PLTR Downtrend Minimal; Support Near $91
$PLTR - This is a log chart that shows how small the downtrend since November has been in comparison with the 3 year bull market that preceded it. There's no way the low for the year was made today. Minimal target: the 100 week MA, but more likely the 1st yearly support at $91. https://t.co/0A0X2fyPyi
Bitcoin Must Break $75,970 to Avoid Q2 Low
$BTC - Still underperforming stocks. The stock indices have broken over their March 17 high, Bitcoin is still below it. In order to confirm an intermediate term low it has to close above the 100 day MA that is currently...
Rally Needs 90% Up-Volume or Advances—Absent Now
In order for today's stock market rally to be sustainable, in the absence of a Zweig Breadth thrust, we need a 90% up volume day or a 90% advances day on the NYSE. At the moment we have neither...
S&P 500's 200‑day MA Breach Fails to Spark New Highs
That's interesting. In all of these cases the S&P 500 was still in a longer term downtrend and did not make a new ATH following the close above the 200 day MA. https://t.co/THrRmHqWrG
Weekly Close Needed to Confirm SPX 200‑DMA Recovery
Saw a post from 10 hours ago: $SPX is back above the 200 day MA. It was a false breakdown. Even a close above the 200 DMA won't rule out a failed rally like March 2022 or a bear trap...
Zweig Bread
That is false. The last time the 10 day EMA of advancing issues was below 0.40 was on March 20, so the required 10 trading day window for getting a Zweig Breadth Thrust has already passed. There can be no...
S&P Near 200‑Day MA, Downward Move Expected
$SPX - 4th up day in a row and approaching the 200 day MA. The most likely scenario is hitting the 200 DMA and then turning down again for another down leg. Obviously, a ceasefire agreement with Iran will probably...
QQQ May Dip to 540 Before Confirming Bottom
$QQQ - The weekly low was 555 which is close to the yearly pivot but I doubt it has bottomed. If it keeps following the 2006 analogy which I posted about, the target would be 540, a retest of the...
Tesla's Seven‑week Slide Persists; 329 Support Target
$TSLA - Closed down for 7 weeks in a row but the downtrend isn't over yet. The target remains the 100 week MA that is currently at 329. Further downside will be invalidated only in case of a weekly close...
Twitter Fuels False Trump Health Rumors; Policy Overhaul Needed
Twitter has become the biggest online tool for spreading fake news. This is a video from Butler, Pennsylvania in July 2024 after Trump's assassination attempt. Twitter needs to change its policy ASAP and ban this lying retards. https://t.co/C9cBXe4EiN
RSI Near 2020 Lows, 2022 Scenario Likely, Target 6100‑6208
Reminder: Last week the 5 week RSI was nearly as oversold as in 2020 and 2025. While a V shaped bottom is not impossible, option 2 which is a May-June 2022 type of scenario is more likely here given the...
Apple Poised to Hold, Target 100‑week MA
$AAPL - The most bullish big tech stock this year. Hasn't made a new low for the year since January when it hit the yearly pivot at 243. I expect it to hit the 100 week MA that is currently...
MSFT Nears Support; Above 200‑Week MA Signals Low
$MSFT - Closed the week higher after nearing the major support zone at 345-350. A weekly close above the 200 week MA(379) will be a good initial signal of an intermediate term low being in. There's still risk of a...
Gold's January Candle Mirrors Past Peaks, Signaling Strength
$Gold - If you want more evidence that it made a major top in January take a look at the quarterly candle. Same candle as Q1 2008, Q3 2011 and Q3 2020. As you can see it doesn't mean gold...
SPX Below 10‑Month MA Signals Potential Further Decline
$SPX - Closed below the 10 month MA. Going back to 2009 3 cases didn't have any further downside or only marginal further downside: 2011, 2015 and 2023, but in 2011 and 2015 the drawdown had already been at least...
QQQ Mirrors 2006 Pattern, Bottom Likely in May
$QQQ - I've scanned past price patterns to compare it with the price action since the late October top and the year that has the highest correlation is 2006. If current action continues to follow the 2006 script QQQ will...
