
The Munich Security Conference centered on the future of the transatlantic partnership, highlighting a noticeable shift in Washington’s tone. After a year of sharp rhetoric, U.S. officials presented a more conciliatory, "charm offensive" aimed at easing tensions with European allies. Analysts noted that while European leaders initially welcomed the softer approach, the relief was fleeting. Substantive disagreements remain over NATO’s strategic direction, continued military support for Ukraine, trade rules, and climate‑change commitments. Europe also signaled a desire to bolster its own defence capabilities and assert greater strategic autonomy. The conference’s focus on Secretary Rubio’s remarks underscored the continued U.S. agenda‑setting role, with many observers pointing out Europe’s limited push to redefine the alliance’s priorities. The MSC’s annual report theme, "under destruction," reflected concerns that the rules‑based international order—and the transatlantic bond itself—are being eroded. For policymakers and businesses, the evolving dynamic signals a need for renewed diplomatic engagement and contingency planning. A more independent Europe could reshape procurement, security‑technology markets, and regulatory standards, while lingering U.S. dominance may constrain joint initiatives.

The Munich Security Conference 2026 turned its spotlight on a bold agenda for Middle East integration, drawing a parallel to Europe’s post‑World War II unification that helped end centuries of instability. Delegates acknowledged that the aftermath of the Gaza war has...

The 2026 Munich Security Conference convenes world leaders and security experts amid growing doubts about the durability of the post‑Cold‑War order. Hosted by the Atlantic Council in Munich’s historic hotel venue, the gathering arrives as the United States settles into...

The Atlantic Council released a new paper, "At the table negotiating with Putin’s Russia," by Donald Jensen and Yulia Osmolovska that examines Russian negotiation practice. The authors argue Moscow treats diplomacy as non-kinetic warfare aimed at decisively winning, not seeking...

Congressman John Moolenaar told an Atlantic Council audience that deterring a Chinese attack on Taiwan is a top U.S. national‑security priority. He highlighted a new bipartisan House Select Committee report that outlines how Beijing’s goal to forcefully annex Taiwan by...

Retired four‑star General Mike Minahan sat down with the Atlantic Council’s Indo‑Pacific Security Initiative to explain a 2023 internal memo that famously warned, “I hope I’m wrong, but I think we will fight in 2025.” The document, drafted after he took...

The episode examines why Latin America and the Caribbean have turned to Chinese investment, featuring development‑finance expert Samantha Kuster. She outlines how China’s credit lines and policy‑bank lending have grown dramatically, with Beijing financing roughly 3,300 projects worth $33 billion since...
Atlantic Council vice‑president and Scowcroft Center senior director Matthew Kroenig appeared on NPR on Feb. 11 to discuss the Trump administration’s ongoing negotiations with Iran. He outlined the limited progress of back‑channel talks aimed at reviving a nuclear agreement and highlighted...

The Atlantic Council unveiled its fifth annual Global Foresight 2036 report, a multi‑component effort that combines a survey of roughly 450 geostrategists from 72 countries, a series of “snow leopard” under‑the‑radar trends, and a new video series on artificial intelligence....

The Atlantic Council’s GeoEconomics Center podcast explores whether a sustained dollar depreciation is emerging. Host Dan McDowell explains how a weaker greenback could reshape U.S. trade balances, investment flows, and national‑security calculations. The discussion highlights potential benefits for exporters alongside higher...

The video “Global Foresight 2036” uses ChatGPT to illustrate how artificial‑intelligence tools synthesize expert forecasts about two high‑impact scenarios: the likelihood of a major war in the next ten years and the arrival of artificial general intelligence by 2036. Analysts surveyed...

In December 2025 the United States and the Democratic Republic of Congo signed a strategic partnership that gives Washington preferential access to Congolese mineral deposits. The article argues that the next step is building logistics corridors, using the Lobito Corridor—linking...
Three years after ChatGPT's debut, Atlantic Council experts caution that current AI, built on large language models, excels at pattern‑based tasks but lacks true predictive power for complex geopolitical outcomes. They highlight AI's probabilistic nature, limited ability to generate new...
The Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Center released Global Foresight 2036, its fifth strategic‑foresight report. Drawing on a survey of nearly 450 geostrategists and foresight practitioners, the paper outlines a ten‑year vision across geopolitics, the global economy, technology, and Earth systems. It highlights...
An Atlantic Council survey of 447 experts from 72 nations paints a bleak picture of the world in 2036. Most respondents expect China to become the top economic power, while the United States retains military superiority, creating a bipolar or...
On February 9, Atlantic Council senior director Matthew Kroenig appeared on the School of War podcast to discuss China’s rapidly expanding nuclear arsenal. He highlighted recent Chinese test activities and the pace at which Beijing is increasing warhead counts and delivery...
The Trump administration’s 2025 trade strategy oscillated between aggressive, unpredictable tariff threats and a quieter push for long‑standing trade objectives. While high tariffs and threats destabilized markets, the administration began issuing exemptions and rolled back many threats, stabilizing tariff levels...
Atlantic Council vice‑president Matthew Kroenig appeared on the BBC on February 8 to discuss the United States’ intensifying pressure on the Cuban regime. He outlined a multi‑pronged strategy that includes expanded sanctions, diplomatic isolation, and support for civil‑society actors. Kroenig emphasized...

In April 2025 President Trump issued an executive order authorizing U.S. companies to mine critical minerals in international waters, directly contravening the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS). The move aims to secure rare‑earth supplies amid...
Russia has intensified a winter bombing campaign that systematically strikes Ukraine’s power plants, transmission lines, and heating infrastructure, leaving millions without essential energy amid sub‑zero temperatures. Analysts label the strategy a modern "kholodomor," echoing the Soviet‑era famine, and argue it...
Iran’s inflation, hovering around 20% and spiking above 40% during sanctions, has become a structural feature of its macro‑economy. The country’s fragmented exchange‑rate system, fiscal deficits financed by the central bank, and dominant state‑linked enterprises perpetuate price pressures. Analysts argue...
U.S. authorities have seized at least seven tankers linked to Venezuela’s shadow fleet, part of a broader push to disrupt illicit oil flows from Iran, Russia and Venezuela. The seizures rely on civil forfeiture statutes rather than wartime prize law,...
Charai argues that the Yemen conflict should be viewed less as a Saudi‑UAE versus Iran Gulf rivalry and more as a litmus test for the international community's ability to contain extremist movements. He highlights that the war’s primary driver is...
Yevgeniya Gaber, a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council, has joined Ukraine’s state news agency Ukrinform to provide expert commentary on the evolving Turkey‑Ukraine relationship. She emphasizes how Turkey’s strategic calculus balances its ties to Russia with its growing economic...

Sweden’s accession to NATO has closed the strategic gap in the Baltic Sea, but Russia continues to exploit sub‑threshold hybrid tactics that target critical undersea infrastructure. The alliance’s conventional superiority does not automatically translate into deterrence against sabotage, GPS jamming,...
Andrew Peek has been appointed the inaugural director of the Atlantic Council’s Adrienne Arsht National Security Resilience Initiative, housed within the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security. In this role he will steer efforts to embed resilience as a core pillar...

Following the January 3 capture of Nicolás Maduro, a memo authored by former U.S. officials outlines a roadmap for Washington to steer Venezuela toward a prosperous, U.S.-aligned future. It calls for immediate benchmarks on human‑rights reforms, dismantling of paramilitary groups, and...