Social•Feb 13, 2026
Inflation Misses Again; Labor Market Holds Real Power
🚨 Inflation just missed expectations. Again - Dollar dumping - Gold buying the dip - Stocks pumping on rate cut hopes ⚠️ But don't get comfortable - the labor market is the real story https://t.co/hpBwuiWtK4
By Kathy Lien
Social•Feb 13, 2026
Soft US Inflation Sparks Dollar Slide, Yield Drop, Gold Rise
📉 Softer US Inflation - Markets React 🔻 Softer US inflation numbers 🔻 USD tumbling 🔻 10-year yield falling ⬆️ Gold rising ⬆️ Stocks rallying 📊 CPI Breakdown: • MoM: 0.2% actual vs 0.3% forecast • YoY: 2.5% actual vs 2.5% forecast (2.7% previous)
By Kathy Lien
Social•Feb 13, 2026
The 5ers Introduces Overnight Futures Prop Trading
🚨 @the5erstrading releases details for @The5ersFutures On my panel at @iFXEXPO they said big things were coming… Only futures prop to allow overnight holds Looks like the evolution is here. What do you think - strong proposition or not competitive enough?👇
By Kathy Lien
Social•Feb 13, 2026
Trump Backs Off as Treasury Market Wobbles, Risk Premium Spikes
One constant in the Trump administration is that - when the Treasury market wobbles - it backs down. That happened on China in Apr. '25 and again on Greenland recently. 10y10y forward yield remains near its highs, even as 10y...
By Robin Brooks
Social•Feb 13, 2026
US Loses Cheap‑borrower Advantage, Now Pays Debt Premium
The US exorbitant privilege - the ability to issue debt more cheaply than others - ended about a decade ago. We're now issuing debt at a premium, the result of deficits and debt that are out of control. This change...
By Robin Brooks
Social•Feb 13, 2026
ECB Still Assessing Full Effects of Euro Appreciation
ECB has yet to see full impact of euro appreciation, Kazaks says https://t.co/qqisWsfsJD via @aaroneglitis @Skolimowski https://t.co/TTDxRGmgMY
By Zöe Schneeweiss
Social•Feb 13, 2026
User‑centric Design Key to CBDC Resilience, Says IMF
"CBDCs... most significant resilience potential lies in user-centric design features, including offline functionality, flexible front-end solutions, and programmability for crisis response" Not my words. The IMF. https://t.co/aauwvtxTG8 https://t.co/O4sEWC2AN2
By Dave Birch
Social•Feb 13, 2026
Inflation‑adjusted Dollar
A pet peeve. Talk about current dollar weakness. Numbers here are through December -- but in December the broad inflation adjusted dollar was stronger than in 01 or 02, the peak before 22-24 1/ https://t.co/c7KU9z1C6t
By Brad Setser
Social•Feb 12, 2026
China Eases Capital Controls as Asset Buildup Accelerates
China usually liberalizes its financial account when the PBOC (now the state banks) are accumulating assets at too rapid a pace, and it wans the dollar risk to be taken by others ... 1/2
By Brad Setser
Social•Feb 12, 2026
East Asia Drives Surging Trade Surplus, Currencies Remain Cheap
Bingo And the global trade surplus (ex pharma) is now primarily in China, Taiwan and Korea ... Important qualification to the now standard argument the dollar has gotten weaker (which is true primarily if the clock starts at the end of 24,...
