
The market reaction underscores how U.S. monetary policy signals can dominate Asian capital flows, affecting currency valuations and sector performance. Additionally, the denied Ford‑Xiaomi talks highlight the strategic importance of China‑U.S. EV collaborations amid tightening geopolitical scrutiny.
The nomination of Kevin Warsh to the Federal Reserve has become a catalyst for a risk‑off wave across Asian equities, illustrating the outsized influence of U.S. monetary policy on regional capital markets. Investors rapidly shifted to the dollar, driving the renminbi to a 52‑week peak against the greenback while equity indices in Shanghai, Shenzhen and Hong Kong fell between two and four percent. This dynamic underscores the delicate balance Asian policymakers must maintain when external rate expectations clash with domestic growth objectives.
Sector‑specific fallout was pronounced. Precious‑metal futures slumped, with platinum, palladium and silver hitting limit‑down levels, and commodity‑linked stocks such as Zijin Mining and non‑ferrous metal producers suffered double‑digit declines. Semiconductor firms, including SMIC, mirrored the broader tech sell‑off, reflecting heightened sensitivity to growth‑oriented valuations. Meanwhile, Chinese manufacturing and services PMIs slipped below the 50‑point expansion threshold, prompting analysts to anticipate targeted stimulus measures. In contrast, Cambricon’s extraordinary 410% revenue outlook for 2025 provided a rare bright spot, signaling potential upside in AI‑related chip segments.
Amid the market turbulence, strategic partnership rumors surfaced, notably a purported collaboration between Ford and Xiaomi on U.S.-made electric vehicles. Both companies publicly denied the reports, yet the speculation highlights the growing appetite for cross‑border EV alliances despite rising geopolitical scrutiny. As U.S. lawmakers monitor Ford’s ties with Chinese battery giant CATL, any future Sino‑American automotive cooperation will likely be scrutinized for both commercial viability and regulatory risk, shaping the competitive landscape for global EV manufacturers.
Asian equities gave President Trump’s Fed nominee Kevin Warsh a resounding thumbs down, as his historically hawkish views weighed on AI and precious metals in a widespread risk-off rout. While the US dollar rallied versus most Asian equities, China’s currency, the renminbi (CNY), hit a 52-week high value against the US dollar, closing at 6.94 per US dollar.
The good news ends at the currency appreciation. Hong Kong and Mainland China suffered broad equity sell-offs as both heat maps resembled the Battle of The Somme. Mainland-listed commodity futures plunged during local hours, as platinum and palladium hit limit down at -16%, silver limit down at -20%, and gold was down nearly -2.5%. Non-ferrous metals stocks followed commodity prices lower, as Zijin Mining fell -8.79% in Mainland China and -5.58% in Hong Kong. Similarly, semiconductors were hit hard, with Semiconductor Manufacturing International (SMIC) falling 4.81% in Mainland China and 4.42% in Hong Kong amid a sell-off in growth stocks.
The Mainland-listed Cambricon “outperformed” by falling only -1.34%. The chipmaker reported preliminary 2025 revenue increased by 410% to 496%, and net income will be between RMB 1.85 billion and RMB 2.15 billion.
The State Administration of Taxation adjusted the value-added tax (VAT) higher for telecom companies. This move weighed heavily on the historically defensive sector.
Hong Kong-listed internet stocks were off following the release of lower-than-expected official purchasing managers’ index (PMI) readings for January. Alibaba fell -3.49% and Tencent fell -1.24%, though the latter experienced strong net buying from Mainland investors via Southbound Stock Connect and had several large call option trades.
Auto names were off after the weekend’s release of January sales. BYD fell -6.91% after reporting a -30.11% year-over-year (YoY) decline in vehicle deliveries to only 210,051 units. Li Auto fell -2.27% after reporting a decline of -7.55% YoY to 27,668 units. Xpeng fell -6.77% on a -34.07% YoY decline in deliveries to 20,011 units. However, it was not all bad: NIO fell by 4.51% despite announcing a 96.08% YoY increase in January deliveries to 27,182 units. Tesla’s move to cut two auto models to make room for humanoid robot production at its Fremont factory also garnered attention.
The Mainland-listed China equity ETFs favored by the “National Team”, i.e., investment firms associated with China’s sovereign wealth, had below-average volumes. There appeared to be no intervention to support the Mainland market.
Over the weekend, before markets opened, China reported the “official” National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for January, which came in at 49.3, down from December’s 50.1 and expectations of 50.1. Meanwhile, the Non-Manufacturing PMI was 49.4 versus December’s 50.2 and expectations of 50.3. Readings below 50 indicate contraction, while readings above 50 indicate expansion. This bad news could be good news, though. It could focus policymakers on supporting the economy in a significant way. Also, the “private” survey conducted by S&P and Rating Dog recorded a manufacturing PMI of 50.3, versus December’s 50.1 and expectations of 50.0, indicating light expansion and contradicting the “official” diagnosis of contraction, i.e., values under 50.
