Steve Hanke

Steve Hanke

Creator
0 followers

Economist; FX, monetary systems, EM inflation

War’s Environmental Toll: Largest Oil Spill Since Conflict
SocialMay 8, 2026

War’s Environmental Toll: Largest Oil Spill Since Conflict

Reuters reports the LARGEST oil spill since the US-Israeli war on Iran began, covering dozens of square kilometers near Kharg Island. Interesting that environmentalists rarely raise their voices to OPPOSE WAR — THE GREATEST ENEMY OF THE ENVIRONMENT. https://t.co/g3ud6XBwn6

By Steve Hanke
US Stock Market in Bubble Territory, Yield Spread Confirms
SocialMay 8, 2026

US Stock Market in Bubble Territory, Yield Spread Confirms

My view in @beincrypto on how the US stock market is OVERPRICED, OVERVALUED, and OVERHYPED: “My Bubble Detector says the US stock market is in bubble territory. So does the bond-stock yield spread. Buckle up.” https://t.co/EIcTSXkcsw

By Steve Hanke
PBF Refinery Blast Highlights Hanke's Theory of Chaos
SocialMay 8, 2026

PBF Refinery Blast Highlights Hanke's Theory of Chaos

Today, a MASSIVE explosion and fire erupted at the PBF Energy Refinery in Chalmette, Louisiana. Just more confirmation of Hanke's Schoolboy Theory of History: It's just one damn thing after another. https://t.co/cowyczjfqM

By Steve Hanke
Tariffs and War Drive US Sentiment to Record Low
SocialMay 8, 2026

Tariffs and War Drive US Sentiment to Record Low

The University of Michigan's consumer-sentiment index dropped to an ALL-TIME LOW. TRUMP'S TARIFFS & WAR MADNESS = CRUSHES AMERICAN SENTIMENT. https://t.co/DHKLYvmp7D

By Steve Hanke
McDonald's Faces Price Pressure Amid US‑Israeli Iran Conflict
SocialMay 8, 2026

McDonald's Faces Price Pressure Amid US‑Israeli Iran Conflict

The Financial Times reports that McDonald's is set to face PRICE PRESSURE as a result of the US-Israeli war on Iran. MCDONALD'S AND BIG MAC-ERS SHOULD SEND A BILL FOR DAMAGES TO TRUMP & NETANYAHU. https://t.co/7lsDYu36St

By Steve Hanke
US Stock Market Shows Bubble Signals, Yield Spread Confirms
SocialMay 8, 2026

US Stock Market Shows Bubble Signals, Yield Spread Confirms

My Bubble Detector says the US stock market is in bubble territory. So does the bond-stock yield spread. Buckle up. https://t.co/6ZhjdNX6mH

By Steve Hanke
Turkey's Inflation Likely to Ease, Says Leading Metric
SocialMay 8, 2026

Turkey's Inflation Likely to Ease, Says Leading Metric

#TurkeyWatch 🇹🇷: Turkey’s CPI inflation stands at 32.37%/yr in April. Today, my high-frequency inflation measure is 20.83%/yr — well below the official rate. My measure always leads the official measure. That suggests that Turkey’s inflation will moderate in the coming months. https://t.co/gzVHqiPVDx

By Steve Hanke
Cuba Ranks 40th Most Miserable Amid Soaring Inflation
SocialMay 8, 2026

Cuba Ranks 40th Most Miserable Amid Soaring Inflation

In Hanke’s 2025 Annual Misery Index in @FortuneMagazine, Cuba ranks as the 40TH MOST MISERABLE country in the world. This is thanks to their SKY-HIGH inflation at 29.1% and weak real GDP growth per capita. https://t.co/2Aw1eztfIQ

By Steve Hanke
Thailand Ranks 3rd Happiest with Low Misery
SocialMay 8, 2026

Thailand Ranks 3rd Happiest with Low Misery

In Hanke’s 2025 Annual Misery Index in @FortuneMagazine, Thailand ranks as the 3RD HAPPIEST COUNTRY out of 178 countries. This is thanks to their low unemployment and inflation paired with stable real GDP growth per capita of 2.5%. THAILAND = LOW MISERY...

