Rick Palacios Jr.

Rick Palacios Jr.

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Director of Research at JBREC; single-family & build-for-rent trends, pricing, and demand analysis.

Seeking Nashville Meet‑up at Home Equity Conference
SocialApr 6, 2026

Seeking Nashville Meet‑up at Home Equity Conference

If anybody on here is in Nashville this week for the home equity investment & lending conference let me know - would be great to connect. I’ve been trying to get closer to this space the last few years, as...

By Rick Palacios Jr.
Housing Guidance Expected to Tighten Earlier in 2026
SocialMar 27, 2026

Housing Guidance Expected to Tighten Earlier in 2026

Last year it took until early summer for the housing industry to throw in the towel and lower guidance across the board (namely housing starts). Thinking we pull the timing of that directional guidance revision forward a few months in...

By Rick Palacios Jr.
Spring Housing Outlook Crumbles as Rates Surge Above 6%
SocialMar 20, 2026

Spring Housing Outlook Crumbles as Rates Surge Above 6%

In less than a month, hope for a decent spring selling season has all but vanished in housing as oil spikes, rates jump, and inflation expectations reset higher. Can’t even get an adjustable-rate mortgage below 6% anymore. https://t.co/YOV544jjTl

By Rick Palacios Jr.
Rising Transport and Petroleum Costs Squeeze Homebuilder Margins
SocialMar 20, 2026

Rising Transport and Petroleum Costs Squeeze Homebuilder Margins

Falling construction costs were a rare positive for homebuilders in 2025. That’s quickly shifting as transport costs jump, as will build costs since many construction products are petroleum based. Hard for homebuilders to push new cost increases through, so more...

By Rick Palacios Jr.
Homebuilder Sales Stall as Rates, Oil Concerns Loom
SocialMar 18, 2026

Homebuilder Sales Stall as Rates, Oil Concerns Loom

Through mid-March, homebuilder sales and pricing trends have underwhelmed. Not a great start to the spring selling season, with homebuilders we survey noting Iran/oil/rising interest rates becoming part of the consumer psyche for staying on the sidelines.

By Rick Palacios Jr.
Lennar Targets Top U.S. Homebuilder Spot After Decade
SocialMar 13, 2026

Lennar Targets Top U.S. Homebuilder Spot After Decade

Lennar making a run at #1 homebuilder in America. Would be the first time for $LEN in ~10 years. https://t.co/0gp2tHaQZv

By Rick Palacios Jr.
New Housing Act Threatens Supply and Affordability, Especially BTR
SocialMar 8, 2026

New Housing Act Threatens Supply and Affordability, Especially BTR

The proposed “21st Century ROAD to Housing Act” will suppress future housing supply and worsen affordability. A harsher stance on build-to-rent (BTR) is most concerning, and we fear much of the housing supply seen in our chart below is now...

By Rick Palacios Jr.
High‑Income Job Losses Undermine Local Housing Outlook
SocialMar 8, 2026

High‑Income Job Losses Undermine Local Housing Outlook

High-income job declines don’t work well for the housing market. This is a trend (namely at local level) we’ve been hammering on the last few years as we maintain a weak outlook for housing in general. https://t.co/jN2DMafhy5 https://t.co/NhCzjO8knR

By Rick Palacios Jr.
Homebuilders Cut Starts, Offer Incentives Amid Low‑Ball Offers
SocialMar 5, 2026

Homebuilders Cut Starts, Offer Incentives Amid Low‑Ball Offers

Atlanta Fed Beige Book: “Homebuilders pulled back on housing starts and utilized incentives to shrink speculative inventory. Some builders reported home buyers shopping around for the best deals and often presented “low-ball” offers. This is especially true in the entry-level...

By Rick Palacios Jr.
Nearly One‑Fifth of California Property Transfers Are Inherited
SocialMar 1, 2026

Nearly One‑Fifth of California Property Transfers Are Inherited

Wild stat: “~18% of all property transfers in California last year were made through inheritance.” https://t.co/LPI84VU4Uh https://t.co/oHzRbjVzOn

By Rick Palacios Jr.
Rising Rents and Lower Rates Drive Renters Toward Buying
SocialFeb 25, 2026

Rising Rents and Lower Rates Drive Renters Toward Buying

For renters, a strong nudge to think about buying a home often comes from a big renewal increase. As the rental market crawls out of its recession, and mortgage rates start with a 5 not a 6, expect more renters...

By Rick Palacios Jr.