German Households Pay over 30c/kWh Despite Low Spot Prices
Good Morning from Germany, where households are footing the bill for the energy transition. The benchmark 1y-ahead power price is back near €100/MWh, or 10c/kWh, even though spot prices briefly turned negative. Add 23c in charges and levies, and households end up paying more than 30c/kWh.
Germany's Q2 Growth Slips Toward Contraction, DB Cuts Forecast
Good Morning from Germany, where the economy may slip back into contraction in Q2. The latest leading indicators point that way. Deutsche Bank now expects GDP to fall by 0.2% in Q2 and has cut its full-year growth forecast in...
Mag7 Near Record Highs, Yet Up Only 2% YTD
#Mag7 are trading near record highs again, but the group is barely up 2% YTD. A powerful rebound w/surprisingly little to show for it. https://t.co/CMbEVQZEpC
Germany's Ifo Survey Signals Fragile Recovery, Contraction Risk
Good Morning from Germany, where the latest Ifo Business Survey just flashed 2Q contraction risk. Ifo Business Climate fell to 84.4 in Apr, lowest since May2020 & below expectations. Ifo Expectations Component dropped to 83.3 as weakness spread across sectors....
German Services PMI Plummets Amid Iran War Uncertainty
Good Morning from Germany, where private-sector activity unexpectedly shrank as the Iran war triggered the steepest drop in the services sector in more than three years. S&P's Composite German PMI fell to 48.3 in April, down from 51.9 in March....
German Chemists Regain Pricing Power Amid Iran Conflict
Good Morning from Germany where the Iran conflict just solved the German chemical sector’s biggest problem within 2 mths. 🧪With Asian rivals starved of naphtha, BASF and Wacker Chemie are reclaiming the pricing power they lost over the past 6yrs....
Apple’s Leadership Shift Follows 2,300% Return
#Apple is entering a new era: hardware chief John Ternus will become CEO, w/Tim Cook becoming executive chairman. When Cook took over 15yrs ago, Apple was worth ~$300bn. Today, it is worth >$4tn. Incl dividends, that is a total return...
Germans Shift €5.5bn From Stocks to €18bn Funds
Good Morning from Germany, where investors are moving money out of individual stocks and into investment funds. In Q4 2025 alone, Germans pulled €5.5bn from individual stocks, the largest outflow in more than a decade. At the same time, they...
Germany's Spending Surpasses 50% of GDP, Trending Socialist
Hello from Germany, which is steadily drifting toward socialism. Since 2025, government spending ratio has exceeded 50% of GDP, and the IMF expects it to climb above 52% in the coming years and stay above 51% until 2031. https://t.co/FUGQGYFtQv
Nvidia Dwarfs Entire German DAX in Market Value
Good Morning from Germany, where the country’s 40 biggest listed comps, known as the Dax, are worth less combined than the five largest companies in the US. Nvidia alone, valued at $4.9tn, is more than twice as large as all...
Germany's Trade Deficit Deepens, Hurting Growth
Hello from Germany, where foreign trade remains a drag on growth, w/the trade balance with both China and the US continuing to worsen. https://t.co/q2j2YDHBdM
Germany Faces Asymmetric Risks: Small AI Gains, Large Shock Losses
Good Morning from Germany, where the risk map is brutally asymmetric. Oxford Economics says an AI boom would add just 0.1ppts to annual growth over the next 3 years. A tech downturn would cut 0.6ppts, and a worst-case trade war...
AI Reorders Germany's DAX: Siemens Takes Lead
Hello from Germany, where AI is reshaping the benchmark index Dax. SAP is no longer the index’s largest company. The software giant has fallen on fears that AI could disrupt its business, while Siemens has taken the top spot, helped...
Germany’s Subsidy Bill Swells, Growth Benefits Fade
Good Morning from Germany, where the subsidy bill keeps rising: total subsidies are set to increase from €307bn in 2025 to €321bn in 2026. Financial aid alone reaches €236bn, while tax expenditures climb to €85bn. The issue is not isolated...
Forint Surges 1.9% to Three‑year High Post‑Orbán
#Hungary’s Forint jumped 1.9% against the Euro to a 3y high after voters ousted Orbán. https://t.co/k3NT819BFI https://t.co/UvqaDvox2t