By Steve Hanke
Rial Rebounds Sharply From Lows Despite 10‑day Decline
SocialMay 8, 2026

Rial Rebounds Sharply From Lows Despite 10‑day Decline

The Iranian rial’s performance over the last few days: 1. Today, depreciated 0.5% against the USD. 2. Appreciated 9.1% vs. the USD from all-time lows 3 days ago. 3. In the last 10 days, depreciated 9.5% against the USD https://t.co/RcBXFmfctl

By Steve Hanke
Freeman Labels Trump's Iran War a Disastrous Folly
SocialMay 7, 2026

Freeman Labels Trump's Iran War a Disastrous Folly

Former US Ambassador Chas Freeman on Trump's FOOLISH war of choice in Iran: “This Iran war is our Syracuse expedition… an equally foolish military adventure that is going very badly.” https://t.co/97GMSzevNi

By Steve Hanke
Russia Sells Ruble, Buys Yuan to Curb Appreciation
SocialMay 7, 2026

Russia Sells Ruble, Buys Yuan to Curb Appreciation

Since the US-Israeli war on Iran, oil prices have SURGED & so has the value of the Russian ruble. To prevent the ruble from excessive strengthening, Russia is SELLING the ruble & BUYING foreign currency, primarily the Chinese yuan. https://t.co/zThMoq7cun

By Steve Hanke
Milei's Dollarization Needed to Tame Inflation
SocialMay 7, 2026

Milei's Dollarization Needed to Tame Inflation

As I’ve said since day one, if Milei failed to dollarize Argentina, he wouldn’t be able to control inflation. INFLATION = MILEI’S ACHILLES' HEEL. https://t.co/Fhu9f7yOmX

By Steve Hanke
US Crude Stocks Plunge 8.1M Barrels; Stay Long Oil
SocialMay 7, 2026

US Crude Stocks Plunge 8.1M Barrels; Stay Long Oil

During this past week, US crude oil inventories fell by a staggering 8.1 million barrels. STAY LONG OIL. https://t.co/JNDz5oEds3

By Steve Hanke
Iran Will Endure Punishment, Won’t Back Down
SocialMay 7, 2026

Iran Will Endure Punishment, Won’t Back Down

Distinguished UChicago Prof. John Mearsheimer on Muhammad Ali's ROPE-A-DOPE strategy: “People can talk about bombing Iran and inflicting punishment on them, but the problem is that the Iranians will absorb the punishment. They’re not going to quit.” https://t.co/ZEgEs77zXX

By Steve Hanke
Oil Shortages Looming: Europe by May, US by July
SocialMay 7, 2026

Oil Shortages Looming: Europe by May, US by July

Distinguished economist & commodity market guru Jeff Currie on when oil shortages will hit: "Parts of the world like Australia, Philippines, Thailand already are [in a shortage]. Europe will hit tank bottoms sometime in May. In the US it will be...

By Steve Hanke
Brazil Ranks 19th Most Miserable Amid Soaring Inflation
SocialMay 7, 2026

Brazil Ranks 19th Most Miserable Amid Soaring Inflation

Not surprisingly, in Hanke’s 2025 Annual Misery Index, Brazil ranks as the NINETEENTH MOST MISERABLE country in the world. This is thanks to high inflation and punishing borrowing costs. https://t.co/NdURF6LByk

By Steve Hanke
Commodity Supercycle Begins: Bloomberg Index Up 28%
SocialMay 7, 2026

Commodity Supercycle Begins: Bloomberg Index Up 28%

The Bloomberg Commodity Index has reached over 140 points. The index is now up 28% this year. As I’ve said, "We're entering a commodity supercycle. You want to be long commodities.” https://t.co/up5X1itoJL

By Steve Hanke
Ukrainian Drones Strike Deep, Hit Perm Oil Facility
SocialMay 7, 2026

Ukrainian Drones Strike Deep, Hit Perm Oil Facility

Ukrainian drone strikes hit DEEP into Russian territory again. This time, Ukraine hit one of its favorite targets: an oil facility in Perm. https://t.co/cX1kGfxId7

By Steve Hanke
Trucking Can't Fully Substitute Iran's Maritime Trade, Experts Say
SocialMay 7, 2026

Trucking Can't Fully Substitute Iran's Maritime Trade, Experts Say

My take in @RFERL on Iran's alternate trade routes: Iran’s alternative trucking routes can supply the Iranian economy, but “cannot replace a maritime container economy one-for-one. Trucking is more expensive and Caspian throughput is constrained by port and fleet capacity.” https://t.co/gRybziaMHm

By Steve Hanke
India Hikes LPG Price 48% Amid Middle East Conflict
SocialMay 7, 2026

India Hikes LPG Price 48% Amid Middle East Conflict

#IndiaWatch🇮🇳: India just hiked the price of the 19kg commercial LPG cylinder by ₹993. That’s a STAGGERING jump of almost 48% since the start of the US-Israeli war on Iran. RESTAURANTS AND CATERERS SHOULD SEND A BILL FOR DAMAGES TO TRUMP...

