Steve Hanke

Steve Hanke

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Economist; FX, monetary systems, EM inflation

Physical Oil Prices Set to Pull Paper Market Up
SocialMar 29, 2026

Physical Oil Prices Set to Pull Paper Market Up

My latest with @davidlin_TV on physical vs. paper oil markets: "The physical markets are trading well above the paper market prices. Eventually, the paper market is going to be MUGGED BY REALITY, & the price of the paper market will be...

By Steve Hanke
Treasury Data Shows U.S. Government Insolvent in FY2025
SocialMar 29, 2026

Treasury Data Shows U.S. Government Insolvent in FY2025

My take in @asiatimesonline on US debt: “The US gov't is insolvent. That’s not hyperbole — it’s the conclusion drawn directly from the Treasury Department’s own consolidated financial statements for fiscal year 2025, which was released last week to near-total media silence.”...

By Steve Hanke
Iraq's Missing Inflation Data Highlights US Regime‑Change Failure
SocialMar 29, 2026

Iraq's Missing Inflation Data Highlights US Regime‑Change Failure

Iraq hasn't officially released inflation data since December 2025. After the US regime change that took out Saddam Hussein, Iraq can’t even produce basic economic statistics in a timely manner. IRAQ = ANOTHER FAILED US REGIME CHANGE. https://t.co/X9ngvVUhvq

By Steve Hanke
Iranian Strike Hits Israeli Factory as Munitions Dwindle
SocialMar 29, 2026

Iranian Strike Hits Israeli Factory as Munitions Dwindle

An Iranian counterattack lands a direct hit on a factory in Israel. Israel’s defense munitions are running low. With the escalating war, Israel is in more trouble than it thinks. https://t.co/rpZojPSOre

By Steve Hanke
Trump Falsely Claims NATO Accomplishes Nothing, Misrepresents Its Role
SocialMar 29, 2026

Trump Falsely Claims NATO Accomplishes Nothing, Misrepresents Its Role

Pres. Trump on NATO: "We're very disappointed with NATO because NATO has done absolutely nothing." TRUMP = UNINFORMED = DELUSIONAL. WARS OF CHOICE ARE NOT IN THE PURVIEW OF NATO. https://t.co/6qCr5eMDVw

By Steve Hanke
Iran's Inflation Drops, Oil Exports Surge Amid War
SocialMar 29, 2026

Iran's Inflation Drops, Oil Exports Surge Amid War

My latest with @davidlin_TV on Iran: "Since the war started, Iran's inflation has come down from 87% to 67%. Iranian oil exports have increased substantially at higher prices with lower discounts. You won't read these FACTS in the press." https://t.co/tnO36Tw8XU

By Steve Hanke
Trump Dismisses Intel, Claims Iran Rockets Depleted
SocialMar 29, 2026

Trump Dismisses Intel, Claims Iran Rockets Depleted

While Trump says that Iran has “very few rockets left”, US intel suggests that only 1/3 of Iran’s missile arsenal is confirmed to be destroyed. Who says Trump is inconsistent? He consistently ignores US intelligence. https://t.co/7whRgOX8kz

By Steve Hanke
Personal Services Spending Fuels 3.3% Inflation, Outpacing Fed Target
SocialMar 29, 2026

Personal Services Spending Fuels 3.3% Inflation, Outpacing Fed Target

Robust consumer spending on manicures, haircuts, and dog daycare is FORCING services inflation to 3.3%/yr. That's stubbornly above the Fed's 2%/yr target. THE US WILL NEVER GET THE INFLATION GENIE BACK IN THE BOTTLE. https://t.co/YhMhZTG7Gl

By Steve Hanke
Euro Adoption Spikes Bulgaria's Inflation Beyond ECB Target
SocialMar 29, 2026

Euro Adoption Spikes Bulgaria's Inflation Beyond ECB Target

Bulgaria’s FORCED ADOPTION of the Euro was supposed to benefit Bulgaria. Instead, inflation sits at 3.32%/yr, WELL ABOVE the ECB's 2%/yr inflation target. As the Father of Bulgaria’s currency board, I predicted this. https://t.co/c3KVbZZNxx

By Steve Hanke
Cholera Aid for Africa Delayed by Dubai Hold, War Fallout
SocialMar 29, 2026

Cholera Aid for Africa Delayed by Dubai Hold, War Fallout

Emergency medical cholera supplies destined for Africa are STUCK in Dubai warehouses. US-ISRAELI WAR ON IRAN = COLLATERAL DAMAGE. https://t.co/obM6ZY0tKC

By Steve Hanke
Japan’s Low Inflation Mirrors Sluggish Money Supply Growth
SocialMar 29, 2026

Japan’s Low Inflation Mirrors Sluggish Money Supply Growth

Japan’s inflation eases to 1.26%/yr in February, BELOW its inflation target of 2%/yr. Japan’s money supply (M2) is growing at 1.73%/yr, WELL BELOW Hanke’s Golden Growth Rate of ~6.07%/yr, consistent w/ Japan’s 2%/yr inflation target. THE INFLATION STORY = A MONEY SUPPLY...

