Latin America Risk Report

Latin America Risk Report

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Daily analysis of politics and security in Latin America; country/capex risk, policy, and elections

Five Ways AI Impacts Geopolitical Risk in Latin America
NewsFeb 17, 2026

Five Ways AI Impacts Geopolitical Risk in Latin America

The episode outlines five ways AI will reshape geopolitical risk in Latin America: massive middle‑class job disruption as AI replaces outsourced service roles; a new extractive dependence on foreign data‑center investments that may boost the economy but keep profits abroad;...

By Latin America Risk Report
Friday Reading List - 13 February 2026
NewsFeb 13, 2026

Friday Reading List - 13 February 2026

This episode surveys a whirlwind of political and security developments across Latin America, focusing on Mexico’s fraught reforms under President Sheinbaum, the looming electoral shake‑ups in the region, and the resurgence of U.S. influence via Trump‑aligned policies. It highlights Mexico’s...

By Latin America Risk Report
US Policy in Latin America - 11 February 2026
NewsFeb 11, 2026

US Policy in Latin America - 11 February 2026

The episode focuses on Venezuela, with a deep dive into its energy sector and the geopolitical implications for U.S. policy in Latin America. It also touches on related developments in Cuba, Argentina, and the strategic role of El Paso as a...

By Latin America Risk Report
Which Latin American Leaders Will Be Forced From Power in 2026?
NewsFeb 10, 2026

Which Latin American Leaders Will Be Forced From Power in 2026?

In this episode the host examines prediction‑market odds for Latin American leaders being ousted before the end of 2026, using data from Kalshi and Polymarket. He highlights Cuba, Venezuela, Bolivia and Ecuador as the most volatile cases, while noting that...

By Latin America Risk Report
Does Sheinbaum Really Care About Cuba? And How Likely Are US Military Strikes in Mexico?
NewsFeb 9, 2026

Does Sheinbaum Really Care About Cuba? And How Likely Are US Military Strikes in Mexico?

The episode examines the increasingly fraught relationship between Mexico’s President‑elect Claudia Sheinbaum and former U.S. President Donald Trump, focusing on five intersecting issues: Mexico’s humanitarian aid and oil shipments to Cuba, alleged ties between Venezuela’s Maduro regime and Mexico’s Morena...

By Latin America Risk Report
Friday Reading List - 6 February 2026
NewsFeb 6, 2026

Friday Reading List - 6 February 2026

The Friday Reading List for February 6, 2026 surveys a wave of political and security developments across Latin America, focusing on the United States' renewed pressure on Cuba, shifting dynamics in Brazil, Costa Rica, and Mexico, and the fallout from...

By Latin America Risk Report