Nolan Gray

Nolan Gray

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Urban planning researcher; zoning reform, permitting, and housing supply economics.

Thurmond's Outdated Housing Fix: Down‑payment Aid, Surplus Land
SocialApr 29, 2026

Thurmond's Outdated Housing Fix: Down‑payment Aid, Surplus Land

Getting caught up on the debate: "What would you do differently on housing?" Thurmond: Down-payment assistance, use surplus government land. Feels like a very dated answer.. https://t.co/OWDtxXNhGu

By Nolan Gray
YIMBYs Support Single-Family Homes via California's Starter Act
SocialApr 28, 2026

YIMBYs Support Single-Family Homes via California's Starter Act

It's just not true that YIMBYs are ignoring single-family homes. Examples: (1) In California, we've spent the last few years building out the Starter Home Revitalization Act, focused on single-family homes. https://t.co/1tKVLyHp1X

By Nolan Gray
Paradise Near Jobs, Yet Santa Cruz Loses Residents—Build Housing
SocialApr 27, 2026

Paradise Near Jobs, Yet Santa Cruz Loses Residents—Build Housing

Santa Cruz is a literal paradise within commuting distance of one of the most productive labor markets on Earth and yet it's losing population. We need to build more housing.

By Nolan Gray
Avoiding Safety Upgrades Will Cost LA Billions
SocialApr 24, 2026

Avoiding Safety Upgrades Will Cost LA Billions

The city's silent strike over Measure HLA, on the basis of the allegedly unbearable cost of voter-demanded accessibility/safety improvements, is going to cost Los Angeles billions of dollars in deferred maintenance, and that's before the liability claims start rolling in.

By Nolan Gray
Samsung Updates Cause 48‑hour Battery Drain
SocialApr 22, 2026

Samsung Updates Cause 48‑hour Battery Drain

Incredibly annoying how Samsung Galaxy updates basically brick your phone with extremely rapid battery drain for 48 hours after an update. https://t.co/Kw6H7hW6Al

By Nolan Gray
YIMBY Policies Turn Mall Parking Into 174 Homes
SocialApr 22, 2026

YIMBY Policies Turn Mall Parking Into 174 Homes

In Arden-Arcade, a Sacramento suburb, the full stack of YIMBY reforms help to turn a mall parking lot into 174 homes: AB 2097 allowed the mall to carve off parking, SDBL granted a 20% bonus, and HAA guaranteed entitlements. h/t...

By Nolan Gray
Voters Ban AHF's Taxpayer-Funded Ballot Initiative Abuse
SocialApr 21, 2026

Voters Ban AHF's Taxpayer-Funded Ballot Initiative Abuse

For about a decade, the AIDS Healthcare Foundation used many millions of taxpayer dollars to fund a series of ridiculous ballot initiatives reflecting their CEO's personal beefs before voters in 2024 made this illegal. You think you know how weird...

By Nolan Gray
Houston Suburb Dodges 25% Lot‑size Hike, Averting Housing Squeeze
SocialApr 21, 2026

Houston Suburb Dodges 25% Lot‑size Hike, Averting Housing Squeeze

Is Texas on the California trajectory? A large Houston suburb very narrowly avoided arbitrarily increasing minimum lot sizes by 25%, which would have made it even harder to build affordable single-family homes. https://t.co/T8TzIvzdwg

By Nolan Gray
Guatemala City Traffic Unusually Light, Benefits Visitors but Raises Concerns
SocialApr 19, 2026

Guatemala City Traffic Unusually Light, Benefits Visitors but Raises Concerns

I don't think I've seen traffic this light in Guatemala City in my 10 years of visiting. Nice for visiting friends and restaurants across the city, but potentially quite harmful if the situation persists. https://t.co/QU2iYKVGCy

By Nolan Gray
LA Street Decay Isn’t About Ramp Costs, It’s Political Spin
SocialApr 19, 2026

LA Street Decay Isn’t About Ramp Costs, It’s Political Spin

Los Angeles streets are not crumbling because it's just impossibly expensive to pave wheelchair ramps on sidewalks or paint bicycle lanes, and the coordinated conservative campaign to promote this narrative is sufficiently facially dumb that you should doubt those promoting...

By Nolan Gray
Superstar Cities Thrive While Others Face Steep Decline
SocialApr 18, 2026

Superstar Cities Thrive While Others Face Steep Decline

Japan is an advanced case of trends present in nearly every developing country and it seems like: (a) superstar cities will be fine, (b) second tier cities/regional hubs will struggle, and (c) everything else -- smaller cities, towns, rural areas...

