John Spencer

John Spencer

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Chair of Urban Warfare Studies; doctrine, TTPs, and equipment in urban operations.

Hamas Is Isolated, Must Disarm Amid Regional Loneliness
SocialApr 17, 2026

Hamas Is Isolated, Must Disarm Amid Regional Loneliness

Clock ticking on Hamas. They must disarm. “Hezbollah is alone in Lebanon, Hamas is alone in Gaza, the Houthis are alone in Yemen, and most importantly: the ayatollahs are almost alone in Tehran.”

By John Spencer
China’s Decades‑Long Aid Fuels Iran’s Missile Program
SocialApr 16, 2026

China’s Decades‑Long Aid Fuels Iran’s Missile Program

How China’s Weapons Transfers [support] to Iran Have Evolved Over Decades. "China played a major role in supporting Iran's military modernization for decades, especially in developing Iran's missile capabilities," https://t.co/GiJUZjSieK China continued to supply Iran with dual-use technologies and materials that have...

By John Spencer
US Claims Unmatched Adaptability as Iran’s Ceasefire Deadline Looms
SocialApr 16, 2026

US Claims Unmatched Adaptability as Iran’s Ceasefire Deadline Looms

"We're rearming, we're retooling. And we're adjusting our tactics, techniques, and procedures. There is no military in the world that adjusts like we do," - USCENTCOM Commander Admiral Brad Cooper There are about 6 days remaining in the ceasefire. Iran can...

By John Spencer
Senate's Bulldozer Ban Could Endanger Israeli Troops
SocialApr 16, 2026

Senate's Bulldozer Ban Could Endanger Israeli Troops

For those that do not know, the members of the Senate that attempted to block bulldozer sales to Israel were trying to prevent them from receiving (delivery of bulldozers they purchased) the primary device/vehicle (D9 bulldozer) the IDF uses to...

By John Spencer
War‑torn Iran Forced Into Negotiations over Collapsing Economy
SocialApr 16, 2026

War‑torn Iran Forced Into Negotiations over Collapsing Economy

"Iran’s War-Shattered Economy Means It Has an Urgent Reason to Negotiate," @WSJ You mean the experts commenting on the unbreakable will of the Islamic regime could be wrong? https://t.co/ednHa2MMNq Damage done by U.S. and Israeli attacks will take years to repair...

By John Spencer
Analyzing Iran War Strategy and Future Outlook
SocialApr 15, 2026

Analyzing Iran War Strategy and Future Outlook

ICYMI, last week, I sat down with @realsteveeisman to discuss the war in Iran, the strategy, what had been accomplished, what might happen. Much of it still applicable and unfolding. Have a listen. https://t.co/5ygmtl7kYE

By John Spencer
Target Iran's Strategy, Cut Off Allies, Force Compliance
SocialApr 15, 2026

Target Iran's Strategy, Cut Off Allies, Force Compliance

First attack their strategy (economic coercion of the strait of Hormuz), next attack their allies (no weapons for the Islamic regime from China at the moment)…(Sun Tzu) strategy to compel Iran to do our will. Remove their hope of sticking...

By John Spencer
John Spencer Debunks Media Myths on Iran War
SocialApr 14, 2026

John Spencer Debunks Media Myths on Iran War

“John Spencer on What the Headlines Get Wrong About the Iran War | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 55” don’t miss my great conversation. @realsteveeisman https://t.co/aUlEESNiJR

By John Spencer
IDF Destroys Gaza Tunnels, Exposing Hamas' Terror Spending
SocialApr 14, 2026

IDF Destroys Gaza Tunnels, Exposing Hamas' Terror Spending

In Gaza, the @IDF continue daily work to demilitarize the Gaza Strip which includes destroying the over 400 miles of tunnels, which like the Islamic regime in Iran, Hamas spent hundreds of millions of dollars on terror infrastructure rather than...

