Michael Fritzell

Michael Fritzell

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Asia equities investor and author of Asian Century Stocks; 16 years in Asian equities; frequent posts on Asian stocks and macro

Japan's Corporate Overhaul Fuels Small‑cap Upside, Software Bounce
SocialMar 13, 2026

Japan's Corporate Overhaul Fuels Small‑cap Upside, Software Bounce

Interview with Jamie Halse of Senjin Capital. - Japan is in the midst of a corporate transformation - Significant upside in the small cap segment - Hitachi, Nintendo and Open House: better-managed companies in Japan - Software stocks are beaten down, IT services...

By Michael Fritzell
VIEs Aren’t Simple: Mainland Investment Doesn’t Guarantee Safety
SocialMar 13, 2026

VIEs Aren’t Simple: Mainland Investment Doesn’t Guarantee Safety

1/ Michael Burry made the argument that VIEs are fine because Mainland Chinese invest in them as well I think there's more nuance to it than that

By Michael Fritzell
AI Will Transform Software Industry Beyond Current Panic
SocialMar 13, 2026

AI Will Transform Software Industry Beyond Current Panic

a16z: "after all this panic has passed, we’ll see that AI is the best thing that ever happened to the software industry." https://t.co/uAtGn9QkM0

By Michael Fritzell
Nintendo and TakeTwo Dominate MetaCritic's All-Time Best Games
SocialMar 12, 2026

Nintendo and TakeTwo Dominate MetaCritic's All-Time Best Games

Best games of all time according to MetaCritic: Nintendo and TakeTwo Interactive up there https://t.co/VjKL73Fvuf

By Michael Fritzell
Sony Trades at 13x EV/EBIT Before GTA 6 Launch
SocialMar 12, 2026

Sony Trades at 13x EV/EBIT Before GTA 6 Launch

Sony at 13x EV/EBIT ahead of the GTA 6 release on 19 November 2026 https://t.co/FBeFJ5c7Bp

By Michael Fritzell
Miyamoto’s Early Triumph Shows Japan Needs Risk‑taking Meritocracy
SocialMar 12, 2026

Miyamoto’s Early Triumph Shows Japan Needs Risk‑taking Meritocracy

When Shigeru Miyamoto designed Donkey Kong in 1981, he was just four years out of university. This is what Japan needs: risk-taking and meritocracy.

By Michael Fritzell
Buffett Says Pricing Power Is Business’s Top Driver
SocialMar 11, 2026

Buffett Says Pricing Power Is Business’s Top Driver

1/ Here are the key takeaways from Markus Husemann-Kopetzky on Pricing If Buffett thinks pricing power is the most important factor of any business, then surely we should pay attention to it https://t.co/fOStBwEZMt

By Michael Fritzell
Users Stick with ChatGPT; Tech Overlooks UX
SocialMar 11, 2026

Users Stick with ChatGPT; Tech Overlooks UX

The average person is not going to move away from ChatGPT... tech guys continue to underestimate the importance of user experience design

By Michael Fritzell
BPI's Long-Term Appeal Threatened by Rate Cuts
SocialMar 9, 2026

BPI's Long-Term Appeal Threatened by Rate Cuts

BPI feels like a long term winner. Then again, the Bangko Sentral is lowering rates and NIM compression should follow

By Michael Fritzell
MAS to Tighten Board Duties on Value Creation, Investor Engagement
SocialMar 9, 2026

MAS to Tighten Board Duties on Value Creation, Investor Engagement

"MAS is reviewing the corporate governance code to raise market-wide expectations for boards’ roles in value creation and investor engagement." https://t.co/wESP6K4SvU https://t.co/0IAtdbozwT

By Michael Fritzell
Japanese Portfolio Managers Barred From Software Investments
SocialMar 8, 2026

Japanese Portfolio Managers Barred From Software Investments

“An interesting thing I heard is that some Japanese Portfolio Managers are being actively told company-wide not to touch anything software or IT related in the broad sense, at all” - @InvestInJapan

By Michael Fritzell
China Tech Lagged US Markets Amid Dilution and Governance Issues
SocialMar 7, 2026

China Tech Lagged US Markets Amid Dilution and Governance Issues

Performance since 2013: KWEB: +13% QQQ: +896% Positive interpretations for China tech: - Strong USD and strong US equities - Index construction sub-par Negative interpretations: - Heavy dilution - Related party transactions / leakage - Limited capital returns (until recently) https://t.co/8eQeEK0yx7

By Michael Fritzell
Contrarian Opportunity? Freee 4478 JP Faces Unexpected Negativity
SocialMar 6, 2026