By Nolan Gray
Media Giant Dedicates Desk to Harassing Santa Monica
SocialApr 18, 2026

Media Giant Dedicates Desk to Harassing Santa Monica

It's kind of weird how one of the world's largest media empire seems to have an entire desk dedicated to beating up on Santa Monica specifically. What's going on here? https://t.co/C2Qceg8Qoi

By Nolan Gray
Mormon Culture Instills Lasting Optimism and Community Values
SocialApr 18, 2026

Mormon Culture Instills Lasting Optimism and Community Values

How do you replicate the social virtues of Mormons without Mormonism? Maybe you can't. Or maybe: two parent households, zero drugs/alcohol, intense focus on community life/service, a respect for lawn maintenance, family board game night, aversion to dark/mean-spirited media...

By Nolan Gray
Canada Embraces Tall Towers, California Limits to Midrise
SocialApr 15, 2026

Canada Embraces Tall Towers, California Limits to Midrise

While Canada is fine with high-rise residential even in otherwise low-slung residential areas, California insists on chunky midrise even in other highly urban areas. What explains this? https://t.co/2L7ha4W3Uw

By Nolan Gray
Stop Overthinking Loneliness—Join Community Groups Today
SocialApr 15, 2026

Stop Overthinking Loneliness—Join Community Groups Today

Go to them. Clubs, churches, lodges, etc. This stuff all still exists. It's a bunch of old people who will be thrilled you showed up. Bring a friend if you're nervous. You guys have to stop intellectualizing the "loneliness crisis"...

By Nolan Gray
Shoup’s “High Cost of Free Parking” Is a Brilliant Distillation
SocialApr 15, 2026

Shoup’s “High Cost of Free Parking” Is a Brilliant Distillation

I think a lot of people who haven't read "The High Cost of Free Parking" cover to cover, which I fear is many of you, don't realize what a strange and wonderful book it is. The ideal of a book:...

By Nolan Gray
LA Developers Battle NIMBY, End up Blocked Entirely
SocialApr 15, 2026

LA Developers Battle NIMBY, End up Blocked Entirely

Los Angeles real estate bros will go to the mat for the biggest NIMBY on city council, and then be surprised when they're not allowed to build anything.

By Nolan Gray
YIMBYism’s Early Wins Signal Hopeful Momentum
SocialApr 14, 2026

YIMBYism’s Early Wins Signal Hopeful Momentum

Lately, there has been a lot of frank discourse about what YIMBYism has accomplished in California. I think this impatience, even after big wins, is good and healthy—but it misses the early signs of success in front of us. In...

By Nolan Gray
Zoning Rules Shape Typology, Not Design Trends
SocialApr 13, 2026

Zoning Rules Shape Typology, Not Design Trends

I think single-stair discourse has habituated a lot of oneweirdtrick thinking among urbanists. Yes, the five-over-one typology exists because of zoning, building codes, and financing. But they don't explain design trends.

By Nolan Gray
Housing Shortage, Not Money, Solves California Homelessness
SocialApr 13, 2026

Housing Shortage, Not Money, Solves California Homelessness

If we just keep throwing money at the California homelessness crisis without addressing the underlying issue, which is severe shortage of housing, voters are eventually going to get fed up over the lack of results and stop voting to throw...

By Nolan Gray
Minimum Lot Sizes Compel Larger Homes in Texas Suburbs
SocialApr 13, 2026

Minimum Lot Sizes Compel Larger Homes in Texas Suburbs

In co-authored research we found that minimum lot sizes had a clear binding effect, forcing lot sizes to be larger, across Texas suburbs. https://t.co/ZA8OZLGXlY

By Nolan Gray
California's Homeownership Decline Calls for Massive Housing Build
SocialApr 13, 2026

California's Homeownership Decline Calls for Massive Housing Build

California has the second lowest homeownership rate in the US after New York, and we've lost ground over the past 20 years. This is not healthy. We need to build a lot more housing and create the next generation of...

By Nolan Gray
San Jose Cuts Fees, Mandates to Revive Development
SocialApr 13, 2026

San Jose Cuts Fees, Mandates to Revive Development

He slashed fees and unfunded mandates in San Jose, two policy changes that were controversial among the left locally but that reflected common sense, evidence-based reforms to get the city building again. Is that an acceptable answer?

By Nolan Gray
Beyond Zoning: Cost, Materials, Tastes Drive City Designs
SocialApr 13, 2026

Beyond Zoning: Cost, Materials, Tastes Drive City Designs

I think regulatory explanations are slightly overstated here. Of course, zoning/building codes contribute to design. But it's also cost and availability of materials, consumer tastes, etc, as has always explained why cities build the same typologies at the same time.