By Steve Hanke
US‑Israeli War Sends 60‑40 Portfolio to Worst Month Since 2022
SocialMar 29, 2026

US‑Israeli War Sends 60‑40 Portfolio to Worst Month Since 2022

As a result of the US-Israeli war on Iran, the traditional '60-40' portfolio of equities and bonds is on track for the worst month since September 2022. US-ISRAELI WAR = NOT WALL STREET'S FRIEND. https://t.co/kWe8ucZedL

By Steve Hanke
Iran's Leverage Traps Trump Amid Western Economic Crisis
SocialMar 28, 2026

Iran's Leverage Traps Trump Amid Western Economic Crisis

My latest with @davidlin_TV on the US-Israeli war on Iran: "Iran has a lot of leverage over the West, and they have Trump completely in a corner because the Western economies are suffering TREMENDOUS DAMAGE." https://t.co/vQRsFOy0XI

By Steve Hanke
Goldman Sachs Predicts US Economy Hit by Trump's Iran War
SocialMar 28, 2026

Goldman Sachs Predicts US Economy Hit by Trump's Iran War

Thanks to Trump's war on Iran, Goldman Sachs concludes that the US economy will take A BIG HIT. It's time to start taking the 2nd President of the U.S. Thomas Jefferson's proclamation seriously: "I hold it that a little rebellion now...

By Steve Hanke
EU Commissioner Mulls Gas Price Cap Amid Shortages
SocialMar 28, 2026

EU Commissioner Mulls Gas Price Cap Amid Shortages

As reported by the respected French newspaper Le Monde, EU Energy Commissioner Dan Jorgensen considers capping gas prices "a possibility" amid oil shortages. IT'S TIME FOR THE EU'S JORGENSEN TO GET REAL AND PULL OUT A PHOTO OF THE GAS LINES...

By Steve Hanke
Rubio's War Timeline Claim Ignored: No Set Schedule
SocialMar 28, 2026

Rubio's War Timeline Claim Ignored: No Set Schedule

Secretary of State Marco Rubio claimed that the US would have this war finished up soon: “As the Department of War has consistently outlined, we are ahead of schedule. We expect it concluded… in a matter of weeks.” THAT'S BECAUSE THERE IS...

By Steve Hanke
Russia’s Oil Earnings Surge Amid US‑Israel Iran Conflict
SocialMar 28, 2026

Russia’s Oil Earnings Surge Amid US‑Israel Iran Conflict

Russia’s oil revenue this month hit a 4-year HIGH. RUSSIA = THE BIG WINNER OF THE TRUMP-NETANYAHU WAR ON IRAN. https://t.co/nMT8IvrNZc

By Steve Hanke
UK Defense Minister Stumbles Over Lone Operational Warship
SocialMar 28, 2026

UK Defense Minister Stumbles Over Lone Operational Warship

WATCH: UK Defense Minister John Healey STRUGGLES to explain why Britain has only ONE warship in operation.  THE U.K. = A LOT OF BARK = NO BITE. https://t.co/rK6zw0ar49

By Steve Hanke
Turkey Leverages Gold Reserves for Liquidity, Defends Lira
SocialMar 28, 2026

Turkey Leverages Gold Reserves for Liquidity, Defends Lira

#TurkeyWatch🇹🇷: It's hard to beat gold as a central bank reserve. Turkey is reportedly using its HOARD of gold reserves in swap operations to obtain liquidity and defend the Turkish Lira. BUY GOLD, WEAR DIAMONDS. https://t.co/rVUGXc6WeD

By Steve Hanke
Japanese Investment in India Hits Record $8.8 B
SocialMar 28, 2026

