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John Spencer

John Spencer

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Chair of Urban Warfare Studies; doctrine, TTPs, and equipment in urban operations.

War Toll: Millions Displaced, Thousands Killed, Aid Shrinks
Social•Feb 25, 2026

War Toll: Millions Displaced, Thousands Killed, Aid Shrinks

"4 years into Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, a look at the war by the numbers" @AP 1.8 million - The upper end of the estimated number of soldiers killed, wounded, or missing on both sides https://t.co/nhfGYwJWG9 19.4% - Ukrainian land occupied by Russia. 13% - drop in foreign military aid to Kyiv last year compared with the annual average between 2022 and 2024 5.9 million - Ukrainian civilians who have left their country.

By John Spencer
Modi's Israel Visit Deepens Strategic Defence and Tech Ties
Social•Feb 25, 2026

Modi's Israel Visit Deepens Strategic Defence and Tech Ties

So great to see @PMOIndia visiting Israel, a vital strategic partnership that keeps growing stronger with deepening cooperation across defence, technology, trade, innovation, and other key areas. More major agreements and frameworks expected to expand collaboration in military and emerging...

By John Spencer
IDF Targets Hamas Tunnels; Months to Clear Rafah
Social•Feb 24, 2026

IDF Targets Hamas Tunnels; Months to Clear Rafah

IDF works every day to destroy portions of the billion-dollar, 500+ mile Hamas tunnel network in Gaza. Every tunnel must be found and destroyed. It may take years to eliminate the entire network, but in areas like Rafah, especially where...

By John Spencer
Tanks Cut Infantry Deaths 60% with Trophy Protection
Social•Feb 24, 2026

Tanks Cut Infantry Deaths 60% with Trophy Protection

“Are tanks in urban warfare a burden or benefit? - Israel's experience” https://t.co/HdURRIxWhW After‑action reports from the IDF’s Ground Forces Command noted that armored units reduced infantry fatalities by more than 60% compared with operations where tanks were absent or delayed. Since...

By John Spencer
Rapid Chaos Creation Gave US Army Edge in Baghdad
Social•Feb 23, 2026

Rapid Chaos Creation Gave US Army Edge in Baghdad

“We created chaos faster than they could adapt.” The American Army’s ability to operate in ambiguity became a decisive advantage inside Baghdad. https://t.co/Icc6ylQSli

By John Spencer
US State Dept Evacuates Non‑Emergency Staff From Beirut Embassy
Social•Feb 23, 2026

US State Dept Evacuates Non‑Emergency Staff From Beirut Embassy

The U.S. State Department ordered non-emergency personnel to evacuate the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon @FoxNews https://t.co/Mo1ipVwEuD

By John Spencer
Poland Exits Mine Ban, Plans Antipersonnel Defenses Against Russia
Social•Feb 23, 2026

Poland Exits Mine Ban, Plans Antipersonnel Defenses Against Russia

Poland withdraws from treaty banning antipersonnel mines and will use them to defend against Russia. https://t.co/VXYLJYY8jk

By John Spencer
Iran Signals Negotiation Resolve: Zero Enrichment, No Program
Social•Feb 23, 2026

Iran Signals Negotiation Resolve: Zero Enrichment, No Program

Even mentioning the bad idea/bad deal JCPOA is telling of the Iranian seriousness to negotiate. Zero enrichment and zero program.

By John Spencer
Urban Warfare Lessons From Baghdad's 2003 Battle
Social•Feb 23, 2026

Urban Warfare Lessons From Baghdad's 2003 Battle

I am excited about the release of my @WarInstitute Urban Warfare project podcast tomorrow morning. I interview, General (ret) David Perkins about the 2003 Battle of Baghdad and two thunder runs. Packed full of detail and lessons of urban warfare....

By John Spencer
Full Inspection and Dismantling Needed to End Nuclear Program
Social•Feb 22, 2026

Full Inspection and Dismantling Needed to End Nuclear Program

Exactly the right position. Zero enrichment. Zero nuclear program. Only an intrusive inspection and dismantling of the entire program ensures compliance and keeping the program destroyed.

By John Spencer
Occupied Donetsk Sells ‘Baba Yaga’ Drone for $8K
Social•Feb 22, 2026

Occupied Donetsk Sells ‘Baba Yaga’ Drone for $8K

Ukraine's Drone Bombers - The Feared "Baba Yaga" https://t.co/BW3oTdMqsy Reportedly, a trophy "Baba Yaga" drone can be purchased at the market in occupied Donetsk for approximately 600,000 rubles ($7,860 USD). Some drones are cheaper. Sellers are reportedly willing to arrange a "test drive"...