By Brad Setser
Social•Feb 11, 2026
Unveiling 2026 Prop Trading Roadmap and Upcoming Announcements
Great conversations at @iFXEXPO diving into the 2026 Prop Trading roadmap - with a few hints about big announcements coming from @the5erstrading @FundedNext @IC_Funded Apparently I was “grilling” them (according to the audience)😄… or just asking questions everyone’s thinking? https://t.co/GEGDCIAXIG
By Kathy Lien
Social•Feb 11, 2026
What a Schwab Brain Scan Reveals About Traders
Charles Schwab scanned my brain… and this is what they found 👀 Inside the Mind of a Trader | Kathy Lien https://t.co/7k3G7EUtU5 via @YouTube
By Kathy Lien
Social•Feb 11, 2026
Argentina's 32% Inflation Signals Milei Must Dollarize
Argentina’s January inflation came in at a RED HOT 32.4%/yr. Pres. Milei’s monetary model is not working. MILEI MUST DOLLARIZE NOW. https://t.co/MLSKqYfys7
By Steve Hanke
Social•Feb 11, 2026
Dollar Stabilizes Post‑NFP; CPI Sets Next Direction
US Dollar Technical Forecast: USD Stabilizes After NFP – CPI to Decide the Next Move https://t.co/xwnZkIUN3I $DXY Weekly Chart https://t.co/Cp7VSktXM6
By Michael Boutros
Social•Feb 11, 2026
USDJPY Plunges 2.5% in Three Days, Reversal Uncertain
$USDJPY is down over -2.5% over the past three days. One of the biggest drops in the past year and a half. Doesn't mean it has to stall and reverse though... https://t.co/LRjhnctyzL
By John Kicklighter
Social•Feb 11, 2026
USD Strength Shifts EUR/AUD, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY Post‑NFP
Today's Opening Bell A look at the USD crosses post-NFP with on-the-fly analysis on EUR/AUD, EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY https://t.co/Tu1RqyYsZf
By Michael Boutros
Social•Feb 11, 2026
NFPs Surge Past Forecasts, yet 2025 Revisions Cut Million
#NFPs beat expectations by the most in 10 months - a 130K vs 40K expected. That said, revisions aggregated through 2025 have lowered the year's total by over 1 million https://t.co/p1pkqEWC57
By John Kicklighter
Social•Feb 11, 2026
January Jobs Spark Rate‑cut Doubts Despite Solid Hires
Analytically, the January U.S. jobs report supports competing views. The market reaction, however, was clear: traders have sharply dialed back expectations for a June rate cut. The big beat on January job creation, paired with a dip in the unemployment rate...
By Mohamed El‑Erian
Social•Feb 11, 2026
Investors Dismiss Threat, Doubt USMCA Termination
"The market isn't taking this latest threat seriously at all," said Adam Button, chief currency analyst at investingLive, adding that investors doubt that the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, a continental trade pact, will be discontinued ... I'll say it...
By Adam Button
Social•Feb 11, 2026
Strong Payrolls Fail to Boost Dollar, Correlation Shifts
Tepid response of the Dollar to a big upside surprise in payrolls. The whisper number for consensus was weak, so this was a solid beat, yet USD is barely able to rise. We're on our way to the correlation switch...
By Robin Brooks
Social•Feb 11, 2026
Strong January Jobs, Lower Unemployment Boost USD Despite Cut Expectations
Jan jobs data better than expected and benchmark revision more or less in line. Unemployment rate ticks lower. $USD jump sold into quickly. Mkt still pricing in around two cuts this year.
By Marc Chandler
Social•Feb 11, 2026
US Adds 130k Jobs, Unemployment Slips to 4.3%
NEW US JOBS DATA: Non-farm Payrolls: +130k Unemployment Rate: 4.3% (-0.1%) Prime Age (25-54) Employment-Population Ratio: 80.9% (+0.2%) Average Hourly Earnings: +0.4% Annual Benchmark Revisions: -898k
By Joseph Politano
Social•Feb 11, 2026
January Jobs Surge 130K, Beating Forecasts, Unemployment Dips
January Non-Farm Payrolls print at 130K vs expected 66K - previously 48K Unemployment holds ticks lower to 4.3% #NFP
By Michael Boutros
Social•Feb 11, 2026
NFP Moved Ahead to Dodge Friday the 13th CPI Clash
Overheard "We preferred to release NFP today instead of Friday beause Friday is #Friday13th". CPI is on Friday.
