Art Berman Blog

Art Berman Blog

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Oil & gas markets, macro, geology‑informed energy analysis.

AI Surge Forces Jet Engines Into Data Center Turbines
SocialFeb 17, 2026

AI Surge Forces Jet Engines Into Data Center Turbines

AI power demand is so desperate we’re turning jet engines into gas turbines. It’s a workaround for years-long turbine wait lists The competition to see which AI companies survive is the main driver. https://t.co/LFKExUsqcY #AI #datacenters #power #naturalgas #turbines #energy #grid #infrastructure #aviation #markets

By Art Berman Blog
Copper Price Surge Fuels BHP's Profit Growth
SocialFeb 17, 2026

Copper Price Surge Fuels BHP's Profit Growth

Who could have seen this coming? Higher copper prices are BHP's main profit driver. https://t.co/ifvnq0Y31l #BHP #copper #mining #commodities #energytransition #AI #electrification #China #ironore #markets

By Art Berman Blog
Sinokor's 120‑tanker Dominance Spikes Freight, Rattles Oil Markets
SocialFeb 17, 2026

Sinokor's 120‑tanker Dominance Spikes Freight, Rattles Oil Markets

South Korean Sinokor now controls 120 oil tankers When one buyer controls the tradable fleet, charterers panic-book, freight spikes, and shocks bleeds into physical oil prices and spreads. https://t.co/Z2GsMyfbtl #oil #tankers #VLCC #shipping #freight #supplychain #sanctions #geopolitics #markets #energy

By Art Berman Blog
Oil Markets Now Price in Constant Tail‑risk
SocialFeb 16, 2026

Oil Markets Now Price in Constant Tail‑risk

“Brent drops to $60 if Iran tension fades,” says SEB’s Bjarne Schieldrop. Sure — until the next mini-shock. That’s the point: this isn’t anomaly anymore It’s the baseline. Oil trades on recurring tail risk at the margin. https://t.co/qqfYS0QUG9 #oil #Brent #OPEC #Iran #geopolitics...

By Art Berman Blog
AI‑gas Hype Overlooks Real Grid Deliverability Constraints
SocialFeb 16, 2026

AI‑gas Hype Overlooks Real Grid Deliverability Constraints

The “AI drives a gas buildout” narrative skips the only thing that matters: DELIVERABILITY @marthamuir25 Turbine lead times are years & interconnection queues are jammed, The grid can’t supply firm power on schedule. Megawatts in press releases aren’t megawatts to the...

By Art Berman Blog
Floating LNG Cuts Risk, Revives Gas Exports
SocialFeb 16, 2026

Floating LNG Cuts Risk, Revives Gas Exports

Onshore LNG is becoming a security and politics nightmare. That’s why floating LNG is back: faster build, smaller upfront risk And you can park it offshore instead of betting $20B on land stability Lease-and-move models make gas exportable again. https://t.co/wMnwOPoyxv #LNG #FLNG #energy #naturalgas...

By Art Berman Blog
Sheinbaum Halts Cuba Oil to Evade Trump Tariffs
SocialFeb 16, 2026

Sheinbaum Halts Cuba Oil to Evade Trump Tariffs

Mexico's Sheinbaum is stopping oil flow to Cuba to dodge Trump’s tariff threat It risks backlash inside Morena’s pro-Cuba wing--her own party. https://t.co/A4rwOfLqHy #Mexico #Sheinbaum #Cuba #Morena #geopolitics #oil #sanctions #trade #tariffs #latam

By Art Berman Blog
California's Gasoline Costs Rise From Bahamas Imports
SocialFeb 16, 2026

California's Gasoline Costs Rise From Bahamas Imports

California has to import US gasoline via Bahamas Refinery closures + no Gulf-to-CA pipelines + the Jones Act = a logistics tax https://t.co/3dGBI24oXI #gasoline #California #energy #refining #JonesAct #shipping #supplychain #oil #inflation #markets

By Art Berman Blog
U.S. NatGas Spread Widens as Prompt Prices Drop
SocialFeb 15, 2026

U.S. NatGas Spread Widens as Prompt Prices Drop

U.S. natural gas 12-month spread widened $0.10 (10%) on lower prompt price April contract fell $0.13 (4%) from $3.23 to $3.10 week ending February 13 Front-month price decreased $0.18 (5%) from $3.42 to $3.24 #energy #NaturalGas #shale #fintwit #oilandgas #Commodities #ONGT #natgas #LNG

By Art Berman Blog
Natural Gas Prices Dip, No Rally Expected
SocialFeb 15, 2026

Natural Gas Prices Dip, No Rally Expected

The natural gas party is over U.S. natural gas futures price fell $0.18 (5%) from $3.42 to $3.24 week ending February 6 My outlook suggests a modest floor Increase (~$0.25), not a rally forming #energy #NaturalGas #shale #fintwit #oilandgas #Commodities #ONGT #natgas...

