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Horace Dediu’s analysis of business models, disruption, and technology adoption (Apple and beyond).

Apple Vision Pro Gains Wheelchair Control, On-Device Speech Recognition and Vehicle Motion Cues
NewsMay 19, 2026

Apple Vision Pro Gains Wheelchair Control, On-Device Speech Recognition and Vehicle Motion Cues

Apple announced a suite of new accessibility features for Vision Pro, including eye‑tracking control of compatible power wheelchairs, on‑device speech recognition that generates private subtitles, and Vehicle Motion Cues to lessen motion sickness in moving vehicles. The updates also add...

By Asymco
IPhone Share of US Big 3 Carriers Reaches 75%, 77% with Verizon
NewsMay 16, 2026

IPhone Share of US Big 3 Carriers Reaches 75%, 77% with Verizon

Apple’s iPhone captured 75% of sales on the three major US carriers in Q1 2026, rising to 77% on Verizon. The company’s U.S. volume grew 1.3% year‑over‑year while the broader smartphone market fell 5.7%, and Android shipments plunged 14.4% YoY....

By Asymco
What’s Wrong with Chromebooks? Market Down 11% in Q1, Outlook Even Worse for the Year as Neo Steps In.
NewsMay 15, 2026

What’s Wrong with Chromebooks? Market Down 11% in Q1, Outlook Even Worse for the Year as Neo Steps In.

Chromebook shipments fell 11% year‑over‑year in Q1 2026, marking the steepest decline among PC categories, according to Omdia. Lenovo remained the market leader with 1.5 million units but slipped 11.2%, while HP and Dell posted 15.3% and 28.3% drops respectively. ASUS...

By Asymco
The Great Memory Panic of 2026
NewsMay 11, 2026

The Great Memory Panic of 2026

Apple is confronting a sharp rise in memory component costs, which now represent 15%‑40% of a device’s bill of materials. The spike stems from limited variable‑capacity suppliers, pushing marginal pricing higher while base‑load contracts remain steadier. Apple can absorb short‑term...

By Asymco
Integration, Culture and Market Creation
NewsMay 10, 2026

Integration, Culture and Market Creation

In a recent Asahi Shimbun interview, analyst Horace Dediu argues that Apple’s post‑1998 era is defined by tight integration of hardware, software and services, not just legacy product design. He stresses that Apple’s culture of relentless focus—saying no to low‑impact...

By Asymco
Google’s Free Cash Flow Will Hit Zero Next Year
NewsMay 9, 2026

Google’s Free Cash Flow Will Hit Zero Next Year

Alphabet posted $73.3 bn of free cash flow in FY2025, but CEO Sundar Pichai guided 2026 capital expenditures of $175‑$185 bn, essentially matching the company’s operating cash. The capex trajectory has accelerated from $32.3 bn in 2023 to $91.4 bn in 2025, with Q4...

By Asymco
Is Apple an Enterprise Gatekeeper?
NewsMay 8, 2026

Is Apple an Enterprise Gatekeeper?

The discussion centers on whether Apple’s combined hardware and services for enterprise users makes it a regulatory gatekeeper under the EU’s Digital Markets Act. Analysts argue that bundling could be seen as anticompetitive if Apple defaults its own services, but...

By Asymco
Margins or Revenue: Which Matters More?
NewsMay 7, 2026

Margins or Revenue: Which Matters More?

In a May 2026 Asymco Office Hours session, Dave Emery asked whether Apple should focus on expanding gross margins or gross revenue. The panelist answered that top‑line growth and customer acquisition are the decisive goals, with margins taking a back‑seat....

By Asymco
Will Apple Preserve iPhone 18 Pro Pricing at 17 Pro Levels?
NewsMay 5, 2026

Will Apple Preserve iPhone 18 Pro Pricing at 17 Pro Levels?

Apple is expected to keep the iPhone 18 Pro at $1,099 and the Pro Max at $1,199, matching the previous generation’s price points. The move comes as rising AI‑driven memory costs force Android makers to raise prices or trim low‑margin...

By Asymco
Why Won’t Apple Become a Cloud Company?
NewsMay 4, 2026

Why Won’t Apple Become a Cloud Company?

Apple is unlikely to become a cloud provider, opting instead to push high‑performance AI computing onto its consumer devices. Leveraging Apple Silicon’s efficiency, the company can run matrix‑heavy workloads locally in products like the Mac mini, iPhone, and future desktops....

By Asymco
The Vision Products Group Expanding
NewsApr 30, 2026

The Vision Products Group Expanding

Apple’s Vision Products Group remains active despite rumors of its 2025 dissolution, as evidenced by 14 senior engineering openings posted in April 2026. The hiring push covers AI, augmented reality, virtual reality, and core software, signaling continued investment in the...

By Asymco
Google to Sell TPU Chips as Gemini Shows Returns
NewsApr 30, 2026

Google to Sell TPU Chips as Gemini Shows Returns

Alphabet announced it will begin selling its custom Tensor Processing Units (TPUs) to a limited set of customers who will install the chips in their own data centers, shifting from its previous model of renting TPU capacity. The change was...

By Asymco
Apple Share of the Smartphone SoC Market Grew From 15% to 19% in Q1
NewsApr 30, 2026

Apple Share of the Smartphone SoC Market Grew From 15% to 19% in Q1

Global smartphone system‑on‑chip shipments fell 8% YoY in Q1 2026, yet Apple’s share rose from 15% to 19%, reflecting strong demand for its premium devices. Counterpoint Research notes the premium segment stayed resilient while entry‑level makers shifted to cheaper chips....

By Asymco
Is Apple Borrowing Samsung’s Market Expansion Strategy?
NewsApr 30, 2026

Is Apple Borrowing Samsung’s Market Expansion Strategy?

Bernstein SocGen Group reaffirmed its Outperform rating on Apple, setting a $340 price target. The firm likens Apple’s current push—new AirPods Max 2, a reduced App Store fee in China, and a forthcoming foldable iPhone—to Samsung’s 2009‑13 expansion that grew its...

By Asymco
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