Steve Hanke

Steve Hanke

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Economist; FX, monetary systems, EM inflation

Sudan's Pound Plummets to World's 6th Worst Currency
SocialMar 25, 2026

Sudan's Pound Plummets to World's 6th Worst Currency

On this week's Hanke's #CurrencyWatchlist, the Sudanese pound ranks as the WORLD'S 6TH WORST CURRENCY. The pound has depreciated by over 27% against the USD in the past year. https://t.co/6wm9wwnlxP

By Steve Hanke
US-Israeli Conflict Boosts Iran's Oil Sales and Prices
SocialMar 25, 2026

US-Israeli Conflict Boosts Iran's Oil Sales and Prices

My take on @AJEnglish on how the US-Israeli war has backfired and is benefiting Iran: “Iran is getting more oil out, they’re selling it at higher prices, and at lower discounts than prior to the US-Israeli attacks.” https://t.co/ySeIcR0lFS

By Steve Hanke
Turkey Tourism Dips as Middle East Tensions Rise
SocialMar 25, 2026

Turkey Tourism Dips as Middle East Tensions Rise

#TurkeyWatch 🇹🇷: Foreign visitor arrivals dropped 2.1% y/y in February. Turkey’s tourism sector is paying the price for the US-Israeli attack on Iran. TURKEY’S TOURIST OPERATORS SHOULD SEND A BILL FOR DAMAGES TO TRUMP & NETANYAHU. https://t.co/HORq6jRes2

By Steve Hanke
India's Economy Crippled by Gulf Dependence Amid Iran War
SocialMar 25, 2026

India's Economy Crippled by Gulf Dependence Amid Iran War

#IndiaWatch 🇮🇳: As the Iranian war drags on, India takes an economic hit. Eighty percent of Indian gas imports, forty percent of Indian oil imports, and forty percent of India’s remittances depend on the Gulf. MODI SHOULD SEND TRUMP AND NETANYAHU A...

By Steve Hanke
North Korean Won Plummets 61%, World's 2nd Worst Currency
SocialMar 25, 2026

North Korean Won Plummets 61%, World's 2nd Worst Currency

On this week's Hanke's #CurrencyWatchlist, the North Korean won ranks as the WORLD'S 2ND WORST CURRENCY. The won has depreciated by 61% against the USD over the past year. THE COLLAPSE OF THE WON IS THE WORLD’S MOST UNREPORTED CURRENCY STORY. https://t.co/WiB50eaMz6

By Steve Hanke
Venezuela Leads, North Korea Follows in Hyperinflation
SocialMar 25, 2026

Venezuela Leads, North Korea Follows in Hyperinflation

#HankeInflationDashboard: By my measurements, this week's top 5 inflators are: 🇻🇪Venezuela — 634.0%/yr 🇰🇵North Korea — 160.7%/yr 🇮🇷Iran — 67.0%/yr 🇱🇾Libya — 55.3%/yr 🇨🇺Cuba — 48.9%/yr https://t.co/mNBJPXLGIg

By Steve Hanke
Australia Faces Fuel Shortage as Hormuz Disruption Persists
SocialMar 25, 2026

Australia Faces Fuel Shortage as Hormuz Disruption Persists

Australia is RUNNING OUT OF FUEL. ​As the Strait of Hormuz remains disrupted, hundreds of gas stations across the country are running dry. ​THE GAS STATIONS SHOULD SEND A BILL FOR DAMAGES TO TRUMP AND NETANYAHU. https://t.co/9LMx4BprMq

By Steve Hanke
China Gas Prices Surge 20% Since Iran War
SocialMar 25, 2026

China Gas Prices Surge 20% Since Iran War

Gas prices in China jumped 20% since the war in Iran began. This is big. It affects 300 million drivers. CHAIRMAN XI SHOULD SEND A BILL FOR DAMAGES TO TRUMP & NETANYAHU. https://t.co/5AEwfc2iWb

By Steve Hanke
2‑Year Treasury Yield Jumps To
SocialMar 25, 2026

2‑Year Treasury Yield Jumps To

The March 2026 US Treasury 2-year yield hit 3.93%, up sharply from 3.45% last month. This is the highest yield since May 2025. TRUMP’S TARIFF WAR AND WAR ON IRAN ARE RATTLING BOND MARKETS. https://t.co/TfJWZRALwu

By Steve Hanke
Pentagon Deploys 3,000 82nd Airborne Amid Trump Peace Push
SocialMar 25, 2026

