Tom Craig

Tom Craig

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Global supply chain/logistics consultant & advisor.

Iran War Triggers Gulf Insurance Pull, 1,000+ Containers Stuck
SocialMar 8, 2026

Iran War Triggers Gulf Insurance Pull, 1,000+ Containers Stuck

The impact of the Iran war is spreading. 1,000+ containers at Chittagong. War risk insurance pulled for the Gulf.

By Tom Craig
Kuwait's Force Majeure Signals Growing Supply Chain Risk
SocialMar 7, 2026

Kuwait's Force Majeure Signals Growing Supply Chain Risk

Kuwait Declares Force Majeure Due To Middle East Conflict. A BIG force majeure. More continuing of my take that the occurrence of force majeure could become significant as the war continues. A level in the circles of supply chain hell....

By Tom Craig
US Manufacturing Slows; Iraq Conflict Could Deepen Supply Chain Strain
SocialMar 7, 2026

US Manufacturing Slows; Iraq Conflict Could Deepen Supply Chain Strain

PMI shows US manufacturing softness. That means supply chains too. What will the Iraq war do?

By Tom Craig
China Funds 168 Ports, Reshaping Global Trade
SocialMar 6, 2026

China Funds 168 Ports, Reshaping Global Trade

China providing money to 168 ports in 90 countries. Add the very large Chinese Cosco shipping firm. China and control of global trade and international logistics. The silent trade war.

By Tom Craig
Taxpayers Face
SocialMar 6, 2026

Taxpayers Face

US admin denies refunds on Trump’s illegal tariffs. While interest on refunds grows at $23mil/day. Add legal cost to fight against refunds. Cost to taxpayers could become significant. Importers fighting for their legally entitled refunds.

By Tom Craig
Global Supply Chains Face Operational and Financial Risks
SocialMar 6, 2026

Global Supply Chains Face Operational and Financial Risks

What would this mean to global supply chains and logistics? The risk—both operational and financial.

By Tom Craig
US Oil Price Ripple Effects on Transport Dist
SocialMar 6, 2026

US Oil Price Ripple Effects on Transport Dist

What would such a US oil price mean to the prices of distillates used by the various transport modes—and to supply chains?

By Tom Craig
Maersk Halts Middle East Routes, Heightening Supply Chain Risk
SocialMar 6, 2026

Maersk Halts Middle East Routes, Heightening Supply Chain Risk

Maersk suspending two-Middle East services with Europe and Asia because of the war. Global supply chains and risk.

By Tom Craig
270k TEU Stranded as Gulf Bookings Halted
SocialMar 5, 2026

270k TEU Stranded as Gulf Bookings Halted

Over 270,000 TEU Stranded as Container Carriers Halt Gulf Cargo Bookings. As Penny said on Big Bang—holy crap on a cracker. https://t.co/YA2vB0MmHv

By Tom Craig
Shipping Rates Surge, Yet Hormuz Crisis Looms
SocialMar 5, 2026

Shipping Rates Surge, Yet Hormuz Crisis Looms

Container Shipping Rates Rise as Asian Factories Reopen—But Hormuz Crisis Threatens New Shock. Is it time to stop talking about rates? Instead cite the metrics for container lines and for supply chains? Rethink a new reality of increasing disruption? ...

By Tom Craig
Supply Chains Must Prioritize Flexibility Over AI Solutions
SocialMar 5, 2026

Supply Chains Must Prioritize Flexibility Over AI Solutions

6 years of upstream supply chain disruption. From covid thru the global unpredictability of President Trump with trade wars and actual war. The continuing takeaway is the need for a new supply chain with flexibility and adaptability. It goes...

By Tom Craig
Singapore Petrochemical Firm Cites War, Declares Force Majeure
SocialMar 5, 2026

Singapore Petrochemical Firm Cites War, Declares Force Majeure

I said before that force majeure could be the result of the war. Here we go. Singapore petrochemical firm declares it. More to come. Add shipping contracts. And other areas.