By John Spencer
Seven Myths About the Iran War Debunked
SocialApr 14, 2026

Seven Myths About the Iran War Debunked

“Seven Myths About the Iran War.” @tabletmag Must read article. https://t.co/v209ZQ7ssx Myth 1: This was a “war of choice.” Myth 2: The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action had moderated Iran and stabilized the Middle East before Trump broke it. Myth 3: Biden extracted...

By John Spencer
Iran's Economy Was Failing Before War, Now Deeper Decline
SocialApr 14, 2026

Iran's Economy Was Failing Before War, Now Deeper Decline

Don’t listen to the crazies, Iran’s economy was collapsing before the war and has only continued to fall off the cliff with the war. Islamic regime decisions have only weakened the country in every domain.

By John Spencer
China Deepens Ties with North Korea, Echoing Iran, Pakistan Alliance
SocialApr 12, 2026

China Deepens Ties with North Korea, Echoing Iran, Pakistan Alliance

"North Korea and China agree to deepen cooperation in talks between foreign ministers" @APNews There is a theme here. China - Iran, North Korea, Pakistan. https://t.co/4QGOtXddNk

By John Spencer
Trump Blocks Hormuz, Doubts Iran’s Nuclear Ambitions
SocialApr 12, 2026

Trump Blocks Hormuz, Doubts Iran’s Nuclear Ambitions

President Trump announces a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Iran (as stated at the beginning of Operation Epic Fury) can never have a nuclear weapon. War is a contest of wills, a nation’s ability to wage war is...

By John Spencer
New Safe Maritime Passage to Boost Global Trade
SocialApr 11, 2026

New Safe Maritime Passage to Boost Global Trade

“Today, we began the process of establishing a new passage and we will share this safe pathway with the maritime industry soon to encourage the free flow of commerce,” said Adm. Brad Cooper, commander of @CENTCOM

By John Spencer
Rubio Revokes Green Cards of Iranian Regime Affiliates
SocialApr 11, 2026

Rubio Revokes Green Cards of Iranian Regime Affiliates

Secretary Rubio Terminates Green Cards of Foreign Nationals Tied to Infamous Iranian Regime Propagandist @SecRubio Fully support. https://t.co/w6zD05w5Uj Eissa Hashemi is the son of Masoumeh Ebtekar, also known as “Screaming Mary,” the infamous spokeswoman for the Islamist militants who stormed the U.S. Embassy...

By John Spencer
Indian Forces Thwart Terror Plot, Defuse 14.5 Kg IED
SocialApr 11, 2026

Indian Forces Thwart Terror Plot, Defuse 14.5 Kg IED

"Indian Army and J&K Police avert major terror attack by neutralizing 14.5 kg IED in Shopian" https://t.co/FSXBrIcVWK

By John Spencer
True Peace Requires Iran’s Nukes, Missiles, Proxies Halted
SocialApr 11, 2026

True Peace Requires Iran’s Nukes, Missiles, Proxies Halted

The goal of the negotiation in Iran should not be an end to fighting for its own sake. It should be a better peace. History shows that wars that end without resolving the underlying drivers do not really end. They just...

By John Spencer
Pakistan’s Field Marshal Munir Consolidates Power, Reverses Taliban Policy
SocialApr 10, 2026

Pakistan’s Field Marshal Munir Consolidates Power, Reverses Taliban Policy

"Beware Pakistan’s General Bearing Peace Talks" @RCDefense https://t.co/9BXkXGwZln Since assuming the role of Pakistan’s Chief of the Army Staff in November 2022, Asim Munir has consolidated power, sidelining rivals in the military and silencing democratic critics such as former prime minister...

By John Spencer
South Korea to Cut Border Troops by 75% Using AI
SocialApr 10, 2026

South Korea to Cut Border Troops by 75% Using AI

"Seoul plans to replace troops on North Korea border with AI-based systems." Based on the information provided this is a dangerous plan IMO not learning from Israel, Ukraine, many other war zones. AI does greatly enhance soldiers but 22k to...

