geopolitical Threats Outpace Ukraine’s Economic Impact

There are perceived geopolitical risks and then REAL ones. Hormuz is Arrakis as far as we are all concerned. Ukraine war in 2022 was never as big of a risk to the global economy as what is now going on....

By Marko Papic