my.stock.research
Independent equity researcher publishing near-daily deep dives on leading U.S. stocks with valuation work and macro context.
CrowdStrike: Strong Moat Justifies Buy at $390
Deep Dive Full Thesis: Is #CRWD a BUY now at $390? I’ve always loved CrowdStrike. Founder-led. Insane, unbreakable moat. Built to dominate cybersecurity for decades. And after surviving the largest IT outage in history, it just crushed it: record $5.25B ARR + 115% retention. That’s why my full 7-level decision framework now delivers a clear Starter Buy at $390. Recent Institutional Rating: - Wolfe Research — Buy | $450 - Morgan Stanley — Buy | $510 - Citigroup — Buy | $525
Two-Day Momentum Picks: 12 Stocks Surging Over 2%
12 Stocks With Strong Follow-Through Up Another 2%+ Today. Save This List. These names didn’t just bounce — they’re showing real conviction with two straight days of solid gains. This is exactly the kind of momentum I watch for when the market starts pricing...
Apple’s AI Sideline: Hidden Advantage Amid Tech Rush
Deep Dive Full Thesis: Is AAPL a BUY now at $247? Apple just posted its best quarter in history at $247. Yet here’s the contrarian edge most investors are missing: AAPL is still one of the world’s largest and most iconic brands, but...
MU Solid, but Lacks 30% Safety Margin
$MU On March 20, 2026, I dropped my full Deep Dive Thesis on $MU and immediately put it on my personal watchlist. The price at the time? $420. It’s a great company — no debate there. But it simply didn’t offer the 30%+ margin...
Lumentum’s $703 Surge Still a Hard Reject
Deep Dive Full Thesis - Is LITE a BUY now at $703? Lumentum Surged 1,436% to $703 on NVIDIA’s $2B Bet + $90B AI Optics TAM — Why My Full Decision Framework Still Says Hard Reject Recent Institutional Rating: - Morgan Stanley —...
Bear Scenario Looms: Oil Spikes, Fed Stuck, S&P Near 6k
Looks like next week is heading towards the bear case scenario I highlighted in my weekly report. Bear case (35% probability): The April 6 deadline produces strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure. Iran retaliates against Saudi or UAE oil facilities. Brent breaks...
Meta's Dip Offers 4:1 Risk‑reward Buying Chance
META REPORT CARD: THIS IS THE DIP YOU’VE BEEN PRAYING FOR Price now: $525.72 Fundamental Entry (30% MoS): ≤ $628 → WELL BELOW ✅ 38% MoS at $550 The market just panic-sold $119 BILLION off META’s market cap on March 26 over antitrust headlines. But...
Stagflation Era Begins: Overweight Energy, Trim Tech
US Equity Market Weekly Report - Week Ending March 28, 2026 Markets just hit their longest losing streak since 2022! Nasdaq officially in correction, oil exploding past $100, and three brutal shocks (Iran, China trade, and tech capex) turning stagflation into the...
Even with Explosive Growth, I Hard‑reject ONDS at $9.11
Deep Dive Full Thesis - Is ONDS a BUY now at $9.11? $7M Revenue to $3.86B Market Cap in 15 Months — 10 Acquisitions, $1.8B Raised, 217% Dilution… Why I Still Say Hard Reject at $9.11 Recent Institutional Rating: - Northland Capital Markets...
New Rating Reports Reveal Exact Entry Prices
My Brand-New Rating Reports Are LIVE I’ve just released my Fundamental Entry-Price Analysis on 21 stocks. Complete with my exclusive Buy • Watchlist • Reject Framework. No more guessing. Clear Expected Value (EV) targets show you the exact best price to enter every...
Hims Remains a Reject at $23 Despite Upgrades
Deep Dive Full Thesis - Is HIMS a BUY now at $23? Hims Just Partnered with Novo Nordisk After Being Sued by Them + SEC/DOJ Probes — Why My Full Analysis Still Says REJECT at $23 It’s at 21 now… Recent Institutional Rating...
Analyst Targets Mirror Price, Not Fundamentals—Do Your Own Analysis
Are You Still Holding $SOFI? Revealing Wall Street Retail Trap that nobody talks about I just dove deep into the classic Wall Street Retail Trap that’s burned almost every investor at some point. After analyzing 44 analyst reports, here’s the brutal finding: Their price...
Google's TurboQuant Threatens MU, SNDK Earnings
Google just dropped TurboQuant: 6x KV cache compression for LLMs with ZERO accuracy loss. This could be a direct hit to MU & SNDK earnings, exactly the risk I flagged in my previous full thesis. My verdict: both on watch-list only. Want the...
Robinhood at $72 Still Not a Buy
Deep Dive Full Thesis - Is HOOD a BUY now at $72? Robinhood Crashed 53% to $72 — Why I’m Still Rejecting It (and the Exact Price Where It Finally Becomes a Buy) Recent Institutional Rating Reiterated: - Barclays — Buy | $124 -...
Layoffs Boost Profits, Protect Shareholders, Not Workers
“They fired 8,500 employees in one morning ‘to protect the business.’ 24 hours later: record quarterly profit plus billions stock buyback. Translation: your job was the dividend. Who’s really getting protected here?
Low Unemployment, High Costs: Economy Feels Anything But Strong
They keep saying “low unemployment” and “inflation is under control” Meanwhile eggs are still $7, rent just jumped another $300, and my friends are getting ghosted on 200+ job apps. How is this a “strong economy” when my grocery bill feels like...
