John Spencer

John Spencer

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Chair of Urban Warfare Studies; doctrine, TTPs, and equipment in urban operations.

Psychological Warfare Aims to Defect Iranian Forces
SocialMar 5, 2026

Psychological Warfare Aims to Defect Iranian Forces

Important report if true. War is a contest of wills. Beyond the targeting, the psychological efforts (cyber, texts, TV)/messaging by the U.S. and Israel to encourage IRGC, Army, Basij, police and others to lay down their weapons, not show up,...

By John Spencer
Iran's Misstep Exposed by Azerbaijan's Recent Military Success
SocialMar 5, 2026

Iran's Misstep Exposed by Azerbaijan's Recent Military Success

Having visited Azerbaijan extensively in the last years studying their recent military operations, Iran made a big mistake IMO.

By John Spencer
US and Israel Dominate Skies over Top Terror Sponsor
SocialMar 5, 2026

US and Israel Dominate Skies over Top Terror Sponsor

"Operationally, the two most powerful air forces in the world, the United States and Israel, are dominating the skies over the world’s largest state sponsor of terror,"

By John Spencer
Israel’s Capability Boosts Joint Operations as Force Multiplier
SocialMar 4, 2026

Israel’s Capability Boosts Joint Operations as Force Multiplier

“To our steadfast partner Israel, your mission is being executed with unmatched skill and iron determination. Fighting shoulder to shoulder with such a capable ally is a true force multiplier and a breath of fresh air.” @SecWar https://t.co/n4ZqQJCiEZ "We salute your...

By John Spencer
Unlimited Precision Bombs Arrive with New Bombers and Fighters
SocialMar 4, 2026

Unlimited Precision Bombs Arrive with New Bombers and Fighters

"We are just getting started...more bombers and more fighters are arriving just today.. we will be using 500 lbs, 1000 lbs, 2000 lbs gps and laser guided precision gravity bombs of which we have a nearly unlimited stockpile."

By John Spencer
U.S. Upgrades Iranian Design, Returns It Improved
SocialMar 4, 2026

U.S. Upgrades Iranian Design, Returns It Improved

Amazing update. And This — “Originally an Iranian design, we took them back to America, made them better and then fired them back at Iran.”

By John Spencer
CIA Allegedly Arming Kurds to Spark Iranian Uprising
SocialMar 3, 2026

CIA Allegedly Arming Kurds to Spark Iranian Uprising

Big if true, CIA working to arm Kurdish forces to spark uprising in Iran, sources say @CNN https://t.co/u046H13Y8h Trump also called Iraqi Kurdish leaders on Sunday to discuss the US military operation in Iran and how the US and the Kurds...

By John Spencer
Israel's Shift to CENTCOM Strengthens U.S. Partnership
SocialMar 3, 2026

Israel's Shift to CENTCOM Strengthens U.S. Partnership

100% agree the move of Israel from USEUCOM to USCENTCOM was a historic beneficial moment for the U.S.-Israel partnership.

By John Spencer
Ending Violence Isn't Starting War, Says Article 51
SocialMar 3, 2026

Ending Violence Isn't Starting War, Says Article 51

“Ending A Campaign Of Violence Is Not Starting A War. Article 51 of the U.N. Charter is not a suicide pact.”my latest with @MarkGoldfeder in @realDailyWire https://t.co/9rV8z6bRng

By John Spencer
Regime Change Hinges on Military Defection, Not Foreign Force
SocialMar 3, 2026

Regime Change Hinges on Military Defection, Not Foreign Force

Regime Change in Iran? Just some thoughts (with a historical note) about regime change in Iran. IMO the U.S. has made clear they will seek to set the conditions for regime change but not be involved in it directly. Israel conducting...

By John Spencer
Israel Expands Security Zone to Shield Northern Civilians
SocialMar 3, 2026

Israel Expands Security Zone to Shield Northern Civilians

Israel expands their security zone in Southern Lebanon as Hezbollah continues firing rockets at Israel.

By John Spencer
Discussing Operation Epic Fury with TBN Experts
SocialMar 3, 2026

Discussing Operation Epic Fury with TBN Experts

I joined my friend @ErickStakelbeck on @TBN today to discuss Operation Epic Fury. I was in excellent company with @FDD CEO and expert @mdubowitz https://t.co/5INHjdWDlX

By John Spencer
Iran Flaunts Underground Drone Fleet Amid Crippling Losses
SocialMar 3, 2026

Iran Flaunts Underground Drone Fleet Amid Crippling Losses

Iranian state media shows off underground drone fleet @CNN There is no way to know if the site still exists. A weird flex when they've lost 49 senior leaders, their air space is owned by U.S. and Israel, and...

