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Steve Hanke

Steve Hanke

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Economist; FX, monetary systems, EM inflation

Recent Posts

Dalio Warns CBDCs Erase Privacy, Enable Political Control
Social•Feb 17, 2026

Dalio Warns CBDCs Erase Privacy, Enable Political Control

As @RayDalio, founder of the world's LARGEST hedge fund told @TuckerCarlson on central bank digital currencies: "There will be no privacy... all transactions will be known... and if you're politically disfavored, you could be shut off." https://t.co/3H4Lcz4ysb

By Steve Hanke
North Korean Won Plummets, Ranks Third Worst Globally
Social•Feb 17, 2026

North Korean Won Plummets, Ranks Third Worst Globally

On this week's Hanke's #CurrencyWatchlist, the North Korean won ranks as the WORLD'S 3RD WORST currency. The won has depreciated by 41% against the USD over the past year. PLIGHT OF THE WON = ONE OF THE WORLD’S MOST UNREPORTED STORIES. https://t.co/7leiebPd5D

By Steve Hanke
Iranian Rial Plummets, Becomes World's Second Worst Currency
Social•Feb 17, 2026

Iranian Rial Plummets, Becomes World's Second Worst Currency

On this week's Hanke's #CurrencyWatchlist, the Iranian rial ranks as the WORLD'S 2ND WORST currency. The rial has depreciated by 44% against the USD over the past year. RIAL = THE GREAT DESTABILIZER. https://t.co/06OiclsaSq

By Steve Hanke
Venezuelan Bolivar Plummets 87%, Becomes World’s Worst Currency
Social•Feb 16, 2026

Venezuelan Bolivar Plummets 87%, Becomes World’s Worst Currency

On this week's Hanke's #CurrencyWatchlist, the Venezuelan bolivar ranks as the WORLD'S WORST currency. The bolivar has depreciated by over 87% against the USD in the past year. IT’S TIME TO DUMP THE BOLIVAR AND REPLACE IT WITH THE US DOLLAR. https://t.co/dHtPzNew81

By Steve Hanke
AI Hype Persists, yet Macro Data Shows No Productivity Boost
Social•Feb 15, 2026

AI Hype Persists, yet Macro Data Shows No Productivity Boost

Three years after ChatGPT, AI is everywhere, except in macroeconomic data. If AI’s value is in productivity enhancement, it's still not showing up in the numbers. AI = LOTS OF HYPE. https://t.co/x96Abr0tD7

By Steve Hanke
Russia's Inflation Spike Tied to Excess Money Supply
Social•Feb 14, 2026

Russia's Inflation Spike Tied to Excess Money Supply

Russia’s inflation comes in at 6.0%/yr in January. That's ABOVE RU's 4%/yr target. RU's M2 money supply is growing at 10.6%/yr, ABOVE Hanke's Golden Growth Rate of 8.4%/yr, a rate consistent with hitting its inflation target of 4%/yr. THE INFLATION STORY =...

By Steve Hanke
Venezuela Faces 651% Inflation, Cost of Living Crisis
Social•Feb 14, 2026

Venezuela Faces 651% Inflation, Cost of Living Crisis

The FT reports that the cost of living is Venezuelan's top concern. NO SURPISE. Today, I measure Venezuela’s inflation at a 651.5%/yr. Venezuela is the WORLD’S TOP INFLATOR. https://t.co/P4FBBSNdqk

By Steve Hanke
Iran's Inflation Hits 81.5%, World's Second Highest
Social•Feb 14, 2026

Iran's Inflation Hits 81.5%, World's Second Highest

#IranWatch🇮🇷: Today, I measure Iran’s inflation at a PUNISHING 81.5%/yr. That's the world's SECOND HIGHEST INFLATION RATE. I remain the only reliable source of inflationary measures in Iran. https://t.co/HcSee4i4O2

By Steve Hanke
US Job Market Cooler than Washington’s Hype
Social•Feb 14, 2026

US Job Market Cooler than Washington’s Hype

Don't let first appearances fool you. The US job market is NOT as hot as the Spinmeisters in Washington DC crack it up to be. https://t.co/lKCBOl0rdi

By Steve Hanke
EU Boosts Chinese Imports as Trump Tariffs Bite
Social•Feb 14, 2026