Bitcoin's Next Cycle Low May Set Yearly Low
$BTC - The next 11 week cycle low is due on the week of April 20-26. The only question is if the coming low will be higher or lower than the February low? Given that Bitcoin started to underperform stocks...
Record January Volume Signals Silver Top, 2029 Low
$SLV - The monthly volume in January was the highest volume ever. Such volume expansions happen only at major tops. After every major top silver declines into the next 7 year cycle low. The next 7YCL is due in late...
Silver Blow‑off Targets $28.31 Low by 2030
$Silver - Blow off moves in the past ended with a return to the origin of the blow off. In 1980 it was to the April 1978 low at 4.90. In 2011 it was to the February 2010 low at...
Gold's Bearish Engulfing Hints End of Bull Market
$Gold - The March candle was a bearish engulfing candle similar to September 2011. At the monthly low it hit the 10 month MA as it did in September 2011. The bull market may be over and gold could suffer...
Dollar Set to Rise Through 2027, Target 110?
$DXY monthly - Closed above the 10 month MA. The 3 year cycle low in January is confirmed. The rising phase of the previous 3 year cycles lasted at least 18 months, so the Dollar is likely to move higher...
SPX Bounces Above 10‑DMA, Still Needs 200‑DMA
$SPX - All previous bounces in March failed closing above the 10 DMA. Today's bounce succeeded so it may go higher but the key MA that has to be regained is the 200 DMA. Until that happens we're still in...
QQQ's 3.4% Surge Unlikely to End Downtrend
$QQQ - Up 3.4% today, the biggest up day since last May. Does it mean the downtrend is over? Not so fast. In order for it to be more than a one day bounce it has to get back above...
IGV May Confirm Double Bottom if Weekly Close Tops 82.90
$IGV - Potentially made a double bottom last week. In order to confirm that it made an intermediate term low on the last week of February it needs a weekly close above the 10 week MA that is currently at...
AVGO Holds Above 299 Pivot; Below Triggers 245 Target
$AVGO - So far in this downtrend it has held above the support of the yearly pivot at 299.60. If it closes the week below 299 the next downside target would be the 100 week MA that is currently at...
NVDA Faces Yearly Pivot at $161, Potential Drop to $147
$NVDA - As I posted last week it's headed to the yearly pivot at $161. If it closes below 161 at the end of next week the next downside target would be the 100 week MA that is currently at...
Tech Valuations Lag Growth, Set to Outperform Soon
The $NDX forward PE ratio has dropped to 21.09. In September 2022 it was at 18.96. The $SPX forward PE is at 20.53. We're approaching the point where tech will start outperforming again. It doesn't make sense for tech to...
Oil May Rally to $109 Before Confirming Top
$USOIL - As I've already stated I think it made a major top at 119.48 but the top will not be confirmed until there's a weekly close below 90. The weekly candle is bullish and indicates that it may rally...
Silver Poised for Short‑term Bounce, Bull Market Ended
$Silver - Made a multi week low at the yearly pivot at 61. I expect a multi week bounce into late April/early May. The bounce could get to as high as the 1st yearly resistance at 94. The bull market...
Gold Poised for Multi‑week Bounce to $5,028
$Gold - The weekly candle is bullish and indicates that it made a multi week low this week. I think it made a major top in late January and is following the 2011 price pattern. I expect a multi week...
S&P 500 Breaks Low, Eyes 6,212 Target
$SPX - Today it broke below last week's low and closed at 6369. The minimal target is the August low at 6212 but it could drop to as low as the late 2024 high at 6100 which preceded the tariff...
QQQ Mini Crash May Dip to 540, Testing 2025 High
$QQQ - The mini crash continues. The minimal target is the August low at 551 but it could drop to as low as 540 and retest the early 2025 high that preceded the tariff crash last year. https://t.co/DCFzwtREO5
MAGS Near Key 50% Retracement Support at $54
$MAGS - Approaching the 50% retracement level of the April-October rally at $54. The 100 week moving average is also at 54 and reinforces the significance of that support level. https://t.co/FByaUR1fba
Meta Poised to Fill Final Gap, Eyeing $494
$META - After today's crash it has filled all the gaps that go back to the April 2025 low, except one. The last unfilled gap is at 506.88 and this one is likely to be filled too in the near...