By Tom Craig
South Korea's LNG Reserves Hover at Critical Nine‑day Minimum
SocialMar 5, 2026

South Korea's LNG Reserves Hover at Critical Nine‑day Minimum

South Korea. Supply of LNG at critical. Impact on people and manufacturing. The regional Middle East war is becoming a global supply chain risk.

By Tom Craig
War Sparks Force Majeure Across Energy, Shipping, Sourcing Contracts
SocialMar 4, 2026

War Sparks Force Majeure Across Energy, Shipping, Sourcing Contracts

Middle East. Force Majeure. Will that be the result of the war? Energy contracts? Shipping contracts? Sourcing contracts? More.

By Tom Craig
Cosco Halts Gulf Bookings, Defying Iran Alliance
SocialMar 4, 2026

Cosco Halts Gulf Bookings, Defying Iran Alliance

Cosco suspends bookings on Gulf. China is an Iran ally. Why would a Chinese carrier do this?

By Tom Craig
Hundred Container Ships Stuck at Hormuz Spike Freight Rates
SocialMar 2, 2026

Hundred Container Ships Stuck at Hormuz Spike Freight Rates

The ships around the Strait of Hormuz include container ships. What does this do to global supply and freight rates?

By Tom Craig
Strait of Hormuz Crisis Halts Traffic, Tankers Brace
SocialMar 2, 2026

Strait of Hormuz Crisis Halts Traffic, Tankers Brace

Strait of Hormuz Enters Active Crisis: Five Ships Hit, Traffic Collapses, Tanker Markets Brace for Historic Shock https://t.co/QozOvFyHte

By Tom Craig
Trump's Iran Attack Sparks Trade Uncertainty and Logistical Disruption
SocialMar 2, 2026

Trump's Iran Attack Sparks Trade Uncertainty and Logistical Disruption

Trump. Uncertainty. Disruption. No equilibrium. What would that mean to trade, supply chains, and logistics?

By Tom Craig
Russian Rail Freight Plummets, Flagging Economy Amid War
SocialMar 2, 2026

Russian Rail Freight Plummets, Flagging Economy Amid War

Russian rail freight. Drops. Sign of economy. Exports. Russian Railway. Large employer. What comes next? For economy. For Ukraine war.

By Tom Craig
Asia's Tanker Demand Spikes Amid Middle East Conflict
SocialMar 2, 2026

Asia's Tanker Demand Spikes Amid Middle East Conflict

Tanker demand. To rise for alternative suppliers for Asia. Tanker rates were high before the war. And now…

By Tom Craig
Suez Canal Transits Slip 7% Amid Middle East Tensions
SocialMar 2, 2026

Suez Canal Transits Slip 7% Amid Middle East Tensions

Suez Canal transits. By vessel types. Will the next one show the impact of the US-Iran war?

By Tom Craig
Hormuz Closure Turns Oil Crisis Into Prolonged Risk Game
SocialFeb 28, 2026

Hormuz Closure Turns Oil Crisis Into Prolonged Risk Game

Strait of Hormuz. Closed. The ‘crisis’ will be defined by the length of the war and by risk. Oil supply. Maritime and cargo insurance. Houthis. Freight rates.

By Tom Craig
Navy Admits Limited Gulf Protection; 21M Barrels at Risk
SocialFeb 28, 2026

Navy Admits Limited Gulf Protection; 21M Barrels at Risk

US Navy says it can't protect all merchant ships in Persian Gulf. Oil majors just suspended shipments through Hormuz, 21M barrels/day at risk. Maritime risk. https://t.co/TylGxcJUhz

By Tom Craig
UPS Cuts 78,000 Jobs: Strategic Restructuring or Survival?
SocialFeb 27, 2026

UPS Cuts 78,000 Jobs: Strategic Restructuring or Survival?

UPS . Layoff of 78,000 employees. There had better be more to this. Is it strategic? Stave off a dark cloud? A significant restructuring? Redefining itself? To? Why—the back story?