Pentagon Deploys 3,000 82nd Airborne Amid Trump Peace Push

The WSJ reports that the Pentagon is planning to send 3,000 members of the Army's elite 82nd Airborne Division to the Middle East. THIS IS TRUMP’S IDEA OF THE ART OF A PEACE DEAL. https://t.co/CRAhLK1jFL

By Steve Hanke
US Q4 Productivity Slumps, AI Hype Stalls
SocialMar 24, 2026

US Q4 Productivity Slumps, AI Hype Stalls

This morning, the US BLS released nonfarm productivity data for Q4 2025. Q4 2025 growth was revised down to 1.8%, from 2.8%, and well below the 5.2% surge in Q3. FULL-YEAR PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH SLOWED TO 2.1% IN 2025, DOWN FROM 3.0% IN...

By Steve Hanke
Aluminum Prices Surge 12‑40% Amid US‑Israel Conflict
SocialMar 24, 2026

Aluminum Prices Surge 12‑40% Amid US‑Israel Conflict

As a result of the US-Israeli war in Iran, ALUMINUM prices are UP 12-40% THROUGHOUT THE WORLD. The world’s biggest carmakers are reportedly “panic buying.” CARMAKERS SHOULD SEND A BILL FOR DAMAGES TO TRUMP & NETANYAHU. https://t.co/yRInvBpEdm

By Steve Hanke
Official Iran Inflation Rate Underestimates True 67%
SocialMar 24, 2026

Official Iran Inflation Rate Underestimates True 67%

Iran's the Statistical Center of Iran reports that Iran's yearly inflation was 47.5%/yr. WRONG. Today, I measure Iran’s inflation at 67%/yr. I am the only accurate source of inflation measurements for Iran. https://t.co/mSpK5W3YvR

By Steve Hanke
Japanese Automakers Turn to Russian Aluminum Amid US‑Israeli Conflict
SocialMar 24, 2026

Japanese Automakers Turn to Russian Aluminum Amid US‑Israeli Conflict

As a result of the US-Israeli war on Iran, Japanese carmakers are looking to BUY ALUMINUM from RUSSIA. RUSSIA = THE BIG WINNER OF TRUMP & NETANYAHU'S WAR. https://t.co/JIiV9xOkFp

By Steve Hanke
Rising Gas Prices Hurt 55% of Americans, Undermining Trump
SocialMar 24, 2026

Rising Gas Prices Hurt 55% of Americans, Undermining Trump

A Reuters/Ipsos poll found that 55% of Americans report that rising gas prices have negatively impacted their finances. AFFORDABILITY = TRUMP'S ACHILLES HEEL. https://t.co/kJMYHDcmB6

By Steve Hanke
AI Hasn't Displaced Offshore Workers, Data Shows
SocialMar 24, 2026

AI Hasn't Displaced Offshore Workers, Data Shows

The Silicon Valley sillies claim that AI is replacing offshore workers. Evidence from India and the Philippines shows no sign that this has happened yet. Hanke's 95% Rule: 95% of what you read in the press is either WRONG or IRRELEVANT. https://t.co/gzWcDM4Zjq

By Steve Hanke
Polymarket Predicts 55% Chance of US Invading Iran
SocialMar 24, 2026

Polymarket Predicts 55% Chance of US Invading Iran

According to @Polymarket, there is a 55% chance US forces enter Iran by the end of April. Forget Trump’s talk of the art of the deal. He takes his orders from Jerusalem. https://t.co/GgrtwQc8kz

By Steve Hanke
Pakistan Faces Energy Crunch as Qatar LNG Supply Dries
SocialMar 24, 2026

Pakistan Faces Energy Crunch as Qatar LNG Supply Dries

Almost 99% of Pakistan’s LNG imports came from Qatar last year. Now, PAK import terminals are close to shutting down. Pakistan may be forced to turn to more EXPENSIVE and DIRTIER furnace oil to generate power. PAKISTAN SHOULD SEND A BILL FOR...

By Steve Hanke
Iran's Economy Was Not Collapsing Before US‑Israeli Attack
SocialMar 24, 2026

Iran's Economy Was Not Collapsing Before US‑Israeli Attack

One of the many lies about Iran that has been generated in Washington, D.C., and other Western capitals is that, before the current US-Israeli attack on Iran, Iran's economy was in a state of collapse. NOT TRUE. JUST TAKE A GLANCE AT...

