Tom Craig

Tom Craig

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Global supply chain/logistics consultant & advisor.

Iran's Move Forces US to Rethink Peace Negotiations
SocialApr 21, 2026

Iran's Move Forces US to Rethink Peace Negotiations

Holy crap on a cracker. If Iran does this, then what does the US do? And peace negotiations?

By Tom Craig
Firms Caught Between US Push and China Warning
SocialApr 21, 2026

Firms Caught Between US Push and China Warning

US wants China out of upstream supply chains. China warns against it. When trust of both parties is thin, what do firms do.? Geopolitics and war? Taiwan. Where and what is next? Supply chain alignment vs fluidity. Welcome to the...

By Tom Craig
China’s Rare Earth Export Decline Exposes Deal Fragility
SocialApr 21, 2026

China’s Rare Earth Export Decline Exposes Deal Fragility

China. Drop in exports to the US. Rare earth minerals. What happened to the deal with China? The art of the quick “deal” meets political reality.

By Tom Craig
US Launches $166B Tariff Refund Portal Amid Claims Rush
SocialApr 21, 2026

US Launches $166B Tariff Refund Portal Amid Claims Rush

U.S. Opens Tariff Refund Portal as Companies Rush to Reclaim $166 Billion. How much of the $166 Bil will be actually refunded? Will Witkoff’s sons and their buying discounted refunds be given payment priority? Stay tuned. https://t.co/vAXtZCZ5WL

By Tom Craig
Three Vessels, Including Iranian Ship, Attempt Hormuz Passage
SocialApr 21, 2026

Three Vessels, Including Iranian Ship, Attempt Hormuz Passage

Three Ships Including an Iranian Vessel Attempt Hormuz Transits. Two cargo ships and a tanker. https://t.co/IsqvgCzJb8

By Tom Craig
Trump Tightens Iran Blockade Amid Stalled Peace Talks
SocialApr 21, 2026

Trump Tightens Iran Blockade Amid Stalled Peace Talks

Trump Doubles Down on Iran Blockade as Peace Talks Hang in Balance. Two parties bullying as the art of the deal. Are they working on a true deal? If so, what will it be? And the supply of commodities? Before...

By Tom Craig
China Leverages Oil Diplomacy Amid US‑Philippines War Games
SocialApr 21, 2026

China Leverages Oil Diplomacy Amid US‑Philippines War Games

China Flexes Energy Leverage As the Philippines, US Start Annual War Games. Is China playing an oil diplomacy game to counter the US war that created the oil and related situation? Chess vs checkers? https://t.co/zqFYY2DzW4

By Tom Craig
Maritime: The Untapped Frontier Amid Trump’s
SocialApr 21, 2026

Maritime: The Untapped Frontier Amid Trump’s

Case made for maritime as the last great uninvested industry. Is Trump creating a new trade, supply chain, and maritime world scenario with his reactionary transactions? https://t.co/GHcSYLFqmF

By Tom Craig
Gulf Oil Turmoil Spurs Shift Toward China
SocialApr 21, 2026

Gulf Oil Turmoil Spurs Shift Toward China

US fights Iran. Gulf oil market is roiling. In the meantime, Gulf states are shifting toward China. Day what?!

By Tom Craig
China Weaponizes Rare‑earth Magnets Amid US‑Japan Tensions
SocialApr 20, 2026

China Weaponizes Rare‑earth Magnets Amid US‑Japan Tensions

China. Reduces rare earth magnet exports to US and Japan. Why? A topic for Xi-Trump meeting. Counter oil supply drop from Iran? What else may China do?

By Tom Craig
Closed Strait Triggers Global Supply Shortages and Food Price Surge
SocialApr 20, 2026

Closed Strait Triggers Global Supply Shortages and Food Price Surge

The economic impact of a closed Strait increases. Time delay. Supply shortages. Prices. Helium? Sulfur? Fertilizer—as planting season begins? Then it will be food scarcity and prices. More.

By Tom Craig
Peace Timeline Uncertain, Supply Chains Face Global Disruption
SocialApr 20, 2026

Peace Timeline Uncertain, Supply Chains Face Global Disruption

If this happened, the best questions may be: Will there be peace? If so, when? And the E2E impacted supply chains for all the commodities and products that are directly and indirectly affected?

