Ian Bremmer
Founder & President, Eurasia Group and GZERO Media; leading voice on geopolitics/geoeconomics shaping global markets and trade.
War's Oil Surge Mirrors $50 Carbon Tax Estimate
fun fact: at $90/barrel, the impact of the war is equivalent to a ~$50/ton carbon tax, right where the biden administration estimated the social cost of carbon
Putin Benefits as Russia Aids Iran, US Relaxes Sanctions
russia providing iran with targeting assistance against the us military. us reducing sanctions on russian oil export. quite the both/and for putin.
Trump Reshuffles Noem, Avoids Disgruntled Ex‑officials
secy of homeland security kristi noem sacked but given a new post (a la mike waltz). learning from his first term, president trump really doesn’t want jilted formers causing trouble.
Trump Abandons Iran Regime Change, Hints at Oil Focus
trump has backed away from regime change in iran. so what’s the strategy? if not tehran, then maybe the oil. @gzeromedia
Congress Debates Trump’s Iran War Powers, Unlikely to Act
congress debating trump’s iran war powers… after strikes already underway. as with previous administrations, odds congress actually takes responsibility for war powers are slim.
Why the US‑Israel Strike on Iran Matters Now
the us and israel attacked iran. why now and what comes next? i break down the decision, the risks of escalation, and what to watch. with @ted
North Korea's Nuclear Push Shows Strategic Resilience
north korea looking a lot smarter for developing nuclear weapons despite all the international opposition and pressure.
U.S.-Israel Dominance Reshapes Middle East Power Balance
american and israel military escalation dominance is the most important geopolitical story in the middle east post-october 7. no ability of iran or its proxies to counter strikes against them. and nobody willing or capable to support them outside the...
OpenAI Partners Pentagon on Guarded Classified AI Model
sam altman says openai is working with the pentagon to find a classified-use model that keeps safety guardrails — a de-escalation pitch following anthropic’s standoff over battlefield applications.
Multiple Crises, Stalled Talks, White House Impatience Signal Change
two conflicts. two stalled negotiations. one impatient white house. the next few weeks could look very different from today. @gzeromedia
Voters Reject Iran War; Trump Should Rethink
us voters did not sign up for a large scale military campaign in iran. venezuela was popular because no americans were hurt and military operations were over almost before they started. president trump should think carefully before he gives the...
Trump Must Accept Limited Iran Deal to Avert Strikes
two rounds of iran talks, very little progress so far. unless trump is prepared to accept a limited deal (focused on nuclear capacity, not missiles or support for regional proxies), military strikes in coming weeks looking likely.
NATO Remains Vital Amid Transatlantic Trust Crisis
for all the criticism and hand wringing, nato continues to serve a useful role for all members and nobody is trying to leave it or replace it. there’s a crisis of trust in the transatlantic relationship. but not an existential...