my.stock.research
Independent equity researcher publishing near-daily deep dives on leading U.S. stocks with valuation work and macro context.
Scorecard Analysis of NBIS and CRWV
Scorecards for $NBIS and $CRWV Subscribe my substack for more deep dive insights and analysis
PLTR Overvalued: True Worth $128, Watchlist Only
#PLTR Scorecard My Full Deep Dive Thesis on $PLTR Beat the Market to the Real Value And I Still Disagree With Wall Street On March 24, when $PLTR was trading at $160, my full thesis already uncovered its true Expected Value at...
Solid Research, Not Hype, Hit META Bottom
Did My META Thesis Called the Bottom? Back in early March I published the full deep-dive thesis of #META. My Expected Value: $883 Margin of Safety at the time: >30% Verdict: BUY Those who trusted the numbers instead of the noise? They might have caught the...
Nike at $43: Buy Signal After Fire‑Sale
Full Deep Dive Thesis - Is #NKE a BUY now at $43? I have been receiving DMs. Nike’s stock has been hammered. The brand everyone thought was untouchable… now trading at fire-sale levels. Even Tim Cook just loaded up. So the question everyone’s asking:...
Smart Money Finds Winners in Market Downturns
Most investors are hiding from the red days. The smart money is quietly loading the next big winners right there. Strong Momentum Stocks Aren’t Made by Rising. They’re Secretly Discovered During Market Downturns The exclusive institutional playbook 99% of retail investors and traders...
Stay Disciplined: Oil Price Surge Will Hit Earnings
“Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.” Warren Buffett. Today’s green day shouldn’t alter your portfolio plan one bit. Short-term momentum is still being chopped up by headline volatility. Our core mid-term thesis is intact: elevated oil prices...
Discipline Over Panic: Stay Invested, Control Emotions
S&P Futures Just Went Very Green Today For Now Here’s the Only Mindset That Wins - Don’t be overly bearish. - Stay invested. - Control your emotions. Markets love to test you with sudden swings, but the winners are the ones who stay disciplined and...
Broadcom Secures Expanded AI Chip Deals, Shares Surge
Only good news for $AVGO I will post my scorecard soon. Broadcom agrees to expanded chip deals with Google, Anthropic - Broadcom said it agreed to produce future versions of Google's artificial intelligence chips, - The company also announced an expanded deal with Anthropic,...
TSMC Quality High, Upside Limited at Current Price
I haven’t published my full thesis on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) yet but here’s the scorecard: Current view • Price: ~$339 • Expected value: ~$334 • Upside: Limited at current levels This is easily one of the highest-quality businesses you’ll find, dominant positioning, strong pricing power, and exceptional visibility. But...
OpenAI’s Valuation Overhyped Even as AI Thrives
I promised to write about OpenAI, and I finally have the time to sit down and pull my thoughts together. AI Is Not a Bubble, But OpenAI’s Valuation Could Be the Next One “Why Secondary Buyers Are Quietly Dumping OpenAI at $852...
Netflix Valuation Too High, Await Pullback for Safety
Someone recently asked me about my scorecard on Netflix (NFLX). My current take: • Expected value: ~$104 • Upside: Limited at current levels It’s a great business, but not every great business is a great buy today. Price still matters. For now, I’m staying patient and waiting...
Brand Power No Longer Guarantees Retail Stock Success
Why I’m Staying Completely Away from Consumer Retail Stocks Nike, Lululemon, and LVMH Are Crumbling: Here’s Why Brand Power Alone No Longer Wins I currently have zero exposure to consumer retail stocks, and I plan to keep it that way. In my day...
Energy, Minerals, Nuclear, AI Lead; Services Lag
Sector Rotation Alert: What’s Actually Working (and What’s Not) Right Now I track 20 major sectors on TradingView every single day. Here’s the clean scorecard for the past month: Overperforming Energy Minerals Nuclear Power AI Optical/Photonics Underperforming Consumer Services Health Technology Transportation Consumer Durables Health Services
Payroll Surge and Falling Unemployment Boost Bull Market
Good sign supporting the bull market U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls Jump 178K in March, Beating Expectations as Unemployment Falls to 4.3%
Visa at $299: Strong Fundamentals Signal Buy
Deep Dive Full Thesis: Is VISA a BUY at $299? Visa just hit its 52-week low at $299, despite record Q1 revenue and a rock-solid 4.1% FCF yield. This is one of my all-time favorite companies: a true cash-printing machine with an...
