TMTB Morning Wrap
TSMC posted first‑quarter 2026 revenue of $35.9 bn, up 6.4% sequentially and slightly above its own guidance, while gross margin surged to 66.2%, outpacing the 63‑65% target. Advanced process technologies (3‑nm, 5‑nm, 7‑nm) accounted for 74% of wafer revenue, driven by strong AI‑related demand in high‑performance computing and smartphones. The company raised its full‑year revenue outlook to more than 30% year‑over‑year growth and signaled capex at the top of its $52‑56 bn range, reflecting continued investment in AI‑centric capacity. Market sentiment was upbeat, with the Nasdaq‑100 (QQQ) up 25 bps and Asian equity indices posting solid gains.
TMTB EOD Wrap
The Nasdaq‑100 ETF (QQQ) surged 1.4% to a fresh all‑time closing high, putting the index up roughly 15% since the start of the month. The rally has broadened beyond growth‑heavy names, pulling in traditionally lagging tech stocks such as Nvidia,...
TMTB: Nvidia's CEO Jensen on Dwarkesh Podcast - Key Quotes (NVDA)
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang told the Dwarkesh podcast that the company’s 70% gross margin and fixed‑price strategy give it a pricing advantage over competing ASICs. He argued Nvidia’s performance‑to‑cost (TCO) ratio is unmatched, citing its token‑per‑watt efficiency and annual generational...
TMTB Morning News
ASML reported Q1 revenue of €8.8 billion (≈$9.6 billion), up 13% year‑over‑year and beating consensus, while its Q2 sales outlook of €8.4‑€9.0 billion (≈$9.2‑$9.8 billion) fell short of expectations. The Dutch lithography leader raised its FY26 revenue guidance to €36‑€40 billion (≈$39‑$44 billion) on stronger EUV...
TMTB EOD Wrap
The Nasdaq‑100 tracking QQQ rose 1.05% as investors digested calmer rhetoric from Trump and Iran and a continuing ceasefire, lifting risk appetite. Oil jumped 1.5% on the same optimism, while Treasury yields slipped 3‑4 basis points, nudging Fed expectations toward...
TMTB Morning Wrap
Futures slipped 6 basis points while crude jumped 8% after President Trump ordered a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, heightening geopolitical risk. Asian equity markets were mixed, with Japan, Korea and Hong Kong indices down and China’s Shanghai...
TMTB Weekly
The week was dominated by AI headlines, highlighted by Anthropic announcing a $30 B annual recurring revenue run rate and sealing a joint infrastructure deal with Google and AMD. Meta responded with its Muse Spark model, positioning the company alongside other...
TMTB Morning News
Lumentum Holdings (LITE) announced its optical‑component order book is sold out through 2028, driven by massive capex from U.S. hyperscalers. CoreWeave secured a multiyear agreement to provide Anthropic with AI‑compute capacity for its Claude models, while Anthropic is also weighing...
TMTB Morning Wrap
CoreWeave expanded its AI cloud infrastructure agreement with Meta to a $21 billion, decade‑long deal ending in 2032, prompting a 7.8% pre‑market rise in its shares. Morgan Stanley highlighted Meta’s newly launched Muse Spark model as a catalyst, projecting roughly 25% upside...
TMTB Morning Wrap
Iran and the United States exchanged strikes overnight, dimming hopes for a diplomatic deal before the 8 p.m. deadline, while Asian equity markets posted modest gains. Samsung’s shares fell 2% despite robust earnings, and Anthropic announced its valuation has surged to...
TMTB Mid-Day Wrap
The mid‑day wrap notes that the QQQ index added 20 basis points as investors hoped for a de‑escalation of the Iran crisis, with President Trump pushing the deadline to Tuesday night. In the internet sector, Netflix (NFLX) remained flat after...
