Rod Alzmann

Rod Alzmann

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Investor; equity research and live X Spaces on stock analysis.

Reserve Claude for Complex Tasks, Use Perplexity Pro for Queries
SocialMar 12, 2026

Reserve Claude for Complex Tasks, Use Perplexity Pro for Queries

Pro-tip (or at least something I as a user concluded): Use Perplexity Pro to handle most Sonnet queries (w web grounding), and reserve your direct paid Claude quota for Opus-level tasks or pure LLM work where you don’t want search...

By Rod Alzmann
Tax Wrappers Are Cheat Codes, Not Indexing Tools
SocialMar 8, 2026

Tax Wrappers Are Cheat Codes, Not Indexing Tools

Tax wrappers (IRAs, HSAs, etc.) are cheat codes for arbs & special situations. Active investors using them as indexing & long-term only vehicles are sabotaging their risk adjusted after tax returns. https://t.co/HDlplC0mGI

By Rod Alzmann
Mispriced $MLCI Offers Second Chance at $5
SocialMar 7, 2026

Mispriced $MLCI Offers Second Chance at $5

Sometimes Mr. Market hands you a mulligan. I got clipped tendering $MLCI from the wrong zip code, then got a second swing at $5.00 after the board itself paid $9.43. I wrote up the mispricing, the mechanics, and...

By Rod Alzmann
Probabilistic GDOT Analysis Shows Inevitable Math Outcomes
SocialMar 5, 2026

Probabilistic GDOT Analysis Shows Inevitable Math Outcomes

Just published a writeup on $GDOT, the math is inevitable. (I am being playful, the math is probabilistic. DYODD, see disclaimers in my post, linked below:) https://t.co/ZjGJRg0ROs

By Rod Alzmann
STUB Trades at Deep Discount Despite Strong Margins
SocialMar 5, 2026

STUB Trades at Deep Discount Despite Strong Margins

Took a $STUB starter this morning. At ~$9/sh, EV of ~$3.4B represents ~8x 2026 EBITDA guide MP & ~22x RR FCF. Regulatory resale (~10% GMS) risks appear discounted. This is deeply discounted to any reasonable comp set for a scaled marketplace with...

By Rod Alzmann
GRV
SocialMar 4, 2026

GRV

$GRVY going negative EV again despite governance reform & an activist at majority owner GungHo may lure me back in as Kospi gets gutted https://t.co/G956qY7aXY

By Rod Alzmann
Turned Defensive Tactics Against Misaligned Controllers
SocialMar 3, 2026

Turned Defensive Tactics Against Misaligned Controllers

"Prophylactic measures" are typically what boards use to defend against activists (e.g., poison pills, staggered boards, etc). With $MAPS I flipped the script. In the presence of controllers with misaligned incentives, I had to deploy prophylactic defenses to box the board...

By Rod Alzmann
Wholesale Options Signals Reveal Crucial Market Fundamentals
SocialMar 3, 2026

Wholesale Options Signals Reveal Crucial Market Fundamentals

Even if you're not an active single name options market participant, ignoring wholesale the signals & pricing in those markets can be tantamount to ignoring fundamental developments.

By Rod Alzmann
VSNT Q4: Lower Dividend, $1B Repo Boost, Upside Potential
SocialMar 3, 2026

VSNT Q4: Lower Dividend, $1B Repo Boost, Upside Potential

Just gonna repost this $VSNT thread alongside the 4Q25 results. Dividend a bit lower than I expected ($0.375, ~4.5% yield on close), $1B repo authorization is a nice carrot tho. ST upside from staying below R2K incl. threshold by 4/30 rank day. IR...

By Rod Alzmann
Docebo's Net Remains Strong Despite Withholding Tax
SocialFeb 28, 2026

Docebo's Net Remains Strong Despite Withholding Tax

If you haven't picked up these odd-lots yet there's still time to next week. Docebo's net should be nice even with some withholding tax headwinds. See details & disclaimers in my 'stack post:

By Rod Alzmann
Unexpected $LE Dip, but Solid IRR Outlook Before Q4 Earnings
SocialFeb 24, 2026

Unexpected $LE Dip, but Solid IRR Outlook Before Q4 Earnings

Surprised to see $LE dip so much the past few days. No news afaict. I'm not allocating more here presently given current size, but seems a solid expected IRR special situation as we approach the 4Q earnings where presumably management...

By Rod Alzmann
Insider Take‑Private Looms as Settlement Clears Weedmaps Squeeze‑Out Path
SocialFeb 23, 2026

Insider Take‑Private Looms as Settlement Clears Weedmaps Squeeze‑Out Path

No Cheap Squeeze-Outs: My Process Letter to the Weedmaps Board The settlement AIP cleared the path for insiders to strike. With a renewed take-private looking imminent before the proxy, I just served formal notice to the $MAPS Special Committee. See full presentation,...

By Rod Alzmann
Undervalued Stock <
SocialFeb 23, 2026

Undervalued Stock <

Imagine selling a security barely above net cash because of industry overhang/listing deficiency while it trades at <2x EV/TTM FCF with massive impending regulatory tailwinds? https://t.co/HZIgUsuHYT

By Rod Alzmann
Avoid Massive Drawdowns: 99.99% Loss Needs 9,900% Gain
SocialFeb 22, 2026

Avoid Massive Drawdowns: 99.99% Loss Needs 9,900% Gain

For the avoidance of doubt the marketer cited a 99.99% loss, which requires a 99,900% gain to get back to breakeven. Start w 100 drop 99.99% = a penny To return to 100 from 0.01, you capital must increase 9,900-fold. Avoid big drawdowns....

By Rod Alzmann
MLCI Could Hit $8, Offering 55% Upside
SocialFeb 22, 2026

MLCI Could Hit $8, Offering 55% Upside

Gemini's view on $MLCI's 10b5-1 impact post tender heading into their next quarterly update in March. Getting back to 0.75x BV after these assumptions would put the stock at nearly $8... which sounds miles away (+55%) and yet would still...

By Rod Alzmann