By Art Berman Blog
China’s Renewable Surge Fueled by Coal, Not Climate
SocialFeb 15, 2026

China’s Renewable Surge Fueled by Coal, Not Climate

Your green cheerleading misses the power politics @dominictsz China’s solar and wind boom is built on COAL, backed by COAL, and financed by COAL. It’s the world’s LARGEST CARBON EMITTER — and it’s not chasing climate virtue, it’s chasing energy...

By Art Berman Blog
Speculators Turn to Oil for Stability Amid Market Turmoil
SocialFeb 15, 2026

Speculators Turn to Oil for Stability Amid Market Turmoil

Speculative money is leaning back into oil as traders look for stability in a volatile world writes @Ole_S_Hansen Oil is becoming the preferred risk exposure in an otherwise uncertain macro landscape. Relative calm in crude contrasts with violent reversals in precious...

By Art Berman Blog
U.S. Gas Exports Set to Hit 20 Bcf/D by 2027
SocialFeb 15, 2026

U.S. Gas Exports Set to Hit 20 Bcf/D by 2027

Drain America First U.S. natural gas exports rise toward 20 Bcf/d in 2027 #NaturalGas #EnergySecurity #ShaleGas #Permian #EnergyInfrastructure #SupplyConstraints #USGas https://t.co/rmLKJzpmpS

By Art Berman Blog
Permian Drives US Gas Growth as Others Stall
SocialFeb 15, 2026

Permian Drives US Gas Growth as Others Stall

U.S. natural gas supply growth Is peaking @yagelski @websterdrake Permian is the only play that's growing Other shale gas plays are flat or declining & conventional gas is in terminal decline #NaturalGas #EnergySecurity #ShaleGas #Permian #EnergyInfrastructure #SupplyConstraints #USGas

By Art Berman Blog
US Gas Demand Outpaces Infrastructure, Not Supply
SocialFeb 15, 2026

US Gas Demand Outpaces Infrastructure, Not Supply

Read your chart @yagelski It shows that the US is awash in natural gas DEMAND not supply Pipelines, storage & power-plant hookups lag demand, as they always do. This is an infrastructure problem, not a resource problem. #NaturalGas #EnergyInfrastructure #LNG #PowerMarkets #GridConstraints...

By Art Berman Blog
Oil Glut Exists Only in Models, Not Markets
SocialFeb 15, 2026

Oil Glut Exists Only in Models, Not Markets

The oil “glut” exists in models, not in physical barrels, writes @MeesEnergy Backwardation holds, volatility stays calm, and the barrels everyone talks about don’t show up in stocks. Models say surplus. The market says otherwise. #OilMarkets #OPECplus #Backwardation #EnergySecurity #SupplyRisk #ChinaOil...

By Art Berman Blog
Wind and Solar Never Reach Cost Break‑even, Says Chart
SocialFeb 14, 2026

Wind and Solar Never Reach Cost Break‑even, Says Chart

Your reply is incoherent @RogerESowell TRUE. This chart shows that wind and solar never break even. Show data to support a contrary view or STFU. https://t.co/7Yn3h6sVvg

By Art Berman Blog
Brent Dips 30 Cents; 12‑month Spread Signals Flat Outlook
SocialFeb 14, 2026

Brent Dips 30 Cents; 12‑month Spread Signals Flat Outlook

Brent futures price fell $0.30 from $68.05 to $67.75 week ending February 13 12-month spread suggests sideways price movement on Monday #energy #OOTT #oilandgas #WTI #CrudeOil #fintwit #OPEC #Commodities #commoditiesmarket https://t.co/hYd0O6d84E

By Art Berman Blog
WTI Spreads Tighten as Front-Month Price Slips
SocialFeb 14, 2026

WTI Spreads Tighten as Front-Month Price Slips

Show me the glut WTI 12-month spread narrowed $0.06 (2%) for the week ending February 13 6-month spread narrowed $0.11 (9%) Front-month price fell $0.66 (1%) from $63.55 to $62.89 #energy #OOTT #oilandgas #WTI #CrudeOil #fintwit #OPEC #Commodities #commoditiesmarket https://t.co/1VHaA5PFZN

By Art Berman Blog
Shell Forecasts Global GDP to Double by 2050
SocialFeb 14, 2026