By John Spencer
Keane: Air Campaign Could Pave Way for Iran Regime Change
Social•Feb 21, 2026

Keane: Air Campaign Could Pave Way for Iran Regime Change

“To set the conditions for regime change…” General (ret) Keane No ground operation but extensive air campaign for offense and defense goals

By John Spencer
15,000‑20,000 ISIS‑linked Detainees Now Free
Social•Feb 21, 2026

15,000‑20,000 ISIS‑linked Detainees Now Free

"U.S. Intelligence Says at Least 15,000 at Large After ISIS Detention Camp Collapses in Syria" @WSJ https://t.co/a96xFMH9Yd U.S. intelligence agencies have concluded that 15,000 to 20,000 people, including Islamic State affiliates are now at large in Syria, after an exodus from...

By John Spencer
US Sanctions Sudanese Commanders Amid Massive Humanitarian Crisis
Social•Feb 21, 2026

US Sanctions Sudanese Commanders Amid Massive Humanitarian Crisis

US Sanctions Sudanese Paramilitary Commanders For Atrocities In El-Fasher...The conflict has provoked the world’s worst ongoing humanitarian crisis with over 150,000 having been killed and more than 14 million displaced. https://t.co/b2rLtUN2Ob

By John Spencer
Drones, Phones, Satellites: Pervasive Civilian Surveillance Tactics
Social•Feb 21, 2026

Drones, Phones, Satellites: Pervasive Civilian Surveillance Tactics

Facts. They also flyer drones with speaker, track civilians by cell phone, satellite imagery, drones in real time on their digital systems and restrict operations, use advance call out tactics, and much more.

By John Spencer
Define War Goals, Guard Hormuz From Iranian Threat
Social•Feb 20, 2026

Define War Goals, Guard Hormuz From Iranian Threat

Love @brett_mcgurk dropping Clausewitz on @CNN “No one starts a war—or rather, no one in his senses ought to do so—without first being clear in his mind what he intends to achieve by that war." I agree with Brett's analysis....

By John Spencer
U.S. Iran Buildup: Air‑Sea Power, No Ground Invasion
Social•Feb 19, 2026

U.S. Iran Buildup: Air‑Sea Power, No Ground Invasion

U.S. military buildup against Iran differs from 2003 Iraq. I had a talk with @FoxNews on why. https://t.co/gE5P3qQ9of "The strategic objective in both cases is coercion, shaping an adversary’s decision calculus through visible military power. But while the scale of...

By John Spencer
ISF Multinational Deployment Begins, Hinges on Hamas Disarmament
Social•Feb 19, 2026

ISF Multinational Deployment Begins, Hinges on Hamas Disarmament

Lots of updates about Gaza from the Board of Peace. One clear and consistent message: everything rests on the full disarmament of Hamas. International Stabilization Force (ISF), commanded by U.S. Major General Jasper Jeffers, deputy command now Indonesia, ISF to...

By John Spencer
Russian Warship Joins Iran for Exercises Amid US Carrier Presence
Social•Feb 19, 2026

Russian Warship Joins Iran for Exercises Amid US Carrier Presence

"Russian Navy Arrives in Bandar Abbas for Iranian Exercises" https://t.co/hjA8OQ7oV1 The Russian Steregushchiy-class corvette Stoykiy (F545) has arrived in Bandar Abbas in advance of a naval exercise to be held jointly with the regular Iranian Navy at the end of this week. ...

By John Spencer
Post‑Geneva, Iran’s Actions Push Toward Force
Social•Feb 18, 2026

Post‑Geneva, Iran’s Actions Push Toward Force

"So where does this leave us after Geneva? At an inflection point measured in weeks, not months...If Iran stalls, hedges, or insists on narrow concessions while continuing enrichment and missile expansion, the logic of coercive buildup points in one direction....

By John Spencer
Iran Shuts Hormuz for Drills Amid US Nuclear Talks
Social•Feb 17, 2026

Iran Shuts Hormuz for Drills Amid US Nuclear Talks

"Iran says it temporarily closed the Strait of Hormuz as it held more indirect talks with the US." https://t.co/Ek0ckZEw6N Iran announced the temporary closure of the Strait of Hormuzon Tuesday for live fire drills in a rare show of force as its...

