The Fight for Influence in Venezuela Against Russia, China, Iran, and Cuba

Why It Matters

These shifts create a strategic opening for the U.S. to counter adversary influence in the Western Hemisphere and regain leverage over Venezuela’s massive energy assets, while changes inside Venezuela’s security apparatus will shape how quickly and peacefully that transition proceeds.

Summary

Speakers at an Atlantic Council forum outlined a rapid recalibration of influence in Venezuela as Washington restores diplomatic presence and eases certain PDVSA sanctions while Caracas reshuffles its security leadership. Delcy Rodríguez’s move to replace long-serving defense minister Vladimir Padrino and the appointment of intelligence-aligned Gustavo González López signal consolidation of power within trusted circles amid the transition. Panelists said China, Russia, Iran and Cuba—longtime backers of the Maduro era—are reassessing their roles as U.S. engagement increases and Venezuela’s oil sector begins a more managed reopening. The discussion also noted how cultural moments, like Venezuela’s World Baseball Classic win, can briefly unify a country amid political flux.

Original Description

Experts unpack the impact of foreign influence in Venezuela as the US role increases.