By Nolan Gray
Arthurian Legends: Mostly Myth, Not Medieval History
SocialApr 12, 2026

Arthurian Legends: Mostly Myth, Not Medieval History

Picked up this book thinking I would learn about King Arthur, and perhaps pick up a little about British history. But a third of the way through, I'm learning that historians agree that it's almost completely made up, the 1100s...

By Nolan Gray
Human Inquiry Skills Gain Value in AI Era
SocialApr 12, 2026

Human Inquiry Skills Gain Value in AI Era

The rise of AI will massively increase the value on being able to generate new information that isn't yet available in digital form. Can you call people and ask questions? Can you observe things in a systematic way? Can you...

By Nolan Gray
East Coast Urban Corridor Deserves Japan‑Style High‑Speed Rail
SocialApr 12, 2026

East Coast Urban Corridor Deserves Japan‑Style High‑Speed Rail

It seems pretty reasonable to me that the dense urbanism that extends from Boston to Miami should be connected by high-speed rail, as in Japan. https://t.co/oPwSqixSot

By Nolan Gray
Adopt California ADU Model, Create National Market
SocialApr 12, 2026

Adopt California ADU Model, Create National Market

Illinois should align their ADU framework with California's highly successful ADU framework. We need a national common market for manufactured ADUs in particular to really drive costs down. This is theoretically something the federal government might coordinate, but, well...

By Nolan Gray
California's Costly Fees Stifle Projects, Drain Tax Revenue
SocialApr 12, 2026

California's Costly Fees Stifle Projects, Drain Tax Revenue

More high-cost California cities need to be slashing fees and unfunded mandates. Slapping six-figures in costs on projects such that nothing pencils, thereb6 losing millions in possible tax revenue, is penny rich, pound dollar poor policy.

By Nolan Gray
Inclusionary Zoning Halts Construction Without High Market Rents
SocialApr 12, 2026

Inclusionary Zoning Halts Construction Without High Market Rents

This is kind of the problem though, right? (I) Even in the best of cases, inclusionary zoning locks in high market rents. The moment market rents aren't high enough to bear the cross subsidy, construction stops until they are...

By Nolan Gray
Require Cost‑Benefit Review for All Building Code Changes
SocialApr 12, 2026

Require Cost‑Benefit Review for All Building Code Changes

Every change to the building code should come with a rigorous cost-benefit analysis, and we should to this analysis of the entire existing code. (And then ban arbitrary local amendments that make the code more restrictive.)

By Nolan Gray
From Global Planning Leader to Six‑Figure Bench Costs
SocialApr 11, 2026

From Global Planning Leader to Six‑Figure Bench Costs

America was once a global leader in city planning: we planning out thousands of street grids and civic centers, building the world's largest transit and park networks, inventing new genres of architecture, etc. Now we can barely install a park...

By Nolan Gray
Sacramento's Best Eats: Farm‑to‑Table New American
SocialApr 11, 2026

Sacramento's Best Eats: Farm‑to‑Table New American

Part of the mental reset of living in Sacramento has been realizing that it's the first city I've ever lived in where all the best restaurants are farm-to-table New American.

By Nolan Gray
AB130 Exposes the Decline of CEQA NIMBYism
SocialApr 11, 2026

AB130 Exposes the Decline of CEQA NIMBYism

This piece on one of the first Sacramento projects to benefit from the AB 130 CEQA infill exemption ends up being a really interesting profile into the shadowy (dying) wold of CEQA NIMBYism, and the deluded people who engaged in...

By Nolan Gray
Questioning Proven AV Safety Is Irresponsible, Like Vaccine Skepticism
SocialApr 10, 2026

Questioning Proven AV Safety Is Irresponsible, Like Vaccine Skepticism

The data on AV traffic safety improvements is so clear and overwhelming that I think it's a bit unethical to run stuff like this. It's basically the transportation planning equivalent of vaccine skepticism.

By Nolan Gray
SB 2074 to Streamline High‑Rise Housing Near Transit
SocialApr 9, 2026

SB 2074 to Streamline High‑Rise Housing Near Transit

California YIMBY is proud to be sponsoring SB 2074 with @MattHaneySF, a bill that will make it easier to build high-rise residential in the transit-rich downtowns of our state's largest cities. In this thread, a little context. 🧵 https://t.co/cCGoKcLwkl

By Nolan Gray
California Cities Split: San Diego Vacancies Rise, SF Rents Surge
SocialApr 8, 2026

California Cities Split: San Diego Vacancies Rise, SF Rents Surge

California cities: progress toward RHNA... San Diego: 29% ... highest vacancy rate in 15 years, rents falling Los Angeles: 18% ... San Francisco: 5% ... rock bottom vacancy rate, fastest rising rents in the country https://t.co/dcF33RmwJ2

By Nolan Gray
SB 79 Tackles NIMBY Politics with YIMBY Reform Allies
SocialApr 8, 2026

SB 79 Tackles NIMBY Politics with YIMBY Reform Allies

I understand that the political incentives in this district push align around NIMBYism. (Hence why SB 79 is needed.) And you'll find allies among the YIMBYs on fixing ULA, reforming building codes, and reducing fees. (We're the only ones doing...