By Ashraf Laidi
Social•Feb 11, 2026
USD Soft, JPY Squeeze Persists, Oil Spikes on Iran Tension
$USD is soft ahead of the delayed jobs report. Japanese markets were closed for a national holiday, but the dramatic short squeeze of $JPY continued. WTI is up ~2% as the US-Iran confrontation seems near a climax. ...
By Marc Chandler
Social•Feb 11, 2026
NEC Director Predicts Slightly Lower Jobs, NFP May Miss Forecast
https://t.co/k2T7oPbMh8 In an interview with CNBC on Monday (February 9, 2026), Kevin Hassett, the Director of the National Economic Council, advised markets to expect "slightly smaller job numbers" in the coming months. These remarks, have led many to speculate that the January...
By Boris Schlossberg
Social•Feb 11, 2026
Nigeria's Inflation Surge Linked to Excess Money Supply
Nigeria’s inflation rate is DOUBLE NGA’s inflation target at 15.29%/yr. Nigeria’s money supply is growing at 15.19%/yr, ABOVE Hanke's Golden Growth Rate of ~11.83%-14.83%/yr, a rate consistent with Nigeria’s 6%-9%/yr inflation target. THE INFLATION STORY = A MONEY SUPPLY STORY. https://t.co/367h7H4ytf
By Steve Hanke
Social•Feb 11, 2026
Markets Await Jobs Data to Gauge Fed Cut Prospects
Will stock markets find enough to like in US jobs data? It’s all about Fed interest rate cut expectations. #Jobs #NFP #StockMarket #Dollar #Fed #Macro #Trading https://t.co/UBCpyuHxhZ
By Ilya Spivak
Social•Feb 10, 2026
NFP Outlook: Expectation Management Raises 23K vs 15K
#NFP tomorrow. After yesterday's verbal managing of expectations from Hassett and Miran. Will NFP hit 23K ? 15K ?
By Ashraf Laidi
Social•Feb 10, 2026
MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin Bet Costs More Than Gold
Did MicroStrategy Make a Bad Bet on Bitcoin? Bitcoin made the headlines, but MicroStrategy’s numbers? Not so pretty. I’d have preferred gold, silver, or even interest-bearing cash. Opportunity cost matters — don’t get caught chasing hype. Bitcoin #PeterSchiff #CryptoNews #Investing #GoldVsBitcoin #FinanceTalk...
By Peter Schiff
Social•Feb 10, 2026
Gold Nears Breakout: From Panic to Directional Pause
Gold Price Short-term Outlook: XAU/USD From Panic to Pause- Breakout to Decide Direction https://t.co/e2vca3B4h2 $XAUUSD Daily & 240min Charts https://t.co/BsGu6wpKlh
By Michael Boutros
Social•Feb 10, 2026
U.S. Stocks Under Pressure as SPX/VEU Hits Near Two‑Year Low
The 'sell America' trade pressure seems to be picking up again. The SPX-VEU (rest of world equity ETF) ratio is the lowest since April 22nd. A little further and it is a two year low. Adding the DXY Dollar Index in for...
By John Kicklighter
Social•Feb 10, 2026
Mexico's Inflation On Target, Money Supply Within Golden Growth
Mexico’s inflation rate is ON TARGET at 3.65%/yr Mexico’s money supply (M4) is growing at 7.91%/yr, WITHIN Hanke's Golden Growth Rate of ~7.3%-9.3%/yr, a rate consistent with Mexico’s 2%-4%/yr inflation target. THE INFLATION STORY = A MONEY SUPPLY STORY. https://t.co/4w05Yr94Mz
By Steve Hanke
Social•Feb 10, 2026
Dollar Weakening as Diverging Policies Boost Global Assets
I keep playing through the potential outcomes over the coming months and I have a very difficult time painting a bull case for the dollar. I expect: 1. Monetary policy divergence widens (more dovish US vs RoW/Japan) 2. Capital flight risk as...