By Steve Hanke
US-Israeli Conflict Cuts India’s Airline Capacity 22%
SocialMay 7, 2026

US-Israeli Conflict Cuts India’s Airline Capacity 22%

#IndiaWatch🇮🇳: Thanks to the US-Israeli war on Iran, India’s airlines are getting SQUEEZED. Air India's international capacity fell 22% in April from a year ago. AIR INDIA SHOULD SEND A BILL FOR DAMAGES TO TRUMP & NETANYAHU. https://t.co/gGIU65FEcV

By Steve Hanke
Kuwait
SocialMay 7, 2026

Kuwait

Kuwait has just been forced to shut down its oil production. If that isn’t bad enough, since the Global Financial Crisis, Kuwait's economy has tanked. Turkey's has boomed. Contrary to WESTERN PROPAGANDA, Iran's did not collapse, prior to the US-Israeli attacks. https://t.co/hAxr8nZzj1

By Steve Hanke
Rupee Hits Record Low Amid US‑Israeli Iran Conflict
SocialMay 7, 2026

Rupee Hits Record Low Amid US‑Israeli Iran Conflict

#IndiaWatch🇮🇳: Thanks to the US-Israeli war on Iran, yesterday, the rupee reached a new ALL-TIME LOW to ₹95.43/USD. It all brings back one of Oscar Wilde’s most famous lines: “The chapter on the Fall of the Rupee you may omit. It...

By Steve Hanke
Deadly Blast Hits Kazakhstan’s Largest Multi‑Metal Plant
SocialMay 6, 2026

Deadly Blast Hits Kazakhstan’s Largest Multi‑Metal Plant

Yesterday, a DEADLY EXPLOSION rocked Glencore’s Kazzinc plant. It's Kazakhstan's largest producer of zinc, lead, copper, gold, and silver. Just more confirmation of Hanke's Schoolboy Theory of History: It's just one damn thing after another. https://t.co/fWJMVUFSm2

By Steve Hanke
Brazil's Money Supply Outpaces Golden Growth, Fuelling Inflation
SocialMay 6, 2026

Brazil's Money Supply Outpaces Golden Growth, Fuelling Inflation

#BrazilWatch🇧🇷: Brazil's CPI accelerated to 4.1%/yr in March. Brazil’s M4 is growing at 10.8%/yr. That is ABOVE Hanke’s Golden Growth Rate of 7.1%/yr, a rate consistent with hitting its 3.0%/yr inflation target. INFLATION STORY = A MONEY SUPPLY STORY. https://t.co/ayWWLxT21X

By Steve Hanke
Mearsheimer: Trump's Iran War Choice Guarantees Defeat
SocialMay 6, 2026

Mearsheimer: Trump's Iran War Choice Guarantees Defeat

Distinguished UChicago Prof. John Mearsheimer on how Pres. Trump’s WAR OF CHOICE in Iran FAILED ON ALL COUNTS: “This was a catastrophic decision. We are going to lose this war in a very clear way. It’s going to be a devastating...

By Steve Hanke
Wealth Tax Seen as Economic Wrecking Ball, California Proposes One
SocialMay 6, 2026

Wealth Tax Seen as Economic Wrecking Ball, California Proposes One

The socialist republic California has proposed a 5% tax on billionaires. Amazing. ALMOST ALL the welfare states in Western Europe have recently abolished wealth taxes. WEALTH TAX = ECONOMIC WRECKING BALLS. https://t.co/vLIpu6f7GO

By Steve Hanke
War Dragging Pushes Global Pivot Toward China, Russia
SocialMay 6, 2026

War Dragging Pushes Global Pivot Toward China, Russia

My view on @soarfinancial on the REAL WINNERS of the US-Israeli war on Iran: "The longer the war goes & the more pain that's imposed around the world, the more people are going to PIVOT towards China & Russia... The US...

