Nolan Gray

Nolan Gray

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Urban planning researcher; zoning reform, permitting, and housing supply economics.

California Dominates Renting Crisis; Remove Homeownership Barriers
SocialMar 27, 2026

California Dominates Renting Crisis; Remove Homeownership Barriers

Four of the top five metropolitan areas where families are stuck renting are in California—we've got to remove the additional hurdles facing homeownership projects and fix this. https://t.co/dFa0tWCiSh

By Nolan Gray
California Housing Boom Fuels Odd Mixed‑use Projects
SocialMar 27, 2026

California Housing Boom Fuels Odd Mixed‑use Projects

He's joking, and this is an absurd example, but expect to see more weird mixed-use development as it gets easier to build housing in California and harder to build anything else. I'm aware of one self-storage project that added ~30...

By Nolan Gray
NYC Moves From ADU Bans to Supportive Website
SocialMar 26, 2026

NYC Moves From ADU Bans to Supportive Website

Eight years ago, I was a city planner in Central Queens. One of the worst part of the job was having to tell homeowners that it wasn't legal to build an ADU. Now New York City has a whole website...

By Nolan Gray
Future K Line Riders Reap Benefits of This Week's Efforts
SocialMar 26, 2026

Future K Line Riders Reap Benefits of This Week's Efforts

Many millions of future K Line riders will benefit from the hard efforts of those who held the line this week.

By Nolan Gray
Donald Shoup’s Idea Sparks Chicago Parking Reform Hurricane
SocialMar 26, 2026

Donald Shoup’s Idea Sparks Chicago Parking Reform Hurricane

A butterfly named Donald Shoup flaps his wings in 1999 and 27 years later a hurricane of parking reform hits Chicago. https://t.co/g1LTjVy6jw

By Nolan Gray
SB 79 Coverage Clarified: New HCD Memo Details
SocialMar 24, 2026

SB 79 Coverage Clarified: New HCD Memo Details

A new HCD advisory memo clarifies various aspect of SB 79's coverage. In a new blog post, we explain some of the key details. The law takes effect on July 1. https://t.co/72OC7L9k4K

By Nolan Gray
LAPD Calls Pedestrian Ticket Sting ‘Education,’ Not Enforcement
SocialMar 24, 2026

LAPD Calls Pedestrian Ticket Sting ‘Education,’ Not Enforcement

It's not a "set up" or a "trap," it's vanilla traffic enforcement along a corridor where reckless drivers regularly strike and kill pedestrians using crosswalk.

By Nolan Gray
Zoning Flexibility Key for Commercial‑to‑residential Conversions
SocialMar 23, 2026

Zoning Flexibility Key for Commercial‑to‑residential Conversions

A necessary, if not sufficient, condition for commercial to residential conversions is to provide maximum zoning flexibility, e.g. the exemptions on parking mandates provided for by AB 2097. I provide comment: https://t.co/O3dF26SHCm

By Nolan Gray
Top Gear Mocked Prius, Now It's Mainstream Reliability
SocialMar 23, 2026

Top Gear Mocked Prius, Now It's Mainstream Reliability

Remember in the late 00s/early 10s when the Top Gear guys would endlessly joke about how the Prius was an unreliable car, reliant on untested technology? I remember.

By Nolan Gray
ADU Preemption Law Drives 100,000 New Homes.
SocialMar 19, 2026

ADU Preemption Law Drives 100,000 New Homes.

California's ADU preemption law—of the sort Michigan is considering this year—has directly led to the construction of over 100,000 housing units that would have been illegal prior to 2017. https://t.co/dtgk8BfnNT

By Nolan Gray
Assuming 100% Development Underestimates Needed Zoning by 5x
SocialMar 19, 2026

Assuming 100% Development Underestimates Needed Zoning by 5x

This assumes that the probability of development of zoned capacity is 100%. That's unrealistic. Let's math it out: DC needs 120,000 units by 2050. Assume a high p(dev) of 5% every 5 years. DC would need to zone for 622,100...