By Steve Hanke
Venezuela's Bolivar Plummets 86%, Dollarization Needed
SocialMar 24, 2026

Venezuela's Bolivar Plummets 86%, Dollarization Needed

On this week's Hanke's #CurrencyWatchlist, the Venezuelan bolivar ranks as the WORLD'S WORST currency. The bolivar has depreciated by 86% against the USD over the past year. The only thing that will salvage Venezuela is DOLLARIZATION. https://t.co/HsoegSMSO1

By Steve Hanke
Parsi Explains Rial’s 12% Surge Amid US‑Israel Conflict
SocialMar 23, 2026

Parsi Explains Rial’s 12% Surge Amid US‑Israel Conflict

Johns Hopkins PhD Trita Parsi is on to something. What Parsi reports helps explain why the Iranian Rial has soared by 12% against the USD during the first 3 weeks of the US-Israel war on Iran.

By Steve Hanke
Jet Fuel Costs Double, Sparking Airline Crisis
SocialMar 23, 2026

Jet Fuel Costs Double, Sparking Airline Crisis

Jet fuel prices have DOUBLED to over $200/barrel since the Iran war. Asian airlines and energy suppliers face MAJOR SHORTAGES. ​SIGNS OF A MAJOR CRISIS ARE APPEARING: Thousands of flights have already been canceled AIRLINES SHOULD SEND A BILL FOR DAMAGES TO...

By Steve Hanke
Sachs: Iran Denies Talks, Trump’s Claim Questionable
SocialMar 23, 2026

Sachs: Iran Denies Talks, Trump’s Claim Questionable

Distinguished Columbia Univ. Prof. Jeff Sachs on Pres. Trump’s claim that the US is engaged in negotiations with Iran: “The Iranians have been saying very clearly that there are no negotiations... I think it raises questions about the President.” https://t.co/aM61cohaAc

By Steve Hanke
Iran’s Rope‑a‑Dope Tactic: Endure, Exhaust, Then Strike
SocialMar 23, 2026

Iran’s Rope‑a‑Dope Tactic: Endure, Exhaust, Then Strike

My take on Iran's war strategy: "The Iranians have adopted the Muhammad Ali Rope-a-Dope strategy. Iran will absorb massive punishment until the US and Israel are exhausted. Then, Iran will land a knock-out blow." IRAN CONTROLS THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ. https://t.co/Vfv8lDJsQc

By Steve Hanke
US‑Israeli Strike Closes Hormuz, Triggers Global Gas Crisis
SocialMar 23, 2026

US‑Israeli Strike Closes Hormuz, Triggers Global Gas Crisis

Thanks to the US-Israeli attack on Iran, the Strait of Hormuz is ‘closed’. As a result, countries worldwide are facing a gas supply CLIFF-EDGE. LNG from Qatar is NOWHERE TO BE FOUND. US-ISRAELI WAR ON IRAN = MASSIVE COLLATERAL DAMAGE. https://t.co/qE8zgTwxgC

By Steve Hanke
Strait Closure Triggers Universal Refined‑petroleum Supply Shock
SocialMar 23, 2026

Strait Closure Triggers Universal Refined‑petroleum Supply Shock

I spoke with @GaryBohm5 'Metals and Miners' about the closure of the Strait: "It will affect everything that's produced by refined petroleum: the chemical and plastics industry, fertilizer. This supply shock will ripple through everything. There's nothing that isn't touched." https://t.co/SPZ9A1UMhy

By Steve Hanke
US New Home Sales Plunge 17.6% to Pandemic Lows
SocialMar 23, 2026

US New Home Sales Plunge 17.6% to Pandemic Lows

From December to January, US new home sales DROPPED by a STUNNING 17.6%. Sales were at their lowest level since the COVID-19 pandemic. AMERICAN HOUSING MARKET = IN THE TANK. https://t.co/AMSqv9ZMsT

By Steve Hanke
U.S. and NATO Troops Exit Baghdad, Signaling Ongoing Instability
SocialMar 23, 2026

U.S. and NATO Troops Exit Baghdad, Signaling Ongoing Instability

NATO & US troops from Victoria Base in Baghdad have TAKEN THE EXIT DOOR. After the US regime change that took out Saddam Hussein 23 years ago, NATO & the US have determined Iraq is STILL TOO DANGEROUS A PLACE TO...