Contrarian Opportunity? Freee 4478 JP Faces Unexpected Negativity

Very surprised by the negativity surrounding Freee 4478 JP. I'm either completely wrong, or in it's a highly contrarian buy. https://t.co/ihtyiQ5SFt

By Michael Fritzell
KOSPI's Memory Chip Weight
SocialMar 6, 2026

KOSPI's Memory Chip Weight

What is he on about? KOSPI is like 50% memory chip exposure and earnings estimates have gone up. The people day-trading are local retail investors, but they’re still mostly focused on US tech. https://t.co/ebX1YOmoN2

By Michael Fritzell
Investors Rotating From US Tech to Commodities and Bonds
SocialMar 6, 2026

Investors Rotating From US Tech to Commodities and Bonds

"We are in the first phase of a great rotation away from the US FANG+ and related stocks, semiconductor, and AI software companies towards oil & gas, utilities, emerging market, and resource stocks, and Treasury bonds." - Marc Faber

By Michael Fritzell
Korea's CompanyGuide Mirrors Japan's Handbook, Use Chrome Translate
SocialMar 5, 2026

Korea's CompanyGuide Mirrors Japan's Handbook, Use Chrome Translate

Korea's version of the "Japan Company Handbook" is essentially FnGuide's CompanyGuide website. Not available in English but you can you use Translate in Google Chrome. https://t.co/I0HU3TxRNN

By Michael Fritzell
Kaspi's 9% Yield Highlights Strong Moat Despite Accounting Opacity
SocialMar 5, 2026

Kaspi's 9% Yield Highlights Strong Moat Despite Accounting Opacity

Kaspi now yields 9%, for what undoubtedly a very moaty business (no views on its accounting) https://t.co/EuZ6Ogfo3P

By Michael Fritzell
Korea’s Chip Output Drops, Shifts to High‑Bandwidth Memory
SocialMar 5, 2026

Korea’s Chip Output Drops, Shifts to High‑Bandwidth Memory

Didn’t realize how much Korean chip production has fallen in the past few months, as it’s shifting towards high bandwith memory. Source: Robeco https://t.co/I5YOwPS4OL

By Michael Fritzell
Geopolitics Threaten Chinese Firms' Access to Western Markets
SocialMar 4, 2026

Geopolitics Threaten Chinese Firms' Access to Western Markets

What I don’t understand is the position of PRC companies. Do they want the headache of dealing with geopolitics? They’re competitive in their own right. If this goes on, Chinese products will be shut out of Western markets.

By Michael Fritzell
Most Miss KOSPI’s Memory Chip and Reform Narrative
SocialMar 4, 2026

Most Miss KOSPI’s Memory Chip and Reform Narrative

Pretty much 100% of my timeline is people freaking out about KOSPI KOSPI is a memory chip story. There’s a great structural reform story, too, and it feels like nobody except @smartkarma and shareholder activists are paying attention

By Michael Fritzell
Gundlach Urges Investors to Shift From Dollar to Foreign Assets
SocialMar 3, 2026

Gundlach Urges Investors to Shift From Dollar to Foreign Assets

Jeff Gundlach: “My recommendation is that US Dollar based investors should be investing in foreign markets in foreign currencies. Because the US Dollar appears to be in a long-term bear market” https://t.co/b2PwOxuvyI

By Michael Fritzell
Hedge Fund Star Credits Kahneman for 18-Year Winning Streak
SocialMar 2, 2026

Hedge Fund Star Credits Kahneman for 18-Year Winning Streak

1/ Brevan Howard's Minal Bathwal hasn't had a losing year since the start of his fund, 18 years ago. In a recent interview, he said that his style is influenced by psychologist Daniel Kahneman, including his book Thinking, Fast & Slow....

By Michael Fritzell
Chain Stock Pricey but Has Expansion Potential
SocialMar 1, 2026

Chain Stock Pricey but Has Expansion Potential

I really like this chain. The stock was never cheap but probably has expansion potential.

By Michael Fritzell
Portfolio Gains 6.8% on Korean Surge, Eye Japan SaaS
SocialMar 1, 2026

Portfolio Gains 6.8% on Korean Surge, Eye Japan SaaS

The portfolio's value rose by +6.8% in February 2026, driven by a skyrocketing Korean stock market. Opportunities in Japan SaaS and luxury wristwatches. https://t.co/dYm3oOEyPD

By Michael Fritzell
Druckenmiller Bets on Higher Rates, Cuts AI, Values Sizing
SocialFeb 28, 2026

Druckenmiller Bets on Higher Rates, Cuts AI, Values Sizing

Key takeaways from Druckenmiller - Sees potential for higher long rates thanks to productivity growth - Out of the AI trade at this point - What he learnt from Soros was sizing - Visualizes the future 18-24 months out - Sells if valuation becomes...