Shell Forecasts Global GDP to Double by 2050

Shell base case assumes sustained 3.3% global growth GDP nearly doubles by 2050 #GlobalGDP #EconomicGrowth #EnergyScenarios #Shell #Macroeconomics #GrowthAssumptions #LongTermForecasts https://t.co/meXF1PuaVe

By Art Berman Blog
Solar Power Needs Fossil‑fuel Tech, Remains Uneconomic
SocialFeb 14, 2026

Solar Power Needs Fossil‑fuel Tech, Remains Uneconomic

The sun’s radiation that reaches earth is useless as an energy source without technology to convert it to work @Tinyweenybear The technology requires materials to work that all need fossil fuels. Grid scale solar is uneconomic & not fit for 24/7...

By Art Berman Blog
Electricity to Dominate Energy, Shell Downplays Obstacles
SocialFeb 14, 2026

Electricity to Dominate Energy, Shell Downplays Obstacles

Electricity Exceeds 50% of Final Energy Use by Mid-Century Shell is good about listing the obstacles to its preposterous assumptions And then finding reasons to ignore them @zeroinputag #Electricity #EnergyTransition #EnergySystems #GridConstraints #EnergyReality #MidCentury #Decarbonization

By Art Berman Blog
Canada’s $16.5B Carbon Capture Bet Faces Market Skepticism
SocialFeb 14, 2026

Canada’s $16.5B Carbon Capture Bet Faces Market Skepticism

Canada calls it “future-proofing.” Markets may call it wishful thinking. $16.5B on carbon capture with long timelines, big execution risk, and shifting global politics Take that bet to a Las Vegas oddsmaker. https://t.co/hU4uGD0r4d #CarbonCapture #EnergyPolicy #Canada #OilSands #EnergySecurity #StrandedAssets #CapitalRisk

By Art Berman Blog
Enbridge Skips New Pipeline, Heeds Past Capital Losses
SocialFeb 14, 2026

Enbridge Skips New Pipeline, Heeds Past Capital Losses

Enbridge won’t risk billions on a new Canadian oil pipeline Politics can change faster than steel gets laid. Capital remembers Northern Gateway The project was killed after hundreds of millions were sunk. https://t.co/Fd4PKMdjB5 #EnergyInfrastructure #Canada #Pipelines #RegulatoryRisk #EnergySecurity #CapitalDiscipline

By Art Berman Blog
Pemex's Bond Return Shows State Risk, Not Confidence
SocialFeb 14, 2026

Pemex's Bond Return Shows State Risk, Not Confidence

Pemex is back in the bond market after six years — and demand was strong. This doesn't signal confidence in Pemex. Buyers are really underwriting the Mexican state. https://t.co/YRGXmzi4aW #Pemex #Mexico #OilMarkets #EnergySecurity #SovereignRisk #DebtMarkets #EmergingMarkets

By Art Berman Blog
China's Cheap Middle East Oil Squeezes West African Sellers
SocialFeb 14, 2026

China's Cheap Middle East Oil Squeezes West African Sellers

China is pulling more cheap oil from the Middle East. That leaves W. African oil struggling to find buyers until it gets cheap enough to move again, writes @JuneGoh_Sparta In this tight market, the Middle East has the upper hand. Sorry oil...

By Art Berman Blog
Shell’s Electric Utopia Meets Skeptical Reality
SocialFeb 14, 2026

Shell’s Electric Utopia Meets Skeptical Reality

Shell imagines a future in which electricity is the dominant component of global energy. I assume that it is training elephants to fly. https://t.co/rAoZ1exs8H #EnergySecurity #Electrification #SystemicRisk #Geopolitics #EnergyReality #Infrastructure #CapitalConstraints #EnergyTransition #CriticalMaterials #GridLimits

By Art Berman Blog
OPEC+ Plans April Production Hikes Amid Sanctions
SocialFeb 14, 2026

OPEC+ Plans April Production Hikes Amid Sanctions

OPEC+ may restart April hikes to catch peak summer and regain share as sanctions bite Russia/Iran. https://t.co/cILwlUi7h2 #OPECplus #Oil #IEA #SaudiArabia #UAE #Iran #Russia

By Art Berman Blog
Energy Power Plays Trump, Russia, China Militarize Oil
SocialFeb 13, 2026

Energy Power Plays Trump, Russia, China Militarize Oil

Trump talks "deals" with Iran while Russia & China talk about naval escorts of Iranian oil to Cuba, writes @TheMichaelEvery The US repeals carbon regs & hopes to restart Venezuelan oil output soon. Energy is being militarized Markets, sanctions & climate...

