IGV Volume Spikes 100M as SaaS Interest Soars
Small pt but you can look for ST clues to countertrend and prob find a bunch of false ones (you will) but def helps when larger wave is at least behind you when you see them. 10 week SMA on $IGV volume hit 100M (insane) right as SAAS searches hit 100. https://t.co/DBxzhaYY9W
Market Sees Oil Under $70 Until 2032
Not CNN interpreting backwardation as the market predicting oil doesn't get to 70 until 2032 https://t.co/RasuRTooqd
Investors Chase Hot Assets, Sparking Sequential Market Rallies
And true to form again, everyone searched and bought $MSTR, $GOLD ripped, then they searched and bought $GOLD, now $NDX rips https://t.co/tQrjYbGc0y
Crypto Bull’s 2021 Bravado Meets 2023 Bubble Reality
Seeing a guy who was turbo bullish Crypto at the top in 2021 saying he 'couldn't get enough' and we all weren't 'thinking big enough' now welcoming a bubble saying he would 'easily trade it' while misquoting Soros https://t.co/LSXxcUBekN
Negative Fed Model Forecasts Market Boom, Then Bust
Understanding the Fed model went negative by over 300 basis points in the 90's before the market doubled followed by everyone losing everything https://t.co/JKFm1T5RcL
Tech Spread Hits 26%, Eclipses Post‑GFC Levels
So no big surprise but the tech spread has widened to 26%, dwarfs anything seen post GFC. $XLK $ES_F https://t.co/LqmLDAb1nv
300 DMA/Weak Volume Killer Overlooked in TA Literature
To my knowledge no TA book covers the infamous 300 DMA/weak volume killer combo $ES_F https://t.co/a6LSXof6XM
S&P Hits New Highs Despite Weak Financials
When you ask Claude to show you the other times the S&P 500 made a new ATH with $XLF below its 200 DMA https://t.co/Z1DrzXBUlV
Oil Executives Warn of Emerging Western Physical Shortages
Oil Execs: 'We are starting to see physical shortages emerge in the west' Market: https://t.co/s25BclzDwg
Tom Remained Indifferent During Previous Energy Spike
A lot of you don't know this but Tom didn't care last time energy spiked as well $ES_F https://t.co/xJEiJBdgVu
Critical Rate Threshold Threatening Big‑Cap Tech Stocks
At what level would long term interest rates need to be to negatively impact big cap tech stocks? $NDX
Substack Launches Reveal Graduate‑level Market Psychology
If you overlay Amit's substack launch on $HOOD shares and Burry's on $IGV you'll get a rare look at graduate level market psychology https://t.co/jRLeRvKPvA
High Volatility Renders Short-Term
4 hour across gasoline, $CL_F , brent and the 2 year yield. Again most either bought late, faded early or just are using chart time frames that won't help much when vol is this high for this long. https://t.co/Ie8cBLcCWt
Buffett's GS Preferred Deal Outshines AIG Collapse
The funnier thing about this is ~8 short years later $AIG would implode while Buffett would get a 10% preferred off of $GS with a 10% call premium and warrants that instantly went into the money the minute the deal...
This Cycle Hinges on Duration, Not Breakout Shocks
Last cycle the market basically instantly unwound on the gasoline breakout + vice versa Very diff situation as it forced the Fed's hand et Having said that was curious the overlay, obv this cycle is more about duration/absolute levels vs say breakout/shock...