By Michael Fritzell
South Korea Single-Stock ETFs Set for Summer Approval
SocialFeb 27, 2026

South Korea Single-Stock ETFs Set for Summer Approval

South Korea single-stock ETFs will likely be approved by the summer, just before Interactive Brokers starts offering access https://t.co/WpRK4ten0F.

By Michael Fritzell
Korea Faces Speculative Bubbles Approximately Every Five Years
SocialFeb 27, 2026

Korea Faces Speculative Bubbles Approximately Every Five Years

It seems like Korea goes through these speculative bubbles every five years or so https://t.co/jCSmYlbkaj

By Michael Fritzell
Questioning the Moat of Japan Company Handbook
SocialFeb 27, 2026

Questioning the Moat of Japan Company Handbook

The Japan Company Handbook on m-up 3661 JP… not sure whether it’s moaty enough https://t.co/Aqsud8W7VX

By Michael Fritzell
FnGuide's Index Business Undervalued Amid Explosive AUM
SocialFeb 27, 2026

FnGuide's Index Business Undervalued Amid Explosive AUM

With its index business now >50% of revenues, FnGuide is becoming a KOSPI market proxy on steroids. But I think the index AUM rising from KRW 14 trillion to 50 at 40%+ incremental margins is still underrated. I'm getting to...

By Michael Fritzell
Semiconductor Index Delivered Over Tenfold Returns Decade‑Long
SocialFeb 26, 2026

Semiconductor Index Delivered Over Tenfold Returns Decade‑Long

The PHLX Semiconductor index: ASML, TSMC, Texas Instruments, AMD, Nvidia, NXP, Qorvo, Qualcomm, Applied Materials, Broadcom etc. More than a ten-bagger in the past decade https://t.co/P0OKb3JVYf

By Michael Fritzell
Activist Pressure, Not Weak Yen, Drives Real Improvements
SocialFeb 26, 2026

Activist Pressure, Not Weak Yen, Drives Real Improvements

Seems to me that the biggest improvements have been in firms: - Shamed into increasing their P/B to 1.0x - Targeted by shareholder activists like Oasis - Already had the right mindset, eg Hitachi / Itochu - Illusory improvement from the weak yen https://t.co/KxTgEB3c9O https://t.co/DoX7UvP2gs

By Michael Fritzell
Japanese Managers Lack Equity, Limiting Market Discipline
SocialFeb 26, 2026

Japanese Managers Lack Equity, Limiting Market Discipline

I think reading through Jim Grant's old books with snippets from his newsletter is great market education. You'll get perspective on the current market environment.

By Michael Fritzell
Hardware, Cybersecurity Thrive; AI Compresses Software Services
SocialFeb 26, 2026

Hardware, Cybersecurity Thrive; AI Compresses Software Services

The Goldman Sachs list of AI winners & losers: Supposed winners: - Cloudflare - CrowdStrike - Palo Alto Networks - Oracle - Microsoft - Amazon - Alphabet - Nvidia - TSMC - Micron - Arista Networks - Palantir - Zoom - Vertiv - Eaton - NextEra Energy Supposed losers: - https://t.co/yZK0mvfWhp - Salesforce - DocuSign - Accenture - Duolingo - Workday - SAP - Atlassian - UiPath -...

By Michael Fritzell
Airport Terminal Signals Strong Growth for Fairfax India
SocialFeb 25, 2026

Airport Terminal Signals Strong Growth for Fairfax India

Check out the airport terminal in the beginning of this video and you’ll understand why I’m bullish Fairfax India https://t.co/KDIukR4iLv

By Michael Fritzell
Indonesian-Chinese Shift Assets to Singapore, I’d Follow
SocialFeb 25, 2026

Indonesian-Chinese Shift Assets to Singapore, I’d Follow

You can tell that Indonesian-Chinese have moved assets to Singapore the past year. I would have done the same.

By Michael Fritzell
AI Won’t Kill SaaS; Japan’s Fallout Reveals Opportunity
SocialFeb 23, 2026

AI Won’t Kill SaaS; Japan’s Fallout Reveals Opportunity

1/ The market is convinced that AI will kill SaaS. That seems overly simplistic. There's been carnage in Japan's SaaS sector, with babies clearly thrown out of the bathwater. That could signal opportunity. https://t.co/cmwPpqWG59

By Michael Fritzell
Hour Glass Valued at 9.4x P/E Amid Watch Market Rebound
SocialFeb 22, 2026

Hour Glass Valued at 9.4x P/E Amid Watch Market Rebound

New post just published: on Singapore-listed watch retailer The Hour Glass (HG SP). Swiss watch exports to Switzerland are now growing again, and second-hand market Rolex prices are rising in an almost upwards line. It trades at 9.4x P/E on...