By John Spencer
Assessing U.S.-Israel Strategy Against Iran’s Regime
SocialApr 10, 2026

Assessing U.S.-Israel Strategy Against Iran’s Regime

I had a great talk with @Lazar_Berman @TimesofIsrael on his Lazar Focus podcast. We discussed the status of the U.S.-Israel war against the Islamic Regime in Iran. What has been achieved? What could happen? And more…https://t.co/LvZQvtY7tg

By John Spencer
UN Forces Overlook Hezbollah’s Massive Weaponized Tunnel Network
SocialApr 9, 2026

UN Forces Overlook Hezbollah’s Massive Weaponized Tunnel Network

Been there (my photo from inside where Hezbollah drilled into solid rock). Hezbollah built hundreds of these tunnels and bunkers along the border under the watch of over 10,000 UN forces supposedly there to prevent it. They filled their tunnels...

By John Spencer
Welfare Priorities Erode Britain’s Naval Capability
SocialApr 8, 2026

Welfare Priorities Erode Britain’s Naval Capability

"Why Britain Can’t Afford a Navy." from @WSJ Editorial Board. Personally I hated seeing the political decisions that led to the shrinking of the British Army and Navy to almost nothing. https://t.co/ScNWMtlCbV If you’re wondering why the United Kingdom apparently...

By John Spencer
Six-Year, 93-Episode War Institute Podcast Explores Urban Warfare
SocialApr 8, 2026

Six-Year, 93-Episode War Institute Podcast Explores Urban Warfare

Did you know I had my own @WarInstitute podcast? 6 years, 93 episodes going, every facet of urban and underground operations / warfare from commanders of historic battles, technology, experts in sciences, history, practitioners, tactics, and more. https://t.co/UqS9ku1M9h

By John Spencer
CIA’s Ghost Murmur Tracks Downed Airman via Heartbeat
SocialApr 8, 2026

CIA’s Ghost Murmur Tracks Downed Airman via Heartbeat

“The secret, never-before-used CIA tool that helped find airman downed in Iran: 'If your heart is beating, we will find you'” https://t.co/L7VY3264ZZ The CIA used a futuristic new tool called "Ghost Murmur" to find and rescue the second American airman who was shot...

By John Spencer
Watch Iran's Nuclear Program and Strait of Hormuz
SocialApr 8, 2026

Watch Iran's Nuclear Program and Strait of Hormuz

You have to marvel at all the takes on the situation in Iran. Personally I’ll let the dust settle for more than a few minutes to make judgments. I am not sure even the regime fully knows what happened and...

By John Spencer
Iran War Doesn't Strengthen Iran or Threaten Alliances
SocialApr 7, 2026

Iran War Doesn't Strengthen Iran or Threaten Alliances

Three Things the Consensus Gets Wrong About the Iran War @TheAtlantic https://t.co/12ksyC5yTI First, the war has not, despite what many claim, trashed America’s alliances. Second, the common claim that the war is a boon for Russia and China is exaggerated. And finally, there...

By John Spencer
21‑aircraft Rescue Mission Penetrates Enemy Lines for Downed Airmen
SocialApr 6, 2026

21‑aircraft Rescue Mission Penetrates Enemy Lines for Downed Airmen

"...a rescue force composed of 21 aircraft, including A-10 Thunderbolt attack planes, KC-130 search and rescue aircraft, HH-60W Jolly Green IIs and a package of Air Force special warfare combat rescue officers and pararescue operators, went into enemy territory to...

By John Spencer
China's Oil Supply Half Threatened by Hormuz Slowdown
SocialApr 6, 2026

China's Oil Supply Half Threatened by Hormuz Slowdown

Just FYI, with reduced traffic through the Strait of Hormuz (it cannot be objectively assessed as fully closed), China risks losing roughly 40 to 50 percent of its oil imports, which come from Gulf producers whose exports transit the Strait,...

