
IMF Podcasts
Nationalizations Get Another Look: Nicholas Mulder
Why It Matters
As energy volatility and supply chain disruptions intensify, understanding when and how state ownership can enhance security and accelerate the renewable transition is crucial for policymakers and investors. The episode offers timely insight into the evolving landscape of global investment, helping audiences navigate risks and opportunities in a world where governments are increasingly asserting control over strategic assets.
Key Takeaways
- •Geopolitical risk revives nationalization of energy and critical resources
- •State ownership succeeds where natural monopolies need democratic oversight
- •Poor institutional design can turn nationalization into debt crises
- •Emerging trend: joint ventures blend public control with private capital
- •Investors must diversify as governments tighten foreign‑investment screening
Pulse Analysis
Nationalization has re‑emerged as governments confront heightened geopolitical risk and climate‑driven energy insecurity. Nicholas Mulder points to recent moves in Western Europe—Germany’s 2022 takeover of Uniper, France’s full ownership of EDF, and Belgium’s plan to nationalize nuclear plants—as well as Latin American actions in Chile and Mexico to place lithium under state control. These sectors are critical for the renewable‑energy transition, and the urgency of securing supply chains has made state ownership appear more acceptable than in the neoliberal era of the 1990s.
Mulder stresses that state ownership works best where natural monopolies exist and democratic oversight is strong. Norway’s oil fund illustrates how transparent institutions can turn public resources into long‑term prosperity, while many developing nations in the 1970s suffered debt crises after costly buy‑outs of private investors. Poor governance can turn nationalized assets into rent‑seeking liabilities, as seen in former oil‑rich states with corruption. Conversely, essential services that are unprofitable for private firms—such as remote broadband in Canada—often require government intervention to ensure universal access.
The new wave reshapes investment strategy. Governments are tightening foreign‑investment screening and favoring public‑private joint ventures, especially in sectors like manufacturing, pharmaceuticals, and advanced technology. While energy and food commodities remain vulnerable to further nationalization, consumer goods and digital services stay relatively open. Mulder advises investors to diversify across regions and to anticipate state security considerations when allocating capital. By partnering with sovereign entities or targeting markets with robust institutional frameworks, firms can navigate the evolving landscape while benefiting from the stability that state‑backed assets may provide.
Episode Description
State-owned enterprises have long been viewed by economists as a bad idea due to proven inefficiencies and mismanagement. But is handing over key resources and industries to the private sector really the answer? Economic historian Nicholas Mulder says, with all the geopolitical risks in the world of late, governments are looking for ways to keep essential resources under their control. Mulder is a professor of history at Cornell University. His article The New Wave of Nationalization was published in the June issue of Finance & Development magazine. In this podcast, Rhoda Metcalfe and Nicholas Mulder discuss the potential and risks of rising government ownership.
Transcript: https://bit.ly/4wYy0R0
Read the article in Finance & Development magazine: IMF.org/fandd
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