Oracle’s $153 Price Offers 35% Safety Margin
Full Deep Dive Thesis: Is ORCL a BUY at $153? Oracle at $153: Why Wall Street’s $50B CapEx & Debt Panic Just Created a Rare 35% Margin of Safety on a $553 Billion Contracted AI Backlog Recent Institutional Rating Upgrades: • JP Morgan...
Gold’s 22% Drop Shows Narrative Beats Charts
Gold Just Crashed 22% from ATH — Official Bear Market Entered? From its all-time high of $5,608.35 straight down to $4,352.90 today. That’s a clean 22% bloodbath. Technically? The bull run is dead. Bear market confirmed? But here’s the edge 99% of investors miss: Charts...
JPMorgan: Undervalued Stock, Ideal Tech Portfolio Diversifier
Is JPM a BUY Right Now? My view: I believe JPMorgan Chase is undervalued at current levels. Even better, it’s a high-conviction diversifier for any portfolio that’s already heavily exposed to semiconductors and technology. Check out my latest thesis on Substack below
Market Regime Shift: Oil $112, Gold Crash, S&P Below 200‑Day
I just dropped my US Equity Market Weekly Intelligence Report on Substack - Oil at $112. - Gold’s historic crash. - S&P just broke below the 200-day MA. This week just triggered a full market regime shift heading into 2026. Read the full breakdown on...
Close Below 200MA Signals Bearish Trend – Cut Equity
Finance 101: When the Market Closes Below the 200MA – A Classic Bearish Signal When the closing price drops below the 200-day Moving Average (200MA), it’s one of the most respected long-term bearish signals in technical analysis. The 200MA smooths out...
Free Deep‑Dive Equity Thesis on META, MU, GOOGL
I have published Deep Dive Equity Thesis on Substack. META, MU and GOOGL Check it out for free. I have shared my perspective and recommendations. I love these thesis. I hope you will like them as well.
Free NVDA Deep Dive: My Thesis, Entry, Market Outlook
I’ve decided to make my full Deep Dive on $NVDA completely free. I want you to see exactly how I’m thinking— my thesis, my entry, my full reasoning. No paywall. Just value. It’s up on my Substack Take a look and tell me where you...
SOFI CEO's $1M Stock Purchase Signals Confidence
After a brutal price drop and fresh short-seller attacks... SoFi CEO Anthony Noto just stepped up and bought $500K–$1M worth of SOFI stock. That’s not noise — that’s a loud vote of confidence in the fundamentals. If you’ve been following me for a...
Only Ten Stocks Combine 25% ROIC and 20% EPS Growth
Just doing some research and screened for companies with BOTH: • ROIC > 25% • Expected EPS growth > 20% per year for the next 5 years Extremely hard to find this level of capital efficiency + explosive growth. Here are the 10 quality...
Turn 30 Into Wealth: Skill up, Save, Invest
Are you still broke at 30? Time to flip the script and build real wealth. Start here: • Grow yourself: Level up skills to boost your income. • Spend smart: Cut unnecessary fluff—every dollar counts. • Save aggressively: Aim for that...
KTOS: Undervalued Drone Leader Poised for Margin Surge
KTOS at $87.53 just hit a high-conviction BUY setup. Pure-play leader in autonomous drones, hypersonics & next-gen defense electronics — exactly where DoD is front-loading billions. 12x forward sales while margins are about to expand sharply from development to production scale. Market...
Career Growth Powers Your FIRE Portfolio
Best FIRE strategy nobody talks about: 1. Improve yourself 2. Make more money 3. Invest the surplus Your career funds the portfolio.
Broadcom Undervalued AI Play Targets $460
Check in – Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) Recommendation: STRONG BUY Price: $342.58 Intrinsic Fair Value: ~$450 (anchored on 25–27x 2026E EPS ~$17.51) 12-Month Price Target: $440–$460 (Base, +28–34%) Current Signal: TACTICAL BUY Entry Zone: $325–$335 (50-DMA support pullback) Fair Pricing: AVGO trades at 19.7x forward EPS amid 57% guided...
TSMC Strong Buy: Target $430, Entry $340‑355
Check in – Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSM) Recommendation: STRONG BUY Price: $352.59 Intrinsic Fair Value: $428.00 (Based on consensus & AI-driven growth models) 12-Month Price Target: $430.00 (Base case aligned with analyst avg ~$418–$470) Current Signal: TACTICAL BUY Entry Zone: $340.00 – $355.00 (Near 50-DMA...
Energy Leads as US Stocks Slip, Value Rotation Persists
US Equity Weekly (Mar 10, 2026) S&P 500 -2% (worst week since Oct) to 6,740. Dow -3%, Russell -4.1%. Oil spiked on Iran strikes + weak payrolls (-92k jobs). Energy led; Tech/Discretionary lagged. VIX →28, yields to 4.14%. Monday relief rally after...
GE Vernova: High‑Conviction Buy with 32% Upside
GEV - GE Vernova Current Price: $794.20 Intrinsic Value Range: $720–$950 Rating: BUY (High Conviction, but tactically vulnerable near-term) 12-Month Price Targets: Bull Case: $1,050 (+32%) — accelerated gas turbine orders, Electrification margin beats, data center capex surge Base Case: $900 (+13%) — normalized execution, mid-teens...