By John Spencer
Visualizing Systematic Dismantling of Iran’s IRGC Leadership
SocialApr 6, 2026

Visualizing Systematic Dismantling of Iran’s IRGC Leadership

Visualization of the elimination of Islamic Regime in Iran political and military [specifically the IRGC] leadership, command and control, will. Not decapitation, but rather systematic elimination. https://t.co/fMAOvFdZWT

By John Spencer
Iran's "Victory" Narrative Debunked by Interception Rates
SocialApr 6, 2026

Iran's "Victory" Narrative Debunked by Interception Rates

"The 'Experts' in Media and Academia Who Insist Iran Is Winning," excellent read @TheFP The insanity is those that want so desperatly to believe and push these 'experts.' https://t.co/7p5gVljozn Tehran has been powerless to slow a tempo of daily events...

By John Spencer
Praying for Safe Return of Artemis Astronauts
SocialApr 6, 2026

Praying for Safe Return of Artemis Astronauts

Dark side of the moon. Praying for the save return of all our astronauts on this historic space flight. #artemis https://t.co/gx8v8UOFGR

By John Spencer
China Restarts US Oil Imports Amid Middle East Disruption
SocialApr 6, 2026

China Restarts US Oil Imports Amid Middle East Disruption

China imports US oil for Asian fuel markets amid Hormuz crisis @asiatimesonline https://t.co/Iy0aRy8vam China is moving to resume large-scale purchases of United States liquefied natural gas (LNG) and crude oil, as supply disruptions in the Middle East and tightening fuel markets...

By John Spencer
U.S. and Israel Secure Air Superiority in Iran Conflict
SocialApr 6, 2026

U.S. and Israel Secure Air Superiority in Iran Conflict

To be clear, the U.S. and Israel established Air Superiority over Iran within the opening days of Operation Epic Fury and have maintained it ever since. U.S. forces have flown over 13,000 combat flights (combat sorties) in support of Operation Epic...

By John Spencer
Iranian Bank Fails to Pay Revolutionary Guard Salaries
SocialApr 6, 2026

Iranian Bank Fails to Pay Revolutionary Guard Salaries

“left the [Iranian] bank unable to pay the salaries of the Revolutionary Guard’s personnel and military officials.” #strategy

By John Spencer
Dual‑use Infrastructure May Be Lawful Military Targets
SocialApr 5, 2026

Dual‑use Infrastructure May Be Lawful Military Targets

Yes, despite all the Xperts on the law of armed conflict, targeting bridges, power plants, oil and gas facilities, airfields, and other dual-use infrastructure like factories, communications nodes, and rail lines that serve both civilian and military needs may be...

By John Spencer
War Wins by Shaping Enemy Perception, Not Tricks
SocialApr 5, 2026

War Wins by Shaping Enemy Perception, Not Tricks

“All warfare is based on deception.” He was not describing battlefield tricks. He was describing a way of thinking about war. Deception, for him, meant shaping the enemy’s perception of reality. It meant influencing what the enemy believed about your...

By John Spencer
Trump Claims US Supplied Guns to Iranian Protesters
SocialApr 5, 2026

Trump Claims US Supplied Guns to Iranian Protesters

President Trump says we sent guns to the protestors in Iran back in January, an option the U.S. could still be doing.

By John Spencer
Complex U.S. Special Ops Mission Averts Disaster Through Skill
SocialApr 5, 2026

Complex U.S. Special Ops Mission Averts Disaster Through Skill

Hopefully we get a brief from @CENTCOM about the operation at some point but early reports show why it is being considered “one of the most challenging and complex in the history of U.S. Special Operations.” War is the realm of...

By John Spencer
Iran's War Strategy Prioritizes Endurance Over Battlefield Victory
SocialApr 5, 2026

Iran's War Strategy Prioritizes Endurance Over Battlefield Victory

"First, attack the strategy. Iran’s approach to conflict is not centered on conventional battlefield victory. It is built on endurance, dispersion, and indirect power. It relies on proxies, missile forces, economic coercion, and the ability to impose costs over time."