By Tom Craig
Strait Closure Triggers Supply Shortages and Price Spikes
SocialApr 19, 2026

Strait Closure Triggers Supply Shortages and Price Spikes

For the first time, the Strait is completely closed. Nothing moving does not help the related supply shortages. And their prices.

By Tom Craig
Strait Blockage Triggers Unprecedented Global Energy Supply Shock
SocialApr 19, 2026

Strait Blockage Triggers Unprecedented Global Energy Supply Shock

And the greatest energy disruption must include derivatives, distillates., and other commodities not moving because of the Strait. The global E2E supply chain effect may go beyond points we have never seen.

By Tom Craig
Direct Shipping Partners Decline, Prompting Fluid Supply Chains
SocialApr 18, 2026

Direct Shipping Partners Decline, Prompting Fluid Supply Chains

This may be mapping the past. As global mistrust moves to trade supply chain fragmentation. Is a new, fluid supply chain needed?

By Tom Craig
Trust Deficit Drives Fragmented, Fluid Global Supply Chains
SocialApr 18, 2026

Trust Deficit Drives Fragmented, Fluid Global Supply Chains

World order and trade. What are they when trust is lacking? When countries look at their needs against that backdrop? Risk not resilience will be key. Fragmentation. Supply chains must have manageable, dynamic fluidity. 2nd and 3rd orders will be...

By Tom Craig
Iranian Navy Closes Strait, Reports Gunfire Amid Peace Talks
SocialApr 18, 2026

Iranian Navy Closes Strait, Reports Gunfire Amid Peace Talks

Iran's Navy Tells Ships Strait of Hormuz Shut Again, Two Vessels Report Gunfire. Will there be a negotiated peace? https://t.co/SmiW8IKxcq

By Tom Craig
Trump's Iran Blockade Tests Strategy Ahead of Xi Summit
SocialApr 18, 2026

Trump's Iran Blockade Tests Strategy Ahead of Xi Summit

Trump naval blockade of Iran ports—who provide oil to China. Will and how will the Iran war and blockade play in his meeting with Xi? Strategy vs reactionary.

By Tom Craig
Iranian Gunboats Mimic Somali Pirate Tactics
SocialApr 18, 2026

Iranian Gunboats Mimic Somali Pirate Tactics

Ship reports being approached by two IRGC gun boats. Iran is borrowing from Somali pirates.

By Tom Craig
Iran Tightens Hormuz, US Blockade Stalls Peace Prospects
SocialApr 18, 2026

Iran Tightens Hormuz, US Blockade Stalls Peace Prospects

Iran reimposed Strait of Hormuz restrictions as US continues blockade of Iran ports. Are there peace negotiations while this happens? Is either side meaningful when it comes to peace? And the global economy?

By Tom Craig
Maersk Urges Risk Assessment over Strait Endorsement
SocialApr 17, 2026

Maersk Urges Risk Assessment over Strait Endorsement

Maersk: The Strait. Not a ringing endorsement. Instead talk risk evaluation. Reality meets what the two sides say.

By Tom Craig
Norwegian Shipowners Demand Certainty On
SocialApr 17, 2026

Norwegian Shipowners Demand Certainty On

Norwegian Shipowners: with the Strait. Looking for clarity and certainty. From mines to Iran’s role.

By Tom Craig
Six‑Month Iran Deal Raises Strait‑of‑Hormuz Uncertainty
SocialApr 17, 2026

Six‑Month Iran Deal Raises Strait‑of‑Hormuz Uncertainty

Europe and Gulf leaders thin six months for Iran war deal. If so, will the Strait stay open? For all?

By Tom Craig
Europe Turns to Canadian LNG Amid Iran Conflict
SocialApr 16, 2026

Europe Turns to Canadian LNG Amid Iran Conflict

Europe Eyes Canada LNG as Iran War Rewires Energy Routes. If & when, Hormuz reopens, how much business will Canada retain. Supplier diversification and supply chain risk mitigation. A lesson leaned? https://t.co/WXCrXRH8SW

By Tom Craig
China Cuts African Tariffs, Contrasting US Stance on Rare Earths
SocialApr 15, 2026

China Cuts African Tariffs, Contrasting US Stance on Rare Earths

China removing tariffs from Africa imports. The opposite of the US. And the rare earths?

