BITCOIN: MARKET WILL GO CRAZY THIS WEEK (BTC, TAO, Stocks)

Ivan on Tech
Ivan on TechMar 24, 2026

Why It Matters

Because political theatrics are distorting price signals, traders who rely on chart‑based risk management are better positioned to avoid the flash‑crash losses that have plagued retail investors this week.

Key Takeaways

  • Trump's ceasefire claim triggered volatile Bitcoin and oil price swings.
  • Insider trading signals appear minutes before political announcements, skewing markets.
  • Chart patterns, not headlines, remain the most reliable trading guide.
  • Oil staying above $90 sustains pressure on central banks to hike rates.
  • Bitcoin's 200‑week moving average rejection signals bearish trend continuation.

Summary

The video opens with a rapid‑fire recap of the past 24‑hour market roller coaster, tying President Donald Trump’s sudden cease‑fire announcement – later denied by Iran – to sharp, short‑lived spikes in Bitcoin, S&P 500 futures and oil.

The host argues the price moves are classic insider‑trading patterns, noting massive volume spikes five minutes before the political tweet and a quick dump once the cease‑fire was disproved. Oil has rebounded to the $93‑$94 range and remains above $90, a level that, according to the presenter, forces the Fed and ECB to keep rate‑hike expectations alive. A PolyMarket poll shows a 42 % probability of U.S. forces entering Iran by April’s end, adding geopolitical risk to the mix.

Key on‑air quotes underscore the thesis: “The chart is the only source of truth,” and “Trump creates fake news that wrecks retail traders.” The presenter also cites a failed micro‑news strategy by a trader named West Coast Ace, illustrating how rapid tweet‑driven rebalancing erodes retail portfolios.

For investors, the takeaway is clear: prioritize multi‑timeframe technical analysis over headline‑driven trades, expect Bitcoin to test and likely reject its 200‑week moving average, and monitor oil‑price‑driven central‑bank policy signals. Ignoring these mechanical rules could result in the same “wrecked” outcomes the host describes.

Original Description

🔥 FREE TRAINING: https://www.bullmania.com
💰 EXCHANGES I USE (bybit, pionex): https://www.bullmania.com/partners
🎯 My track record: https://bullmania.com/ivan
🔥 JOIN TELEGRAM: https://t.me/+TbEkTiXzGELwxThy
📈 Charts I use: https://bullmania.com/charts
00:00 Intro - Last 24 hours was a roller coaster
00:20 DO not trust Trump - Iran does not confirm peace talks
00:42 Insider trading with pump and dump
01:05 Crude oil chart - Above 60-70 is high
01:31 Stock market - Smart enough to not follow Trump
01:52 Trump video - Strait is going to be jointly controlled
02:35 1 tweet - macro news - and the TA is irrelevant again
03:19 Charts are the only way to guide us.
03:36 BTC weekly chart
03:50 Oil chart
04:23 SP500 Chart
04:55 Number 1 source of wreckage is macro news
05:39 Number 1 source of truth is the chart
06:34 Trump vs Iran situation - longer than expected
07:08 Watch what Trump is doing, not saying - movements of troops
07:52 Iran - US has confused war against Iran with Hollywood films
08:24 Conclusion for our portfolio - Exactly as predicted. Beauty of mechanical rules
09:00 Anti TA no bueno for your portfolio
10:08 Trump now pretending to negotiate. Monday soft, Friday harsh
10:59 Goldman Sachs expects ECB to hike rates because of high oil price
12:00 MSTR planning to buy 4.2B in BTC
12:27 MSTR chart - Investors tragedy. Rejected by 200 WMA. Wait for the bull flip
15:32 TAO - Viral moment. Weekly chart - Almost at bull flip
16:25 Podcast guys shiling TAO like no tomorrow. But will not be bigger than BTC
17:32 BTC in a bear trend all ALT dump
17:56 Jason Calacanis video - Shilling TAO
19:44 TAO tech has some substance - training models in a decentralized way
20:34 Look at the coins inside TAO instead?
21:00 Not buying Kool-aid in a bear trend
22:10 ZEC chart - When bear then out
22:50 OpenAI offering private equity firms guaranteed minimum return of 17.5 percent
23:55 Claude - What is OpenAIs current investment
24:42 QQQ chart - tech companies not doing well right now
25:49 Q and A
26:14 Shout out to Bullmania
26:29 Q1: Hype chart? Important for trading the stock market anonymous
29:10 Hype use case even better than TAO
30:00 Q2: TAO better than other crypto projects?
31:23 Q3: How is your Pudgy Penguin doing?
31:51 Q4: Game theorize the next 10-20 years?
36:50 Q5: Oil barrel ticker?
37:23 Q6: Just open an AI data center?
39:12 Q7: Energy crisis is another downside to AI?
39:51 Q8: Just do Youtube?
42:02 Q9: Younger generations will have AI brainrot from social media?
42:35 Q10: With your Inglish you are safe from AI?
43:20 Q11: I am a software engineer and Claude slows me down?
44:00 A trick to help remove AI hallucinations
47:42 AI rabbi giving financial advice
48:09 Outro - Book coming today or tomorrow

Comments

Want to join the conversation?

Loading comments...