By Steve Hanke
Switzerland Halts US Military Exports Amid Iran Conflict
SocialMar 23, 2026

Switzerland Halts US Military Exports Amid Iran Conflict

Because of the US-Israeli war on Iran, Switzerland has suspended military exports to the United States. TRUMP = A MASTERCLASS IN CREATING ENEMIES. https://t.co/dQ6lG3KAgS

By Steve Hanke
Iranian Rial Gains 12% Amid Early War Turmoil
SocialMar 23, 2026

Iranian Rial Gains 12% Amid Early War Turmoil

Through the first 3 weeks of the US-Israel war on Iran, the Iranian rial has demonstrated surprising resilience. It has APPRECIATED 12% against the USD. https://t.co/eDotRHK77c

By Steve Hanke
Sri Lanka Refuses US Request to Base Fighter Jets
SocialMar 23, 2026

Sri Lanka Refuses US Request to Base Fighter Jets

Sri Lanka has denied a US request to land fighter jets for Trump’s Iran war. TRUMP & THE US = COLLECTING ENEMIES BY THE BUSHEL. https://t.co/zyC7L7xJau

By Steve Hanke
Polymarket Predicts 28% Chance Hormuz Reopens by April
SocialMar 22, 2026

Polymarket Predicts 28% Chance Hormuz Reopens by April

Polymarket, a large prediction market, shows only a 28% chance that the Strait of Hormuz will open for normal traffic by the end of April. TRUMP & NETANYAHU’S WAR ON IRAN = MASSIVE COSTS. https://t.co/slk6gIZTUJ

By Steve Hanke
Xi Pushes RMB as Global Reserve Amid U.S. Isolation
SocialMar 22, 2026

Xi Pushes RMB as Global Reserve Amid U.S. Isolation

The U.S. is accumulating enemies faster than you can shake a stick. Chinese President Xi SEES AN OPENING. Xi has made a new push the renminbi to be a global reserve currency. https://t.co/qMpgMEp3Fo

By Steve Hanke
Only 7% of Americans Back Trump's Iran Troop Threat
SocialMar 22, 2026

Only 7% of Americans Back Trump's Iran Troop Threat

Only 7% of Americans support Trump's threat to send US ground troops into Iran. AMERICAN SUPPORT FOR THE US-ISRAELI WAR AGAINST IRAN = VIRTUALLY NONEXISTENT. https://t.co/5SDVzUht3L

By Steve Hanke
HK Inflation Near Target, Currency Board Proves Effective
SocialMar 22, 2026

HK Inflation Near Target, Currency Board Proves Effective

Hong Kong’s inflation rate comes in at 1.7%/yr in February, JUST A TAD below its de facto 2%/yr inflation target. Hong Kong’s Dollar-Based Currency Board is WORKING LIKE A CHARM. https://t.co/Q0L3lNddlP

By Steve Hanke
Sachs Predicts US Loses Geopolitical Edge to China
SocialMar 22, 2026

Sachs Predicts US Loses Geopolitical Edge to China

Distinguished Columbia Univ. Prof. Jeff Sachs on current geopolitics: "In many ways, the US can not compete with China [in both manufacturing and diplomacy]... And I think we all feel it's not a temporary phenomenon but really the end of the...

By Steve Hanke
Iran Conflict Threatens Trump Republicans in Midterms
SocialMar 22, 2026

Iran Conflict Threatens Trump Republicans in Midterms

With virtually no international support and a strong disapproval by the American public, Operation Epic Fury in Iran might topple Trump's republicans in the midterm elections. The US-Israeli war on Iran has SPUN OUT OF CONTROL AND SPRUNG A TRAP ON...

By Steve Hanke
US Debt Hits $39 Trillion, Ignored by Leaders
SocialMar 22, 2026

US Debt Hits $39 Trillion, Ignored by Leaders

As Dave Walker, former Comptroller General of the US, and I wrote in @FortuneMagazine, "total [US] federal debt surged past $39 trillion, or 125% of GDP... Despite the federal government's fiscal time bomb, the US Congress and the President remain with...

