Oil May Rally to $109 Before Confirming Top
$USOIL - As I've already stated I think it made a major top at 119.48 but the top will not be confirmed until there's a weekly close below 90. The weekly candle is bullish and indicates that it may rally to the 4th yearly resistance at 109 before turning down again. https://t.co/8uVJ0gDprb
Silver Poised for Short‑term Bounce, Bull Market Ended
$Silver - Made a multi week low at the yearly pivot at 61. I expect a multi week bounce into late April/early May. The bounce could get to as high as the 1st yearly resistance at 94. The bull market...
Gold Poised for Multi‑week Bounce to $5,028
$Gold - The weekly candle is bullish and indicates that it made a multi week low this week. I think it made a major top in late January and is following the 2011 price pattern. I expect a multi week...
S&P 500 Breaks Low, Eyes 6,212 Target
$SPX - Today it broke below last week's low and closed at 6369. The minimal target is the August low at 6212 but it could drop to as low as the late 2024 high at 6100 which preceded the tariff...
QQQ Mini Crash May Dip to 540, Testing 2025 High
$QQQ - The mini crash continues. The minimal target is the August low at 551 but it could drop to as low as 540 and retest the early 2025 high that preceded the tariff crash last year. https://t.co/DCFzwtREO5
MAGS Near Key 50% Retracement Support at $54
$MAGS - Approaching the 50% retracement level of the April-October rally at $54. The 100 week moving average is also at 54 and reinforces the significance of that support level. https://t.co/FByaUR1fba
Meta Poised to Fill Final Gap, Eyeing $494
$META - After today's crash it has filled all the gaps that go back to the April 2025 low, except one. The last unfilled gap is at 506.88 and this one is likely to be filled too in the near...
XLE RSI Near Record High Signals Possible Crash
$XLE - The 14 week RSI is currently at 84.76. The RSI's highest level ever was 84.86 on March 3, 2011. 4 weeks later XLE made a major top that led to a 33% crash over the next 6 months...
Silver Chart Confusion: Bullish Triangle or Mega Wedge?
$Silver - Up until March 12 I was told that this was a bullish triangle. Now I am being told that this is a mega bullish wedge. If I didn't know any better I would say that someone is bullshitting...
GOOGL Eyes $260 Yearly Pivot After Feb Top
$GOOGL - Made an intermediate term top in early February and is headed to the yearly pivot at $260. https://t.co/Eo2MG7NbBQ
SPX Needs 40‑Week MA Break to Halt Downtrend
$SPX - The attempt to close above the 200 day MA has failed. Even if it closes above the 200 DMA it won't be enough to confirm a Friday bottom. Last year before the "Liberation Day" crash it closed above...
BTC Poised for 79k Bounce, but 65.6k Break Signals Decline
$BTC - I still expect it to bounce to the 100 day MA that is currently around 79200. However, if it breaks the March low at 65619 the next down leg into April would already be underway. https://t.co/gPh0B599xo
Tesla Breaks Below Yearly Pivot, Targets 325 Support
$TSLA - Closed the week below the yearly pivot at 387. The December top was confirmed as being a major top. The next downside target is the 100 week MA that is currently at 325. https://t.co/i98YDNydf3
NVDA Eyes 161 Pivot, 146 Support if Broken
$NVDA - Headed to the yearly pivot at $161. If it breaks below 161 the next downside target would be the 100 week MA that is currently at 146. https://t.co/8WpdonkIVL
Meta's Weekly Decline Signals Major Bottom Near 494
$META - Closed the week below the 100 week MA. The August top was confirmed as being a major top. The next support is the November low at 581 but it will likely get broken in the near future. The...
NYSE A‑D Top Signals Mild 2026 S&P Dip
The NYSE and $SPX advance-decline lines topped in late February. There was no divergence at the top(an A-D line top before the S&P 500 top). Prior to every 4 year or 7 year cycle high in the past except one,...