XLE RSI Near Record High Signals Possible Crash
$XLE - The 14 week RSI is currently at 84.76. The RSI's highest level ever was 84.86 on March 3, 2011. 4 weeks later XLE made a major top that led to a 33% crash over the next 6 months...
Silver Chart Confusion: Bullish Triangle or Mega Wedge?
$Silver - Up until March 12 I was told that this was a bullish triangle. Now I am being told that this is a mega bullish wedge. If I didn't know any better I would say that someone is bullshitting...
GOOGL Eyes $260 Yearly Pivot After Feb Top
$GOOGL - Made an intermediate term top in early February and is headed to the yearly pivot at $260. https://t.co/Eo2MG7NbBQ
SPX Needs 40‑Week MA Break to Halt Downtrend
$SPX - The attempt to close above the 200 day MA has failed. Even if it closes above the 200 DMA it won't be enough to confirm a Friday bottom. Last year before the "Liberation Day" crash it closed above...
BTC Poised for 79k Bounce, but 65.6k Break Signals Decline
$BTC - I still expect it to bounce to the 100 day MA that is currently around 79200. However, if it breaks the March low at 65619 the next down leg into April would already be underway. https://t.co/gPh0B599xo
Tesla Breaks Below Yearly Pivot, Targets 325 Support
$TSLA - Closed the week below the yearly pivot at 387. The December top was confirmed as being a major top. The next downside target is the 100 week MA that is currently at 325. https://t.co/i98YDNydf3
NVDA Eyes 161 Pivot, 146 Support if Broken
$NVDA - Headed to the yearly pivot at $161. If it breaks below 161 the next downside target would be the 100 week MA that is currently at 146. https://t.co/8WpdonkIVL
Meta's Weekly Decline Signals Major Bottom Near 494
$META - Closed the week below the 100 week MA. The August top was confirmed as being a major top. The next support is the November low at 581 but it will likely get broken in the near future. The...
NYSE A‑D Top Signals Mild 2026 S&P Dip
The NYSE and $SPX advance-decline lines topped in late February. There was no divergence at the top(an A-D line top before the S&P 500 top). Prior to every 4 year or 7 year cycle high in the past except one,...
MSFT Approaches 200‑Week MA, Eyes $367 Support
$MSFT is close to hitting its 200 week MA at $378. The target for the next major low is probably a bit lower: the 1st yearly support pivot at $367. https://t.co/AqEanatkFt
TLT Hits New Yearly Low, Eyes Low‑80s Support
$TLT - Made a new low for the year and is headed back to the low 80s. The next major support is the May 2025 low at 83.30. https://t.co/b3Nva3eIMx
Silver Below 20‑Week MA Signals Potential Drop to $50
$Silver - Closed the week below the 20 week MA. That may lead to further downside to the yearly pivot at 61.33. If it breaks below 61 we will likely see a crash to 50, the level of the major...
Gold Below 20‑week MA; 4400 Break Could Trigger Crash
$Gold - Closed the week below the 20 week MA for the 1st time since 2023. Since it didn't break the February low(4402), I'm not sure it's significant. It depends on whether it holds above 4400 or not. If it...
SPX Downtrend Likely Extends to August Low
$SPX - Time wise we're still in the timeframe for an 80 trading day low, but in my opinion the weekly close below the 200 day MA and breakdown of the November low has invalidated this cycle. The downtrend is...
QQQ Expected to Extend Downtrend to April, Target 551
$QQQ - Today's action has changed my expectations for a bottom this week. The bullish outcome was eliminated given the weekly close below the 200 day MA and break of the November low, which means that QQQ made a major...
SPX Below 200‑Day MA Yet Bullish on Cycle Signals
$SPX - Closed below the 200 day MA which is a red flag but I'm still bullish for 3 reasons: 1. We are 79 trading days from the November low which is equal to the duration of the last 16 week...