By Steve Hanke
Jerusalem Drives Escalation, Trump’s Words Irrelevant
SocialMar 22, 2026

Jerusalem Drives Escalation, Trump’s Words Irrelevant

Yesterday, Trump said: "we consider winding down our great Military efforts." But today, Israeli Defense Minister Katz said: "the intensity of [the joint] attacks ... against [Iran]... will increase significantly." FORGET WHAT TRUMP SAYS, THE ORDERS COME FROM JERUSALEM. https://t.co/PChGC7kGAg

By Steve Hanke
Money Supply Growth Exceeds Target, Fuelling Pakistan Inflation
SocialMar 22, 2026

Money Supply Growth Exceeds Target, Fuelling Pakistan Inflation

#PakWatch🇵🇰: Pakistan's inflation is 7.0%/yr. Pak's money supply (M3) is growing at 15.1%/yr. That’s above Hanke's Golden Growth Rate of 11.5%/yr-13.5%/yr, a rate consistent with hitting Pakistan's inflation target of 5%/yr-7%/yr. THE INFLATION STORY = A MONEY SUPPLY STORY. https://t.co/x28UBeLyKl

By Steve Hanke
Modi’s Calm Highlights India’s Strategic Autonomy Advantage
SocialMar 22, 2026

Modi’s Calm Highlights India’s Strategic Autonomy Advantage

While the US and Israel escalate, Modi plays it cool. INDIA'S STRATEGIC AUTONOMY = A WINNING HAND. https://t.co/T87Vj30GN9

By Steve Hanke
Households Bear Cost as War Spikes Prices
SocialMar 21, 2026

Households Bear Cost as War Spikes Prices

So far, the US economy has remained resilient in the face of rising oil prices from the US-Israeli war on Iran. But the REAL LOSER has been AMERICAN HOUSEHOLDS. The price of gasoline, food and electricity are SOARING. TRUMP’S WAR = AFFORDABILITY PROBLEMS....

By Steve Hanke
Brazil Rejects US Critical Minerals Deal Amid Trump Tensions
SocialMar 21, 2026

Brazil Rejects US Critical Minerals Deal Amid Trump Tensions

Brazil is now RESISTING a critical minerals agreement with the US. FORGET THE ART OF THE DEAL. TRUMP = MASTERCLASS AT MAKING ENEMIES. https://t.co/jmtqeFKoVb

By Steve Hanke
China Onshore Stocks Crowned Top Asset Amid Conflict
SocialMar 21, 2026

China Onshore Stocks Crowned Top Asset Amid Conflict

With the onset of the US-Israeli attack on Iran, my good friend Chris Wood, Global Head of Equity Strategy at Jefferies, believes China’s onshore stocks are the top assets. CHINA = WINNER.

By Steve Hanke
US‑Israeli War Triggers Asia‑wide Economic Shock
SocialMar 21, 2026

US‑Israeli War Triggers Asia‑wide Economic Shock

From fuel rationing in Sri Lanka to restaurant closures in India, flight cancellations in Thailand, and food and fertilizer shocks across Asia -- the ripple effects of the US-Israeli war on Iran are global. THE US-ISRAELI WAR'S COLLATERAL DAMAGE IS MASSIVE. https://t.co/jD1WHbQj6T

By Steve Hanke
Trump Declares Victory While Troops Surge to Gulf
SocialMar 21, 2026

Trump Declares Victory While Troops Surge to Gulf

Trump claims that the US has “won” the war, and that Iran is “finished.” IF WE WON THE WAR, WHY ARE WE RUSHING  THOUSANDS OF US TROOPS TO THE GULF? TRUMP = DELUSIONAL. https://t.co/g5aB73R1CU

By Steve Hanke
Pentagon Seeks $200B for Iran War, Outspending Ukraine Aid
SocialMar 21, 2026

Pentagon Seeks $200B for Iran War, Outspending Ukraine Aid

The Pentagon is requesting $200 BILLION to fund the Iran war. THIS IS BIG BUCKS. For context, Congress has only approved $188 BILLION to support the US proxy war in Ukraine. WAR = A MASSIVE TAX ON AMERICANS. https://t.co/nlL85D8hEN

By Steve Hanke
Over 1,000 Lebanese Killed in Israeli Airstrikes
SocialMar 21, 2026

Over 1,000 Lebanese Killed in Israeli Airstrikes

ISRAEL CONTINUES ITS REIGN OF TERROR IN LEBANON. Since March 2nd, Lebanon’s Health Ministry reports that at least 1,021 Lebanese have been killed by Israeli airstrikes. https://t.co/n95JS2F8UB

By Steve Hanke
Iranian Strikes Inflict $800 Million Damage on U.S. Bases
SocialMar 21, 2026

Iranian Strikes Inflict $800 Million Damage on U.S. Bases

The BBC reports that Iranian counter-attacks on US military bases in the Middle East have caused $800 MILLION in damage. THE US-ISRAELI WAR ON IRAN IS COSTING AMERICANS AN ARM AND A LEG. https://t.co/hxarqU3UlU

By Steve Hanke