By Steve Hanke
Shipping Firms Doubt Trump's Project Freedom; Iran Controls Hormuz
SocialMay 6, 2026

Shipping Firms Doubt Trump's Project Freedom; Iran Controls Hormuz

The New York Times reports that shipping companies have ZERO confidence in Pres. Trump's Project Freedom. Contrary to Pres. Trump's statements, CONTROL of the STRAIT OF HORMUZ is in IRAN'S HANDS and will probably remain so. IRAN REMAINS LOCKED AND LOADED. https://t.co/HOyQSr31S1

By Steve Hanke
Iran's Retaliatory Power Threatens Gulf Infrastructure, Says Sachs
SocialMay 6, 2026

Iran's Retaliatory Power Threatens Gulf Infrastructure, Says Sachs

Distinguished Columbia Prof. Jeff Sachs on Iran being locked and loaded: "Iran maintains extensive retaliatory capacity, drones and missiles. It doesn't take many to destroy the physical infrastructure of the Gulf region. The idea they're protected by an iron dome is...

By Steve Hanke
Trump’s Iran Gambit Becomes Historic US Strategic Defeat
SocialMay 6, 2026

Trump’s Iran Gambit Becomes Historic US Strategic Defeat

It’s becoming clearer with each passing day that Trump’s military misadventure in Iran will be one of the greatest strategic defeats in US history.

By Steve Hanke
UK Long-Term Borrowing Costs Reach 1998 High
SocialMay 6, 2026

UK Long-Term Borrowing Costs Reach 1998 High

UK long-term borrowing costs hit their HIGHEST LEVELS since 1998. RUSSOPHOBE STARMER IS CAPTAINING A SINKING SHIP. https://t.co/BBGoJG8ZMz

By Steve Hanke
Pakistani Debt Soars 55% in Four Years
SocialMay 6, 2026

Pakistani Debt Soars 55% in Four Years

#PAKWatch🇵🇰: Pakistani debt and liabilities are UP 55% in the last 4 years. PAK = MISMANAGEMENT = CAN’T COMPETE WITH INDIA. FREE IMRAN KHAN. https://t.co/214ychMmR8

By Steve Hanke
China Tightens Global Port Control, Plays Long Game
SocialMay 6, 2026

China Tightens Global Port Control, Plays Long Game

The Economist reports that China has a TIGHTENING GRIP on critical ports AROUND THE WORLD. CHINA = KNOWS HOW TO CAREFULLY PLAY THE LONG GAME. https://t.co/OtRhEJQxj2

By Steve Hanke
UAE's Glittering Image Masks Stagnant Economy and Corruption
SocialMay 6, 2026

UAE's Glittering Image Masks Stagnant Economy and Corruption

Contrary to the media spinners, the UAE is NOT BOOMING. It’s a sunny place where a lot of shady characters reside. https://t.co/uUjCe5kFIJ

By Steve Hanke
Israel Breaches Ceasefire, Kills 110 Lebanese in Days
SocialMay 6, 2026

Israel Breaches Ceasefire, Kills 110 Lebanese in Days

Despite the April ceasefire, Israel CONTINUES to strike Lebanon. Lebanon’s Health Ministry reports 110 Lebanese have been killed in the past four days. ISRAEL = BREAKS CEASEFIRES WITH RECKLESS ABANDON = A REIGN OF TERROR. https://t.co/e7AlHdD0KE

By Steve Hanke
War‑Driven Fuel Surge Pushes US Airline Fares Up 24%
SocialMay 5, 2026

War‑Driven Fuel Surge Pushes US Airline Fares Up 24%

Thanks to US-Israeli war on Iran, jet fuel prices have more than doubled. Domestic US fares have SOARED by 24%, and international fares have SURGED 50% since Jan. 5. AIRLINE PASSENGERS SHOULD SEND A BILL FOR DAMAGES TO TRUMP & NETANYAHU. https://t.co/aeXlO0ZxmJ

By Steve Hanke
China’s New Law Forces Firms to Defy US Sanctions
SocialMay 5, 2026

China’s New Law Forces Firms to Defy US Sanctions

My take in @FortuneMagazine on China BUCKING US sanctions: "This is a move with teeth. Until last weekend, Beijing’s statutes were a paper tiger. With the issuance of Announcement No. 21, that changed, when Chinese were ordered to ignore US sanctions." https://t.co/EvWcJGEjHO

By Steve Hanke
Market Bubble Likely to Burst with Policy Tightening
SocialMay 5, 2026

Market Bubble Likely to Burst with Policy Tightening

My take on @soarfinancial on the STOCK MARKET BUBBLE: "The market is in BUBBLE TERRITORY so it's vulnerable for a TAKEDOWN... The only thing we know with some certainty is that when the popping occurs, it usually is associated with central...