Hong Kong’s regulator, the Securities and Futures Commission (SFC), is examining 16 potential IPOs. This could be a sign that IPO quality is deteriorating as corporations and bankers rush to capitalize on the bull market. Meanwhile, another 15 firms applied for listings.
The Financial Times reported yesterday that Ford held talks with China’s Xiaomi to partner on US-made electric vehicles (EVs). However, both firms denied the report. Last week, the Financial Times published an article titled “Ford’s move to expand ties with China battery giant CATL angers US lawmakers” that speaks to Ford utilizing CATL’s technology. These are the types of deals that Trump and Xi should announce in April!
table {font-family: 'DIN 2014', sans-serif; border-collapse: collapse; width:100%; table-layout: fixed; text-align: center; font-size: 12px;} th { word-wrap: break-word; background-color: #2391cf; color: white; font-weight: bold; text-align: center; padding: 18px; border: 1px solid #d5ebf1; font-size: 18px;} td {padding: 10px; border: 2px solid #d5ebf1; font-size: 12px; word-break: break-word; white-space: normal;} tbody td {background-color: white; color: black;} tbody td:nth-child(1) {background-color: #e2f2f7; color: black; font-weight: normal;}
Country / Index
Ticker
1-Day Change
China (Hong Kong)
HSI Index
-2.2%
Hang Seng Tech
HSTECH Index
-3.4%
Hong Kong Turnover
HKTurn Index
15.3%
Hong Kong Short Sale Turnover
HKSST Index
10.5%
Short Turnover as a % of Hong Kong Turnover
N/A
15.5%
Southbound Stock Connect Net Buy/Sell (US $ Millions)
N/A
243.567432950192
China (Shanghai)
SHCOMP Index
-2.5%
China (Shenzhen)
SZCOMP Index
-2.5%
China (STAR Board)
Star50 Index
-3.9%
Mainland Turnover
.chturn Index
-8.8%
Japan
NKY Index
-1.3%
India
SENSEX Index
1.2%
Indonesia
JCI Index
-4.9%
Malaysia
FBMKLCI Index
0.6%
Pakistan
KSE100 Index
0.7%
Philippines
PCOMP Index
-0.5%
South Korea
KOSPI Index
-5.3%
Taiwan
TWSE Index
-1.4%
Thailand
SET Index
-0.3%
Singapore
STI Index
-0.3%
Australia
AS51 Index
-1%
Vietnam
VNINDEX Index
-1.2%
table {font-family: 'DIN 2014', sans-serif; border-collapse: collapse; width:100%; table-layout: fixed; text-align: center; font-size: 12px;} th { word-wrap: break-word; background-color: #2391cf; color: white; font-weight: bold; text-align: center; padding: 18px; border: 1px solid #d5ebf1; font-size: 18px;} td {padding: 10px; border: 2px solid #d5ebf1; font-size: 12px; word-break: break-word; white-space: normal;} tbody td {background-color: white; color: black;} tbody td:nth-child(1) {background-color: #e2f2f7; color: black; font-weight: normal;}
Indicator
Hong Kong
Mainland China
Today’s Volume % of 1-Year Average
133
139
Advancing Stocks
59
822
Declining Stocks
442
4387
Outperforming Factors
Growth
Underperforming Factors
Liquidity, Momentum, EPS Revision
Momentum, Buyback, EPS Revision
Top Sectors
Consumer Staples, Financials, Communication Services
Consumer Staples, Financials, Utilities
Bottom Sectors
Materials, Health Care, Energy
Materials, Energy, Real Estate
Top Subsectors
Consumer Durables, Apparel
Liquor, Soft Drinks, Banking
Bottom Subsectors
Non Ferrous Metal, Steel, Semiconductors
Precious Metals, Petrochemical, Fertilizers & Pesticides
Southbound Connect Buys
Tencent (Large), Xiaomi (Small)
N/A
Southbound Connect Sells
Hua Hong Semiconductor, Zijin Mining (Moderate), Alibaba, Semiconductor Manufacturing International (Small)
N/A
table {font-family: 'DIN 2014', sans-serif; border-collapse: collapse; width:100%; table-layout: fixed; text-align: center; font-size: 12px;} th { word-wrap: break-word; background-color: #2391cf; color: white; font-weight: bold; text-align: center; padding: 18px; border: 1px solid #d5ebf1; font-size: 18px;} td {padding: 10px; border: 2px solid #d5ebf1; font-size: 12px; word-break: break-word; white-space: normal;} tbody td {background-color: white; color: black;} tbody td:nth-child(1) {background-color: #e2f2f7; color: black; font-weight: normal;}
MSCI China All Shares Index
# of Stocks
Average 1-Day Change (%)
Hong Kong Listed
165
-2.56
Communication Services