By Michael Fritzell
Korean Reforms Spark Value Ups, Awaiting IBKR Access
SocialFeb 19, 2026

Korean Reforms Spark Value Ups, Awaiting IBKR Access

I initially thought the Korean reforms would be ineffective. But on the ground, I’m seeing many companies come up with highly positive value up plans. And valuations remain a fraction of those in Japan. Once IBKR opens access, the focus...

By Michael Fritzell
Freee Posts 30% YoY Revenue Surge, Market Optimism
SocialFeb 17, 2026

Freee Posts 30% YoY Revenue Surge, Market Optimism

I honestly feel like freee's result was pretty damn good: +30% YoY top-line growth. With other narratives floating around, the market could easily have interpreted the result in a favorable light.

By Michael Fritzell
Thailand Market Hit Bottom Mid‑2025, Faber Predicted
SocialFeb 17, 2026

Thailand Market Hit Bottom Mid‑2025, Faber Predicted

While everyone continues to be bearish on Thailand, the index quietly bottomed in mid-2025. Marc Faber called it, almost perfectly. https://t.co/TfCZRnhSG7

By Michael Fritzell
Asian Markets Split: AI Surge vs Old‑Economy Shift Ahead
SocialFeb 17, 2026

Asian Markets Split: AI Surge vs Old‑Economy Shift Ahead

Asian equity markets are diverging into two camps: AI capex beneficiaries in East Asia and "old economy" companies in Southeast Asia. There will be an inflection point where the former peaks, and flows move towards the latter. But when?

By Michael Fritzell
New CEO Drives 34.5% Revenue Surge at Casio
SocialFeb 15, 2026

New CEO Drives 34.5% Revenue Surge at Casio

New post just published: on Casio (6952 JP) - New CEO Shin Takano has revamped the organization - Latest quarter timepieces revenues +34.5% YoY - EV/Sales of 1.0x https://t.co/iB9kX6Gzcb

By Michael Fritzell
Mazda Malaysia Sales Dip, yet Bermaz Auto Shares Rise
SocialFeb 13, 2026

Mazda Malaysia Sales Dip, yet Bermaz Auto Shares Rise

The Mazda Malaysia January numbers were lower MoM but Bermaz Auto was still up on the news https://t.co/gI8pN0xr11

By Michael Fritzell
Moatless Capital Goes Bullish on Pop Mart HK
SocialFeb 12, 2026

Moatless Capital Goes Bullish on Pop Mart HK

Moatless Capital is bullish Pop Mart 9992 HK. Let's see how that works out for him. https://t.co/Uvnbb3EgKB

By Michael Fritzell
Insiders Buy Jollibee Shares After Spin‑off Plan
SocialFeb 12, 2026

Insiders Buy Jollibee Shares After Spin‑off Plan

From yesterday's post: insider buying in Philippine fast-food restaurant chain Jollibee, right after it announced that it would spin off its international operations on a US exchange in late 2027. https://t.co/qaFLrM4ucT

By Michael Fritzell
FnGuide Surges 11% as Demand Shows No Signs
SocialFeb 11, 2026

FnGuide Surges 11% as Demand Shows No Signs

FnGuide up another +11% today. Feel’s like there’s almost no end to the demand for the stock. https://t.co/mqJYQH1Dd1

By Michael Fritzell
Insider Buys Cebu Air as China Visa‑Free Opens
SocialFeb 11, 2026

Insider Buys Cebu Air as China Visa‑Free Opens

Insider buying in Cebu Air CEB PM. Comes right after the Philippines introduced visa-free entry for Chinese nationals. Source: Smart Insider https://t.co/QYnTMGfGiz

By Michael Fritzell
Japan FSA Pushes Firms to Reinvest Cash, Boost Returns
SocialFeb 11, 2026

Japan FSA Pushes Firms to Reinvest Cash, Boost Returns

"The [Japan] Financial Service Agency is currently conducting a review of the Corporate Governance Code with a desire to see improved capital efficiency through companies both reinvesting excess cash into their core business and increasing shareholder returns" - AVI

By Michael Fritzell
Hour Glass EPS Spikes as Rolex Index Hits Bottom
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Hour Glass EPS Spikes as Rolex Index Hits Bottom

Here are the LTM EPS for The Hour Glass. The turn came in March 2025, just when the WatchCharts Rolex index bottomed. Coincidence? https://t.co/1dQwTByVBg

By Michael Fritzell