First 120 Chinese DF-31 Silos Discovered, Facts Confirmed
Dear @CPTArmageddon. @dex_eve and I *discovered* the first ~120 Chinese DF-31 silos, not belittled their existence. Whatever personal animosity you have against me or my policy views, facts are facts. https://t.co/TTJCDGDrda
Iran Cut JCPOA Compliance Right After Trump, Not Ignored
The people cheerleading this war are now pretending that Iran never dared walk away from JCPOA commitments under Trump. The problem is that Iran immediately and publicly began limiting its compliance as many of us noted at the time. 👇
Trump’s JCPOA Exit Let Iran Build HEU Stockpile
Iran did not have a stockpile of highly enriched uranium until after Trump withdrew from the JCPOA because Iran was prohibited from doing so and under monitoring, Trump is the arsonist taking credit for putting out the fire he started.
Iran's Actions Reveal Trust Deficit, Not Broken Promises
Iran made the same statement when it acceded to the NPT, when Khamenei issued the beaten-to-death fatwa and when Zarif signed the JCPOA. We lacked trust, not promises.
Coding Missile Software on Phone at Oakland Listening Bar
I am vibe-coding some missile modeling software on my phone from a Japanese-style listening bar in Oakland. Shit’s weird. https://t.co/h4v8nI5gFq
Advocates Overspend on Doomed Program Despite Soaring Costs
Narrator: They turned out to cost a lot, much more than anyone imagined, but nothing, in the end, was “too much” for advocates of the doomed program …
Strike Missile Likely PrSM, Not Iranian Cruise Missile
I told @trbtc & @johnismay (@nytimes) the missile involved in the strike that killed 21 civilians, including at least 5 children, appears to be ~15 feet long--closer to a PrSM than an Iranian cruise missile. This is how...
Trump Shouldn't Order Navy to Sink Chinese Warship
It’s not that the Navy can’t sink a Chinese warship, it’s that Trump shouldn’t ask the Navy to sink a Chinese warship.
Interdicting Chinese Tanker Risks Escalation with Warship Escort
So, let’s game this out. A Chinese flagged tanker pays the toll and transits the strait. We interdict it? What if the tanker is escorted by a Chinese warship? https://t.co/8ehkhlpNBn
Trump‑Kim Talks Yielded No Disarmament, Left Kim Stronger
My experience watching Trump "negotiate" with Kim Jong Un was: Kim never offered to disarm, Pompeo would wishcast disarmament, lots of media would amplify, a couple of summits happened, but no deal emerged ... leaving Kim stronger than before. Maybe...
President’s Voice Needs Code, Not Personal Delivery
Folks, the only code is the one the President uses to authentic his voice. He could literally ride over to the NMCC and give the order in person.
JCPOA Backed to Stop Iran's Nuclear Weapon, Now Inevitable
Experts who supported what became the JCPOA did so overwhelmingly because we did not wish to see Iran acquire a nuclear weapon, something that now seems certain if the regime survives. He's ignored these arguments for two decades, no...
US Patriot Interceptor Strikes Bahrain's Block 602, Confirms Report
A second video now appears to show the U.S. operated Patriot interceptor striking Block 602 of the Mahazza neighborhood in Bahrain early in the morning of March 9, 2026 -- just as @sam_lair, @DuitsmanMS, myself and others assessed & @JonathanLanday...
South Korea's Secret Missile Deployment Hints at Preemptive Strike
.@dex_eve & I have a new piece out w/ @SurvivalEditors. In 2024, South Korea secretly deployed more than 300 KTSSM missiles at soft, fixed sites--suggesting that, in a crisis, Seoul may strike first & giving Pyongyang 300 reasons to beat...
CENTCOM Exaggerates Hoveyzeh Missile Length by Factor
PAO/@CENTCOM keeps claiming the Hoveyzeh LACM is "twice as long" as PrSM. PrSm is 3.96 m; Iran's LACMs (including Hoveyzeh) are ~6 m-long Kh-55 clones. Please divide six by four. https://t.co/fUnUu3fWmM