Japanese Investment in India Hits Record $8.8 B

#IndiaWatch🇮🇳: Japanese investment in India’s financial sector has hit a RECORD HIGH. In 2025, Japanese firms invested $8.8 BILLION in Indian businesses. That’s FOUR TIMES the amount invested in 2024. GOOD NEWS FOR INDIA. MORE FDI = MORE GROWTH. https://t.co/C27VI2pF62

By Steve Hanke
India's Rupee Hits Record Low Amid US‑Israel Iran Conflict
SocialMar 28, 2026

India's Rupee Hits Record Low Amid US‑Israel Iran Conflict

#IndiaWatch🇮🇳: The Indian rupee has PLUNGED to a RECORD LOW. Thanks to the US and Israel's attack on Iran, India is paying a high cost. MODI SHOULD SEND THE BILL TO WASHINGTON DC AND JERUSALEM. https://t.co/T9AjFXiDVU

By Steve Hanke
Urea Prices Surge to 2022 High, Threatening Farmers
SocialMar 27, 2026

Urea Prices Surge to 2022 High, Threatening Farmers

This week, New Orleans granular urea prices, the most common nitrogen fertilizer, spiked to their HIGHEST LEVEL since September 2022. THIS HITS FARMERS HARD. It comes right before the spring planting season. FARMERS CAN SEND THE BILL TO TRUMP & NETANYAHU. https://t.co/5Kv6ZSVIjM

By Steve Hanke
Erdoğan Blames Netanyahu's Israel for Regional Aggression
SocialMar 27, 2026

Erdoğan Blames Netanyahu's Israel for Regional Aggression

#TurkeyWatch 🇹🇷: President Erdoğan fingered Netanyahu's gov't and Israel for “not only targeting Iran”, but also its “step by step implementation of plans to occupy Lebanon”, and its continuing “aggressive violations” of Syria’s sovereignty. https://t.co/M9KIHTZopA

By Steve Hanke
U.S. Debt Service Surpasses Defense, Threatening Great Power Status
SocialMar 27, 2026

U.S. Debt Service Surpasses Defense, Threatening Great Power Status

Ferguson’s Law, proposed by Sir Niall Ferguson: when a great power spends more on debt service than on defense, it risks losing its status as a great power. The U.S. crossed that line. Net interest at ~3.1% of GDP exceeds defense at ~3.0%. DEBT...

By Steve Hanke
Trump and Netanyahu's Iran Conflict Spikes Global Oil Costs
SocialMar 27, 2026

Trump and Netanyahu's Iran Conflict Spikes Global Oil Costs

Thanks to Trump and Netanyahu's war on Iran, oil prices, jet fuel, and virtually everything under the sun, are taking a hit. US-ISRAELI WAR ON IRAN IS COSTING EVERYONE IN THE WORLD AN ARM AND A LEG. https://t.co/rjfW2er9UQ

By Steve Hanke
Erdogan Calls for Unity Among Turks, Arabs, Kurds, Persians
SocialMar 27, 2026

Erdogan Calls for Unity Among Turks, Arabs, Kurds, Persians

#TurkeyWatch 🇹🇷: President Erdoğan shouted from the rooftops: “in one of the world’s most strategic regions,” Turks, Arabs, Kurds and Persians have “lived together for centuries.” They have shared “the same fate and geography,” adding that “our future… will be together.”...

By Steve Hanke
U.S. Debt Hits $39 T, Treasury Declares Insolvency
SocialMar 27, 2026

U.S. Debt Hits $39 T, Treasury Declares Insolvency

US DEBT HAS HIT $39T AND IS CLIMBING. As I wrote in Fortune with Dave Walker, former US Comptroller General, US Treasury data show, black on white, that Uncle Sam is INSOLVENT. https://t.co/qKKcJtEuEk

By Steve Hanke
OECD Predicts 4.2% US Inflation, Trump’s Achilles’ Heel
SocialMar 27, 2026

OECD Predicts 4.2% US Inflation, Trump’s Achilles’ Heel

The OECD warns that US inflation will surge to 4.2% this year. As I predicted, the inflation genie will not be put back in the bottle and will remain one of Trump’s Achilles’ heels.