By Nolan Gray
California's Insurance Could Vanish Within a Decade
SocialMar 18, 2026

California's Insurance Could Vanish Within a Decade

It's wild to think that insurance as we know it today might not existing in California in 10 years, and yet it remains a somewhat fringe policy area. https://t.co/LA9JJ0AORm

By Nolan Gray
Google Docs AI Misjudges Its Own AI Usage Guidelines
SocialMar 18, 2026

Google Docs AI Misjudges Its Own AI Usage Guidelines

Ironic that the Google Docs AI provided bad style feedback on the section of an assignment prompt setting out my standards for AI use. https://t.co/QOZtxgEU2Z

By Nolan Gray
California Dream Fades, Yet Solutions Begin Emerging
SocialMar 17, 2026

California Dream Fades, Yet Solutions Begin Emerging

"For many, the California dream has started to slip away," California YIMBY's Nolan Gray said. "But we're not here to talk about problems. We're here to talk about the beginning of a solution." https://t.co/qf01WgUEly

By Nolan Gray
Sacramento’s Suburbs Grow Northeast, Southeast, Not Toward Bay
SocialMar 17, 2026

Sacramento’s Suburbs Grow Northeast, Southeast, Not Toward Bay

Why did Sacramento's suburbanization extend the to the northeast and southeast, rather than to the north, west, or southwest—toward the prosperous Bay Area? (1/2) https://t.co/fYIcWzLEsu

By Nolan Gray
Advocating Middle-Class Housing Amid Low-Income Subsidy Push
SocialMar 17, 2026

Advocating Middle-Class Housing Amid Low-Income Subsidy Push

Spot on. We try to fill this niche: in a building where every special interest wants their chunk of flesh, and every ideologue only wants subsidized/income-verified/low-income rentals, we're out here fighting to get housing built for normal, middle-class California families.

By Nolan Gray
Forgotten Victims: Forced Sterilizations in India Ignored
SocialMar 17, 2026

Forgotten Victims: Forced Sterilizations in India Ignored

Where's the obituary for the millions of poor Indians who were forcibly sterilized by international programs directly inspires by Ehrlich's work? Or would that story be "premature"?

By Nolan Gray
Sierra Foothills Feel Like an Alien, Signal‑free Planet
SocialMar 16, 2026

Sierra Foothills Feel Like an Alien, Signal‑free Planet

Driving up the eastern foothills of the Sierra Nevadas is the closest I've ever felt to being on another planet. Extremely isolated, extremely visually striking, no signal.

By Nolan Gray
Office Spaces Often Feel Soul‑destroying, Questioning Return‑to‑office
SocialMar 14, 2026

Office Spaces Often Feel Soul‑destroying, Questioning Return‑to‑office

I'm generally pro-return to office, but I acknowledge that one of the stronger arguments against this view is the fact that the typical American office space is one of the most soul-destroying spaces in the developed world. https://t.co/ruIzNYxOYy

By Nolan Gray
Short‑term Rentals Barely Affect Sacramento Housing Supply
SocialMar 14, 2026

Short‑term Rentals Barely Affect Sacramento Housing Supply

The share of Sacramento's housing stock that is a fully dedicated to short-term rentals is a rounding error, a fraction of a percent. This isn't about housing affordability and it's funny how many people involved are pretending like it is....

By Nolan Gray
Institutional Buying Doesn't Hike Prices; Building New Homes Lowers Them
SocialMar 13, 2026

Institutional Buying Doesn't Hike Prices; Building New Homes Lowers Them

It's not actually that complicated: 1️⃣ There's no evidence that institutional purchases of existing single-family homes drives up prices. 2️⃣ Institutional financing, building, and ownership of new single-family homes expands the housing supply and drives down prices.

By Nolan Gray
Density Bonuses Outpace Inclusionary Zoning in Affordable Housing
SocialMar 13, 2026

Density Bonuses Outpace Inclusionary Zoning in Affordable Housing

It's a strange thing: density bonus laws have created orders of magnitude more affordable housing than inclusionary zoning laws, which evidence suggests may reduce overall housing production. Yet the latter remains more popular, I suspect because NIMBYs recognize its utility.

By Nolan Gray
Financing Rules and Lawsuits Have Halted U.S. Condo Construction
SocialMar 13, 2026

Financing Rules and Lawsuits Have Halted U.S. Condo Construction

Over the past 20 years, America has basically stopped building condos. Owing to a mix of restrictive financing regulations and endless defect litigation, the most viable path to urban homeownership has largely disapprared. In my latest for @TheAtlantic, we explain...

By Nolan Gray
Hyperion's Vivid Scenes Linger Long After Author's Death
SocialMar 13, 2026

Hyperion's Vivid Scenes Linger Long After Author's Death

Wow, I didn't know he passed. I think about Hyperion on like a daily basis. There are fictional scenes from that book that are seared into my brain.

