Rocket Tests Need Massive Thrust, Not Static Explosions
For everyone who thinks the recent explosion near Beit Shemesh in Israel is "too big" to be a static test of a solid rocket motor ... rockets require tons of thrust (literally) to reach space. Watch a US test, for example. https://t.co/2m1yzz9DAf
Turkey's CGI ICBM Video Depicts Strikes on Diego Garcia
The (bad CGI) video that Turkiye released shows the 6,000 km #yildirimhan ICBM striking what looks like Diego Garcia and the Eastern Seaboard. https://t.co/HOvEE1QIvf
Putin’s AI Advisor: Virtual Andropov Replaces Human Counsel
Now imagine that Putin starts using an LLM for "decision support." We'll call it "Virtual Andropov: Dialysis no longer required."
Dark Eagle Extends Moscow Reach via Middle East
An interesting wrinkle to @mgerrydoyle's story is that Dark Eagle can also range Moscow from Israel, Jordan and the Gulf. https://t.co/MgOn1Ht6oI
Sticking to JCPOA Wouldn't Have Prevented Iran's Breakout
For what its worth, if the US had stuck with the JCPOA and we spot him his convenient counterfactual -- Iran breaks out anyway -- we'd have exactly the same recourse we're taking now, i.e. the total fiasco of...
First 120 Chinese DF-31 Silos Discovered, Facts Confirmed
Dear @CPTArmageddon. @dex_eve and I *discovered* the first ~120 Chinese DF-31 silos, not belittled their existence. Whatever personal animosity you have against me or my policy views, facts are facts. https://t.co/TTJCDGDrda
Iran Cut JCPOA Compliance Right After Trump, Not Ignored
The people cheerleading this war are now pretending that Iran never dared walk away from JCPOA commitments under Trump. The problem is that Iran immediately and publicly began limiting its compliance as many of us noted at the time. 👇
Trump’s JCPOA Exit Let Iran Build HEU Stockpile
Iran did not have a stockpile of highly enriched uranium until after Trump withdrew from the JCPOA because Iran was prohibited from doing so and under monitoring, Trump is the arsonist taking credit for putting out the fire he started.
Iran's Actions Reveal Trust Deficit, Not Broken Promises
Iran made the same statement when it acceded to the NPT, when Khamenei issued the beaten-to-death fatwa and when Zarif signed the JCPOA. We lacked trust, not promises.
Coding Missile Software on Phone at Oakland Listening Bar
I am vibe-coding some missile modeling software on my phone from a Japanese-style listening bar in Oakland. Shit’s weird. https://t.co/h4v8nI5gFq
Advocates Overspend on Doomed Program Despite Soaring Costs
Narrator: They turned out to cost a lot, much more than anyone imagined, but nothing, in the end, was “too much” for advocates of the doomed program …
Strike Missile Likely PrSM, Not Iranian Cruise Missile
I told @trbtc & @johnismay (@nytimes) the missile involved in the strike that killed 21 civilians, including at least 5 children, appears to be ~15 feet long--closer to a PrSM than an Iranian cruise missile. This is how...
Trump Shouldn't Order Navy to Sink Chinese Warship
It’s not that the Navy can’t sink a Chinese warship, it’s that Trump shouldn’t ask the Navy to sink a Chinese warship.
Interdicting Chinese Tanker Risks Escalation with Warship Escort
So, let’s game this out. A Chinese flagged tanker pays the toll and transits the strait. We interdict it? What if the tanker is escorted by a Chinese warship? https://t.co/8ehkhlpNBn
Trump‑Kim Talks Yielded No Disarmament, Left Kim Stronger
My experience watching Trump "negotiate" with Kim Jong Un was: Kim never offered to disarm, Pompeo would wishcast disarmament, lots of media would amplify, a couple of summits happened, but no deal emerged ... leaving Kim stronger than before. Maybe...