By Steve Hanke
U.S. Pivots to Western Hemisphere Energy, Partnering with Venezuela
SocialMar 27, 2026

U.S. Pivots to Western Hemisphere Energy, Partnering with Venezuela

My view in the @EpochTimes on the US reducing reliance on Middle Eastern oil: “There is a strategic shift toward a more resilient Western Hemisphere energy bloc... through tighter integration of supply chains ... with Venezuela." https://t.co/DLlkE38yYS

By Steve Hanke
Trump Claims US Oil Independence, Dismisses Hormuz Strait
SocialMar 27, 2026

Trump Claims US Oil Independence, Dismisses Hormuz Strait

President Trump says that “we don’t need the Hormuz Strait. We have so much oil, our country is not affected by this.” TRUMP = CLEARLY UNHINGED = HAS LOST TOUCH WITH REALITY. https://t.co/VFVUQDKzXd

By Steve Hanke
China's 3M Strategy Secures EV Battery Dominance
SocialMar 27, 2026

China's 3M Strategy Secures EV Battery Dominance

China's CATL owns over 38% of the global EV battery market, generating over $10 BILLION in PROFIT last year. China's DOMINANCE is built on decades of strategic investment in what I call the "3Ms": Mining, Metallurgy, & Materials Science. CHINA HOLDS ALL...

By Steve Hanke
Hormuz Closure Leaves Quarter of US Farmers Fertilizer‑starved
SocialMar 26, 2026

Hormuz Closure Leaves Quarter of US Farmers Fertilizer‑starved

The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has left 25% of US farmers UNABLE to secure fertilizer for the upcoming planting season. US FARMERS SHOULD SEND A BILL FOR DAMAGES TO TRUMP AND NETANYAHU. https://t.co/IGb9NjwDiw

By Steve Hanke
Export Ban Cuts Gasoline, Spurs Diesel, Jet Fuel Surge
SocialMar 26, 2026

Export Ban Cuts Gasoline, Spurs Diesel, Jet Fuel Surge

The US has been toying with the idea of a US oil export ban. This might briefly lower gasoline prices in the US, but it would drive up diesel and jet fuel costs and worsen the overall energy shock. ANOTHER HAIRBRAIN IDEA...

By Steve Hanke
DOD Moves to Curb Media After Court Strikes Policies
SocialMar 26, 2026

DOD Moves to Curb Media After Court Strikes Policies

After many of its policies were declared UNCONSTITUTIONAL in court on Monday, the US Department of Defense is now taking a new stance to RESTRICT media coverage on the military. THE DOD = ONE OF THE WORLD'S BIGGEST SPINNERS OF FAKE...

By Steve Hanke
USPS Adds 8% Fuel Surcharge After US‑Israeli Strike
SocialMar 26, 2026

USPS Adds 8% Fuel Surcharge After US‑Israeli Strike

As a result of the US-Israeli attack on Iran, the US Postal Service will temporarily impose an 8% fuel surcharge on package shipments. THE USPS SHOULD SEND A BILL FOR DAMAGES TO TRUMP AND NETANYAHU. https://t.co/WvBBT21TaB

By Steve Hanke
Iran War Forces Asian Airlines to Add Surcharges
SocialMar 26, 2026

Iran War Forces Asian Airlines to Add Surcharges

Airlines are being hit HARD in Asia by the war in Iran. Both KLM and Air France have added SURCHARGES on long-haul flights while airlines cancel HUNDREDS of other flights. KLM & AF SHOULD SEND A BILL FOR DAMAGES TO TRUMP...

By Steve Hanke
Israel Builds Buffer Zone, Illegally Occupies 8% of Lebanon
SocialMar 26, 2026

Israel Builds Buffer Zone, Illegally Occupies 8% of Lebanon

In an attempt to ANNEX southern Lebanon, Israel is now setting up fortifications & creating a so-called “buffer zone” between Israel & Lebanon. Israel is already ILLEGALLY occupying about 8% of Lebanon’s territory. https://t.co/9FEQdXkvKH

By Steve Hanke
US-Israeli Iran War Creates Unpriced Massive Supply Shock
SocialMar 26, 2026

US-Israeli Iran War Creates Unpriced Massive Supply Shock

The ill-conceived US-Israeli war against Iran will go down in history as one of the great supply shocks. Surprisingly, it hasn’t been fully priced into the market yet. https://t.co/0P6D68qJi7

By Steve Hanke
Venezuela's Oil Output Limited to 300k Bpd by 2026
SocialMar 26, 2026

Venezuela's Oil Output Limited to 300k Bpd by 2026

My view in the @EpochTimes on Pres. Trump's move on Venezuelan oil: “VEN remains a wild card... its output gains will likely be modest [in 2026], ~300,000 barrels/day, due to deep structural damage in the soft & hard infrastructure of VEN’s...