11
-1.79
Consumer Discretionary
28
-3.05
Consumer Staples
13
-1.08
Energy
6
-3.59
Financials
25
-1.65
Health Care
16
-3.83
Industrials
22
-2.08
Information Technology
12
-2.53
Materials
14
-6.37
Real Estate
7
-3.11
Utilities
11
-2.02
Mainland China Listed
386
-2.28
Communication Services
8
-2.81
Consumer Discretionary
26
-1.87
Consumer Staples
19
1.25
Energy
12
-4.19
Financials
64
-0.43
Health Care
31
-1.84
Industrials
58
-1.07
Information Technology
95
-3.12
Materials
52
-7.51
table {font-family: 'DIN 2014', sans-serif; border-collapse: collapse; width:100%; table-layout: fixed; text-align: center; font-size: 12px;} th { word-wrap: break-word; background-color: #2391cf; color: white; font-weight: bold; text-align: center; padding: 18px; border: 1px solid #d5ebf1; font-size: 18px;} td {padding: 10px; border: 2px solid #d5ebf1; font-size: 12px; word-break: break-word; white-space: normal;} tbody td {background-color: white; color: black;} tbody td:nth-child(1) {background-color: #e2f2f7; color: black; font-weight: normal;}
US & Hong Kong Dually Listed
Ticker
1-Day Change (%)
Tencent HK
700 HK Equity
-1.2
Alibaba HK
9988 HK Equity
-3.5
JD.com HK
9618 HK Equity
-1.7
NetEase HK
9999 HK Equity
-3.5
Yum China HK
9987 HK Equity
-0.7
Baozun HK
9991 HK Equity
-0.7
Baidu HK
9888 HK Equity
-4
Autohome HK
2518 HK Equity
-3.6
Bilibili HK
9626 HK Equity
-4.9
Trip.com HK
9961 HK Equity
-0.9
EDU HK
9901 HK Equity
-3.2
Xpeng HK
9868 HK Equity
-6.8
Weibo HK
9898 HK Equity
-2.7
Li Auto HK
2015 HK Equity
-2.3
Nio Auto HK
9866 HK Equity
-4.5
Zhihu HK
2390 HK Equity
-2.6
KE HK
2423 HK Equity
-3.9
Tencent Music Entertainment HK
1698 HK Equity
-2
Meituan HK
3690 HK Equity
-2.4
table {font-family: 'DIN 2014', sans-serif; border-collapse: collapse; width:100%; table-layout: fixed; text-align: center; font-size: 12px;} th { word-wrap: break-word; background-color: #2391cf; color: white; font-weight: bold; text-align: center; padding: 18px; border: 1px solid #d5ebf1; font-size: 18px;} td {padding: 10px; border: 2px solid #d5ebf1; font-size: 12px; word-break: break-word; white-space: normal;} tbody td {background-color: white; color: black;} tbody td:nth-child(1) {background-color: #e2f2f7; color: black; font-weight: normal;}
Hong Kong’s Most Heavily Traded by Value
1-Day Change (%)
ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD
-3.5
TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD
-1.2
ZIJIN MINING GROUP CO LTD-H
-5.6
SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURI-H
-4.2
CHINA MOBILE LTD-H
-2.3
XIAOMI CORP-CLASS B
-1.2
BYD CO LTD-H
-6.9
MEITUAN-CLASS B
-2.4
HUA HONG SEMICONDUCTOR LTD-H
-11.2
PING AN INSURANCE GROUP CO-H
-2.8
table {font-family: 'DIN 2014', sans-serif; border-collapse: collapse; width:100%; table-layout: fixed; text-align: center; font-size: 12px;} th { word-wrap: break-word; background-color: #2391cf; color: white; font-weight: bold; text-align: center; padding: 18px; border: 1px solid #d5ebf1; font-size: 18px;} td {padding: 10px; border: 2px solid #d5ebf1; font-size: 12px; word-break: break-word; white-space: normal;} tbody td {background-color: white; color: black;} tbody td:nth-child(1) {background-color: #e2f2f7; color: black; font-weight: normal;}
Shanghai and Shenzhen’s Most Heavily Traded by Value
1-Day Change (%)
EOPTOLINK TECHNOLOGY INC L-A
4.7
ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT CO LTD-A
-8.9
ZIJIN MINING GROUP CO LTD-A
-8.8
BLUEFOCUS INTELLIGENT COMM-A
-8.4
TBEA CO LTD-A
4.2
SUZHOU TFC OPTICAL COMMUNI-A
-4
CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHN-A
-0.3
MONTAGE TECHNOLOGY CO LTD-A
-2.2
LEO GROUP CO LTD-A
6.3
KWEICHOW MOUTAI CO LTD-A
1.9
CNY per USD 6.94 versus 6.96 Friday
CNY per EUR 8.20 versus 8.26 Friday
Yield on 10-Year Government Bond 1.82% versus 1.81% Friday
Yield on 10-Year China Development Bank Bond 1.96% versus 1.96% Friday
Copper Price -5.99%
Steel Price -1.02%
The post Markets Say “Wrong Kevin”, Xiaomi & Ford Could Partner Up appeared first on China Last Night.
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