FRED Blog (St. Louis Fed)

FRED Blog (St. Louis Fed)

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Data-focused U.S. macro insights.

The Relationship Among Oil Prices, Food Costs, and Consumer Inflation
NewsMar 12, 2026

The Relationship Among Oil Prices, Food Costs, and Consumer Inflation

U.S. military actions in the Middle East have driven Brent crude sharply higher, reviving scrutiny of oil’s influence on broader price levels. Historical FRED data reveal that oil price movements have consistently co‑moved with the Global Food Price Index and...

By FRED Blog (St. Louis Fed)
Artificial Intelligence and Aggregate Productivity
NewsMar 9, 2026

Artificial Intelligence and Aggregate Productivity

Recent speeches by Federal Reserve officials highlight artificial intelligence as a key driver of future productivity growth. They differentiate labor productivity—real GDP per hour worked—from total factor productivity (TFP), both illustrated in a FRED series covering 1988‑2024. Economists contend AI...

By FRED Blog (St. Louis Fed)
Differences in Cost of Living Across the US : Regional Price Parities by State and Metro Area for 2024
NewsFeb 26, 2026

Differences in Cost of Living Across the US : Regional Price Parities by State and Metro Area for 2024

On February 19, 2026, the Bureau of Economic Analysis released 2024 Regional Price Parities (RPPs) for all U.S. states and metro areas. The index, where 100 equals the national average, shows California at the highest cost of living (110.7) and...

By FRED Blog (St. Louis Fed)
State and Metro Employment: Fourth Quarter 2025
NewsFeb 23, 2026

State and Metro Employment: Fourth Quarter 2025

FRED’s latest maps reveal nonfarm employment changes for Q4 2025. North Carolina led states with a 22,700‑job gain, while Virginia and Washington, DC each shed over 17,000 jobs. At the metro level, the New York‑Newark‑Jersey City area added 31,200 jobs, whereas the...

By FRED Blog (St. Louis Fed)
The Link Between Interest Rates and Exchange Rates : The Uncovered Interest Parity
NewsFeb 19, 2026

The Link Between Interest Rates and Exchange Rates : The Uncovered Interest Parity

The post examines how the 10‑year US‑German bond yield spread correlates with the USD/EUR exchange rate, showing that higher US yields usually coincide with dollar appreciation. A notable exception occurred after April 2 2025, when a sharp US yield rise was followed...

By FRED Blog (St. Louis Fed)