By Steve Hanke
Coinbase Trims 14% Staff as AI, Crypto Slump Bites
SocialMay 5, 2026

Coinbase Trims 14% Staff as AI, Crypto Slump Bites

Citing the impact of AI and the digital asset downturn, crypto exchange Coinbase plans to cut 14% of its workforce. BITCOIN = HIGH SPECULATIVE = NO FUNDAMENTAL VALUE. https://t.co/sMUa3HBqR9

By Steve Hanke
Nigeria Ranks 37th Most Miserable Amid Soaring Inflation
SocialMay 5, 2026

Nigeria Ranks 37th Most Miserable Amid Soaring Inflation

In Hanke’s 2025 Annual Misery Index, Nigeria ranks as the 37TH MOST MISERABLE country in the world. This is thanks to high inflation and steep borrowing costs. Pres. Tinubu = ARROGANT, CORRUPT, & INCOMPETENT. https://t.co/poNAxRjOlJ

By Steve Hanke
Milei’s Approval Plummets as Inflation Stays Sky‑high
SocialMay 5, 2026

Milei’s Approval Plummets as Inflation Stays Sky‑high

Milei's approval ratings fell to the mid-30s this month. If that’s not bad enough, confidence in Milei's administration plunged for the fourth consecutive month. Argentina’s inflation remains OUT OF CONTROL at 32.7%/yr. MILEI’S FAILURE TO CRUSH INFLATION PUTS HIM IN THE TANK. https://t.co/x1LOiHlZ9P

By Steve Hanke
Accelerating Money Supply Drives Recent US Inflation Spike
SocialMay 5, 2026

Accelerating Money Supply Drives Recent US Inflation Spike

My take on @soarfinancial on RISING US INFLATION: "US CPI jumped from 2.4% in Feb. to 3.3% in Mar. That DIDN'T SURPRISE ME because the money supply has been ACCELERATING for the last 18 months. When that happens, with a lag,...

By Steve Hanke
Sachs Warns US‑Israel Iran Escalation Will Devastate Global Economy
SocialMay 5, 2026

Sachs Warns US‑Israel Iran Escalation Will Devastate Global Economy

Distinguished Columbia Univ. Prof. Jeff Sachs on the RE-ESCALATION of the US-Israeli war on Iran: "It seems like the US, and especially Israel, are determined to go back to war. This will be absolutely catastrophic for the global economy." https://t.co/XFgVDhCI13

By Steve Hanke
Dollar Remains Unrivaled; Alternatives Lack Appeal
SocialMay 5, 2026

Dollar Remains Unrivaled; Alternatives Lack Appeal

My take on @soarfinancial on the 'de-dollarization' narratives: "The US dollar just DOMINATES EVERYTHING in the financial sphere. There just aren't any alternatives out there that are very attractive." LET'S FACE IT: THE USD IS THE BEST DIRTY SHIRT AROUND. https://t.co/Rtj6bTsKBc

By Steve Hanke
US Strike Kills Two on Caribbean Drug Boat
SocialMay 5, 2026

US Strike Kills Two on Caribbean Drug Boat

SEC. OF WAR HEGSETH'S DEPARTMENT OF WAR IS BACK AT IT AGAIN. Last night, the US carried out a strike on an alleged drug boat in the Caribbean. TWO PEOPLE WERE KILLED. https://t.co/cQrI82299g

By Steve Hanke
World Bank Predicts 76% Silver Price Surge by 2026
SocialMay 5, 2026

World Bank Predicts 76% Silver Price Surge by 2026

The World Bank projects that on average, silver prices will be 76% higher in 2026 than they were in 2025 average. STAY LONG SILVER or GET LONG. https://t.co/YrIRX2T0EV

By Steve Hanke
Imran Khan's Imprisonment Triggers $2B Export Loss
SocialMay 5, 2026

Imran Khan's Imprisonment Triggers $2B Export Loss

#PAKWatch🇵🇰: Since IMRAN KHAN'S ILLEGAL IMPRISONMENT, Pakistan's exports are DOWN $2 BILLION. Under the rule of PM Sharif, PAK has descended into an economic nightmare. PAK’S MILITARY RUNS THE SHOW = ECONOMIC NIGHTMARE. FREE CAPTAIN PAKISTAN. https://t.co/c9msFFviC5

By Steve Hanke