Art Berman Blog

Art Berman Blog

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Oil & gas markets, macro, geology‑informed energy analysis.

Chevron Refuses to Pay Toll for Hormuz Shipments
SocialMay 30, 2026

Chevron Refuses to Pay Toll for Hormuz Shipments

Chevron will not pay a toll to move shipments through the Strait of Hormuz says Chairman and CEO Mike Wirth

By Art Berman Blog
Oil Producers Warn Slow Recovery, Price Pressure Ahead
SocialMay 29, 2026

Oil Producers Warn Slow Recovery, Price Pressure Ahead

The people who actually move & produce oil are telling a very different story than the market Chevron sees price pressure intensifying through June and July. ADNOC says 80% flow restoration takes 4+ months after a deal, with full recovery potentially...

By Art Berman Blog
MOU Is Just an Agenda, Not a Deal
SocialMay 29, 2026

MOU Is Just an Agenda, Not a Deal

A Memorandum of Understanding is NOT a deal It's an agenda Iran & the U.S. have apparently agreed to DISCUSS reopening Hormuz & Iran's nuclear program There's a world of difference between an MOU & a deal #Iran #Hormuz #OilMarkets #Geopolitics #EnergySecurity #MiddleEast @Turne12860Aidan...

By Art Berman Blog
WTI Prices Carry $25 Risk Premium Amid Low Inventories
SocialMay 29, 2026

WTI Prices Carry $25 Risk Premium Amid Low Inventories

Comparative inventory decreased 3 mmb to 22 mmb less than the 5-year average for week ending May 22 WTI price includes a $25 risk premium: inventories say $80, markets say $105 #energy #OOTT #oilandgas #WTI #CrudeOil #fintwit #OPEC #Commodities #commoditiesmarket https://t.co/ibkHCRmP6O

By Art Berman Blog
Kuwait's Air Defenses Counter Attacks; Peace Deal Unrealistic
SocialMay 28, 2026

Kuwait's Air Defenses Counter Attacks; Peace Deal Unrealistic

Kuwait says its air defenses are engaging missile & drone attacks The peace deal is a fantasy #Iran #Kuwait #Hormuz #Oil #EnergyCrisis #Geopolitics

By Art Berman Blog
Hormuz Reopening Won’t Ease Oil Crisis Before November
SocialMay 25, 2026

Hormuz Reopening Won’t Ease Oil Crisis Before November

There is no “successful reopening” of Hormuz that can be cleanly modeled, @Peter_Strachan. Even in the most wildly optimistic scenario, the supply crisis likely doesn’t bottom until November. And that’s just restoring flows. Now factor in production damage, insurance paralysis, refinery disruptions, inventories,...

By Art Berman Blog
US NatGas Futures Slip on Oversupply and Weak Demand
SocialMay 24, 2026

US NatGas Futures Slip on Oversupply and Weak Demand

U.S. natural gas futures price fell $0.05 from $2.96 to $2.91 Domestic over-supply, a storage build & weaker weather-based demand were key factors for the week ending May 22 #energy #NaturalGas #shale #fintwit #oilandgas #Commodities #ONGT #natgas #LNG https://t.co/UV6T0y6Cb2

By Art Berman Blog
Markets Drop WTI 8% Amid Trump's Iran Deal Hype
SocialMay 23, 2026

Markets Drop WTI 8% Amid Trump's Iran Deal Hype

Bi-polar markets now want to believe Trump's BS that an Iran deal is near WTI futures price fell $8.82 (8%) from $105.42 to $96.60 week ending May 22 #energy #OOTT #oilandgas #WTI #CrudeOil #fintwit #OPEC #Commodities #commoditiesmarket https://t.co/rqluTVxiUT

By Art Berman Blog
Diesel Demand Collapse Signals Looming Economic Slowdown
SocialMay 22, 2026

Diesel Demand Collapse Signals Looming Economic Slowdown

The most important chart of the week: diesel demand is collapsing. The economy will follow Diesel is the circulatory system of the real economy—trucking, mining, farming, shipping and industry. U.S. diesel demand swung from 257 mmb/d above the 5-year average to 228 mmb/d...

By Art Berman Blog
World Economy Faces Daily 10% Oil Loss Threat
SocialMay 19, 2026

World Economy Faces Daily 10% Oil Loss Threat

Iran's oil storage capacity is NOISE @TankerTrackers This is not about whether Iran “runs out of tanks.” The SIGNAL is how long the world economy can survive losing more than 10% of its oil blood supply each day. #Oil #Iran #Hormuz #EnergyCrisis...

By Art Berman Blog
Rising Freight Inflation Signals Broader Price Hikes and Slowdown
SocialMay 18, 2026

Rising Freight Inflation Signals Broader Price Hikes and Slowdown

US freight inflation is exploding. The LMI transportation prices index just hit 95 — near the highest ever recorded. Freight costs are the hemoglobin of the economy. When transport inflation surges, broader inflation follows. Then the economy slows. #Inflation #Freight #Oil...

By Art Berman Blog
Risk-On Surge Widens WTI Spreads, Prices Jump
SocialMay 16, 2026

Risk-On Surge Widens WTI Spreads, Prices Jump

Markets have crossed the Rubicon of Risk-On WTI 12-month spread widened $7.36 (36%) for the week ending May 15 6-month spread widened $5.35 (37%) & price rose $10 (10%) from $95.42 to $105.42 #energy #OOTT #oilandgas #WTI #CrudeOil #fintwit #OPEC #Commodities #commoditiesmarket

By Art Berman Blog
Iraq’s Hormuz Exports Plunge 90%, Debunking ‘Normal’ Market Claim
SocialMay 16, 2026

Iraq’s Hormuz Exports Plunge 90%, Debunking ‘Normal’ Market Claim

Iraq exported just ~300 kb/d through Hormuz in April versus ~3.43 mmb/d before the Iran war. That’s only about a 90% collapse in exports. Time for the “oil markets are normalizing” party. 🎉 #Oil #Hormuz #Iraq #EnergyCrisis #Geopolitics https://t.co/jW6hAEiFh4 https://t.co/ngX33nAIPG

By Art Berman Blog
U.S. SPR Plummets, Half Exported Amid Massive Drawdown
SocialMay 15, 2026

U.S. SPR Plummets, Half Exported Amid Massive Drawdown

U.S. SPR headed toward historic lows Half is being exported to drain America first EIA projects 170 mmb withdrawal of crude oil from March to October #energy #OOTT #oilandgas #WTI #CrudeOil #fintwit #OPEC #Commodities #commoditiesmarket https://t.co/l3Pt1VDxqG

By Art Berman Blog