By Art Berman Blog
EU's Unanimity Stalls Energy Policy, Ignoring Reality
SocialFeb 13, 2026

EU's Unanimity Stalls Energy Policy, Ignoring Reality

Brussels is fixing process while ignoring physics. The EU 28th corporate regime finally admits that unanimity is incompatible with speed But until green plans are scaled back & some return to Russian oil & gas supply is discussed— everything else is...

By Art Berman Blog
US NatGas Deficit Hits 2025 High, Prices Plunge
SocialFeb 13, 2026

US NatGas Deficit Hits 2025 High, Prices Plunge

U.S natural gas comparative fell 7 bcf for the week ending February 6 It moved to the greatest deficit since March 2025 Henry Hub spot price decreased $8.78 from $13.79 to $5.01 #energy #NaturalGas #shale #fintwit #oilandgas #Commodities #ONGT #natgas #LNG https://t.co/tLe3q7z4xZ

By Art Berman Blog
US Must Secure Mineral Sources, Not Just Funding
SocialFeb 13, 2026

US Must Secure Mineral Sources, Not Just Funding

You can’t stockpile what you don’t control. The easy part is $12 billion from the Trump Adminstration. The hard part is finding the mines, processing & pricing. Washington needs to build alliances instead of burning them. https://t.co/JfhrJs5VnH #CriticalMinerals #Geopolitics #China #SupplyChains #EnergyTransition #Mining #USPolicy

By Art Berman Blog
EIB's Grid Debt Shift Sparks Skepticism in Europe
SocialFeb 13, 2026

EIB's Grid Debt Shift Sparks Skepticism in Europe

The European Investment Bank plans to advance electricity capacity by moving grid debt off bank books & monetizing future revenues I'm not holding my breath. This is Europe, after all. https://t.co/UHQ7GprVvL #PowerGrids #EnergyInfrastructure #Europe #EIB #Electricity #EnergyTransition

By Art Berman Blog
Shipping Decarbonizes Regardless of U.S. Policy Shifts
SocialFeb 13, 2026

Shipping Decarbonizes Regardless of U.S. Policy Shifts

Shipping is decarbonizing with or without Washington. Capital has already committed: dual-fuel vessels dominate orderbooks, and investment decisions are being driven by EU rules, port levies, and future-proofing U.S. politics comes & goes https://t.co/LBSLcVd8Xn #Shipping #IMO #Decarbonization #EnergyTransition #ESG #Maritime #ClimatePolicy

By Art Berman Blog
Venezuela Must Pay Debts Before Oil Returns
SocialFeb 13, 2026

Venezuela Must Pay Debts Before Oil Returns

"Active discussions" between @SecretaryWright & Venezuela's leader are meaningless Until Venezuela pays what it owes and restores contract trust, Big Oil won’t come back. Pay up or shut up. They won't pay so what's the point? #Venezuela #Oil #EnergyPolicy #Sanctions #RuleOfLaw #Geopolitics #RealityCheck https://t.co/7FKWgPpOIo

By Art Berman Blog
Photo Op Won’t Revive Venezuela’s Oil Without Real Investment Conditions
SocialFeb 13, 2026

Photo Op Won’t Revive Venezuela’s Oil Without Real Investment Conditions

You don’t revive Venezuela’s oil sector by touring dilapidated fields @SecretaryWright This is a pointless photo op Tell us about restoring conditions in which companies would risk capital to revive oil production. Otherwise, keep the photos on your phone #EnergyPolicy #Venezuela #OilMarkets #Geopolitics...

By Art Berman Blog
Oil Inventories Rise, Distillate Falls Amid Mixed Market
SocialFeb 12, 2026

Oil Inventories Rise, Distillate Falls Amid Mixed Market

A mixed week for the oil glut story CI rose but has fallen from its mid-January maximum U.S. comparative inventory rose 1.7 mmb for the week ending February 6 Crude C.I. rose 7.1 mmb, gasoline rose 1.0 mmb but distillate fell 2.4...

By Art Berman Blog
WTI Inventories Plunge 54%, Prices Push Toward Yellow Curve
SocialFeb 12, 2026

WTI Inventories Plunge 54%, Prices Push Toward Yellow Curve

WTI comparative inventory has decreased 14 mmb (54%) from its mid-January maximum $63.09 WTI was $6.50 > marginal price on the red yield curve the week ending February 6 Markets may be adjusting price upward toward the yellow yield curve #energy #OOTT #oilandgas...

By Art Berman Blog