By John Spencer
India’s Kirana Hills Strike Signals Decisive Deterrence
Social•Feb 17, 2026

India’s Kirana Hills Strike Signals Decisive Deterrence

Evidence of India's precision strikes on/near Kirana Hills, reported to be one of the core Pakistan nuclear program sites, was a direct strategic message to Pakistan during Operation Sindoor that India could hit what it wanted, when it wanted. Escalation...

By John Spencer
IDF Destroys Gaza Tunnels as Hamas Delays Disarmament
Social•Feb 17, 2026

IDF Destroys Gaza Tunnels as Hamas Delays Disarmament

While Hamas delays disarmament, peace board meets this week, the @IDF continue the demilitarization of the Gaza Strip.. tunnel by tunnel. All the tunnels must be destroyed IMO.

By John Spencer
U.S. Buildup Highlights Iran’s Ignored Missile Threat
Social•Feb 17, 2026

U.S. Buildup Highlights Iran’s Ignored Missile Threat

Great analysis by @brett_mcgurk U.S. military forces continue to conduct build up and readiness to provide the President with the most options, Islamic Regime in Iran not taking the military threat seriously, and Iran's missile program should definitely be included...

By John Spencer
Ukraine Deploys Drone‑Delivered Swedish 155mm Smart Shells
Social•Feb 17, 2026

Ukraine Deploys Drone‑Delivered Swedish 155mm Smart Shells

Ukraine's New Weapon:  Dropping Swedish 155mm Smart Shells from Drones https://t.co/T0uD6pHKW8 There has been a technical and tactical shift in the Ukrainian conflict, where heavy-lift unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) have been adapted to deliver 155mm ordnance, including the sophisticated Swedish-designed 155...

By John Spencer
U.S. Unready for Potential GPS Attack, Warns Former NSA Chief
Social•Feb 17, 2026

U.S. Unready for Potential GPS Attack, Warns Former NSA Chief

"America is dangerously unprepared for a GPS attack," Adm. Michael Rogers, U.S. Navy (ret.), former commander of the U.S. Cyber Command and director of the National Security Agency. https://t.co/hYWXOZoxEZ

By John Spencer
Iran Deploys Phone Tracking, Threatens Starlink Users
Social•Feb 14, 2026

Iran Deploys Phone Tracking, Threatens Starlink Users

Iran Turns to Digital Surveillance Tools to Track Down Protesters @nytimes https://t.co/7JUt5gcTW3 Iran's government most likely tracked the protesters through location data emitting from their phones, researchers later concluded. The move was part of a new phase by the authorities to...

By John Spencer
Trump to Unveil Multi‑billion Gaza Reconstruction and UN Force Plan
Social•Feb 13, 2026

Trump to Unveil Multi‑billion Gaza Reconstruction and UN Force Plan

President Trump plans to announce multi-billion dollar reconstruction plan and detail plans for a U.N.-authorized stabilization force for Gaza at first Board of Peace meeting next week. https://t.co/BsAlHu5uhT

By John Spencer
Deep Dives Into Urban Warfare: Lessons From Global Battles
Social•Feb 13, 2026

Deep Dives Into Urban Warfare: Lessons From Global Battles

One of my most important long term projects is our urban warfare historical case studies. Kyiv, Mosul, Fallujah, Marawi, Gaza, Shusha, Stalingrad, Aachen, Hue, etc. Detailed analysis of what really happened @WarInstitute with @JaysonGeroux @LiamSCollins https://t.co/mEQLZKuAw9

By John Spencer
Historical Perspective Highlights Israel‑Iran Concerns Despite Bias
Social•Feb 13, 2026

Historical Perspective Highlights Israel‑Iran Concerns Despite Bias

Great history and vision of what should be concerning Israel and Iran from @PahlaviReza Despite the loaded and biased question.

By John Spencer
Operation Sindoor Ushered a New Indian Army
Social•Feb 13, 2026

Operation Sindoor Ushered a New Indian Army

Really looking forward to listening to this @Gen_RajShukla deep dive on the Indian Army. I fully agree. Operation Sindoor saw a new Indian Army and a new India.

By John Spencer
IDF Vows to Disarm Hamas, Demilitarize Gaza
Social•Feb 13, 2026

IDF Vows to Disarm Hamas, Demilitarize Gaza

The @IDF is ready to return to disarming Hamas and demilitarizing the Gaza Strip. Both vital for peace and stability to be achieved.

By John Spencer
India's Potential Record Defense Deal: 114 Rafales
Social•Feb 12, 2026

India's Potential Record Defense Deal: 114 Rafales

India purchasing 114 Rafale jets. The biggest defense deal in India's history if it full goes through.

By John Spencer

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