SmartReversals
TA analyst covering SPY/QQQ and crypto with oscillators, Bollinger Bands and short‑term momentum shift analysis.
Breakouts Bullish, Yet High RSI Signals Potential Drop
SMH: Are breakouts bullish? They are. Just be aware that the last time the RSI for semiconductors was above 80, there was a -6% move in a single day as part of the consolidation. Back then, we didn't have three gaps below us, with the first one alone implying a -4% move. #AMD Like for more charts 💚
Apple MACD Bullish Crossover Signals Potential 5% Rise
AAPL: Weekly bullish MACD crossovers usually precede average moves of +5% within three weeks. With earnings scheduled for this Thursday, the week is key to confirm the signal, currently brewing.
SPX Stochastic Signals Ongoing Bullish Momentum
SPX: During the last 10 years, every time the Stochastic bounced from oversold area and made it above 50, the index maintained bullish continuation and consolidated when the oscillator was overbought (+80) with both lines. There is room for further...
Bitcoin Bull Run May Hit $80.6K Soon
BTC: Bitcoin is in a bull trend consistently invalidating daily shooting stars as momentum continues. The 10-day moving average is carrying this move and the price is far from greed. Don’t rule out a test of $80.6K within the next...
SPY's Range Signals Potential Drop to $695
SPY Indecision at the Top: The price has moved between 702.5 and 711 this week, building a small volume shelf. Any loss of today’s low could send the price to $695 (volume shelf below), validating the short-term bearish RSI divergence...
SPX Gap Filled, Bearish Engulfing Signals Pullback
SPX: The gap was filled with a bearish engulfing candle as the RSI fell from overbought levels (70). A tactical pullback/consolidation usually follows. Given the afternoon's indecisive price action, keep a close eye on $7,021; if lost tomorrow, the decline...
Weekly Stochastic Crossover Signals New Market Bottom
QQQ: Over the last 10 years, bullish Stochastic crossovers on the weekly chart have marked notable bottoms. The move is validated when the oscillator crosses 50, which is the case today. #NDX
Overbought McClellan Signals Short-Term Pullback Ahead
SPX: Overbought McClellan Oscillator +70 following a market bounce signals a short-term consolidation before the bullish continuation resumes. When the overbought condition is reached in a mature uptrend, it can precede a major pullback. The current case is a market bounce...
MSFT Poised for Pullback Before Next $441 Push
MSFT: A Shooting Star has formed above the upper Bollinger Band, leaving two open gaps below and RSI >70. A reset is likely before another attempt to reach the $441 gap. After a stellar weekly run of +14%, a pullback...
SPY Gap May Fill; DIA Shows Reversal Confirmation
GAP SYNCHRONY Distance vs. Friday Close: SPY: 702.78 (1.3%) RSI 73.5 QQQ: 642.18 (-1.2%) RSI 74.5 DIA: 486.6 (-2.1%) RSI 69 Daily Volume validating reversal candles, mostly on DIA. Healthy consolidation ahead. Will the $686.3 gap be filled for SPY? (-3.7% downside).
Solid Breakouts Ahead, Watch Consolidation Signals
Solid breakouts, be mindful of consolidations: #GOOG: Overbought RSI & Stochastic, $319 first gap #AAPL: Overbought Stochastic, RSI is ok, no gaps, some indecision #ORCL: Overbought RSI, Stochastic and Bollinger breached (big time), first gap at $172 💚🔁 for more
Amazon’s Overbought Signals Hint at Impending Pullback
AMZN: Upper Bollinger Band breached + overbought RSI have preceded notable pullbacks for Amazon. While the $213 may remain open (like $176 from 2025's bounce), other gaps are active magnets ahead of earnings: $250, $240, and $233. #QQQ
NVDA RSI Overbought Signals Potential Bullish Continuation
NVDA: The RSI is overbought for the first time since Oct2025. Next week will be key: Will the overbought condition persist, as in 2023, 2024, and 2025, or was this a "one-off" move before a decline similar to last October?...
IWM Small Caps Overbought, Pullback Likely Ahead
IWM: After a strong +16% multi-week rally, small caps reached an RSI above 73, an overbought condition that suggest a healthy pullback. Today's gap and indecisive candle build on the thesis.
RSI 70+ Signals 80% Likelihood of Pullback
SPX: During the last 2 years, RSI 70+ triggered pullbacks 8/10 times. The other 2 instances saw flat consolidations. 80% chances for a healthy pullback? Pullbacks post-2025 rally were mild. #SPY