By Tom Craig
China Blocks Access to Disputed South China Sea Shoal
SocialApr 15, 2026

China Blocks Access to Disputed South China Sea Shoal

China Moves to Block Entrance to Disputed South China Sea Shoal, Images Show. More maritime disruption. This time—China. https://t.co/I1J3yAmVcK

By Tom Craig
SME Truckers Hit Harder by Diesel Costs, Bankruptcy
SocialApr 15, 2026

SME Truckers Hit Harder by Diesel Costs, Bankruptcy

Small trucking and logistics firms. Bankruptcy. Comments on these firms should differentiate SMEs vs big firms. Price each pays for diesel, for example.

By Tom Craig
Hormuz Disruption Slashes Global Oil Flow, Tanker Trade Falters
SocialApr 14, 2026

Hormuz Disruption Slashes Global Oil Flow, Tanker Trade Falters

Global Oil Flows Plunge as Hormuz Disruption Chokes Tanker Trade. A narrow take of what is happening. https://t.co/mROsy4L0Hr

By Tom Craig
US Blockade Takes Effect, First Ships Turned Back
SocialApr 14, 2026

US Blockade Takes Effect, First Ships Turned Back

U.S. Declares Blockade Effective as First Ships Turned Back from Iranian Ports. When will the Strait be open with ships and cargo flowing securely both ways? https://t.co/D3uHFpWCMS

By Tom Craig
Free Seas Persist; Maritime System Reshapes Under Pressure
SocialApr 14, 2026

Free Seas Persist; Maritime System Reshapes Under Pressure

“Free Seas” Are Not Unraveling — But the System Is Changing Under Pressure. Security. Cost. Reliability. Transit and transit time. Each event is not recognized as part of a global maritime & supply chain change. Instead silly terms like resilience....

By Tom Craig
US Ends Iran Oil Waiver, Escalates Blockade, Threatens Peace Talks
SocialApr 14, 2026

US Ends Iran Oil Waiver, Escalates Blockade, Threatens Peace Talks

U.S. Will Let Iran Oil Waiver Expire as Blockade Tightens Grip on Global Flows. What will this do to peace negotiations? https://t.co/RyO97zrsi0

By Tom Craig
Don't Cut China Supply Chain; De‑risking Brings Consequences
SocialApr 14, 2026

Don't Cut China Supply Chain; De‑risking Brings Consequences

China. Do not reduce your China supply chain. Or face the consequences. The risk of de-risking.

By Tom Craig
U.S. Blockade Hits Hormuz; China, Russia May Intervene
SocialApr 13, 2026

U.S. Blockade Hits Hormuz; China, Russia May Intervene

All Eyes on Hormuz as U.S. Maritime Blockade on Iran Enters Enforcement Phase. What happens when Chinese and Russian ships show up? https://t.co/orWD3pBD3c

By Tom Craig
Fewer Direct Container Routes, Hubs Boost Carriers, Frustrate Shippers
SocialApr 13, 2026

Fewer Direct Container Routes, Hubs Boost Carriers, Frustrate Shippers

Container shipping. There became fewer container lines. While they shifted to transshipment hubs--borrowing from airlines on reducing direct flights. Carrier benefits vs customer frustration.

By Tom Craig
China Demands Free Strait Navigation Despite Allied Blockade
SocialApr 13, 2026

China Demands Free Strait Navigation Despite Allied Blockade

China wants “unobstructed navigation” thru the Strait. There are two parties blocking Hormuz. China is an ally of one of them.

By Tom Craig
US Navy to Block Iranian Port Shipping After Failed Talks
SocialApr 13, 2026

US Navy to Block Iranian Port Shipping After Failed Talks

US Military To Block Ships From Iranian Ports After Talks Yield No Agreement. Was it naive to think a deal would be reached in one negotiation meeting? https://t.co/5WmWdmbEpQ

By Tom Craig
Freeing Stuck Vessels Key to Hormuz Security
SocialApr 12, 2026

Freeing Stuck Vessels Key to Hormuz Security

Strait of Hormuz. Achieve maritime security. First the ships stuck in the Strait must leave. Where are the ships waiting to enter. Resetting is not like flipping a light switch.