MSFT Approaches 200‑Week MA, Eyes $367 Support
$MSFT is close to hitting its 200 week MA at $378. The target for the next major low is probably a bit lower: the 1st yearly support pivot at $367. https://t.co/AqEanatkFt
TLT Hits New Yearly Low, Eyes Low‑80s Support
$TLT - Made a new low for the year and is headed back to the low 80s. The next major support is the May 2025 low at 83.30. https://t.co/b3Nva3eIMx
Silver Below 20‑Week MA Signals Potential Drop to $50
$Silver - Closed the week below the 20 week MA. That may lead to further downside to the yearly pivot at 61.33. If it breaks below 61 we will likely see a crash to 50, the level of the major...
Gold Below 20‑week MA; 4400 Break Could Trigger Crash
$Gold - Closed the week below the 20 week MA for the 1st time since 2023. Since it didn't break the February low(4402), I'm not sure it's significant. It depends on whether it holds above 4400 or not. If it...
SPX Downtrend Likely Extends to August Low
$SPX - Time wise we're still in the timeframe for an 80 trading day low, but in my opinion the weekly close below the 200 day MA and breakdown of the November low has invalidated this cycle. The downtrend is...
QQQ Expected to Extend Downtrend to April, Target 551
$QQQ - Today's action has changed my expectations for a bottom this week. The bullish outcome was eliminated given the weekly close below the 200 day MA and break of the November low, which means that QQQ made a major...
SPX Below 200‑Day MA Yet Bullish on Cycle Signals
$SPX - Closed below the 200 day MA which is a red flag but I'm still bullish for 3 reasons: 1. We are 79 trading days from the November low which is equal to the duration of the last 16 week...
1973 Oil Embargo Spike Won’t Reoccur
This is hyperbolic bullshit. In 1973-1980 during the Arab oil embargo on the U.S and its allies, the price of crude oil spiked from $3.56 to $39.50. That was a 1000% increase in the price of crude oil. That is...
Silver Holds Above $64, Poised for April Rebound
$Silver is trading below its 100 day MA for the 1st time since its April 2025 low. However, I don't think it's relevant since it retested the February low earlier today, so unless it breaks below 64 it probably made...
Gold's RSI Hits Record Overbought, Expect Sharp Pullback
$Gold - I want to remind you that the 14 month RSI closed at 95.67 at the end of February, its most overbought level in history. If you can't stomach an 11% drawdown and cry about "manipulation" or "suppression" or...
Equity Put/Call Ratio Peaks at 1.11, Highest Since April 2024
$CPCE - The CBOE equity put/call ratio spiked to 1.11, its highest level since April 2024. The 10 day moving average of the ratio is now at 0.73 which is higher than it was at April 2025 low. The last...
Brent Outpaces WTI, Nearing 78.6% Retracement
$UKOIL - Brent oil is significantly outperforming WTI oil for obvious reasons. Both topped around $119.50 last Monday, but while WTI has only reached $98 today, Brent reached $110 at today's high and is close to the 78.6% retracement of...
Out‑of‑control Inflation Coincided with Seven‑month Gold Decline
The last time inflation was out of control, gold was down 7 months in a row from April to October 2022. https://t.co/OSEyr3dAKn
QQQ’s 40‑Week MA Predicts New Highs or 18% Drops
$QQQ - You can see the importance of the 40 week moving average. Going back to 2014 every time a multi week decline bottomed at the 40 week MA QQQ went on to make a new all time high. On...
Meta Reaches 100‑week MA, Announces 20% Workforce Cuts
$META hit its 100 week MA on Friday for the 3rd time since November. After the market close it announced that it was planning to cut 20% of its workforce. The vertical lines show the last 2 times it announced...
Oil Prices Set to Test 61.8% and 78.6% Retracements
$USOIL - Closed above the 50% retracement level on Friday. Next week it's headed to at least the 61.8% retracement level at 103 and possibly to the 78.6% retracement level at 110. https://t.co/vUmCz2yZlr
TLT Poised to Breach Feb Low, Eye Historic Lows
$TLT - In just 2 weeks it's back to the February low due to the Iran war. If it beaks the February low(86.43) we will likely see a retest of the 2025 low and maybe even the 2023 low. https://t.co/Mm9e0lX2JM
Dollar Index Breaks High, Signals Strong 2027 Trend
$DXY - Broke out above its November high. The 3 year cycle low is confirmed. The Dollar is headed higher into 2027. The question is will the current cycle be a not so bullish cycle like the last one, or...