By Tom Craig
Maersk Reroutes Around Cape, Pushing Rates Higher
SocialFeb 27, 2026

Maersk Reroutes Around Cape, Pushing Rates Higher

Red Sea Comeback Falters as Maersk Diverts Ships Back Around Cape. Throw in the chance of a US war with Iran. Their Houthi friends. And staying with the longer transit and what that means to container line rates and excess...

By Tom Craig
US Tariff Cut Could Shift China Supply Chains
SocialFeb 26, 2026

US Tariff Cut Could Shift China Supply Chains

Lower tariff by US on Chinese goods. What will it mean to import supply chains? And to logistics? Especially container lines? A lot? Or not? Given soft CNY. @Lingling_Wei

By Tom Craig
Importers Sold Claims for 20‑30¢,
SocialFeb 26, 2026

Importers Sold Claims for 20‑30¢,

Those importers who sold their tariff claims to Lutnick’s sons were only paid 20-30 cents on the dollar. Getting into the trade early? Are real importers concerned about getting refunds? Why? Dragging it out?

By Tom Craig
China's Duties Keep US Soybeans Off Its Market
SocialFeb 26, 2026

China's Duties Keep US Soybeans Off Its Market

US farmers and soybeans exporters not to get more China business? China duty still exists. Supply chains. Maritime.

By Tom Craig
Maersk's Profit Hinges on Overcapacity and Suez Reopening
SocialFeb 26, 2026

Maersk's Profit Hinges on Overcapacity and Suez Reopening

Maersk. Profit—or not. Overcapacity vs return to Suez Canal.. And what it means to rates.

By Tom Craig
Carrier‑engineered Congestion Fuels Blank Sailings, Dropping Rates
SocialFeb 25, 2026

Carrier‑engineered Congestion Fuels Blank Sailings, Dropping Rates

Carriers engineering congestion. Blank sailings. Empty ships and soft supply chain demand. To lesson rate drop.

By Tom Craig
Supreme Court Tariff Win Boosts Ports—But Likely Short‑Lived
SocialFeb 25, 2026

Supreme Court Tariff Win Boosts Ports—But Likely Short‑Lived

Moody's: Port Import Gains From Supreme Court Tariff Ruling May Prove Fleeting. And supply chains? https://t.co/MTwlEv05YS

By Tom Craig
China Warns US Trade Probe Could Spark New War
SocialFeb 25, 2026

China Warns US Trade Probe Could Spark New War

China warns about US trade probe. And tariffs. Will there be another trade war? And what then for supply chains?

By Tom Craig
Courts to Decide Why Collected Tariffs Remain Unrefunded
SocialFeb 25, 2026

Courts to Decide Why Collected Tariffs Remain Unrefunded

USTR: Courts will tell about tariff refunds. US collected the tariffs. Why are they not stepping up on refunds?

By Tom Craig
Mar
SocialFeb 25, 2026

Mar

The chokepoint that shows whether we have learnt anything. There are many players in maritime that can affect here. Then there are external factors. Including terrorists and war. Risk mitigation. And not. https://t.co/rVUH537CAZ

By Tom Craig
ONE Container Line Swaps CEOs Amid Global Trade Turmoil
SocialFeb 25, 2026

ONE Container Line Swaps CEOs Amid Global Trade Turmoil

ONE container line. Changing its CEO and leadership structure. Why? What does it mean in a time of supply chain chaos with geopolitics and Trump’s trade war actions where lines have little control?

By Tom Craig
Importers May Front‑Load Amid Flat Trump Tariffs
SocialFeb 24, 2026

Importers May Front‑Load Amid Flat Trump Tariffs

Countries and export options other than the US. Trump flat tariff. Will importers front load like before? Five years and continuing supply chain importance.

By Tom Craig
AI Could Outperform Executives in Designing Resilient Supply Chains
SocialFeb 24, 2026

AI Could Outperform Executives in Designing Resilient Supply Chains

Would AI, instead of the C-suite, improve supply chain design and performance? Especially after five years of disruption and now unpredictability. https://t.co/Z60firMpE4

By Tom Craig
Supply Chains Brace for Post‑Tariff Uncertainty
SocialFeb 24, 2026

Supply Chains Brace for Post‑Tariff Uncertainty

What will Trump do with tariff that expire in 150 days? What next? What are China’s countermeasures? What will supply chains do now? After these tariffs expire? Prepare or react?