By Nolan Gray
Japanese Art Captures Christianity Better than Many Western Works
SocialApr 5, 2026

Japanese Art Captures Christianity Better than Many Western Works

Since this English-Japanese Twitter cambrian exchange is happening around Easter, I feel I should point out that Japan has produced the two fictional works that I think most understand Christianity: the novel "Silence" by Shusaku Endo and the film "Tokyo...

By Nolan Gray
Earth: Our Oasis Spaceship in the Cosmic Void
SocialApr 5, 2026

Earth: Our Oasis Spaceship in the Cosmic Void

"You're on a spaceship called Earth that was created to give us a place to live in the universe. In all of this emptiness ... you have this oasis, this beautiful place that we get to exist together." Sethian Gnostics,...

By Nolan Gray
Red Metros Outpace Blue in Both Infill and Sprawl
SocialApr 4, 2026

Red Metros Outpace Blue in Both Infill and Sprawl

I don't think so. Red state metros (Houston, Charlotte, Orlando) build a lot more infill per capita than blue state metros, in addition to sprawl. "Do you support sprawl or infill?" isn't how this issue plays out in the real...

By Nolan Gray
60% Gas Hike Threatens Collapse in Vulnerable Nations
SocialApr 4, 2026

60% Gas Hike Threatens Collapse in Vulnerable Nations

Under normal circumstances, a 60% increase in gas prices is the sort of thing that can easily cause political/economic collapse, a lost decade, and many thousands of lives lost in a place like Guatemala or Thailand.

By Nolan Gray
Push Immediate Central Valley High-Speed Rail Launch
SocialApr 1, 2026

Push Immediate Central Valley High-Speed Rail Launch

A dumb idea you're all going to hate: at this point, they should just prioritize opening this as operational Central Valley high-speed rail as soon as possible. The extension from Merced to Stockton/Sacramento is easy, and at least as useful...

By Nolan Gray
Midwest Replaces Freeways with Multimodal Linear Neighborhoods
SocialApr 1, 2026

Midwest Replaces Freeways with Multimodal Linear Neighborhoods

This is great. The Midwest built some truly insane urban freeways, and is now taking the right approach on removing them: don't replace them with a giant dead park, or a dangerous boulevard, but a multimodal corridor surrounded by a...

By Nolan Gray
Pasadena Seeks Exemption From Transit‑friendly SB 79 Amid Rising Rents
SocialMar 28, 2026

Pasadena Seeks Exemption From Transit‑friendly SB 79 Amid Rising Rents

Even as rents rise, Pasadena is trying to get carved out from SB 79, a bill that would make it easier to build apartments near transit. https://t.co/8Ku8qFkpZW

By Nolan Gray
Revive Prohibition‑Era River Cruises for Nighttime Jazz Trips
SocialMar 28, 2026

Revive Prohibition‑Era River Cruises for Nighttime Jazz Trips

America should bring back Prohibition-era river cruises. I'd totally take a 10-hour overnight ride from Sacramento to San Francisco full of cocktails, jazz, and gambling. https://t.co/eLcJb4fYtl

By Nolan Gray
Legalized Missing‑Middle Housing Stalled by Over‑Restrictive Design Rules
SocialMar 28, 2026

Legalized Missing‑Middle Housing Stalled by Over‑Restrictive Design Rules

The trouble is that even erstwhile advocates of missing middle legalize it, but then subject to such restrictive design and massing standards that it can never actually get built. That's what's happening right now in Sacramento.

By Nolan Gray
Yearning for K Line Extension to Ditch Traffic, Pricey Parking
SocialMar 27, 2026

Yearning for K Line Extension to Ditch Traffic, Pricey Parking

Can't wait to someday take the K Line from Midtown to the Hollywood Bowl with my fellow crackheads, instead of sitting in hours of traffic and paying $100 for parking.

By Nolan Gray
California Cities Show Surprisingly Permissive Building Permits
SocialMar 27, 2026

California Cities Show Surprisingly Permissive Building Permits

Okay, fine, I'll write my YIMBY hopepill piece. I think the commentariat is underrating the fact that the permitting profile of a non-negligable number of California cities looks like this. https://t.co/dm0ayGhSuO

By Nolan Gray