By Tom Craig
Iran Rejects US Terms, Strait Future Uncertain
SocialApr 12, 2026

Iran Rejects US Terms, Strait Future Uncertain

Is Iran has not accepted our terms a negotiation? Now what? Leave the Strait under Iran control? Escalating the war to get the Strait? Can that be done?

By Tom Craig
Global Trade Faces Redirection Amid Strait of Hormuz Tensions
SocialApr 11, 2026

Global Trade Faces Redirection Amid Strait of Hormuz Tensions

From Liberation Day thru the Strait of Hormuz, is global trade and its supply chains being redefined, redirected, and reduced? And by how much? Supply chain risk mitigation or kicking the can down the road? And logistics? https://t.co/3oxe5s4MVA

By Tom Craig
Choosing Iran’s Strategic Control Risks Legal, Supply Chain Fallout
SocialApr 11, 2026

Choosing Iran’s Strategic Control Risks Legal, Supply Chain Fallout

Giving Iran control of the Strat vs international law. Versus being able to claim victory. Enriching Iran. Power shift. And supply chains?

By Tom Craig
Supply Chains Face New Test: Hormuz Free Passage or Toll?
SocialApr 11, 2026

Supply Chains Face New Test: Hormuz Free Passage or Toll?

Dating back to the pandemic, the world is again learning of supply chains. But the lessons/takeaways if and when the Strait of Hormuz is opened? As free passage or a toll for Iran.

By Tom Craig
USPS Faces Bankruptcy; E‑commerce Parcels Could Be Salvation
SocialApr 10, 2026

USPS Faces Bankruptcy; E‑commerce Parcels Could Be Salvation

USPS. Run out of money in 12 months. Must deliver to every address. Big drop in mail volume, especially first class. Still has discounted junk mail. Wants parcels. Logistics infrastructure for mail vs parcels. Can #ecommerce be the savior?

By Tom Craig
Strait Delays Threaten US Supply Chains, Global Crisis
SocialApr 10, 2026

Strait Delays Threaten US Supply Chains, Global Crisis

White House/Trump. Opening the Strait will not happensoon. Delays with the Strait mean the impact will start to hit the US. And make global situation worse. What then? Will supply chains find a tenth circle of hell?

By Tom Craig
Complex Supply Chains Face Multi‑Tier Disruptions and Rising Prices
SocialApr 10, 2026

Complex Supply Chains Face Multi‑Tier Disruptions and Rising Prices

There are so many supply chains impacted. And the length and complexity of those supply chains. Tiers of disruptions, both supply and price, ahead.

By Tom Craig
War's Supply‑Chain Shock Hits Plastics Harder Than Oil
SocialApr 10, 2026

War's Supply‑Chain Shock Hits Plastics Harder Than Oil

Plastics is another supply chain affect from what is happening. The US and global supply chain impact of the war will be larger and more significant than the price of oil.

By Tom Craig
Gas and Diesel Prices Rise Despite Trump's Oil Rhetoric
SocialApr 10, 2026

Gas and Diesel Prices Rise Despite Trump's Oil Rhetoric

US gas price increase. Trump talks of US oil. So why are gas— and diesel — prices increasing like this?

By Tom Craig
Hassett Predicts Two‑month Strait Reopening, Supply Chain Implications Questioned
SocialApr 10, 2026

Hassett Predicts Two‑month Strait Reopening, Supply Chain Implications Questioned

Hassett: Strait can be opened in two months. Really. Based on what? Is the Strait back to open transit? Or controlled by Iran? The impact on supply chains of even this time frame?

By Tom Craig
Russian Tanker’s Hormuz Passage Signals Deepening Russia‑Iran Ties
SocialApr 10, 2026

Russian Tanker’s Hormuz Passage Signals Deepening Russia‑Iran Ties

Russian-Flagged Tanker Transits Hormuz Into Gulf in Rare Passage. Hello. Russia is an ally of Iran. Gave them info about US military. And more. So this transit should be expected. https://t.co/zdwZeZOGDs

By Tom Craig
Trump Pushes Hormuz Reopening Before US‑Iran Peace Talks
SocialApr 10, 2026

Trump Pushes Hormuz Reopening Before US‑Iran Peace Talks

Trump Demands Reopening of Hormuz Ahead of US-Iran Peace Talks. Demands and threats by the two key parties vs resolution. https://t.co/oul6jwCk4x

By Tom Craig