Silver Poised Above 20‑week MA, Limited Upside
$Silver - I expect it to hit the 20 week MA again next week or the following week. If it holds above the 20 week MA it will likely move higher into late April but not make a new ATH....
Gold Holds Above 10‑Week MA, Eyes April ATH
$Gold - Closed lower for a 2nd week in a row but it's still above the 10 week MA. As long as it's above the 10 week MA this is likely to be another consolidation that will lead to a...
XLF Tops Jan, Slides Below Yearly Pivot, Eyes 41.93
$XLF is the 1st sector to confirm that it made a major top in January. The reason for that is that XLF has already closed below its yearly pivot at 50.96. The 1st yearly support is at 46 but it...
McClellan Oscillator Signals Imminent Stock Market Bottom
Here's an indicator which points to an imminent low for stocks. The $SPX McClellan oscillator closed at -95 and is extremely oversold. It's more oversold now than it was at last April's low when it bottomed at -87. https://t.co/pICqvPPG02
S&P
$SPX - We are getting a lower low after all. Going back to the April low, we've had a ~80 trading day cycle. Due to many holidays in this cycle, I expect this cycle to be shorter in trading days...
Oil Likely Tops Soon; Expect Retracement to $98‑$110
$USOIL - As I've already stated I think that a major top is already in, but whenever a commodity goes parabolic, it usually doesn't collapse in a straight line, but retraces a significant portion of the initial decline. The upside...
QQQ Needs 100‑Day MA Close to Confirm Low
$QQQ - The bullish engulfing candle on Monday didn't have follow through in the last 2 days. It has to close above the 100 day MA to in order to confirm an intermediate term low. The odds favor that it...
SPX Reverses After 100‑Day MA, Lower Low Possible
$SPX - The rally continued today until it hit the 100 day MA, but then we had a bearish reversal and closed the day lower. The bottom isn't confirmed yet so there may still be a lower low this week....
Trump Predicts War Ends March to Drop Oil Prices
IMO, the war won't be over before the end of March. Trump said it in order to crash the price of crude oil and he's succeeding. https://t.co/r1xe5WNN69
VIX Spikes Above 30 on Monday
$VIX weekly - When did we see it pop above 30 on Monday, then sell off for the rest of the week before? That's right. August 2024 and April 2025. https://t.co/a6U74uaYNp
Crude Oil Poised to Slip Below $91
Do you still think it hasn't made the high for the year? The gap is about to be filled. So far it has been very similar to the 2022 top and if it keeps following the 2022 price path crude...
Tesla Holds Yearly Pivot Support, New ATH Uncertain
$TSLA - Found support at the yearly pivot for the 2nd time in the last 5 weeks. A weekly close below 387 will confirm that it made a major top in December, but I don't expect it to happen next...
VIX/VXV Spike Signals Near-Term Bottom, Upcoming Rally
The $VIX: $VXV ratio spiked to 1.07 on Friday. That's the biggest volatility spike since the April 2025 crash low. Last March it had an initial spike to 1.08, dropped to 0.90, then spiked to 1.27 in April, but this...
Microsoft's Bullish Reversal Likely Avoids 200‑week MA
$MSFT - After almost hitting its 200 week MA last week we had a bullish reversal this week so I don't expect it to hit the 200 week MA anymore in March. An intermediate term low is probably in but...
Silver Faces Bearish Reversal, New ATH Unlikely
$Silver - Had a bearish reversal at the yearly R1 pivot and ended the week with a bearish engulfing candle. The Odds favor further downside to the 20 week MA as it had after the January top. In any case,...
Gold Holds Above Key Pivot, Poised for April ATH
$Gold - Surprisingly, despite the war in the middle east it closed the week lower. However, it held above the yearly R1 pivot at 5043, and unless it closes below it next week I still expect gold to make a...