By John Spencer
Iran Persists Nuclear Ambitions Despite Israeli Strikes
SocialMar 3, 2026

Iran Persists Nuclear Ambitions Despite Israeli Strikes

Reports show of the sites the Islamic Regime in Iran hoped to continue their nuclear program even after Operation Midnight Hammer was Pickaxe Mountain, which would have made aerial strike extremely hard. The point being that despite the historic June...

By John Spencer
Tune in 11 Am ET for Operation Epic Fury Discussion
SocialMar 2, 2026

Tune in 11 Am ET for Operation Epic Fury Discussion

Join me at 11 am ET this morning on @MSNOWNews to speak with my friend @AnaCabrera to discuss the latest with Operation Epic Fury.

By John Spencer
Epic Fury Targets Iran’s Missiles, Navy, Nuclear Ambitions
SocialMar 2, 2026

Epic Fury Targets Iran’s Missiles, Navy, Nuclear Ambitions

Operation Epic Fury has a narrowly defined objective: destroy Iran’s offensive missile capabilities, cripple its navy and prevent Tehran from obtaining a nuclear weapon. @SecWar @DeptofWar @PeteHegseth

By John Spencer
Fourth U.S. Soldier Dies From Iranian Attack
SocialMar 2, 2026

Fourth U.S. Soldier Dies From Iranian Attack

A fourth U.S. soldier has been killed, dying from his wounds after the Iranian attack that killed 3. RIP 🙏🫡

By John Spencer
All Six Aircrew Safely Ejected, Recovered and Stable
SocialMar 2, 2026

All Six Aircrew Safely Ejected, Recovered and Stable

“All six aircrew ejected safely, have been safely recovered, and are in stable condition.” 🙏

By John Spencer
Israel's Iron Beam: Game‑Changing Defense Breakthrough Operational
SocialMar 2, 2026

Israel's Iron Beam: Game‑Changing Defense Breakthrough Operational

The Iron Beam is a massive breakthrough by Israel, it will change things. Glad to see it fully operational.

By John Spencer
Iran’s 47‑Year War on America Demands Strong Response
SocialMar 2, 2026

Iran’s 47‑Year War on America Demands Strong Response

Iran started a war against the United States in 1979 and has never stopped. - 444 days of American hostages. - 241 Marines murdered in Beirut. - 603 U.S. troops killed in Iraq by Iranian-backed militias. Their proxies, agents, and Iranian IEDs attacking...

By John Spencer
UK Greenlights US Strikes on Islamic Regime From Its Bases
SocialMar 1, 2026

UK Greenlights US Strikes on Islamic Regime From Its Bases

UK approves U.S. military request to use their bases to strike Islamic Regime military targets (missile launchers, missiles, etc.) as a defensive measure to protect other nations.

By John Spencer
CIA Intel Enabled Israel's Early Strike on Iran's Leadership
SocialMar 1, 2026

CIA Intel Enabled Israel's Early Strike on Iran's Leadership

The C.I.A. Helped Pinpoint a Gathering of Iranian Leaders. Then Israel Struck. @nytimes https://t.co/LrwnfpnKMi The information provided a window of opportunity for the two countries to achieve a critical and early victory: the elimination of top Iranian officials and the killing...

By John Spencer
Iran's Inaccurate Missiles Threaten Jerusalem's Sacred Sites
SocialMar 1, 2026

Iran's Inaccurate Missiles Threaten Jerusalem's Sacred Sites

The Islamic Regime in Iran is recklessly firing missiles/drones at Jerusalem, despite well documented accuracy limitations in parts of its ballistic missile arsenal. Jerusalem is home to more than 1 million people and contains sacred sites of three religions: the...

By John Spencer
U.S. Has Been War‑Gaming Iran Regime Collapse for Months
SocialMar 1, 2026

U.S. Has Been War‑Gaming Iran Regime Collapse for Months

If you think the United States has not conducted months of war gaming and scenario analysis of the fall of the regime, the potential successors or power structures that step into the Ayatollah’s and Mullah void. You are not serious....

By John Spencer
UN Outlines Necessity of Operation Epic Fury
SocialFeb 28, 2026

UN Outlines Necessity of Operation Epic Fury

United Nations right now @michaelgwaltz explaining the many reasons why Operation Epic Fury was/is absolutely necessary @FoxNews https://t.co/dbssW9Qdx1

By John Spencer
Massive Decapitation Strike Cripples Iranian Command Structure
SocialFeb 28, 2026

Massive Decapitation Strike Cripples Iranian Command Structure

More than 40 senior Iranian security and regime figures were killed in the opening strikes this morning. Add that to the more than 30 senior military leaders Israel killed during the 12 day war. Psychological and real impact to command...