By Steve Hanke
Jordan, Pakistan, Sri Lanka,
SocialMar 26, 2026

Jordan, Pakistan, Sri Lanka,

According to The Economist, the biggest emerging market countries that are being hit by the energy shock are: Jordan, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Egypt, and Ethiopia. THE COUNTRIES SHOULD SEND A BILL FOR DAMAGES TO TRUMP AND NETANYAHU. https://t.co/ED3ID96us3

By Steve Hanke
Iran's $2 Million Strait Fee Shows Mutual Benefit
SocialMar 26, 2026

Iran's $2 Million Strait Fee Shows Mutual Benefit

Finally, a little commerce is moving in the Strait of Hormuz. The Iranians benefit by charging up to $2 million for free passage and those who pass obviously benefit or they wouldn’t pay the transit fee. THREE CHEERS FOR COMMERCE. https://t.co/hzDa6MSkxF

By Steve Hanke
Russia Halts Fertilizer Exports, Leveraging 40% Market Share
SocialMar 26, 2026

Russia Halts Fertilizer Exports, Leveraging 40% Market Share

Russia stopped exports of ammonium nitrate through April to ensure domestic supply during planting season. Russia controls a massive portion of global trade in ammonium nitrate at about 40%. IT LOOKS LIKE MOSCOW IS SAYING SANCTIONS WILL HAVE TO GIVE OR FERTILIZER...

By Steve Hanke
EU Clinches Australian Mineral
SocialMar 26, 2026

EU Clinches Australian Mineral

Yesterday, the EU struck a trade deal with Australia to secure access to critical minerals, like lithium and aluminum. According to the NYT, US tariffs pushed the deal forward. TRUMP’S TARIFFS = CREATING AMERICAN ENEMIES = PIVOT AWAY FROM UNCLE SAM. https://t.co/Suer5RGrQO

By Steve Hanke
French Prosecutors Probe Rothschild Paris over Epstein Informant Ties
SocialMar 25, 2026

French Prosecutors Probe Rothschild Paris over Epstein Informant Ties

As reported by the respected French newspaper Le Monde, French prosecutors are probing Rothschild’s Paris branch over links to former French Diplomat and EPSTEIN INFORMANT Fabrice Aidan. THE JEFFREY EPSTEIN STORY JUST WON'T GO AWAY. https://t.co/YoRpcXnqy6

By Steve Hanke
689 Palestinians Killed Since Ceasefire, Trump’s Board Silent
SocialMar 25, 2026

689 Palestinians Killed Since Ceasefire, Trump’s Board Silent

Gaza’s Health Ministry reports that TWO Palestinians have been killed in the past 24 hours by Israeli forces. This brings the total number of Palestinians killed since the beginning of the so-called ceasefire to at least 689. What’s Trump’s "Board of Peace"...

By Steve Hanke
Philippines Declares Emergency over Soaring Oil Prices
SocialMar 25, 2026

Philippines Declares Emergency over Soaring Oil Prices

The Philippines have declared a NATIONAL STATE OF EMERGENCY. The Philippines imports 98% of oil from the gulf and gas prices have DOUBLED since the breakout of the Iran war. THE PHILIPPINES SHOULD SEND THE BILL FOR DAMAGES TO TRUMP AND NETANYAHU. https://t.co/bNdU01nHJI

By Steve Hanke
US Faces $10 Trillion Debt Refinance, Interest Pressure Rising
SocialMar 25, 2026

US Faces $10 Trillion Debt Refinance, Interest Pressure Rising

TEN TRILLION DOLLARS of existing US gov’t debt needs to be refinanced in the next 12 months. This spells more trouble for the out-of-control federal budget in which net interest expense already accounts for 14% of federal spending and is growing...

By Steve Hanke
Mearsheimer: No Viable Deal to End Iran War
SocialMar 25, 2026

Mearsheimer: No Viable Deal to End Iran War

Distinguished UChicago Prof. John Mearsheimer on ending the war in Iran:  “When you look at the demands on both sides… there’s just no way you get a deal here.” https://t.co/yJ9abF5l9f

By Steve Hanke
Majority of Americans Disapprove US Strikes on Iran
SocialMar 25, 2026

Majority of Americans Disapprove US Strikes on Iran

Four weeks into the US-Israeli war on Iran, 61% of Americans say they disapprove of US military strikes against Iran. THE US PUBLIC HAS TURNED ON THE WAR PRESIDENT. https://t.co/ICQnIktBVK

By Steve Hanke