Iran Conflict Fuels Massive Commodity Price Surges
Since the start of the Iran war... Sulfur: +67% Jet Fuel: +66% Urea: +51% Diesel: +50% Heating Oil: +40% WTI Crude Oil: +37% European Natural Gas: +34% Gasoline: +32% Fertilizer: +31% Brent Crude Oil: +31% Coal: +14% Palm Oil: +10% Iron Ore: +7% Rice: +4% S&P 500: +1% $VIX: -8%
S&P 500 Total Return Hits New All‑Time High
Including dividends, the S&P 500 is now up over 2% YTD with the total return index closing at a new all-time high today. $SPX https://t.co/oE5qym7Qb6
Volatility Clusters: Big Ups Follow Big Downs Near March Low
The S&P 500 rose 1.2% today, its 4th big up day (>1% gain) in the past 2 weeks. The V-shaped recovery off the March low is another reminder for investors: volatility cuts both ways and is not linear over time....
Nvidia’s Decade Return Dwarfs All, Outpaces Inflation
Last 10 Years NVIDIA $NVDA: +21,630% Bitcoin $BTC: +17,401% $AMD: +9,278% Tesla $TSLA: +2,071% Apple $AAPL: +919% Netflix $NFLX: +863% Google $GOOGL: +763% Microsoft $MSFT: +707% Amazon $AMZN: +704% Meta $META: +501% S&P 500 $SPY: +293% Gold $GLD: +280% US Inflation (CPI): +39%
Producer Prices Up 4.6% Annually; Fed Should Hold Rates
Producer Prices in the US rose 4.6% per year over the last 5 years and over 25% in total. 2% inflation is a myth. The Fed should not be cutting rates at all this year. https://t.co/sm0qnaFXWD
US Tariff Revenue Drops 29% Before Massive Refunds
US tariff revenue moved down to $22 billion in March, a 29% decline from the peak revenue levels last November ($31 billion). This is before the impact of IEEPA duty refunds which are expected to total $170 billion in the...
VIX Drops 38% in Two Weeks, 7th Largest Crash
The 38% decline in the $VIX over the last 2 weeks is the 7th biggest volatility crash in history. https://t.co/WG93PaZexq
S&P 500 Near New Record, Up 1% YTD
The S&P 500 is now up 1% YTD and above the level it was at when the Iran war began. Only needs another 1% gain to hit a new all-time high. $SPX Video: https://t.co/GTwCFLgKqY
Government Claims 21% Health Insurance Cost Decline Over Five Years
The most absurd number in CPI? According to the US Government, the cost of health insurance has declined 21% over the last 5 years... https://t.co/l5IYmkeySJ https://t.co/YUTqN8BlGp
US Federal Deficit Swells: $1.2 Trillion Shortfall in Six Months
In the first 6 months of the 2026 Fiscal Year the US Federal Government took in $2.5 trillion and spent $3.7 trillion. Don’t try this at home. https://t.co/L0Zec6hR6L
Fed Fooled World Into Ignoring 4% Inflation
The greatest trick the Fed ever pulled was convincing the world 4% inflation didn't exist. https://t.co/2nQtRmlH9U
March CPI Spikes to 3.3%, Fed Cut Odds Zero
Overall US CPI moved up to 3.3% in March, the highest level since April 2024. The odds of a Fed rate cut this month: 0% https://t.co/LVl4ndgw8H
Fuel Oil Soars 44%, Used Cars Slip 3%
Price changes over last year (March CPI report) Fuel Oil: +44.2% Gasoline: +18.9% Gas Utilities: +6.4% Electricity: +4.6% Transportation: +4.1% Food away from home: +3.8% Medical Care: +3.7% Overall CPI: +3.3% Shelter: +3.0% Food at home: +1.9% New Cars: +0.5% Used Cars: -3.2%
S&P 500 YTD Flat Despite Market Turmoil
S&P 500 YTD total return: +0.0% After all that ... it’s like nothing ever happened. https://t.co/YsLkrj3kUt
Exxon Outperformed Salesforce After Dow Swap
In August 2020, Exxon was removed from the Dow and Salesforce was added to the index. Total Returns since... Exxon $XOM: +396% Salesforce $CRM: -39% https://t.co/8HfMqrkk8i