EU Boosts Chinese Imports as Trump Tariffs Bite

During 2025, Chinese exports to the EU jumped by 6.3%. TRUMP'S TARIFFS = EU PIVOTS TOWARDS CHINA. https://t.co/tkz6F9xAsN

By Steve Hanke
Venezuela Inflation Hits 651.5% Under U.S. Management
Social•Feb 14, 2026

Venezuela Inflation Hits 651.5% Under U.S. Management

#VNZWatch🇻🇪: Under Uncle Sam's management, Venezuela's economy continues to CRUMBLE. Today, I measure Venezuela’s inflation at 651.5%/yr. I REMAIN THE ONLY SOURCE OF ACCURATE INFLATION MEASUREMENTS FOR VENEZUELA. https://t.co/MpUeEa9s1S

By Steve Hanke
Modi Leveraged Trump Tariff Threat to Advance Free Trade
Social•Feb 14, 2026

Modi Leveraged Trump Tariff Threat to Advance Free Trade

My take on PM Modi's clever move to reduce India's punishing tariffs and non-tariff barriers: "Modi used the tariff threat from Trump as cover to push for free trade between India and other countries." MODI = SMARTER THAN YOU THINK. https://t.co/aTUbO8em04

By Steve Hanke
UK Growth Stalls at 0.1% Amid Rising Taxes
Social•Feb 14, 2026

UK Growth Stalls at 0.1% Amid Rising Taxes

The U.K.'s GDP grew just 0.1% in Q4 2025 and an ANEMIC 1.3% for the entire year. Under RUSSOPHOBE Keir Starmer, taxes are up, productivity is flat, and consumers are feeling squeezed. https://t.co/WDyleJsH6n

By Steve Hanke
Swiss Inflation Near Zero as Money Growth Slows
Social•Feb 14, 2026

Swiss Inflation Near Zero as Money Growth Slows

Switzerland’s inflation rate is on the low end of its TARGET RANGE at 0.03%/yr. Switzerland’s money supply (M3) has been growing below Hanke's Golden Growth Rate of 4.40%-6.40%/yr since 2020 & is now only at 4.58%/yr. THE INFLATION STORY =...

By Steve Hanke
China’s Inbound FDI Collapses as Outbound Investment Soars
Social•Feb 14, 2026

China’s Inbound FDI Collapses as Outbound Investment Soars

For years, the world invested in China. Since 2022, foreign direct investment inflows to China have PLUNGED, while China's foreign investment outflows have SURGED. https://t.co/TCWhEPF7bq

By Steve Hanke
Trump's Tariff Push Backfires, Approval Slips Sharply
Social•Feb 14, 2026

Trump's Tariff Push Backfires, Approval Slips Sharply

Trump's tariff blitz BACKFIRES. Approval ratings are tanking. 52% of Americans say Trump’s economic policies have made things worse. Now the White House is scrambling to put a positive spin on the US economy. https://t.co/a1JUyOz6LJ

By Steve Hanke
NYT Overlooks Money Growth, the Real Inflation Driver
Social•Feb 13, 2026

NYT Overlooks Money Growth, the Real Inflation Driver

The NYT credits cooling inflation to tariffs, housing, airfare, energy, & labor markets. But ignores money. Money growth has averaged 4%/yr over 2025 — far below the 6.3%/yr Golden Growth Rate, consistent with hitting the US's 2%/yr inflation target. https://t.co/tk42l7TVVZ

By Steve Hanke
Ford Faces $900M Tariff Blow, Highlighting US Corporate Pain
Social•Feb 13, 2026

Ford Faces $900M Tariff Blow, Highlighting US Corporate Pain

Ford just disclosed an additional $900M tariff hit in its Q4 results. TARIFFS = BAD NEWS FOR AMERICAN CORPORATIONS. https://t.co/kau61WOizz

By Steve Hanke
Trump Tariffs Add $1,300 Hidden Tax per Household
Social•Feb 13, 2026

Trump Tariffs Add $1,300 Hidden Tax per Household

According to a new report by the Tax Foundation, Trump’s latest tariffs amount to a $1,300 hidden tax per household. US TARIFFS = A SALES TAX ON AMERICANS. https://t.co/w3pnoqPIdP

By Steve Hanke
China Backs Struggling Cuba Amid Looming US Showdown
Social•Feb 13, 2026