By John Spencer
US Turns Iran‑Made Shahed Drones Against Tehran
SocialFeb 28, 2026

US Turns Iran‑Made Shahed Drones Against Tehran

Return to sender style. Iran provided Russia w/ thousands of these types of drones to attack mainly Ukrainian civilian sites in the last 4 years (Russia now produces them and continues attacking civilian sites). Irony, U.S. sends the type back...

By John Spencer
Israel Launches Historic Massive Joint Airstrike on Iran
SocialFeb 28, 2026

Israel Launches Historic Massive Joint Airstrike on Iran

"This is the largest strike sortie in the history of the Israeli Air Force, executed after close planning with high-quality intelligence, synchronizing hundreds of aircraft simultaneously," ... and synchronized with U.S. airstrikes ... historic joint military operation.

By John Spencer
New IRGC Commander Killed in Israeli Strike
SocialFeb 28, 2026

New IRGC Commander Killed in Israeli Strike

Significant if true. IRGC commander was new to the job since Israel killed the last one during the 12 day war.

By John Spencer
Israel Secures Air Supremacy, Gains Insight on Russian‑Chinese Defenses
SocialFeb 28, 2026

Israel Secures Air Supremacy, Gains Insight on Russian‑Chinese Defenses

Israel achieved air supremacy over Iran in about the first 10-24 hours of the 12 day war. Not a single aircraft or pilot lost. Thanks to Israel, not only was there a great amount of air defenses destroyed, but there...

By John Spencer
US Presence Could Enable 1,000+ Daily Middle East Sorties
SocialFeb 28, 2026

US Presence Could Enable 1,000+ Daily Middle East Sorties

In the 12-Day War, Israel conducted roughly 1,000 sorties and struck more than 900 targets in Iran. For comparison, during Operation Desert Storm, the U.S.-led coalition flew approximately 2,200 sorties in the first 24 hours and more than 116,000 sorties...

By John Spencer
Iran’s Leaders Questioned as Air Defenses Remain Unclear
SocialFeb 28, 2026

Iran’s Leaders Questioned as Air Defenses Remain Unclear

Was Iran’s Ayatollah Khamenei, President, senior leaders targeted tonight? Where was Iran’s air defenses? Not recovered after the 12 day war?

By John Spencer
Trump Warns Iran: Too Dangerous for Nuclear Weapons
SocialFeb 27, 2026

Trump Warns Iran: Too Dangerous for Nuclear Weapons

Very dangerous people that can never be allowed to get a nuclear weapon or missiles to target the United States or our allies.

By John Spencer
Small Force Wins Through Cohesion, Momentum, Empowered Leadership
SocialFeb 27, 2026

Small Force Wins Through Cohesion, Momentum, Empowered Leadership

“A thousand soldiers took down a city of 6 million. Not by magic. By cohesion, momentum, sustainment, and leaders who empowered initiative under fire." General (ret) David Perkins discussing the 2003 Battle of Baghdad on my @WarInstitute UWP podcast. https://t.co/Icc6ylRqaQ

By John Spencer
Iran's Regime at Weakest in 46 Years, US‑Israel Action Possible
SocialFeb 27, 2026

Iran's Regime at Weakest in 46 Years, US‑Israel Action Possible

Spot on analysis by @gen_jackkeane as always. Islamic Regime in Iran at the weakest point in 46 years, a joint U.S.-Israel military operations could set the conditions for a regime change.

By John Spencer
Iran Misreads U.S. Stance, Undermines Negotiation Credibility
SocialFeb 27, 2026

Iran Misreads U.S. Stance, Undermines Negotiation Credibility

Islamic Regime in Iran thinks they are negotiating with past U.S. administrations, not taking the military course of action seriously IMO.

By John Spencer
Israeli‑Indian Weapons Decimated Pakistan Proxy, Yielding Critical Data
SocialFeb 27, 2026

Israeli‑Indian Weapons Decimated Pakistan Proxy, Yielding Critical Data

100% agree @ShivAroor @AdityaRajKaul Israeli and Israeli-India systems were used to dominate the Pakistan Chinese proxy military during Operation Sindoor. Weapons such as IAI Harop kamikaze drone, Elbit SkyStriker loitering munition (India–Israel production), Rafael SPICE precision-guidance kits, IAI/Elbit Rampage air-to-surface missile,...