By Quinn Thompson
Social•Feb 10, 2026
Banking Chief Calls for Urgent European Payment Alternatives
European alternatives to Visa and Mastercard ‘urgently’ needed, says banking chief - https://t.co/TJ18SQs5Bg via @FT
By Ashraf Laidi
Social•Feb 10, 2026
December US Retail Sales Stall, Missing Growth Forecasts
US December Retail Sales comes in flat vs expected 0.4% - previously 0.6% m/m Core retail sales also flat vs expected 0.3% - previously 0.4% m/m
By Michael Boutros
Social•Feb 10, 2026
Dollar Stabilizes, Still Strong vs G10; Yen Diverges
Greenback Consolidates after Yesterday's Shellacking: After yesterday’s sharp losses, the US dollar is mostly consolidating with a firmer bias against the G10 currencies. The yen is the exception. The unexpected post-election gains have been extended… https://t.co/s4awtQJ5o7 https://t.co/Xlf89Ydd1E
By Marc Chandler
Social•Feb 10, 2026
Gold Surges Past $5,000 Amid Debt Monetization Fears
Gold is back above $5,000. The rise in gold is one manifestation of the debasement trade, which is about markets seeking safe havens from debt monetization. Big thanks to @DavidWestin from @BloombergTV for all the right questions and a great...
By Robin Brooks
Social•Feb 10, 2026
Alphabet's Sterling Bond Hits Record £4.5bn Demand
#Alphabet sterling bond raises a record £4.5 bn, with £24 bn in bids. They may start borrowing on behalf of Bessent if it continues like this $GOOG
By Ashraf Laidi
Social•Feb 10, 2026
Dollar Steadies, Yen Rebounds; US 10‑yr Dips Below
The greenback is a little firmer against the G10 currencies but the yen as it consolidates yesterday's sharp losses. JGB yields are softer. Meanwhile this could be only the 2nd session since mid-Jan that the US 10-year yield...
By Marc Chandler
Social•Feb 10, 2026
Dollar vs EM Hits New Low, Signaling Further Weakness
The Dollar versus EM today is down to a new low, which is below its level 2 weeks ago at the height of Greenland headlines. It's the Dollar versus EM you want to watch for future direction. The signal it's...
By Robin Brooks
Social•Feb 10, 2026
Tether Would Rank 17th in US Treasury Holdings
Who is the world's largest holder of US Treasuries? 🥇 Japan 🥈 United Kingdom 🥉 China But here's the wildest part - if Tether were a country, it would be the 17th largest holder of US Treasuries https://t.co/JoaE6JzFI9
By Kathy Lien
Social•Feb 10, 2026
Macron Urges EU to Adopt Eurobonds Now
Emmanuel Macron: « Now is the time for the EU to launch a joint borrowing capacity, through eurobonds. » https://t.co/NqqbjjecXk
By Frederik Ducrozet
Social•Feb 10, 2026
Markets Could Slip If Data Undermines Fed Cut Hopes
Stock markets may sour if this week’s US economic data casts doubt on Fed rate cut speculation. #stockmarkets #Fed #Economy #InterestRates #USD #Macro #trading https://t.co/ZEfchApMC0
By Ilya Spivak
Social•Feb 9, 2026
Alphabet Launches 100‑year GBP Bond, Eyes Currency Debasement
#Alphabet to issue 100-year GBPSterling bond after having issued 50-year $17.5 bn USD bond in November. Also plns to issue CHF bond. They're betting further currency debasement #forex
By Ashraf Laidi
Social•Feb 9, 2026
Dollar Index Plummets; Trade‑Weighted vs Equal‑Weighted Diverge
The $DXY has dropped sharply today. A big picture look at the trade-weighted Dollar index vs an equally-weighted variant: https://t.co/sqTvcv4ihu
By John Kicklighter
Social•Feb 9, 2026
Gold Surges Past $5,000 Amid Reckless Fiscal Policy
Gold is back above $5,000. The rally in precious metals is reckless and crazy, but so is global fiscal policy. At some point over the past 20 years, policy makers who believe in keeping public debt stable stopped existing. Makes...
By Robin Brooks