By Nolan Gray
California's “Prohousing” Label Ignores Actual Building Results
SocialMar 12, 2026

California's “Prohousing” Label Ignores Actual Building Results

The trouble with California's prohousing designation is that it only recognizes policies adopted—and not the outcome of interest, which is more housing getting permitted and built. Too many "prohousing" cities aren't really doing much to build housing. https://t.co/tjn6bDrDRd

By Nolan Gray
Explore a City by Riding Its Commuter Train Outward
SocialMar 12, 2026

Explore a City by Riding Its Commuter Train Outward

I once asked Alain Bertaud, how do you learn about a new city upon your first visit? He said, I get on a commuter train in the central city and ride it out as far as it will go.

By Nolan Gray
Radio DJs Once Recorded Bumpers on Sony Minidiscs
SocialMar 12, 2026

Radio DJs Once Recorded Bumpers on Sony Minidiscs

When I was an on-air radio DJ in the early 2010s, all of our bumper spots were recorded on Sony minidiscs. The technology of a forgotten future, and the sort of thing that's everywhere in Japan. https://t.co/3ITnIGzgW1

By Nolan Gray
Democrats Push Stricter Hair‑braiding Licensing than Republicans
SocialMar 12, 2026

Democrats Push Stricter Hair‑braiding Licensing than Republicans

In Louisiana, the Democratic hair braiding licensing bill would require 600 hours of training at a licensed cosmetology school, an annual exam, and a fee. The Republican bill would require an annual 20-question health and safety exam and a fee....

By Nolan Gray
Mass Truck Driver Layoff Panic Was Overblown
SocialMar 11, 2026

Mass Truck Driver Layoff Panic Was Overblown

Remember 10 years ago when there was a minor panic over what we were going to do about the imminent mass layoffs of truck drivers? That was weird. https://t.co/DLQmJBUiDt

By Nolan Gray
Add Lush Foliage to Brutalist Architecture for Impact
SocialMar 10, 2026

Add Lush Foliage to Brutalist Architecture for Impact

I think the missing element is plants, i.e. ecobrutalism or tropical brutalism. A stern, sober structure standing amid lush, mature foliage produces a nice aesthetic effect. https://t.co/uyXl3oKDMO

By Nolan Gray
Sun Belt Housing Crisis Threatens Young Families' Homes
SocialMar 10, 2026

Sun Belt Housing Crisis Threatens Young Families' Homes

This is going to wreck housing production in a lot of Sun Belt cities, and leave many young families without access to a single-family home.

By Nolan Gray
Cut Email Length in Half with Claude
SocialMar 10, 2026

Cut Email Length in Half with Claude

Free professional advice: If your email is longer than 100 words, paste the draft into Claude, ask it to reduce the word count by 50% without abridging substantive content, review it, and then send it.

By Nolan Gray
Suburban Chicago Letter Against Zoning Reform Reads Like Parody
SocialMar 10, 2026

Suburban Chicago Letter Against Zoning Reform Reads Like Parody

I was originally going to dunk on this suburban Chicago letter to the editor opposing Illinois' state-level zoning reforms, but this must surely be parody, right? https://t.co/jdAAyhY21g

By Nolan Gray
House Sacramento Co-Hosts Fundraiser for Safe Streets Ballot
SocialMar 10, 2026

House Sacramento Co-Hosts Fundraiser for Safe Streets Ballot

This Saturday, House Sacramento will be co-hosting a fundraiser to support the safe streets and transit ballot initiative. See you there? @SacYIMBY https://t.co/nlkXHa4T4Y

By Nolan Gray
Freedom of Movement Remains Core American Value, YIMBY Book Shows
SocialMar 9, 2026

Freedom of Movement Remains Core American Value, YIMBY Book Shows

There's actually a whole YIMBY book wrestling with this question—it's called Stuck by Yoni Appelbaum and it's fantastic—and the answer is that freedom of movement is a core value of American political life.