TMTB EOD Wrap
The market erased an early 2% dip after President Trump’s speech and news that Iran will charge tolls on the Strait of Hormuz, lifting oil by about 11.5%. Traders shifted from a defensive weekend‑avoidance stance to a more aggressive “don’t...
TMTB Morning Wrap
NVIDIA announced a $2 billion investment to integrate Marvell Technology into its AI ecosystem through NVLink Fusion, expanding silicon photonics collaboration. Bernstein upgraded Western Digital to Outperform, projecting a 24% compound annual growth rate through FY30 and raising Seagate’s target, while...
TMTB Morning Wrap
U.S. futures jumped 80 basis points after overnight volatility, buoyed by President Trump’s optimistic remarks on trade talks and Iran’s decision to release an additional 20 ships from the Strait of Hormuz. Asian markets fell, with the Nikkei and KOSPI...
TMTB Weekly
Iran‑backed Houthis entered the Yemen conflict, firing missiles and drones at Israel and threatening to block the strategic Bab al‑Mandab Strait. U.S. officials are reportedly weighing a ground operation against Iran, though timelines remain vague. Oil prices jumped 2‑3% over...
TMTB Morning Wrap
Anthropic unintentionally revealed a new AI model dubbed “Claude Mythos,” which it describes as a step‑change in capability, while a federal judge blocked the Pentagon’s attempt to label the firm a national‑security threat. OpenAI’s ChatGPT ad pilot generated more than...
TMTB Mid-Day Wrap: Reddit, Applovin, META Weakness; TMT Momentum Worst Day in Years; Netflix Price Increase?; Memory/Semicap/Optical Unwind
The Nasdaq‑linked QQQ index dropped 2% as 10‑year Treasury yields neared 4.5% and oil prices rose 5%, tightening the macro backdrop for tech investors. Meta fell 7% after a July verdict holding it and Google liable for addictive product designs,...
TMTB: Pricing Update
TMT Breakout announced that its standard‑tier subscription will rise to $85 per month or $900 per year on the next renewal cycle. This marks the first price increase for existing customers in more than 2.5 years. The company emphasized that any...
TMTB Morning Wrap
ARM announced a new AGI‑focused server CPU and a shift toward a fabless semiconductor model, prompting multiple analyst upgrades. Raymond James lifted its price target to $166, Evercore ISI to $227, and BofA to $155, citing projected revenue growth and...
TMTB: Daily Tech/Investing Podcast Recaps
TMTB announced the beta launch of podcasts.tmtbreakout.com, a daily service that curates the three most relevant tech and investing podcasts released each day. The platform delivers concise investment takeaways and notable quotes at 2 p.m. EST, aiming to cut through the...
TMTB EOD Wrap: Amazon, Nvidia / Lumentum (LITE) Investor Mtg Recaps and More...
Amazon announced 1‑hour and 3‑hour delivery for over 90,000 items, expanding its ultra‑fast logistics network across hundreds of U.S. cities. OpenAI is now using AWS to run U.S. government and national‑security workloads, while AWS CEO Andy Jassy projected AI‑driven revenue...
TMTB EOD Wrap
The QQQ index climbed 1.1% as investors cheered President Trump’s remarks about an international naval coalition that could reopen the Strait of Hormuz, sending oil prices down 5% and trimming Treasury yields by 3‑5 basis points. Nvidia’s GPU Technology Conference...
TMTB Morning Wrap
Futures jumped 1% as traders speculated on an international coalition to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, though details remain vague and escort operations may wait for hostilities to cease. Bitcoin rallied 2.5% while Asian equity markets posted mixed results, with...
TMTB Morning Wrap
Futures slipped 60 basis points as oil prices stay elevated, driven by tanker incidents in Iraqi waters, Oman's export‑terminal clearance, and Chinese refiners canceling cargoes. Asian equity markets opened lower, with the Nikkei and Taiwan indices down over 1%, while...