China Backs Struggling Cuba Amid Looming US Showdown

As Cuba teeters on the brink of economic disaster, China promises continued support. It looks like a SHOWDOWN between the US & China might be in the cards. https://t.co/rb7Qf0CdN2

By Steve Hanke
Americans Foot ~90% of Trump Tariff Costs
Social•Feb 13, 2026

Americans Foot ~90% of Trump Tariff Costs

The New York Fed announced that US businesses and consumers paid NEARLY 90% of the cost of Donald Trump’s tariffs last year. TARIFFS = A SALES TAX ON AMERICANS. https://t.co/xEEfGxreUm

By Steve Hanke
Inflation Stays Low as Money Supply Grows Below Golden Rate
Social•Feb 13, 2026

Inflation Stays Low as Money Supply Grows Below Golden Rate

US's CPI inflation rate comes in at 2.4%/yr in January. The US money supply (M2) has been growing BELOW Hanke's Golden Growth Rate of ~6.3%/yr, a rate consistent with hitting the Fed's 2%/yr inflation target, since April 2022. THE INFLATION STORY =...

By Steve Hanke
S&P Erases Almost All 2026 Gains Amid AI Hype
Social•Feb 13, 2026

S&P Erases Almost All 2026 Gains Amid AI Hype

Forget Trump's AI HYPE. The S&P Index has now given up nearly all its 2026 gains. https://t.co/GAL0TbU7KG

By Steve Hanke
Bloomberg's Russia Dollar Rumor Likely Misleading, Says Hanke
Social•Feb 13, 2026

Bloomberg's Russia Dollar Rumor Likely Misleading, Says Hanke

Yesterday, Bloomberg reported that Russia is considering a re-entry into the US dollar system. Bloomberg's report created quite a stir. RELAX, HANKE'S 95% RULE = 95% OF WHAT YOU READ IN THE PRESS IS EITHER WRONG OR IRRELEVANT. https://t.co/8E7OK7Zm1t

By Steve Hanke
AI Hype Isn’t Boosting Profit Margins Across the Economy
Social•Feb 13, 2026

AI Hype Isn’t Boosting Profit Margins Across the Economy

If AI were living up to its hype, it would be benefiting the ENTIRE ECONOMY. IT ISN'T. Profit margins outside the tech sector would be growing. THEY'RE NOT. https://t.co/GXT1r783t0

By Steve Hanke
Libya's Economy Lags Egypt After 2011 US Intervention
Social•Feb 13, 2026

Libya's Economy Lags Egypt After 2011 US Intervention

#LibyaWatch🇱🇾: Libya’s economy is NOWHERE CLOSE to its neighbor Egypt. Thanks to the US-led regime change operation in 2011, Libya is IN THE TANK. https://t.co/mnlulHdvko

By Steve Hanke
Poland's Per‑capita GDP Eclipses Germany, Fueling Assertiveness
Social•Feb 13, 2026

Poland's Per‑capita GDP Eclipses Germany, Fueling Assertiveness

Poland’s GDP per capita OUTPACES Germany’s by a country mile. This growth gap is why Poland is flexing its muscles and pushing Germany around. https://t.co/78SQLlNP3o

By Steve Hanke
CBRT Hikes 2026 Inflation Outlook, Policy Stays Too Loose
Social•Feb 13, 2026

CBRT Hikes 2026 Inflation Outlook, Policy Stays Too Loose

#TurkeyWatch 🇹🇷: In the first Inflation Report of 2026, CBRT Gov. Fatih Karahan revised the end-2026 inflation forecast from 13–19% to 15–21%. Turkey's monetary policy remains TOO LOOSE. https://t.co/EC5mR04dt6

By Steve Hanke
Turkey's 30% Inflation Threatens Global TV Drama Boom
Social•Feb 13, 2026

Turkey's 30% Inflation Threatens Global TV Drama Boom

#TurkeyWatch🇹🇷: In January, Turkey's official inflation was reported at 30.7%/yr. That's SIX TIMES HIGHER than the CBRT’s 5%/yr inflation target. Among other things, Turkey’s sky-high inflation is squeezing its famous TV dramas, which draw crowds of 1 billion+ worldwide. https://t.co/nr4JytEGeV

By Steve Hanke

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