By John Spencer
Chinese AI Firms Sell US Troop Intel to Iran
SocialApr 4, 2026

Chinese AI Firms Sell US Troop Intel to Iran

"Chinese firms market Iran war intelligence ‘exposing’ U.S. forces" @washingtonpost https://t.co/NP7gIkpzWG The private companies — some with ties to the military — are marketing detailed intelligence on movements of U.S. forces, even as Beijing seeks to keep its distance. The intelligence came...

By John Spencer
Iran’s Island Chain Secures Strait of Hormuz Dominance
SocialApr 4, 2026

Iran’s Island Chain Secures Strait of Hormuz Dominance

"The Islands That Give Iran a Stranglehold on the Strait of Hormuz." Good analysis @WSJ https://t.co/Bq6iyg2c3C

By John Spencer
Propose Unilateral Hormuz Control Using Military Convoys, EW
SocialApr 4, 2026

Propose Unilateral Hormuz Control Using Military Convoys, EW

"The war and the negotiations on reopening the Hormuz Strait can go in parallel...An alternative step would be to control the Strait unilaterally, as Ukraine did with the Grain Corridor. Achieving this would require interceptors, military convoys to escort the...

By John Spencer
Tech-Driven Cohesion: Keeping Small Teams United
SocialApr 3, 2026

Tech-Driven Cohesion: Keeping Small Teams United

My latest on building/maintaining small unit cohesion in our world of ubiquitous technology and connections.

By John Spencer
UK Leads 35‑Nation Virtual Talks to Reopen Strait of Hormuz
SocialApr 2, 2026

UK Leads 35‑Nation Virtual Talks to Reopen Strait of Hormuz

"UK to host talks with 35 countries on reopening Strait of Hormuz," @Reuters https://t.co/Hp8s7zc1T7 British foreign minister Yvette Cooper will chair the virtual meeting of about 35 countries including France, Germany, Italy, Canada and ​the United Arab Emirates around midday in...

By John Spencer
Iran Sends $1 Billion to Hezbollah Despite Sanctions
SocialApr 2, 2026

Iran Sends $1 Billion to Hezbollah Despite Sanctions

ICYMI - US official: Iran funneled some $1 billion to Hezbollah this year [2025], despite sanctions.” https://t.co/JZxgyQffkR John Hurley, the undersecretary for terrorism and financial intelligence, said Iran has managed to funnel about $1 billion to Hezbollah this year despite a...

By John Spencer
US Threatens 3‑Week War to Halt Iran’s Nuclear Ambitions
SocialApr 2, 2026

US Threatens 3‑Week War to Halt Iran’s Nuclear Ambitions

Let me help by posting what he actually said…the war will continue 2 to 3 weeks (destroying Iran’s capabilities to project power) in the pursuit of a deal (political settlement) which likely includes an agreement to not to attempt to...

By John Spencer
Leakers Endanger U.S. Military, Must Be Stopped
SocialApr 2, 2026

Leakers Endanger U.S. Military, Must Be Stopped

You know what also put the U.S. military at risk, leakers. I can’t stand them. @washingtonpost https://t.co/1seIgTb02D

By John Spencer
Cohesion Remains Key Amid Soldiers' Expanding Communication Networks
SocialApr 2, 2026

Cohesion Remains Key Amid Soldiers' Expanding Communication Networks

“Throughout the long history of war, militaries have understood a simple truth: Combat effectiveness requires cohesion…” my latest @WarInstitute https://t.co/nJIWXS3vpi Today’s soldiers operate in a world of constant connectivity. They are embedded in dense networks of communication that extend far beyond...

By John Spencer
Trump Warns Multiple U.S. Options to Cripple Adversary
SocialApr 2, 2026

Trump Warns Multiple U.S. Options to Cripple Adversary

As President Trump @POTUS said tonight @WhiteHouse The U.S. has many options to implement if it chooses. Of course continued destruction of all of the regime's ability to project power beyond its borders and hunting key leaders across political,...

By John Spencer