By Nolan Gray
Pro‑Homes Backs ‘Golden Girls’ Bill Protecting Bedroom Rentals
SocialMar 9, 2026

Pro‑Homes Backs ‘Golden Girls’ Bill Protecting Bedroom Rentals

Pro-Homes Connecticut is backing SB 399—dubbed the "Golden Girls" bill—would protect the right of homeowners to rent out bedrooms of their home. It's moving to the senate. https://t.co/oRyGglGZa2

By Nolan Gray
Previewing California YIMBY's 2026 Legislative Agenda
SocialMar 9, 2026

Previewing California YIMBY's 2026 Legislative Agenda

On Thursday, I'll be walking through California YIMBY's excellent 2026 legislative agenda. See you there? https://t.co/3KTPbOnoos

By Nolan Gray
Build-to-Rent Ban Threatens Catastrophic Harm to Housing Bill
SocialMar 9, 2026

Build-to-Rent Ban Threatens Catastrophic Harm to Housing Bill

If the build to rent ban isn't removed from ROAD to Housing, the bill could do catastrophic harm.

By Nolan Gray
SB 684-1123 Bypasses SB 9 Owner-Occupancy Limits
SocialMar 2, 2026

SB 684-1123 Bypasses SB 9 Owner-Occupancy Limits

Yet more SB 684-1123 projects starting entitlement in Sacramento. In this case, it's being uses to do the exact sort of thing intended by SB 9. Why did it work? Doesn't have the SB 9 owner-occupancy poison pill. https://t.co/mXfsiuKvEJ

By Nolan Gray
California's Development Boom: New Opportunities Unleashed
SocialFeb 28, 2026

California's Development Boom: New Opportunities Unleashed

Release the Kraken. A lot of new development opportunities are about to open up across California...

By Nolan Gray
Excited for Bill, Building Revolving Loan Fund Boost
SocialFeb 28, 2026

Excited for Bill, Building Revolving Loan Fund Boost

I'm excited about this bill. We're working concurrently to establish the revolving loan fund needed to make it pencil, but it's going to be a lift.

By Nolan Gray
SB 1216 Rewards Cities Actively Building Housing
SocialFeb 27, 2026

SB 1216 Rewards Cities Actively Building Housing

All of the bills we're sponsoring are great, but I'm especially excited about this one: after years of state mandates to plan and adopt policies, SB 1216 will recognize cities that are actually building housing and afford them warranted flexibiltiy/grace...

By Nolan Gray
Institutional Home Ownership Boosts Rental Diversity, Not Affordability
SocialFeb 26, 2026

Institutional Home Ownership Boosts Rental Diversity, Not Affordability

The only empirical finding I've seen on the effect of institutional ownership of single-family homes is that it makes neighborhoods slightly more diverse, to the extent that rentals are more accessible to more households. The issue is an affordability red...

By Nolan Gray
Freezing California's Building Code Prevents Stricter Updates, Chaos
SocialFeb 26, 2026

Freezing California's Building Code Prevents Stricter Updates, Chaos

Some YIMBYs were mad mad that California froze the building code through 2031, on the idea that it would block hypothetical good code updates like single stair. But the reality of annual code updates is actually just an ever-stricter code...

By Nolan Gray
SB 79: Infill Housing Near Transit, A Missed Environmental Victory
SocialFeb 26, 2026

SB 79: Infill Housing Near Transit, A Missed Environmental Victory

SB 79, which legalized hundreds of thousands of new infill homes within walking distance of transit, is perhaps the biggest environmental win of a generation, yet the old guard of environmentalism can't even recognize it as such.

By Nolan Gray
Vermont's Statewide Pre‑approval Needed; Local Opt‑in Hampers Scaling
SocialFeb 25, 2026

Vermont's Statewide Pre‑approval Needed; Local Opt‑in Hampers Scaling

This effort in Vermont to establish statewide pre-approved plans is a step in the right direction—key to the scalability needed for affordable infill housing, especially modular/manufactured housing. But making it a local "opt in" kind of undermines that. https://t.co/RxlmZXG3iY

By Nolan Gray
Unfunded Inclusionary Zoning Perpetuates Exclusion; Fund Affordable Housing
SocialFeb 23, 2026

Unfunded Inclusionary Zoning Perpetuates Exclusion; Fund Affordable Housing

Unfunded "inclusionary" zoning is a recipe for permanent exclusion. It presupposes that rents/prices will always be high enough to cross-subsidize a tiny number of lottery-assigned affordable units. If you actually want affordable housing at scale, you have to fund it.

By Nolan Gray
Superstar Cities Retain Elite, Middle Class Shifts South
SocialFeb 22, 2026

Superstar Cities Retain Elite, Middle Class Shifts South

Thanks to the logic of agglomeration economies, America's superstar cities will always centers of elite talent and the FOTB immigrants who serve them, but the middle class has moved en masse to the South and they've taken a lot of...

By Nolan Gray