Andrew Leach

Andrew Leach

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University of Alberta energy economist; oil sands, carbon policy, electricity markets

Questioning Strategic Reserves Amid Low Export History
SocialMar 12, 2026

Questioning Strategic Reserves Amid Low Export History

IEA reserve requirements set on the basis of national net imports. We're not a net importer. Our net exports were smaller during the CPC time in gov't. Was a strategic reserve built up during that period? Contemplated?

By Andrew Leach
US Oil Imports Rebound to 1990 Levels, 2 M Bpd
SocialMar 12, 2026

US Oil Imports Rebound to 1990 Levels, 2 M Bpd

US is still a net importer of about 2 million barrels per day of oil, roughly back to 1990 levels. https://t.co/p77J48rR7V

By Andrew Leach
Pipelines:
SocialMar 11, 2026

Pipelines:

Oil prices up? This is why we need more pipelines. Oil prices down? This is why we need more pipelines. Oil prices steady? This is why we need more pipelines. Sky blue? This is why we need more pipelines. Dark...

By Andrew Leach
NEP Would've Guaranteed $80+ Oil Price For
SocialMar 11, 2026

NEP Would've Guaranteed $80+ Oil Price For

Fun reminder: the National Energy Program would have locked-in a price of $63+ inflation from 1980 (capped if it exceeded global oil prices) for the Albian Sands oil sands project. If I'm not mistaken, the $80/bbl plus inflation price was...

By Andrew Leach
MP Calls for Expanded Canadian Strategic Oil Reserves
SocialMar 11, 2026

MP Calls for Expanded Canadian Strategic Oil Reserves

I've come out of class to learn that the MP for Battle River - Crowfoot has proposed that Canada increase our strategic oil reserves to provide for resilience for oil-dependent regions from disruptions such as those we're seeing today? This...

By Andrew Leach
Germany Built LNG Terminal in 194 Days; Canada Lags
SocialMar 8, 2026

Germany Built LNG Terminal in 194 Days; Canada Lags

Canada is looking to build export terminals, Pierre. They are more complicated. Why don't you ask Shell why they don't just build Phase 2 of LNG Canada in 200 days? Please try to help Canadians understand their energy sector rather...

By Andrew Leach
Alberta’s Oil Outpaces Norway’s Fleeting Resource Boom
SocialMar 7, 2026

Alberta’s Oil Outpaces Norway’s Fleeting Resource Boom

Cosh, on the Globe Ed Board Norwailing is excellent. I would add to his AB context that Norway too was expecting a very short-lived resource and their production has, indeed, declined from peak. AB is still hitting record production month...

By Andrew Leach
CNRL Mines Free of Carbon Pricing Liabilities
SocialMar 5, 2026

CNRL Mines Free of Carbon Pricing Liabilities

There are other CNRL projects that have material carbon pricing liabilities, including at Jackfish and Primrose. The mines don't have that issue.

By Andrew Leach
Did the Project Profit or Pay Under Carbon Pricing?
SocialMar 5, 2026

Did the Project Profit or Pay Under Carbon Pricing?

I'm sure Pierre checked whether this project made money or paid money under the industrial carbon pricing regime, right?

By Andrew Leach
Long‑awaited LNG Licences, but Most Projects Never Materialized
SocialMar 2, 2026

Long‑awaited LNG Licences, but Most Projects Never Materialized

A reminder: Douglas Channel Energy got its 20-yr LNG export licence in Feb 2012, Kitimat LNG received its export license in October 2011, and LNG Canada a 20-yr export licence in February 2013. None reached a final investment decision until...

By Andrew Leach
LNG Terminals Need Long‑term Contracts, Not Spare Capacity
SocialMar 2, 2026

LNG Terminals Need Long‑term Contracts, Not Spare Capacity

Why on earth would Canada (or anyone) have that much spare LNG capacity? The reason many terminals weren't built is because they couldn't secure long-term offtake deals. No one was building terminals on a purely merchant basis.

By Andrew Leach
Provincial Environmental Rules Can Trump Federal Pipelines
SocialFeb 21, 2026

Provincial Environmental Rules Can Trump Federal Pipelines

So, for example, a province acting within its jurisdiction over matters of a local and private nature (e.g. local environmental protection) would be given priority over federal laws (e.g. pipeline construction) in the event of a conflict? https://t.co/83rqboK7pR

By Andrew Leach
Norway to Raise Carbon Tax to $220 by 2030
SocialFeb 16, 2026

Norway to Raise Carbon Tax to $220 by 2030

"A key plank of Norway’s Climate Action Plan 2021-2030 is the gradual raising of its carbon tax to USD 220 per tonne of CO2 by 2030." Norway has had a carbon tax since the 1990s. That seems to escape the...

By Andrew Leach
Norway’s Model: State‑Owned Resources, Low Taxes, EV Leadership
SocialFeb 16, 2026

Norway’s Model: State‑Owned Resources, Low Taxes, EV Leadership

It's going to be hilarious when he learns anything about Norway. Taxes? National ownership of resource companies? EV policies? Saving rather than spending resource revenues? Which Norwegian counties are resource producing, and how much control do they have over...

By Andrew Leach
NGP's Analysis and Design Assets May Be Monetized First
SocialFeb 14, 2026

NGP's Analysis and Design Assets May Be Monetized First

This. Plus they also have an asset in all of the NGP project analysis, engineering, and design. They might well choose to monetize that asset rather than (or prior to) building the pipeline.

By Andrew Leach