By John Spencer
Complex, Crucial Work: Tracking and Destroying Hamas Tunnels
SocialFeb 26, 2026

Complex, Crucial Work: Tracking and Destroying Hamas Tunnels

Hunting tunnels. A great post highlighting how complex but vital it is for Hamas tunnels to be located and destroyed.

By John Spencer
When Terrorism, Sanctuary, and State Authority Collide
SocialFeb 26, 2026

When Terrorism, Sanctuary, and State Authority Collide

Pakistan, terrorist enablers, targeting terrorists. Taliban say defending sovereignty. The reality a region where militants operate across borders & terrorists now govern a state. This is what happens when terrorism, sanctuary, and state authority collide https://t.co/D7nxF98Qgv

By John Spencer
Belarus Uses Middle Eastern Experts to Build Migrant Tunnels
SocialFeb 26, 2026

Belarus Uses Middle Eastern Experts to Build Migrant Tunnels

Russia sends migrants into Europe through secret tunnels. Belarus used specialists from the middle east with "a high level of expertise" (long list of who that could be IRGC, Hezbollah, Hamas) to develop tunnels. @Telegraph https://t.co/MmsPD24kwy Belarus, a Russian puppet state...

By John Spencer
India’s Post‑Sindoor
SocialFeb 26, 2026

India’s Post‑Sindoor

“India After Operation Sindoor, Through the DIME Framework,” my latest in @RCDefense with @DaganLauren #india #OperationSindoor https://t.co/GKfP6zpp1F

By John Spencer
Russia's 2022 Kyiv Offensive Failed to Achieve Strategic Goals
SocialFeb 25, 2026

Russia's 2022 Kyiv Offensive Failed to Achieve Strategic Goals

4 years ago today Russia attempted to take Ukraine’s capital, Kyiv, to overthrow the government, they were defeated, failed to achieve their strategic goals. Read our @WarInstitute case study to learn why: https://t.co/GnnoOSFV9R The Battle of Kyiv occurred between February 24...

By John Spencer
War Toll: Millions Displaced, Thousands Killed, Aid Shrinks
SocialFeb 25, 2026

War Toll: Millions Displaced, Thousands Killed, Aid Shrinks

"4 years into Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, a look at the war by the numbers" @AP 1.8 million - The upper end of the estimated number of soldiers killed, wounded, or missing on both sides https://t.co/nhfGYwJWG9 19.4% - Ukrainian land...

By John Spencer
Modi's Israel Visit Deepens Strategic Defence and Tech Ties
SocialFeb 25, 2026

Modi's Israel Visit Deepens Strategic Defence and Tech Ties

So great to see @PMOIndia visiting Israel, a vital strategic partnership that keeps growing stronger with deepening cooperation across defence, technology, trade, innovation, and other key areas. More major agreements and frameworks expected to expand collaboration in military and emerging...

By John Spencer
IDF Targets Hamas Tunnels; Months to Clear Rafah
SocialFeb 24, 2026

IDF Targets Hamas Tunnels; Months to Clear Rafah

IDF works every day to destroy portions of the billion-dollar, 500+ mile Hamas tunnel network in Gaza. Every tunnel must be found and destroyed. It may take years to eliminate the entire network, but in areas like Rafah, especially where...

By John Spencer
Tanks Cut Infantry Deaths 60% with Trophy Protection
SocialFeb 24, 2026

Tanks Cut Infantry Deaths 60% with Trophy Protection

“Are tanks in urban warfare a burden or benefit? - Israel's experience” https://t.co/HdURRIxWhW After‑action reports from the IDF’s Ground Forces Command noted that armored units reduced infantry fatalities by more than 60% compared with operations where tanks were absent or delayed. Since...

By John Spencer
Rapid Chaos Creation Gave US Army Edge in Baghdad
SocialFeb 23, 2026

Rapid Chaos Creation Gave US Army Edge in Baghdad

“We created chaos faster than they could adapt.” The American Army’s ability to operate in ambiguity became a decisive advantage inside Baghdad. https://t.co/Icc6ylQSli

By John Spencer
US State Dept Evacuates Non‑Emergency Staff From Beirut Embassy
SocialFeb 23, 2026

US State Dept Evacuates Non‑Emergency Staff From Beirut Embassy

The U.S. State Department ordered non-emergency personnel to evacuate the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon @FoxNews https://t.co/Mo1ipVwEuD

By John Spencer
Poland Exits Mine Ban, Plans Antipersonnel Defenses Against Russia
SocialFeb 23, 2026

Poland Exits Mine Ban, Plans Antipersonnel Defenses Against Russia

Poland withdraws from treaty banning antipersonnel mines and will use them to defend against Russia. https://t.co/VXYLJYY8jk

By John Spencer