By Tom Craig
Trump's Tariff War Sparks Court Battles, Supply‑Chain Uncertainty
SocialFeb 23, 2026

Trump's Tariff War Sparks Court Battles, Supply‑Chain Uncertainty

Trump tariff vendetta picking up. Will all this go to the courts? Supply chain uncertainty.

By Tom Craig
Trump’s 15% Tariff Set to Expire, Supply Chains Uncertain
SocialFeb 23, 2026

Trump’s 15% Tariff Set to Expire, Supply Chains Uncertain

US House not likely to codify Trump’s 15% tariff. So the tariff will expire after 150 days. What will Trump do then? More Trump unpredictability for supply chains?

By Tom Craig
Panama Transfers CK Hutchinson Terminals to Maersk, Sparks China Speculation
SocialFeb 23, 2026

Panama Transfers CK Hutchinson Terminals to Maersk, Sparks China Speculation

Panama gives two former CK Hutchinson terminals to Maersk. Will China do something to retaliate?

By Tom Craig
Trump Tariffs Spur Urgent 12‑Month Market Diversification
SocialFeb 23, 2026

Trump Tariffs Spur Urgent 12‑Month Market Diversification

Another threat from Trump on tariffs. How much market diversification can countries do? Now? In the next 12 months? And supply chains and logistics?

By Tom Craig
EU Halts US Trade Deal, Shifts Focus to Asia
SocialFeb 23, 2026

EU Halts US Trade Deal, Shifts Focus to Asia

EU stops trade deal with the US. What is next for the EU, India, and China and trade deals with the US? And for supply chains and logistics?

By Tom Craig
AI Funding Could Sideline Manufacturing and Job Growth
SocialFeb 23, 2026

AI Funding Could Sideline Manufacturing and Job Growth

Fed’s Waller: Spending on AI. That capital could go to manufacturing and upstream supply chain fe-risking and diversification. Reshore? Onshore? And the economy and jobs?

By Tom Craig
Rising Opposition Threatens Hapag-Lloyd's ZIM Acquisition Deal
SocialFeb 23, 2026

Rising Opposition Threatens Hapag-Lloyd's ZIM Acquisition Deal

Opposition to ZIM’s sale to Hapag-Lloyd grows. Will Hapag-Lloyd seek a lower price or walk away from the deal? Any other potential buyer would face the same issues. https://t.co/sE5hMJ28vO

By Tom Craig
Trump's Unpredictable Tariffs Threaten Transpacific Supply Chains
SocialFeb 23, 2026

Trump's Unpredictable Tariffs Threaten Transpacific Supply Chains

Trump tariff turmoil clouds transpacific contracting season. The bigger question is Trump’s unpredictability for imports and revenue. Goes beyond the 15% and what he may do next? That supply chain risk is also logistics risk. https://t.co/mQLO4g8ITo

By Tom Craig
Importers Brace for Potential 15%+ Tariff Surge
SocialFeb 23, 2026

Importers Brace for Potential 15%+ Tariff Surge

Trump. Is he amping up for more than 15% global tariffs? With his unpredictability, what do importer supply chains do now?

By Tom Craig
Trump's New Tariff Aids China, Brazil; Future Uncertain
SocialFeb 23, 2026

Trump's New Tariff Aids China, Brazil; Future Uncertain

Trump. New tariff. Boost for China and Brazil. Current tariff is for 150 days. Then what will Trump do next as to imports and revenue? Supply chain unpredictability.

By Tom Craig
Tariff Refunds: Near Impossible, Importers Left Stuck
SocialFeb 22, 2026

Tariff Refunds: Near Impossible, Importers Left Stuck

Interesting. Will getting tariff refunds be like getting blood from a stone? What will importers do?

By Tom Craig