Andrew Leach

Andrew Leach

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University of Alberta energy economist; oil sands, carbon policy, electricity markets

RCP 8.5 Outdated as Clean Tech Drives Lower Emissions
SocialMay 12, 2026

RCP 8.5 Outdated as Clean Tech Drives Lower Emissions

Those doing victory laps over RCP 8.5 might consider why that scenario is no longer relevant. Largely, it's improved emissions efficiency of energy production and end-use consumption. Fracking, EVs, solar, and batteries all mean that plausible GHG scenarios have shifted...

By Andrew Leach
Key LNG Projects Await Funding While Others Build
SocialMay 12, 2026

Key LNG Projects Await Funding While Others Build

Right now, Ksi Lisims (approved 2025) and LNG Canada phase 2 are all waiting for investment decisions. Cedar and Woodfibre are under construction. Kitimat was fully approved a long time ago. Etc. Etc. https://t.co/XV3kAFrJJP

By Andrew Leach
Morgan Bypasses SFA’s Centurion Endorsement
SocialMay 10, 2026

Morgan Bypasses SFA’s Centurion Endorsement

Morgan just skips right over the SFA endorsement of Centurion, I see. Although, by all means, make Mitch Sylvestre the spokesperson for the movement. https://t.co/CtRWewNv9c

By Andrew Leach
New GHG Rules Killing Canadian Pipelines, Conservatives Promise Repeal
SocialMay 7, 2026

New GHG Rules Killing Canadian Pipelines, Conservatives Promise Repeal

The "arbitrary new rules designed to kill the project" (assess GHGs) have been applied to three pipelines. Two are built. The other, Energy East, was cancelled in favour of Keystone XL for which the required GHG analysis which was new...

By Andrew Leach
Alberta Carbon Price Debate Ignores National Backstop and Provincial Disparities
SocialMay 7, 2026

Alberta Carbon Price Debate Ignores National Backstop and Provincial Disparities

So much talk about carbon prices in Alberta. But, two reminders: 1) we are supposed to have a national carbon pricing backstop, not a federal backstop for Alberta carbon prices alone; 2) Quebec credits are trading at around $40/t as...

By Andrew Leach
Tiny Price Elasticity Could Boost Canadian Output Dramatically
SocialMay 6, 2026

Tiny Price Elasticity Could Boost Canadian Output Dramatically

If the Canadian oil supply elasticity with respect to oil price were even 1/200th of the claimed oil supply elasticity with respect to average carbon pricing costs, we'd be producing 26 million barrels per day by next Tuesday. All numbers...

By Andrew Leach
Mystery Behind Jeff Rath, Stay Free Alberta Link
SocialMay 6, 2026

Mystery Behind Jeff Rath, Stay Free Alberta Link

Why do people keep associating Jeff Rath, Stay Free Alberta, and the Centurion Project? It's hard to pin down. https://t.co/Wfkm4AaUeq

By Andrew Leach
Cenovus Calls Top Oil Sands Projects Barely Profitable
SocialMay 4, 2026

Cenovus Calls Top Oil Sands Projects Barely Profitable

Cenovus has some of the best oil sands projects in Alberta. They're just telling Canadians that oil sands resources are marginally profitable at best, pennies per barrel from being uncompetitive. It's not a great idea when you're asking for...

By Andrew Leach
Bridger Pipeline's Saskatchewan Route Sparks Local Backlash
SocialMay 3, 2026

Bridger Pipeline's Saskatchewan Route Sparks Local Backlash

He's going to be really upset when he finds out that the proposed Bridger Pipeline goes through Saskatchewan before crossing into the US. All the smartest people. https://t.co/eOKiSNnfh4

By Andrew Leach
From Phone Books to CRA Hacks: Privacy Eroded
SocialMay 3, 2026

From Phone Books to CRA Hacks: Privacy Eroded

They've moved on from "it's in the phone book" to "everything you've ever submitted to the CRA is public because they've been hacked." Totally normal days for the separatists. https://t.co/ErdaXHvDlT

By Andrew Leach
Trump Approved only 2,000 Feet; States Handle Rest
SocialMay 3, 2026

Trump Approved only 2,000 Feet; States Handle Rest

Reminder: the pipeline approval for Bridger / KXL 3.0 granted by President Trump this week was for 2000 feet of pipeline. The balance of approvals must come from state regulators. US pipeline regulations differ from those in Canada. https://t.co/ItvHV3H1Vt

By Andrew Leach
Alberta’s Digital ID Plan Hidden Behind Test App
SocialMay 1, 2026

Alberta’s Digital ID Plan Hidden Behind Test App

I hear the whole plan was to use the lists to make digital IDs for a sovereign Alberta. They wanted to have them ready for day 1. The app was all a test.

By Andrew Leach
Evidence of Questionable Voter List, but No Investigation Warranted
SocialMay 1, 2026

Evidence of Questionable Voter List, but No Investigation Warranted

Elections AB: We received evidence that a voters list held by a person with previous penalties under AB elections law was published on an app made by an organization with ties to ppl w history of violating AB elections law....

By Andrew Leach
Trudeau Juggles Three Pipeline Choices as Oil Slides
SocialApr 29, 2026

Trudeau Juggles Three Pipeline Choices as Oil Slides

Cast your minds back to November, 2016. Trudeau gov't faces 3 pipeline decisions: Line 3, Northern Gateway, and TMX. Energy East remains under consideration w 1 million bpd committed. President Trump has just announced a revival of Keystone XL. WTI...

By Andrew Leach