
It's "off topic" for Macro Tourists this morning, but its still happening Japanese Bond Yields ramping to new #Quad3 Cycle Highs as markets price in higher inflation https://t.co/tz4Pb6zTgP

Uncertainty over how the Iran war will affect the global economy is stirring volatility in interest-rate swap markets https://t.co/6hCS7QWGmZ via @highisland https://t.co/GLOEYbXZko
This is a high-stakes week for the bond market. The recent spike in crude prices - fueled by the conflict in Iran - will show up in March’s inflation data. The consensus on Wall Street is a headline print...

Even with the LTCM drama of the late 1990's, spreads never got above 2.40%, we are at 2.11% today https://t.co/yTyr072f92
OXLC cut its distribution 50%. The price crashed 60%. And the yield is STILL 24%. Here's the catch — and why this CLO equity fund trading at a 16% discount might actually be interesting for the first time in years: https://t.co/oLGHvO4MvQ
A history lesson on spreads and how rare 3% spreads have been in recent history. We never had 3% + spreads during the GFC or Covid We did in 2023, as the Fed was still hiking rates & the SVB crisis was...
Wall Street Braces for 24/7 Trading via Tokenization DTCC intends to tokenize entire $100 trillion asset catalog, beginning with U.S. Treasuries later this year. NYSE Digital Trading Platform (announced Jan 2026): 24/7 onchain trading + settlement of U.S. equities/ETFs, instant settlement,...

Financial advisors: your clients' bond portfolios are probably static. Same exposure in every environment. $JOJO rotates between high yield and Treasuries. That's differentiation. https://t.co/9yp8ZpcIhr
The bond market is telling you what equities refuse to accept. Rate cuts aren't coming. This rally is just a bounce before the binary. https://t.co/Mh5FYZAawT

I keep hearing the word complacency regarding oil prices. Maybe. But the real complacency is in global debt markets. We have an inflationary shock and fiscal policy that - especially in Europe and Japan - is out of control. This...

The 10-year Treasury yield is 4.3% (blue) and looks benign. But 10y10y forward yield (red) is 5.5% and pushing above pre-2008 levels. The global debt crisis waits for no one. Fiscal policy is out of control and geopolitical uncertainty makes...

Inflationary regime... stocks & bonds moving together JPMAM While that means less diversification, it also means higher bond yields vs the 2010s.. when bonds zigged when stocks zagged... it's a trade-off. https://t.co/VNDHInIcmI
While the combination of tariffs and spending cuts in 2025 proved net disinflationary (benefiting USD bond markets), the current dramatic neo-con shift under the Trump administration is the exact opposite - inflationary and negative for bonds

Fixed income: The YTM matters greatly.. 89% r-squared in terms of determining your 5-year return JPMAM https://t.co/b6f4gSRgeA

History says spreads peak 5-7 months after recessions start. Not before. By the time the NBER calls it, the move is done. $JOJO uses leading signals, not lagging labels. https://t.co/aEqM5MShko