Rene Sellmann
Analyzes Chinese equities and macro drivers, comparing CSI 300 and Hang Seng.
Prioritize Sustainable Returns Over Maximum Short-Term Gains
Instead of asking: "How can I earn the highest return possible?" Investors should ask: "What are the highest returns I can sustain for the LONGEST period of time without going bust." This changes entirely how you invest.
Steeper Uptrends Predict Sharper Market Reversals
The longer and steeper the uptrend, the more violent the reversion when it finally breaks. FactSet edition $FDS
Citrini Report Crash Marks Software Stocks' Bottom
In 2026, Citrini7's "GLOBAL INTELLIGENCE CRISIS" report sent software stocks into a tailspin. But what if that was actually the bottom? https://www.compoundwithrene.com/p/the-citrini-bottom-the-great-software $NFLX $SHOP $CRM $NOW $TEAM $SAP $NTDOY $ADBE $VEEV $FRSH $SE $TOST $CSU.TO
Topicus' Organic Growth Slows, Reversal Possible?
Topicus' organic growth rates for all quarters for which we have data. $TOI $TOI.V Do you anticipate a reversal anytime soon, do you expect the trend to come to a halt now, or are we going even lower? 😉
Shift to GARP and Solid Balance Sheets Now
This chart is a classic, but let’s move that "We Are Here" pin 📍 Where would you say we are in the cycle right now? The Early-Cycle easy gains are over, I think. It's time to focus on GARP (Growth at a...
CEO Exit Undermines Confidence in Trainline’s Long‑Term Vision
Trainline's CEO is jumping ship. Here's a snippet from what I wrote in my $TRN deep dive conclusion: "If Trainline were a founder-led business today, with a CEO who still owned a truly material personal stake and followed a long-term blueprint with...
Topicus Mirrors 2015 Constellation Software Valuation
At the current market cap, Topicus is effectively a “2015-vintage” version of Constellation Software $CSU $TOI $TOI.V