TMTB EOD Wrap
The Nasdaq‑100 ETF (QQQ) rebounded 1.3% after an early rally sparked by G‑7 reserve‑release speculation, while oil prices fell 4% amid mixed geopolitical signals from a Trump comment on the Strait of Hormuz. AI‑focused semiconductor stocks drove the broader tech...
TMTB EOD Wrap: Software Vs. Semis
Software equities outperformed semiconductors sharply, driving the IGV‑SOX performance spread to a 10‑year high of 14.70% on a six‑day rolling basis. This marks the largest spread since the index’s inception, with only six days in the past decade exceeding a...
TMTB: Gitlab (GTLB) Buyside Bogeys
GitLab (GTLB) heads into its quarterly earnings call at 4:05 pm, with an implied 15% price move priced in by the market. The stock has tumbled 50% since the end of October and now trades at roughly three times forward revenue,...
TMTB EOD Wrap
The Nasdaq‑100 (QQQ) slipped 55 basis points despite concerns over XYZ’s 40% cost‑cut announcement. Semiconductor and software indices fell in tandem, indicating no clear sector rotation. Growth‑at‑a‑reasonable‑price (GARP) and quality stocks outperformed, led by Netflix’s 12% jump, Spotify’s 2% gain,...
TMTB EOD Wrap
The Nasdaq‑100 (QQQ) slipped 1.2% on Tuesday, dragged down by a 3% decline in semiconductor stocks. Meanwhile, software equities posted a solid bid, narrowing the valuation gap between software and semis to its widest since Deepseek’s surge in January 2025 and...
TMTB EOD Wrap
The Nasdaq‑100 ETF (QQQ) rose 1 % as a broad tech rally unfolded, led by semiconductors and supported by gains in internet and software stocks. Short‑covering in non‑profitable, heavily shorted tech names amplified the move, indicating traders are re‑entering positions after...
TMTB: Buyside Bogeys for the Week (DOCN, WDAY, CRM, SNOW, NVDA, INTU, CRWV, DELL)
The TMT Breakout newsletter flagged a slate of tech stocks as buyside "bogeys" for the week, highlighting DOCN, WDAY, CRM, SNOW, NVDA, INTU, CRWV and DELL. Nvidia’s earnings season remains the focal point, with its laterals shifting sharply and setting...
TMTB Morning Wrap
OpenAI disclosed it now targets roughly $600 billion in compute spend through 2030, a revision from the earlier $1.4 trillion infrastructure commitment that blended CAPEX and OPEX. The company’s push for additional AI‑compute power is hampered by the stalled Stargate joint venture...
TMTB Weekly: NVDA/SNOW Previews & Thoughts + SNDK
In this episode the hosts skip a deep dive on OpenAI’s latest revenue and operating‑expense numbers, deeming the headlines largely hype, and instead focus on previewing Nvidia (NVDA) and Snowflake (SNOW) stocks, offering short‑term technical outlooks and strategic considerations. They...
TMTB Morning Wrap
The episode opens with a market snapshot and escalating US‑Iran tensions before diving into earnings from DoorDash (DASH), Booking Holdings (BKNG), eBay (EBAY), Carvana (CVNA) and FIG. DoorDash reported strong 4Q25 growth in gross order value and EBITDA but missed...
TMTB Morning Wrap
The episode reviews a flat QQQ market after CPI data and a broad Asian sell‑off, then dives into earnings from Arista Networks (ANET), Applied Materials (AMAT), Roku, CarT, and Airbnb. Arista beat expectations, raised its FY26 growth outlook to ~25%...
TMTB EOD Wrap
The episode discusses the recent market downturn, highlighted by a 2% drop in QQQs, as AI disruption spreads beyond software and internet sectors into areas like property management and freight logistics. It examines how AI is turning into a net...
TMTB EOD Wrap
The episode reviews a rough day for tech stocks, with the QQQ index up modestly while most internet and software names slump amid an accelerating AI narrative. Host Citrini describes an "AI Disruption Discount" hitting vertical SaaS, ad platforms, and...